# assets

id: 254980
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Alabama be Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Alabama Republican primary compared to all other states participating in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all super Tuesday primaries, or largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries.

‘Margin' is defined as the difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-highest vote-getter. Percentages of the votes received by each of the two candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election.

The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia excluding American Samoa.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254996
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Any Blast rug >$1m by Mar 7?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-07
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market asks whether or not any project on Blast will undergo a 'rug pull' event between February 29, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, and March 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, worth over >$1 million USD. A 'rug pull' is a fraudulent practice in the world of cryptocurrency, where developers abandon a project and run away with investors' funds.

If any project on Blast is reported to have executed a 'rug pull' worth >$1,000,000 in the form of sudden withdrawal of funds, abandonment of project, or otherwise shutting down with user funds still in their system by March 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution of this market will be based on credible reports from trusted industry sources confirming the 'rug pull' event.


id: 254998
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire' gross under $35m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt21235248/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 22 - March 24) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire' (2024) grosses less than $35,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by March 28, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 254999
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire' gross between $35m-40m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt21235248/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 22 - March 24) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire' (2024) grosses between $35,000,000 (inclusive) and $40,000,000 (exclusive) on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by March 28, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 255000
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire' gross between $40m-45m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt21235248/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 22 - March 24) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire' (2024) grosses between $40,000,000 (inclusive) and $45,000,000 (exclusive) on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by March 28, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 255001
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire' gross between $45m-50m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt21235248/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 22 - March 24) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire' (2024) grosses between $45,000,000 (inclusive) and $50,000,000 (inclusive) on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by March 28, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 255002
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire' over $50m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt21235248/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 22 - March 24) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire' (2024) grosses more than $50,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by March 28, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 255003
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Blast exploit by March 7?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-07
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on whether Blast suffers an exploit by March 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market will be the Rekt News leaderboard, currently available at https://rekt.news/leaderboard/.

If Blast is listed on the resolution source as having suffered an exploit before the resolution date, regardless of the size or ranking, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market pertains to an exploit of Blast itself. Exploits of protocols on Blast will not count.

Only exploits which have a date listed on the Rekt News Leaderboard as March 7, 2024 or before will count. In the case there is ambiguity over the validity or availability of Rekt's Leaderboard, the project's primary communication channels (e.g. Twitter), and other credible crypto publications will be referenced.


id: 255017
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Eric Adams criminal charges before April?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On February 29 the FBI raided the apartment of a special advisor to Eric Adams: https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/29/fbi-raids-home-of-top-adams-aide-00144193. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mayor of New York City Eric Adams is charged with any crime between February 29, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the charging legal entity, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.


id: 255018
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Alaska be Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Update: Per the rules, the margin for this market group is defined using votes for Trump and the next highest vote-getter: 
Trump / (# Trump + # Next highest) - # Next highest / (# Trump + # Next highest). The margin for this market group doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Alaska Republican primary compared to all other states participating in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all super Tuesday primaries, or largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries.

‘Margin' is defined as the difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-highest vote-getter. Percentages of the votes received by each of the two candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election.

The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia excluding American Samoa.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 255019
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Arkansas be Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Arkansas Republican primary compared to all other states participating in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all super Tuesday primaries, or largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries.

‘Margin' is defined as the difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-highest vote-getter. Percentages of the votes received by each of the two candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election.

The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia excluding American Samoa.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 255021
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will California be Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the California Republican primary compared to all other states participating in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all super Tuesday primaries, or largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries.

‘Margin' is defined as the difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-highest vote-getter. Percentages of the votes received by each of the two candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election.

The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia excluding American Samoa.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 255022
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Colorado be Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Colorado Republican primary compared to all other states participating in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all super Tuesday primaries, or largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries.

‘Margin' is defined as the difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-highest vote-getter. Percentages of the votes received by each of the two candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election.

The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia excluding American Samoa.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 255023
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Maine be Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Maine Republican primary compared to all other states participating in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all super Tuesday primaries, or largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries.

‘Margin' is defined as the difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-highest vote-getter. Percentages of the votes received by each of the two candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election.

The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia excluding American Samoa.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 255024
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Massachusetts be Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Massachusetts Republican primary compared to all other states participating in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all super Tuesday primaries, or largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries.

‘Margin' is defined as the difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-highest vote-getter. Percentages of the votes received by each of the two candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election.

The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia excluding American Samoa.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 255025
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Minnesota be Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Minnesota Republican primary compared to all other states participating in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all super Tuesday primaries, or largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries.

‘Margin' is defined as the difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-highest vote-getter. Percentages of the votes received by each of the two candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election.

The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia excluding American Samoa.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 255026
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will North Carolina be Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the North Carolina Republican primary compared to all other states participating in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all super Tuesday primaries, or largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries.

‘Margin' is defined as the difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-highest vote-getter. Percentages of the votes received by each of the two candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election.

The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia excluding American Samoa.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 255027
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Oklahoma be Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Oklahoma Republican primary compared to all other states participating in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all super Tuesday primaries, or largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries.

‘Margin' is defined as the difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-highest vote-getter. Percentages of the votes received by each of the two candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election.

The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia excluding American Samoa.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 255028
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Tennesse be Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Tennessee Republican primary compared to all other states participating in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all super Tuesday primaries, or largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries.

‘Margin' is defined as the difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-highest vote-getter. Percentages of the votes received by each of the two candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election.

The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia excluding American Samoa.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 255029
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Texas be Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Texas Republican primary compared to all other states participating in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all super Tuesday primaries, or largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries.

‘Margin' is defined as the difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-highest vote-getter. Percentages of the votes received by each of the two candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election.

The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia excluding American Samoa.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 255030
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Utah be Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Utah Republican primary compared to all other states participating in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all super Tuesday primaries, or largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries.

‘Margin' is defined as the difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-highest vote-getter. Percentages of the votes received by each of the two candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election.

The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia excluding American Samoa.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 255031
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Vermont be Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Update: Per the rules, the margin for this market group is defined using votes for Trump and votes for the next highest vote-getter: 
# Trump / (# Trump + # Next highest ) - # Next highest /  (# Trump + # Next highest). The margin for this market doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Vermont Republican primary compared to all other states participating in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all super Tuesday primaries, or largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries.

‘Margin' is defined as the difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-highest vote-getter. Percentages of the votes received by each of the two candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election.

The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia excluding American Samoa.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 255032
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Virginia be Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Virginia Republican primary compared to all other states participating in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all super Tuesday primaries, or largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries.

‘Margin' is defined as the difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-highest vote-getter. Percentages of the votes received by each of the two candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election.

The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia excluding American Samoa.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 255033
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Kanye "Carnival" #1 Billboard Hot 100 this week?
start_date: 2024-03-01
end_date: 2024-03-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West’s ‘Carnival’ is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of March 9, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve as soon as data for the week of March 9, is released (Which typically occurs on the Tuesday, i.e. March 5). 

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).


id: 255044
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Alaska Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-28
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Alaska in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255045
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Alaska Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-28
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Alaska in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255050
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-07
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Arizona in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255051
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-07
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Arizona in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255053
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-07
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Nevada in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255054
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-07
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Nevada in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255064
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-19
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in New Hampshire in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255068
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-19
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in New Hampshire in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255072
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a candidate from another party win Connecticut Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-28
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate from neither the Democratic nor Republican parties wins the popular vote in Connecticut in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255073
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win New Jersey Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-28
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in New Jersey in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255082
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-19
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Florida in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255083
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-19
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Florida in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255086
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-07
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255087
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-07
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255094
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-08
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in North Carolina in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255098
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-08
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in North Carolina in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255103
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a candidate from another party win Illinois Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-28
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate from neither the Democratic nor Republican parties wins the popular vote in Illinois in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255109
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-28
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Iowa in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255110
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-28
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Iowa in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255112
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Ohio Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-28
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Ohio in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255116
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Kansas Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-28
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Kansas in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255124
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Ohio Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-28
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Ohio in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255130
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Maine Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-28
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Maine in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Note: This market pertains to the statewide popular vote in Maine for the 2024 US presidential election and does not concern the allocation of district-level electors.


id: 255131
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Maine Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-28
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Maine in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Note: This market pertains to the statewide popular vote in Maine for the 2024 US presidential election and does not concern the allocation of district-level electors.


id: 255143
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-07
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Michigan in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255144
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-07
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Michigan in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255148
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-19
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Minnesota in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255149
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-19
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Minnesota in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255151
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-07
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Pennsylvania in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255152
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-07
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Pennsylvania in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255173
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-19
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Texas in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255174
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-19
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Texas in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255191
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-28
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Virginia in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255196
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-28
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Virginia in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255205
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-08
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Wisconsin in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255206
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-08
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Wisconsin in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255225
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23?
start_date: 2024-03-01
end_date: 2024-03-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if is a US government shutdown occurs between March 1, and March 23, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary a US government shutdown occurs, whether it is a partial shutdown, or a full shutdown.

If the US federal government goes unfunded for any period of time before a new budget/stopgap can be signed into law, it will be considered a government shutdown.

The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 255226
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Did the Alaska balloon come from China?
start_date: 2024-03-02
end_date: 2024-03-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On March 1, 2024, it was reported that a fisherman found a balloon off the coast of Alaska: (https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/01/politics/fishermen-possible-spy-balloon-fbi-alaska/index.html). 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ‘mystery balloon’ is confirmed to be Chinese in origin by March 15, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Note: The balloon need not have started its journey in China, it merely needs to be confirmed that it is of Chinese origin. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by the government of the United States of America. Official statements that indicate that the balloon is likely or presumed to be of Chinese origin will be sufficient to resolve this market positively. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 255228
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ethereum all time high by Friday?
start_date: 2024-03-04
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ethereum (ETH) reaches a price greater than $4,891.70 for the first time according to Binance between March 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and March 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). If Binance is unavailable, a consensus of other credible sources will be used.


id: 255229
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
start_date: 2024-03-04
end_date: 2024-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for bitcoin BTC-USD between 1 Jan '24 00:00 and 31 Dec '24 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 100,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Note: If it is clear there is a large data discrepancy issue with Coinbase (e.g. BTC only hit 75k on other exchanges but 100k on Coinbase), a consensus of other credible sources may be used.


id: 255232
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: SHIB all time high by Friday?
start_date: 2024-03-04
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shiba Inu token (SHIB) reaches a price greater than $0.00008845 for the first time according to Binance between March 4, 2024 12:00 AM ET and March 8, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SHIB_USDT). Note: The final 30 minute candle from 11:30 to 00:00 counts. If Binance is unavailable, a consensus of other credible sources will be used.


id: 255233
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: MOG all time high by Friday?
start_date: 2024-03-04
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mog Coin (MOG) reaches a price greater than $0.0000008895 for the first time according to Coingecko between March 4, 2024 11:00 AM ET and March 8, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/mog-coin), specifically the all time high figure in this market's timeframe. If CoinGecko becomes unavailable or fails to update, a consensus of highly liquid sources will be used instead.


id: 255234
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: TRUMP all time high by Friday?
start_date: 2024-03-04
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MAGA (TRUMP) reaches a price greater than $11.63 for the first time according to Coingecko between March 4, 2024 11:00 AM ET and March 8, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/maga), specifically the all time high figure in this market's timeframe. If CoinGecko becomes unavailable or fails to update, a consensus of highly liquid sources will be used instead.


id: 255235
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the DPK win the most seats in the South Korean election?
start_date: 2024-03-07
end_date: 2024-04-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The next legislative elections in South Korea are provisionally scheduled to be held on April 10, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the DPK (Democratic Party of Korea) controls a greater number of seats in the National Assembly of the Republic of Korea than any other party after the results of the 2024 South Korean legislative election are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the DPK ties with another party for the most seats, the tied party which comes first in alphabetical order will be considered the winner (e.g., in a tie between the DPK and PPP, the DPK would resolve to "Yes").

If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, official information from the government of the South Korea and/or information published through the official website (https://korea.assembly.go.kr:447/portalEn/main/main.do) of the National Assembly of the Republic of Korea will be used.


id: 255239
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $BITCOIN (HPOS10i) all time high by Friday?
start_date: 2024-03-04
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if HarryPotterObamaSonic10Inu (BITCOIN) reaches a price greater than $0.1963 for the first time according to Coingecko between March 4, 2024 11:00 AM ET and March 8, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/harrypotterobamasonic10inu-eth), specifically the all time high figure in this market's timeframe. If CoinGecko becomes unavailable or fails to update, a consensus of highly liquid sources will be used instead.


id: 255240
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $WIF all time high by Friday?
start_date: 2024-03-04
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if dogwifhat (WIF) reaches a price greater than $1.88 (i.e. 1.89 or higher) for the first time between March 4, 2024 11:00 AM ET and March 8, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/dogwifhat), specifically the All time high figure and date on the right box. If CoinGecko becomes unavailable or fails to update, a consensus of highly liquid sources will be used instead.


id: 255243
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $WIF listed on Coinbase or Binance in March?
start_date: 2024-03-04
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the crypto token dogwifhat (WIF) is listed for spot purchase on Binance and/or Coinbase by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Binance and/or Coinbase, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 255245
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Matt Dolan win the Ohio Republican Senate Primary?
start_date: 2024-03-06
end_date: 2024-03-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Matt Dolan wins the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Ohio. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Ohio Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 255246
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Frank LaRose win the Ohio Republican Senate Primary?
start_date: 2024-03-06
end_date: 2024-03-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Frank LaRose wins the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Ohio. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Ohio Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 255247
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Bernie Moreno win the Ohio Republican Senate Primary?
start_date: 2024-03-06
end_date: 2024-03-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bernie Moreno wins the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Ohio. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Ohio Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 255256
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Coinbase top 25 app by Friday?
start_date: 2024-03-05
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Coinbase is in the top 25 free iPhone apps between March 5, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and March 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market specifically refers to the Coinbase app. The position of the Coinbase Wallet app in the Apple App Store has no bearing on the resolution to this market.

The resolution source is the US iPhone App Store's "Top Free Apps" chart, viewable here: https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone/top-free-apps/36.


id: 255262
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Kanye "Carnival" #1 Billboard Hot 100 next week?
start_date: 2024-03-04
end_date: 2024-03-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West’s ‘Carnival’ is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of March 16, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve as soon as data for the week of March 16, is released (Which typically occurs on the Tuesday, i.e. March 12). 

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).


id: 255297
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $WIF listed on Coinbase in March?
start_date: 2024-03-05
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the crypto token dogwifhat (WIF) is listed for spot purchase on Coinbase by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Coinbase, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 255300
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Kung Fu Panda 4 over $36m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-03-05
end_date: 2024-03-11
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Kung Fu Panda 4' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt21692408/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 8 - March 10) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Kung Fu Panda 4' (2024) grosses more than $36,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by March 18, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 255301
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Facebook outage caused by hack?
start_date: 2024-03-05
end_date: 2024-03-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the March 5 Facebook/Instagram/Messenger outage was caused by a hack by March 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

"A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the network outage.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. Government and Meta/Facebook/Instagram. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to resolve this market.


id: 255307
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Bitcoin new all time high by Friday?
start_date: 2024-03-05
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On March 5, Bitcoin hit an all time high, with the highest candlestick on Binance BTC_USDT displaying a price of 69,000.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches a price greater than 69,000.00 for the first time according to Binance's candlestick prices by March 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). Note: The final 30 minute candle from 11:30 to 12:00 counts. If Binance is unavailable, a consensus of other credible sources will be used.


id: 255316
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will RFK Jr. announce Libertarian Party bid?
start_date: 2024-03-06
end_date: 2024-05-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announces he's running to be on the Libertarian Party ticket (as POTUS or VP) before the 2024 Libertarian National Convention decides the ticket. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be announcements from RFK Jr. and/or his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 255324
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Haiti Prime Minister resigns in March?
start_date: 2024-03-07
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ariel Henry announces his resignation from his position as Prime Minister of Haiti by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market, a resignation is defined as Ariel Henry formally announcing his intention to step down, or his resignation being reported by a reputable source, such as a government website or major news outlet.

Note that if Henry announces he will resign as Prime Minister by the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when or if the resignation actually occurs.


id: 255327
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the PPP win the most seats in the South Korean election?
start_date: 2024-03-07
end_date: 2024-04-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The next legislative elections in South Korea are provisionally scheduled to be held on April 10, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the PPP (People Power Party) controls a greater number of seats in the National Assembly of the Republic of Korea than any other party after the results of the 2024 South Korean legislative election are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the PPP ties with another party for the most seats, the tied party which comes first in alphabetical order will be considered the winner (e.g., in a tie between the DPK and PPP, the DPK would resolve to "Yes").

If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, official information from the government of the South Korea and/or information published through the official website (https://korea.assembly.go.kr:447/portalEn/main/main.do) of the National Assembly of the Republic of Korea will be used.


id: 255333
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will X remove likes + reposts counter in March?
start_date: 2024-03-07
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if X  removes the likes and reposts counter from the feed by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. 

Both counters need to be removed for this market to resolve to "Yes".

The absence of likes and reposts counter from X's feed due to technical issues, temporary glitches, or third-party interventions will not be considered for the resolution of this market. Only changes implemented as part of a deliberate redesign by X will qualify for market resolution. The likes and reposts counter will be considered removed if it is no longer visible on either desktop or mobile with the English language.

The primary resolution source for this market will be X. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 255338
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Kung Fu Panda 4 over $48m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-03-07
end_date: 2024-03-11
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Kung Fu Panda 4' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt21692408/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 8 - March 10) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Kung Fu Panda 4' (2024) grosses more than $48,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by March 18, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 255343
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Congress passes bill banning TikTok by April 30?
start_date: 2024-03-07
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill is passed by both the US House and Senate by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, that has the effect of banning use of TikTok under its present ownership (ByteDance) by at least a majority of Americans. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the bill in question requires TikTok to be sold, and effectively bans the app if it is not sold in the future, this will suffice to resolve the market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 255345
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Indian Election: Modi reelected?
start_date: 2024-03-08
end_date: 2024-05-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2024 Indian general election is scheduled to take place between April and May 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Narendra Modi is the next prime minister of India following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of India is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of India, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 255346
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win North Carolina Governor Election?
start_date: 2024-05-08
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Gubernatorial elections are presently scheduled for 11 states and 2 territories.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 255347
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win North Carolina Governor Election?
start_date: 2024-05-08
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Gubernatorial elections are presently scheduled for 11 states and 2 territories.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255349
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will US gain less than 200k jobs in March?
start_date: 2024-03-11
end_date: 2024-04-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 275,000 in February 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains less than 200,000 in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March, scheduled to be released on April 5, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm


id: 255350
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will US gain between 200k and 275k jobs in March?
start_date: 2024-03-11
end_date: 2024-04-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 275,000 in February 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains between 200,000 (inclusive) and 275,000 (inclusive) in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March, scheduled to be released on April 5, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm


id: 255351
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will US gain more than 275k jobs in March?
start_date: 2024-03-11
end_date: 2024-04-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 275,000 in February 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains more than 275,000 in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March, scheduled to be released on April 5, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm


id: 255352
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win New Hampshire Governor Election?
start_date: 2024-03-08
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Gubernatorial elections are presently scheduled for 11 states and 2 territories.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 New Hampshire gubernatorial election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255353
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win New Hampshire Governor Election?
start_date: 2024-05-08
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Gubernatorial elections are presently scheduled for 11 states and 2 territories.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 New Hampshire gubernatorial election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255358
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Indiana Governor Election?
start_date: 2024-03-08
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Gubernatorial elections are presently scheduled for 11 states and 2 territories.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Indiana gubernatorial election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255359
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Indiana Governor Election?
start_date: 2024-03-08
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Gubernatorial elections are presently scheduled for 11 states and 2 territories.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Indiana gubernatorial election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255368
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Missouri Governor Election?
start_date: 2024-05-08
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Gubernatorial elections are presently scheduled for 11 states and 2 territories.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Missouri gubernatorial election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255371
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Montana Governor Election?
start_date: 2024-05-08
end_date: 2024-11-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Gubernatorial elections are presently scheduled for 11 states and 2 territories.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Montana gubernatorial election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255372
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a candidate from another party win Montana Governor Election?
start_date: 2024-05-08
end_date: 2024-11-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Gubernatorial elections are presently scheduled for 11 states and 2 territories.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate from neither the Democratic nor Republican parties wins the popular vote in Montana in the 2024 US gubernatorial election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255373
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win North Dakota Governor Election?
start_date: 2024-05-08
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Gubernatorial elections are presently scheduled for 11 states and 2 territories.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 North Dakota gubernatorial election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255374
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win North Dakota Governor Election?
start_date: 2024-03-08
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Gubernatorial elections are presently scheduled for 11 states and 2 territories.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 North Dakota gubernatorial election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255375
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a candidate from another party win North Dakota Governor Election?
start_date: 2024-03-08
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate from neither the Democratic nor Republican parties wins the popular vote in North Dakota in the 2024 US gubernatorial election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255376
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Utah Governor Election?
start_date: 2024-03-08
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Gubernatorial elections are presently scheduled for 11 states and 2 territories.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Utah gubernatorial election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255377
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Utah Governor Election?
start_date: 2024-05-08
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Gubernatorial elections are presently scheduled for 11 states and 2 territories.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Utah gubernatorial election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255383
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Washington Governor Election?
start_date: 2024-03-08
end_date: 2024-11-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Gubernatorial elections are presently scheduled for 11 states and 2 territories.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Washington gubernatorial election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255386
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win West Virginia Governor Election?
start_date: 2024-05-08
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Gubernatorial elections are presently scheduled for 11 states and 2 territories.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 West Virginia gubernatorial election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255387
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a candidate from another party win West Virginia Governor Election?
start_date: 2024-05-08
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Gubernatorial elections are presently scheduled for 11 states and 2 territories.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate from neither the Democratic nor Republican parties wins the popular vote in West Virginia in the 2024 US gubernatorial election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255388
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Dave Calhoun out as Boeing CEO before May?
start_date: 2024-03-08
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dave Calhoun is no longer serving as CEO of Boeing for any length of time from the date of this market's inception, March 8, through April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Dave Calhoun resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Boeing and/or Dave Calhoun, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.


id: 255394
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: George Santos wins NY-1 Republican Primary?
start_date: 2024-03-08
end_date: 2024-06-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if George Santos wins the 2024 Republican Primary for the 1st New York Congressional District (NY-1). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2024 Republican Primary for the 1st New York Congressional District (NY-1) takes place this market will resolve to “No”. 

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New York Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 255396
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
start_date: 2024-03-19
end_date: 2024-07-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The boxing match between Jake Paul and Mike Tyson has been scheduled for Saturday, July 20, 2024 at the AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jake Paul is officially declared the winner of the boxing match against Mike Tyson. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this fight ends in a draw, is not officially designated as a win for either Jake Paul or Mike Tyson, is canceled permanently, or moved to a date after December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".


id: 255397
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
start_date: 2024-03-19
end_date: 2024-07-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The boxing match between Jake Paul and Mike Tyson has been scheduled for Saturday, July 20, 2024 at the AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Tyson is officially declared the winner of the boxing match against Jake Paul. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this fight ends in a draw, is not officially designated as a win for either Jake Paul or Mike Tyson, is canceled permanently, or moved to a date after December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".


id: 255398
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
start_date: 2024-03-19
end_date: 2024-07-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The boxing match between Logan Paul and Mike Tyson has been scheduled for Saturday, July 20, 2024 at the AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson ends in a draw, is not officially designated as a win for either either participant, is canceled permanently, or is moved to a date after December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".


id: 255399
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: ETH above $4,000 next Friday?
start_date: 2024-03-08
end_date: 2024-03-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Coinbase 1 minute candle for ETH-USD 15 Mar '24 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 4000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the ETH-USD "Close" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/ETH-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase ETH-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 255400
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: BTC above $70,000 next friday?
start_date: 2024-03-08
end_date: 2024-03-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Coinbase 1 minute candle for BTC-USD 15 Mar '24 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 70,000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "Close" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 255401
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Atlanta Falcons sign Kirk Cousins?
start_date: 2024-03-11
end_date: 2024-09-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kirk Cousins is signed by the Atlanta Falcons first between March 10, 2024, and the start of the NFL regular season currently scheduled for September 5, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Kirk Cousins is signed first by another NFL team between March 10, 2024 and the start of the 2024, NFL regular season, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 255402
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Las Vegas Raiders sign Kirk Cousins?
start_date: 2024-03-11
end_date: 2024-09-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kirk Cousins is signed by the Las Vegas Raiders first between March 10, 2024, and the start of the NFL regular season currently scheduled for September 5, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Kirk Cousins is first signed by another NFL team between March 10, 2024, and the start of the 2024 NFL regular season, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 255403
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Minnesota Vikings sign Kirk Cousins?
start_date: 2024-03-11
end_date: 2024-09-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kirk Cousins is signed by the Minnesota Vikings first between March 10, 2024, and the start of the NFL regular season currently scheduled for September 5, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Kirk Cousins is signed first by another NFL team between March 10, 2024, and the start of the 2024 NFL regular season, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 255404
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Washington Commanders sign Kirk Cousins?
start_date: 2024-03-11
end_date: 2024-09-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kirk Cousins is signed by the Washington Commanders first between March 10, 2024, and the start of the NFL regular season currently scheduled for September 5, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Kirk Cousins is signed first by another NFL team between March 10, 2024, and the start of the 2024 NFL regular season, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 255405
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the New England Patriots sign Kirk Cousins?
start_date: 2024-03-11
end_date: 2024-09-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kirk Cousins is signed by the New England Patriots first between March 10, 2024, and the start of the NFL regular season currently scheduled for September 5, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Kirk Cousins is signed first by another NFL team between March 10, 2024, and the start of the 2024 NFL regular season, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 255406
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Denver Broncos sign Kirk Cousins?
start_date: 2024-03-11
end_date: 2024-09-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kirk Cousins is signed by the Denver Broncos first between March 10, 2024, and the start of the NFL regular season currently scheduled for September 5, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Kirk Cousins is signed first by another NFL team between March 10, 2024, and the start of the 2024 NFL regular season, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 255407
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will another team sign Kirk Cousins?
start_date: 2024-03-11
end_date: 2024-09-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kirk Cousins is signed first by a team other than the Falcons, Raiders, Vikings, Commanders, Patriots or Broncos, between March 10, 2024, and the start of the NFL regular season currently scheduled for September 5, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Kirk Cousins is signed first by one of the previously listed NFL teams between March 10, 2024, and the start of the 2024 NFL regular season, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. 

If Kirk Cousins remains unsigned by the start of the 2024 NFL regular season, this market will resolve to “Yes”. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 255408
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Kate Middleton video appearance in March?
start_date: 2024-03-12
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kate Middleton appears in a video taken between March 1 and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The video must be authentic and not AI-altered, and both of Kate Middleton's eyes and mouth must be visible in it. 

Still photos won't count for this market's resolution. The video must be taken in March for this market to resolve to "Yes."

This market will immediately resolve to "No" if no such video has been released by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 255411
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: WIF Sphere raises $650k by Friday?
start_date: 2024-03-11
end_date: 2024-03-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On March 9, Ansem posted a public fundraiser to put dogwifhat on the Las Vegas Sphere (see https://twitter.com/blknoiz06/status/1766680047547494658).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the full $650,000 USDC (or equivalent) is raised for WIF sphere according to the on-chain fundraiser address (https://solscan.io/account/GLgvFH6Gn6uhXS8gJoZaykJ3uSP65FMoyC9aEveHF8Nn) by Friday, March 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Changes in the fundraising address will be considered as long as the full $650,000 USDC (or equivalent) is raised by Friday,

The resolution source for this market will be the WIF sphere website (https://wif-sphere.vercel.app/) and on-chain sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 255414
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Kanye "Carnival" #1 Billboard week of Mar 23?
start_date: 2024-03-11
end_date: 2024-03-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West’s ‘Carnival’ is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of March 23, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve as soon as data for the week of March 23 is released (Which typically occurs on the Tuesday, i.e. March 19). 

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).


id: 255420
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Kanye digital release of 'Vultures' Vol. 2 by Friday?
start_date: 2024-03-11
end_date: 2024-03-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West officially releases Volume 2 of his collab album with Ty Dolla $ign, titled ‘Vultures’, by Friday, March 15, 2024, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Officially released means that Volume 2 of the album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

If a new album from Kanye West and Ty Dolla $ign is released between March 8 and March 15, even if not titled 'Vultures' Vol. 2 it will count for this markets resolution. 

The resolution source will be any official Kanye West/Ye streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.


id: 255426
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Senegal Presidential Election: Amadou Ba wins?
start_date: 2024-03-11
end_date: 2024-03-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2024 Senegal presidential election is scheduled to take place on March 24, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amadou Ba wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a two-round election, if this candidate is eliminated before the second round this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Senegalese government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 255431
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Senegal Presidential Election: Bassirou Diomaye Faye wins?
start_date: 2024-03-11
end_date: 2024-03-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2024 Senegal presidential election is scheduled to take place on March 24, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bassirou Diomaye Faye wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a two-round election, if this candidate is eliminated before the second round this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Senegalese government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 255435
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal?
start_date: 2024-03-11
end_date: 2024-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first decision made by the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit results in the reduction of the damages awarded to E. Jean Carroll, totaling $83.3 million in her defamation lawsuit against Donald J. Trump, “E. Jean Carroll v. Donald J. Trump” (22-cv-10016), by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only the first decision by the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit regarding the reduction of the $83.3 million judgment will be considered for the resolution of this market. Subsequent appeals, including those to the Supreme Court, will not affect this market's resolution.

If the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit's first decision results in a new trial, settlement, or any other outcome that does not directly reduce the $83.3 million judgment, this market will resolve to "No".

The market will resolve to "No" if the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit does not issue its first decision regarding the appeal by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

The primary resolution source will be the official ruling or documents from the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.  


id: 255448
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Michigan US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-03
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Michigan US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 255449
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Michigan US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-03
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Michigan US Senate election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500091
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 'Arthur the King' over $15m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-03-13
end_date: 2024-03-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Arthur the King' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt10720352/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 15 - March 17) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if  'Arthur the King' (2024) grosses more than $15,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. 

If there is no final data available by March 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 500096
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce Aaron Rodgers as running mate?
start_date: 2024-03-13
end_date: 2024-03-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aaron Rodgers is announced as the 2024 Vice Presidential Candidate for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. by November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

This market will resolve immediately based on the first official announcement, regardless of any changes or retractions that may occur later.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr., or his campaign. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500097
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce Jesse Ventura as running mate?
start_date: 2024-03-13
end_date: 2024-03-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jesse Ventura is announced as the 2024 Vice Presidential Candidate for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. by November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

This market will resolve immediately based on the first official announcement, regardless of any changes or retractions that may occur later.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr., or his campaign. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500100
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce Tulsi Gabbard as running mate?
start_date: 2024-03-13
end_date: 2024-03-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tulsi Gabbard  is announced as the 2024 Vice Presidential Candidate for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. by November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

This market will resolve immediately based on the first official announcement, regardless of any changes or retractions that may occur later.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr., or his campaign. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500101
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce someone else as running mate?
start_date: 2024-03-13
end_date: 2024-03-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate other than Aaron Rodgers, Andrew Yang, Jesse Ventura, Rand Paul, Tricia Lindsay, Tulsi Gabbard, Tony Robbins, or Mike Rowe is announced as the 2024 Vice Presidential Candidate for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. by November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

This market will resolve immediately based on the first official announcement, regardless of any changes or retractions that may occur later.

If for any reason Robert F. Kennedy does not announce a vice presidential running mate by November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr., or his campaign. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500104
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce Tony Robbins as running mate?
start_date: 2024-03-13
end_date: 2024-03-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tony Robbins is announced as the 2024 Vice Presidential Candidate for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. by November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

This market will resolve immediately based on the first official announcement, regardless of any changes or retractions that may occur later.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr., or his campaign. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500105
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-03
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senatorial elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Nevada US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500106
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Nevada US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-03
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Nevada US Senate election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500111
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Wisconsin US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-03
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Wisconsin US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500112
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-03
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Wisconsin US Senate election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500114
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Montana US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-03
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Montana US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. 

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500115
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Montana US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-03
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Montana US Senate election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500117
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-03
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Ohio US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500118
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-03
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Ohio US Senate election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500121
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Boeing emergency landing by next Friday?
start_date: 2024-03-14
end_date: 2024-03-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On March 13 there was yet another emergency landing in a Boeing plane due to a possible mechanical issue (see https://www.foxbusiness.com/lifestyle/boeing-plane-forced-emergency-landing-lax-possible-mechanical-issue).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if another Boeing plane is forced to make an emergency landing due to a technical or mechanical issue between March 14, 12:00 PM ET and March 22, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note - emergency landings due to passenger issues (such as a passenger opening the door mid flight) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." If the plane makes an emergency landing due to a possible technical/mechanical issue it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 500125
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce Tricia Lindsay as running mate?
start_date: 2024-03-13
end_date: 2024-03-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tricia Lindsay is announced as the 2024 Vice Presidential Candidate for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. by November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

This market will resolve immediately based on the first official announcement, regardless of any changes or retractions that may occur later.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr., or his campaign. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.  


id: 500132
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Retardio major exchange listing in March?
start_date: 2024-03-21
end_date: 2024-04-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the crypto token RETARDIO (RETARDIO) is listed for spot purchase on one of the listed exchanges by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Exchanges: Coinbase, Binance, Kraken, Gemini, OKX, Upbit, Gate.io, KuCoin, HTX, Bitfinex, MEXC, Bitget, Crypto.com, BingX, Bybit, XT.COM, Binance.US, Tokocrypto, Binance TR, Bitstamp, Deepcoin

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from one of the listed exchanges. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 500138
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 3 QBs and 2 WRs be taken with the first 5 picks of the 2024 NFL Draft?
start_date: 2024-04-17
end_date: 2024-04-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3 quarterbacks and 2 wide receivers are taken with the top five picks of the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

If the 2024 NFL Draft does not take place this market will resolve to “No”. 


id: 500139
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 4 QBs and 1 WR be taken with the first 5 picks of the 2024 NFL Draft?
start_date: 2024-04-17
end_date: 2024-04-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 4 quarterbacks and 1 wide receivers are taken with the top five picks of the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

If the 2024 NFL Draft does not take place this market will resolve to “No”. 


id: 500141
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 3 QBs, 1 WR and 1 OT be taken with the first 5 picks of the 2024 NFL Draft?
start_date: 2024-04-17
end_date: 2024-04-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3 quarterbacks, 1 wide receiver, and 1 offensive tackle are taken with the top five picks of the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

If the 2024 NFL Draft does not take place this market will resolve to “No”. 


id: 500143
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 4 QBs and 1 OT be taken with the first 5 picks of the 2024 NFL Draft?
start_date: 2024-04-17
end_date: 2024-04-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 4 quarterbacks and 1 offensive tackle are taken with the top five picks of the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

If the 2024 NFL Draft does not take place this market will resolve to “No”.  


id: 500144
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the first 5 picks of the 2024 NFL Draft be another combination?
start_date: 2024-04-17
end_date: 2024-04-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the top 5 picks of the 2024 NFL Draft represent any combination of positions other than those listed. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. 

Combinations: 3 QBs & 2 WRs; 4 QBs & 1 WR; 3 QBs, 1 WR & 1 OT; 5 QBs; 4 QBs, 1 OT

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

If the 2024 NFL Draft does not take place this market will resolve to “Yes”. 


id: 500147
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: US gov shutdown/lapse on Mar 23?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-03-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
NOTE: This market is SOLELY about President Biden signing relevant bill(s) before midnight March 23. This is the only criterion and consideration that will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the president does not sign bill(s) that would extend full government funding by March 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" any shutdown will count. If only a portion of the US government is covered by any signed bill(s) extending funding of the US government, and a portion of the US government goes unfunded, this market will still resolve to "Yes". 

The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 500171
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Pornhub restores access in Texas by March 31?
start_date: 2024-03-15
end_date: 2024-04-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On March 14, Pornhub announced that it had blocked access to its content in Texas after a federal appeals court upheld a Texas law requiring pornography sites to institute age-verification measures (see https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/pornhub-disables-website-texas-rcna143502).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pornhub announces that it has restored access for users in Texas by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Pornhub. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to determine whether Pornhub restored access in Texas.


id: 500180
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: SOL hits $200 by next Friday?
start_date: 2024-03-15
end_date: 2024-03-18
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Solana (SOL) reaches a price of $200.00 or greater according to Binance between March 15, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and March 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The last candle from 23:30 to 00:00 will be considered. If Binance is unavailable, a consensus of other credible sources will be used.


id: 500183
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will two SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?
start_date: 2024-03-20
end_date: 2024-12-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if exactly two SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2024 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g. via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 500191
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will three SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?
start_date: 2024-03-20
end_date: 2024-12-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if exactly three SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2024 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g. via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 500204
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Team from East wins March Madness 2024?
start_date: 2024-03-17
end_date: 2024-04-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
2024 NCAA March Madness will be played from March 19 to April 8.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a team from the East wins the 2024 March Madness Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may immediately resolve to "No" if it becomes impossible for a team from this region to win, based on the rules of the tournament. See the teams from each region here: https://www.ncaa.com/march-madness-live/bracket

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/march-madness-live/bracket), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 500205
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Team from West wins March Madness 2024?
start_date: 2024-03-17
end_date: 2024-04-07
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
2024 NCAA March Madness will be played from March 19 to April 8.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a team from the West wins the 2024 March Madness Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may immediately resolve to "No" if it becomes impossible for a team from this region to win, based on the rules of the tournament. See the teams from each region here: https://www.ncaa.com/march-madness-live/bracket

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/march-madness-live/bracket), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 500207
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Team from Midwest wins March Madness 2024?
start_date: 2024-03-17
end_date: 2024-04-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
2024 NCAA March Madness will be played from March 19 to April 8.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a team from the Midwest wins the 2024 March Madness Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may immediately resolve to "No" if it becomes impossible for a team from this region to win, based on the rules of the tournament. See the teams from each region here: https://www.ncaa.com/march-madness-live/bracket

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/march-madness-live/bracket), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 500211
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: SBF sentence between 20 and 30 years?
start_date: 2024-03-17
end_date: 2024-03-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF is sentenced to between 20 (inclusive) and 30 (exclusive) years in prison for the charges for which he is presently on trial (as of March 14) by Dec 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first sentence rendered by the court regarding SBF's present trial.

This market pertains to the actual time to be served in his sentence - e.g. if he is given concurrent sentences, the longest one is used. For this market's resolution, time SBF has already served will not be subtracted from the total amount of time he is sentenced for.

If no sentence is rendered by Dec 31, 2024, this market group will resolve to the top bracket (<5). 

The primary resolution source will be official information from the US court system, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 500213
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: SBF sentence between 40 and 50 years?
start_date: 2024-03-17
end_date: 2024-03-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF is sentenced to between 40 (inclusive) and 50 (inclusive) years in prison for the charges for which he is presently on trial (as of March 14) by Dec 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first sentence rendered by the court regarding SBF's present trial.

This market pertains to the actual time to be served in his sentence - e.g. if he is given concurrent sentences, the longest one is used. For this market's resolution, time SBF has already served will not be subtracted from the total amount of time he is sentenced for.

If no sentence is rendered by Dec 31, 2024, this market group will resolve to the top bracket (<5). 

The primary resolution source will be official information from the US court system, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 500215
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Bitcoin above $70,000 on Friday?
start_date: 2024-03-17
end_date: 2024-03-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 22 Mar '24 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 70,000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 500216
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: ETH above $4,000 on Friday?
start_date: 2024-03-17
end_date: 2024-03-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHUSDT 22 Mar '24 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 4,000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETHUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 500217
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: RFK Jr. picks Nicole Shanahan as running mate?
start_date: 2024-03-17
end_date: 2024-03-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nicole Shanahan is announced as the 2024 Vice Presidential Candidate for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. by November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve immediately based on the first official announcement of RFK Jr.'s running mate, regardless of any changes or retractions that may occur later.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr., or his campaign.


id: 500218
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will UConn win the NCAA tournament?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-04-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the University of Connecticut wins the 2024 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If this team is eliminated based on the rules of the NCAA tournament, this market may be immediately resolved to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500219
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Houston win the NCAA tournament?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-03-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the University of Houston wins the 2024 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If this team is eliminated based on the rules of the NCAA tournament, this market may be immediately resolved to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500220
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will North Carolina win the NCAA tournament?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-03-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the University of North Carolina wins the 2024 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If this team is eliminated based on the rules of the NCAA tournament, this market may be immediately resolved to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500221
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Tennessee win the NCAA tournament?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the University of Tennessee wins the 2024 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If this team is eliminated based on the rules of the NCAA tournament, this market may be immediately resolved to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500222
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Arizona win the NCAA tournament?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-03-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the University of Arizona wins the 2024 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If this team is eliminated based on the rules of the NCAA tournament, this market may be immediately resolved to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500228
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Illinois win the NCAA tournament?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the University of Illinois wins the 2024 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If this team is eliminated based on the rules of the NCAA tournament, this market may be immediately resolved to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500229
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $SLERF listed on Binance by Friday?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-03-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the crypto token Slerf ($SLERF) is listed for spot purchase on Binance by March 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Binance, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 500230
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Duke win the NCAA tournament?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-04-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Duke University wins the 2024 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If this team is eliminated based on the rules of the NCAA tournament, this market may be immediately resolved to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 
 


id: 500232
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Auburn win the NCAA tournament?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-03-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Auburn University wins the 2024 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If this team is eliminated based on the rules of the NCAA tournament, this market may be immediately resolved to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500234
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will BYU win the NCAA tournament?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-03-21
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Brigham Young University wins the 2024 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If this team is eliminated based on the rules of the NCAA tournament, this market may be immediately resolved to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 500242
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Florida win the NCAA tournament?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-03-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the University of Florida wins the 2024 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If this team is eliminated based on the rules of the NCAA tournament, this market may be immediately resolved to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500249
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Mississippi St. win the NCAA tournament?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-03-21
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Mississippi State University wins the 2024 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If this team is eliminated based on the rules of the NCAA tournament, this market may be immediately resolved to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500262
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: SLERF criminal charges in March?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-04-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone involved in the creation of Slerf ($SLERF) is charged with any crime related to that crypto token between March 1 and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Criminal charges must be related to Slerf to count toward a "Yes" resolution. Charges unrelated to Slerf will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the charging legal entity, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.


id: 500268
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Purdue win the NCAA tournament?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-04-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Purdue University wins the 2024 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If this team is eliminated based on the rules of the NCAA tournament, this market may be immediately resolved to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500270
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: New York AG seizes Trump’s assets in March?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-04-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Donald Trump was hit with a $454 million penalty as a consequence of a civil fraud case brought against him by the State of New York. As of yet, he has refused to pay, and NY Attorney General Letitia James has threatened to seize his assets.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if New York AG seizes any of Trump's assets between March 1 and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 500271
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump make bond by March 25?
start_date: 2024-03-19
end_date: 2024-03-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Donald Trump was hit with a $454 million penalty as a consequence of a civil fraud case brought against him by the State of New York. As of yet, he has been unable to post bond, leading the New York Attorney General to threaten to seize assets directly from him.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ex-president Donald J. Trump makes bond in this case by March 25, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the bond requirement is waived for Trump by the resolution date this market will also resolve to "Yes."

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 500274
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: March Madness 2024: Will no #1 seeds make it to the Final Four?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if no #1 seeds make it to the Final Four stage of the 2024 March Madness tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may immediately resolve to "Yes" if it becomes impossible for any #1 seeds to make it to the Final Four stage based on the rules of the tournament. Likewise, if it becomes a certainty that there will be at least one #1 seed in the Final Four based on the rules of the tournament, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/march-madness-live/bracket), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 500275
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: March Madness 2024: Will one #1 seed make it to the Final Four?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one #1 seed makes it to the Final Four stage of the 2024 March Madness tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may immediately resolve to "No" if it becomes impossible for exactly one #1 seed to make it to the Final Four stage based on the rules of the tournament. Likewise, if it becomes a certainty that there will be exactly one #1 seed in the Final Four based on the rules of the tournament, this market will resolve to "Yes."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/march-madness-live/bracket), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 500278
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: March Madness 2024: Will two #1 seeds make it to the Final Four?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if two #1 seeds make it to the Final Four stage of the 2024 March Madness tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may immediately resolve to "No" if it becomes impossible for exactly two #1 seeds to make it to the Final Four stage based on the rules of the tournament. Likewise, if it becomes a certainty that there will be exactly two #1 seeds in the Final Four based on the rules of the tournament, this market will resolve to "Yes."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/march-madness-live/bracket), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 500280
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: March Madness 2024: Will three #1 seeds make it to the Final Four?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-03-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if three #1 seeds make it to the Final Four stage of the 2024 March Madness tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may immediately resolve to "No" if it becomes impossible for exactly three #1 seeds to make it to the Final Four stage based on the rules of the tournament. Likewise, if it becomes a certainty that there will be exactly three #1 seeds in the Final Four based on the rules of the tournament, this market will resolve to "Yes."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/march-madness-live/bracket), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 500281
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: March Madness 2024: Will four #1 seeds make it to the Final Four?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-03-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if four #1 seeds make it to the Final Four stage of the 2024 March Madness tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may immediately resolve to "No" if it becomes impossible for exactly four #1 seeds to make it to the Final Four stage based on the rules of the tournament. Likewise, if it becomes a certainty that there will be exactly four #1 seeds in the Final Four based on the rules of the tournament, this market will resolve to "Yes."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/march-madness-live/bracket), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 500282
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: March Madness: Will a #1 seed win?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-04-07
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any #1 seed becomes the winner of the 2024 March Madness tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may immediately resolve to "No" if it becomes impossible for a #1 seed to win, based on the rules of the tournament.
Likewise this market may immediately resolve to "Yes" if it becomes guaranteed for a #1 seed to win.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/march-madness-live/bracket), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 500283
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: March Madness: Sum of Final Four seeds >10.5?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-04-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sum of the seeds of the final four teams in the 2024 March Madness tournament add up to a number greater than 10.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For example if the final four seeds were 1, 1, 4, 5 the market would resolve to "Yes" since 1+1+4+5=11 is greater than 10.5.

This market may immediately resolve to "No" if it becomes impossible for the sum to be greater than 10.5 based on the rules of the tournament. Likewise this market may immediately resolve to "Yes" if it becomes guaranteed for the sum to be greater than 10.5.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/march-madness-live/bracket), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 500294
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Eric Adams resigns in March?
start_date: 2024-03-18
end_date: 2024-04-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams announces his resignation from his position as Mayor of New York City by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market, a resignation is defined as Eric Adams formally announcing his intention to step down, or his resignation being reported by a reputable source, such as a government website or major news outlet.

Note that if Adams announces he will resign as Mayor of New York City by the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when or if the resignation actually occurs.


id: 500301
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Kyle Kirkland win CA-20 Special Election?
start_date: 2024-03-19
end_date: 2024-03-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kyle Kirkland wins the 2024 special election for California's 20th Congressional District to replace former Representative Kevin McCarthy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

In the event of a runoff, this market's resolution will be based on the runoff's outcome. 

If this candidate does not qualify for the potential runoff, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 500303
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Marisa Wood win CA-20 Special Election?
start_date: 2024-03-19
end_date: 2024-03-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marisa Wood wins the 2024 special election for California's 20th Congressional District to replace former Representative Kevin McCarthy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

In the event of a runoff, this market's resolution will be based on the runoff's outcome. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 500305
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $SLERF FDV below $200M by Friday?
start_date: 2024-03-19
end_date: 2024-03-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the FDV of SLERF dips below $200M for five consecutive minutes between March 18, 2024, 8:30 PM ET and March 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be 1 minute market cap candles for $SLERF available at https://dexscreener.com/solana/dtert17ayrmy2fg57r1b8xjhebhwfr4ejpzrws2xqqys, viewed by clicking MCap and 1m on the top row of the chart. Specifically, five consecutive 1-minute candles need to all have High prices below $200M for this market to resolve to “Yes.”

If the five minute period starts at e.g. March 22, 11:58 PM ET to March 23, 12:02 AM ET, it will count for this market. 


id: 500306
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $boden FDV below $25M by Friday?
start_date: 2024-03-19
end_date: 2024-03-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the FDV of boden dips below $25M for five consecutive minutes between March 18, 2024, 8:30 PM ET and March 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be 1 minute market cap candles for $boden available at https://dexscreener.com/solana/6uybx1x8yucfj8ystpyizbyg7uqzaq2s46zwphumkjg5, viewed by clicking MCap and 1m on the top row of the chart. Specifically, five consecutive 1-minute candles need to all have High prices below $25M for this market to resolve to “Yes.”

If the five minute period starts at e.g. March 22, 11:58 PM ET to March 23, 12:02 AM ET, it will count for this market. 


id: 500320
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30?
start_date: 2024-03-19
end_date: 2024-05-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM Palestine Standard Time (UTC +2), the New York Times or WSJ reports that Israel has initiated a ground offensive within Rafah. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Reports of small raids or special operations will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes."

The resolution source of this market will be reporting from the New York Times or the Wall Street Journal.


id: 500328
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: More border encounters in March vs. Feb?
start_date: 2024-03-19
end_date: 2024-04-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are more Southwest border encounters in Mar 2024 compared to Feb 2024 (see https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/southwest-land-border-encounters). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the first report of data for Mar 2024 compared with the Feb 2024 at the time of March's release, regardless of future revisions.

The resolution source is https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/southwest-land-border-encounters.


id: 500330
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Kate Middleton video fake?
start_date: 2024-03-19
end_date: 2024-04-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any listed member of the British Royal Family or their representative(s) officially states the video footage of Kate Middleton released on March 18 is fake (see https://www.tmz.com/2024/03/18/kate-middleton-seen-new-video-windsor-farm-shop-prince-william/). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution date for this market is March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

The members of the royal family that count toward this market's resolution are as follows: King Charles III, Queen Camilla, Prince William, Princess Catherine, Princess Anne, Prince Edward, Duchess Sophie.

The primary resolution source is official statements from the British Royal Family and/or their official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used to determine whether they made any such statements.


id: 500339
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will ETH dip below $3,000 by Friday?
start_date: 2024-03-19
end_date: 2024-03-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ethereum (ETH) dips below a price of 3,000 (i.e. 2999.99 or lower) according to Binance between March 19 and March 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick low prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). If any 30 minute candle within this market's timeframe (including the last candle from 23:30 to 00:00) dips below 3,000 this market will resolve to "Yes." 

If Binance is unavailable, a consensus of other credible sources will be used.


id: 500340
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Man City win the Premier League?
start_date: 2024-03-20
end_date: 2024-05-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Manchester City is the 2023-24 Premier League Champion. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No".

If it is a mathematical certainty Man City will win, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes." Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for Man City to win, this market will immediately resolve to "No." Potential retroactive points deductions past these points will have no bearing on this market's resolution.


id: 500341
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Aresnal win the Premier League?
start_date: 2024-03-20
end_date: 2024-05-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arsenal is the 2023-24 Premier League Champion. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No".

If it is a mathematical certainty Aresnal will win, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes." Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for Arsenal to win, this market will immediately resolve to "No." Potential retroactive points deductions past these points will have no bearing on this market's resolution.


id: 500344
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Court temporarily allows Texas to arrest migrants?
start_date: 2024-03-20
end_date: 2024-04-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On March 20 a 3-panel judge heard arguments on whether Texas should temporarily be permitted to enforce its immigration law which allows state officials to arrest people they suspect of entering the country illegally.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the SB4 Texas immigration law is permitted to go into effect by the 3 judge panel of the US 5th Circuit Court of Appeals before the court has officially ruled on the law's legality. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If no ruling is issued by the 3-panel judge before the appeal process starts (currently scheduled for April 3), this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 500346
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Drake Maye be taken with the 3rd pick in the 2024 NFL Draft?
start_date: 2024-03-25
end_date: 2024-04-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake Maye is taken with the 3rd pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 500347
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Jayden Daniels be taken with the 3rd pick in the 2024 NFL Draft?
start_date: 2024-03-25
end_date: 2024-04-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jayden Daniels is taken with the 3rd pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 500348
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will J.J. McCarthy be taken with the 3rd pick in the 2024 NFL Draft?
start_date: 2024-03-25
end_date: 2024-04-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if J.J. McCarthy is taken with the 3rd pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 500354
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Kate Middleton’s medical records leaked by Sunday?
start_date: 2024-03-20
end_date: 2024-03-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of Kate Middleton’s private medical records are leaked to the public by March 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 500361
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Haiti intervention by April 30?
start_date: 2024-03-20
end_date: 2024-05-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if police officers, security forces, or military personnel from countries other than Haiti conduct officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operations on the ground within the sovereign territory of Haiti intended to establish increased national security or stability between March 20, 2024 and April 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the intervention to count toward a "Yes" resolution, the officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping and/or security operations must involve that country's physical police or military presence within the sovereign territory of Haiti. For the purposes of this market, "police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operations" resulting in a "Yes" resolution specifically do not include actions exclusively related to surveillance or intelligence performed by aircraft, drones, satellites, etc.

Security actions undertaken by a country exclusively to protect, evacuate, or maintain the safety of its embassy and personnel within Haiti will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes".

Official acknowledgement must include statements indicating foreign police, military, peacekeeping, or security intervention from the foreign government making the intervention.

A consensus of credible reporting may be used to ascertain the validity of an official acknowledgement.


id: 500362
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Boeing emergency landing in US by Mar 31?
start_date: 2024-03-20
end_date: 2024-03-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Boeing plane is forced to make an emergency landing in the United States due to a possible technical or mechanical issue between March 20, 4:00 PM ET and March 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For an emergency landing to qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the Boeing aircraft must make an emergency landing within one of the 50 US states or Washington D.C.

Note - emergency landings due to passenger issues (such as a passenger opening the door mid flight) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." If the plane makes an emergency landing due to a possible technical/mechanical issue it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 500365
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will South Carolina win the Women's NCAA tournament?
start_date: 2024-03-22
end_date: 2024-04-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the University of South Carolina wins the 2024 NCAA Division I women's basketball tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If this team is eliminated based on the rules of the NCAA tournament, this market may be immediately resolved to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500370
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Iowa win the Women's NCAA tournament?
start_date: 2024-03-22
end_date: 2024-04-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the University of Iowa wins the 2024 NCAA Division I women's basketball tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If this team is eliminated based on the rules of the NCAA tournament, this market may be immediately resolved to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500371
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will LSU win the Women's NCAA tournament?
start_date: 2024-03-22
end_date: 2024-04-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Louisiana State University wins the 2024 NCAA Division I women's basketball tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If this team is eliminated based on the rules of the NCAA tournament, this market may be immediately resolved to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500372
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will another team win the Women's NCAA tournament?
start_date: 2024-03-22
end_date: 2024-04-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a team other than South Carolina, Iowa, LSU, Texas, UConn, Ohio St., or Stanford wins the 2024 NCAA Division I women's basketball tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If South Carolina, Iowa, LSU, Texas, UConn, Ohio St., and Stanford are all eliminated based on the rules of the NCAA tournament, this market may be immediately resolved to "Yes".

If only teams in the above list remain in the NCAA tournament, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500374
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Uconn win the Women's NCAA tournament?
start_date: 2024-03-22
end_date: 2024-04-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the University of Conneticut wins the 2024 NCAA Division I women's basketball tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If this team is eliminated based on the rules of the NCAA tournament, this market may be immediately resolved to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500375
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Stanford win the Women's NCAA tournament?
start_date: 2024-03-22
end_date: 2024-03-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stanford University wins the 2024 NCAA Division I women's basketball tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If this team is eliminated based on the rules of the NCAA tournament, this market may be immediately resolved to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 500376
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $SMOLE listed on Binance in March?
start_date: 2024-03-21
end_date: 2024-04-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the crypto token smolecoin ($SMOLE) is listed for spot purchase on Binance by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Binance, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 500383
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' gross less than $50m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-03-25
end_date: 2024-04-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt14539740/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 29 - March 31) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' (2024) grosses less than $50,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by April 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. 


id: 500385
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' gross between $50m-57.5m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-03-25
end_date: 2024-04-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt14539740/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 29 - March 31) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' (2024) grosses between $50,000,000 (inclusive) and $57,500,000 (exclusive) on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by April 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. 


id: 500386
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' gross between $57.5m-65m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-03-25
end_date: 2024-04-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt14539740/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 29 - March 31) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' (2024) grosses between $57,500,000 (inclusive) and $65,000,000 (inclusive) on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by April 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 500387
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' gross more than $65m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-03-25
end_date: 2024-04-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt14539740/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 29 - March 31) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' (2024) grosses more than $65,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by April 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 500391
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump convicted of felony before Election?
start_date: 2024-03-22
end_date: 2024-11-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former US president Donald J. Trump is convicted of any felony by any US court between March 22, 2024, 10:00 AM ET, and November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any subsequent appeals will not be considered for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 500392
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Mike Johnson out as Speaker before May?
start_date: 2024-03-22
end_date: 2024-05-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between March 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


id: 500398
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: RCP polling: Trump by less than 1.4 on April 5?
start_date: 2024-03-25
end_date: 2024-04-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Joe Biden as of April 5, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Biden" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is less than Trump +1.4 percentage points, or if Biden is ahead. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.

The RCP Polling Average will be checked on April 5, 12:00 PM ET.

Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. 

If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Joe Biden is not available by April 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of April 5, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.


id: 500399
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: RCP: Trump by +1.4-1.6 on April 5?
start_date: 2024-03-25
end_date: 2024-04-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Joe Biden as of April 5, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Biden" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Trump +1.4 (inclusive) and Trump +1.6 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.

The RCP Polling Average will be checked on April 5, 12:00 PM ET.

Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. 

If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Joe Biden is not available by April 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of April 5, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.


id: 500400
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: RCP: Trump by +1.7-1.9 on April 5?
start_date: 2024-03-25
end_date: 2024-04-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Joe Biden as of April 5, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Biden" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Trump +1.7 (inclusive) and Trump +1.9 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.

The RCP Polling Average will be checked on April 5, 12:00 PM ET.

Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. 

If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Joe Biden is not available by April 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of April 5, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. 


id: 500402
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Bitcoin above $65,000 on Mar 29?
start_date: 2024-03-22
end_date: 2024-03-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 29 Mar '24 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 65,000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 500404
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: ETH above $3,500 on Mar 29?
start_date: 2024-03-22
end_date: 2024-03-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHUSDT 29 Mar '24 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 3,500.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETHUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 500409
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?
start_date: 2024-03-22
end_date: 2024-05-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between March 21, 12:00 PM ET and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties. Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. The ceasefire must last at least 24 hours and have begun before the resolution date. For example, if the ceasefire begins on April 30, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 24 hours.

This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media sources.


id: 500410
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: More hostages in Gaza freed before May?
start_date: 2024-03-22
end_date: 2024-05-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one more hostage is released or rescued in Gaza between March 21, 2024 and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations/groups to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 500414
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ukraine responsible for Moscow attack?
start_date: 2024-03-22
end_date: 2024-04-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the March 22 attack at Crocus City Hall is officially attributed to a Ukrainian group by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

‘Ukrainian group’ will be considered any group which primarily consists of Ukrainians, or is otherwise affiliated with the government of Ukraine.

This market may resolve once it is definitively determined whether or not the attack was attributed to a Ukrainian group.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Russian and Ukrainian governments and security services. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 500428
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump announce his VP pick in June?
start_date: 2024-03-26
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump announces his pick for his running mate as Vice President of the United States between June 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first announcement Donald Trump makes regarding his pick for vice president.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump, his campaign, or his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 500431
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Taylor Swift + Travis Kelce break up before May?
start_date: 2024-03-26
end_date: 2024-05-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift and/or Travis Kelce end their romantic relationship by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Confirmation can come in various forms, including, but not limited to, social media posts, interviews, press releases, official statements, or a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 500446
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Isaiah Thomas be signed by an NBA team?
start_date: 2024-03-27
end_date: 2024-04-16
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Isaiah Thomas signs to an active NBA team's roster beyond his current 10-day contract with the Phoenix Suns by April 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Thomas is designated as a ‘Two-way’ payer, signs another 10-day contact or Exhibit 10 Contract this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, Isaiah Thomas, or the signing team. However, a consensus of credible sources will also be used to determine the outcome.


id: 500450
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the $SAFE market cap be between $1-2b one week after launch?
start_date: 2024-03-26
end_date: 2024-05-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Safe, previously known as Gnosis Safe, secures over $100 billion in assets and is set to potentially make its token transferable as soon as April 23 (see https://forum.safe.global/t/draft-unpause-safe-token-contract-enabling-transferability/4892).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of the Safe token is between $1,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $2,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 week after its token is transferable. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

If the Safe token isn't transferable by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve according to the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) metric of Safe 168 hours after the token is tradable according to CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/safe). 


id: 500451
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the $SAFE market cap be between $2-3b one week after launch?
start_date: 2024-03-26
end_date: 2024-05-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Safe, previously known as Gnosis Safe, secures over $100 billion in assets and is set to potentially make its token transferable as soon as April 23 (see https://forum.safe.global/t/draft-unpause-safe-token-contract-enabling-transferability/4892).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of the Safe token is between $2,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $3,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 week after its token is transferable. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

If the Safe token isn't transferable by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve according to the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) metric of Safe 168 hours after the token is tradable according to CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/safe). 


id: 500452
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the $SAFE market cap be between $3-4b one week after launch?
start_date: 2024-03-26
end_date: 2024-05-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Safe, previously known as Gnosis Safe, secures over $100 billion in assets and is set to potentially make its token transferable as soon as April 23 (see https://forum.safe.global/t/draft-unpause-safe-token-contract-enabling-transferability/4892).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of the Safe token is between $3,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $4,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 week after its token is transferable. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

If the Safe token isn't transferable by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve according to the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) metric of Safe 168 hours after the token is tradable according to CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/safe). 


id: 500456
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Fabiano Caruana win FIDE Candidates 2024?
start_date: 2024-03-26
end_date: 2024-04-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The FIDE Candidates 2024 tournament is scheduled to take place April 3-23 in Toronto, Canada. You can read more about it here: https://candidates2024.fide.com/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fabiano Caruana wins the FIDE Candidates 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it can be definitively determined at any point that Fabiano Caruana will not be the winner of the FIDE Candidates 2024 based on the rules of the tournament, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from the FIDE Candidates 2024 including footage from the tournament (which will be streamed here: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC9B47GnzCRFHTT1BIBWvStQ), however a consensus of other credible sources may be used.


id: 500457
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Hikaru Nakamura win FIDE Candidates 2024?
start_date: 2024-03-26
end_date: 2024-04-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The FIDE Candidates 2024 tournament is scheduled to take place April 3-23 in Toronto, Canada. You can read more about it here: https://candidates2024.fide.com/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hikaru Nakamura wins the FIDE Candidates 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it can be definitively determined at any point that Hikaru Nakamura will not be the winner of the FIDE Candidates 2024 based on the rules of the tournament, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from the FIDE Candidates 2024 including footage from the tournament (which will be streamed here: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC9B47GnzCRFHTT1BIBWvStQ), however a consensus of other credible sources may be used.


id: 500459
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win FIDE Candidates 2024?
start_date: 2024-03-26
end_date: 2024-04-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The FIDE Candidates 2024 tournament is scheduled to take place April 3-23 in Toronto, Canada. You can read more about it here: https://candidates2024.fide.com/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ian Nepomniachtchi wins the FIDE Candidates 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it can be definitively determined at any point that Ian Nepomniachtchi will not be the winner of the FIDE Candidates 2024 based on the rules of the tournament, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from the FIDE Candidates 2024 including footage from the tournament (which will be streamed here: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC9B47GnzCRFHTT1BIBWvStQ), however a consensus of other credible sources may be used.


id: 500460
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will another player win FIDE Candidates 2024?
start_date: 2024-03-26
end_date: 2024-04-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The FIDE Candidates 2024 tournament is scheduled to take place April 3-23 in Toronto, Canada. You can read more about it here: https://candidates2024.fide.com/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player other than Fabiano Caruana, Hikaru Nakamura, Alireza Firouzja, or Ian Nepomniachtchi wins the FIDE Candidates 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it can be definitively determined at any point that one of the aforementioned players will be the winner of the FIDE Candidates 2024 based on the rules of the tournament, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from the FIDE Candidates 2024 including footage from the tournament (which will be streamed here: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC9B47GnzCRFHTT1BIBWvStQ), however a consensus of other credible sources may be used.


id: 500476
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Feds raid Jay-Z in March?
start_date: 2024-03-27
end_date: 2024-04-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any property owned by Shawn Corey Carter, a.k.a. Jay-Z, is raided by U.S. law enforcement by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This encompasses any actions taken by any U.S. law enforcement including police and federal agencies to search properties owned by Jay-Z. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government or law enforcement agencies. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500479
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Diddy arrested in March?
start_date: 2024-03-27
end_date: 2024-04-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if American rapper Sean Combs (a.k.a. "Diddy") is arrested between March 25, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. However, official information from the government involved in any action against Diddy and information from Diddy's legal representatives will also be used.


id: 500481
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Sex tapes at Diddy's property confirmed by April 15?
start_date: 2024-03-27
end_date: 2024-04-16
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if sex tapes filmed at properties owned by Sean Combs, a.k.a. P Diddy, are made public between March 26 and April 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if U.S. law enforcement agencies officially acknowledge the existence of sex tapes during their investigations by April 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying "sex tapes" must be video footage recorded at properties owned by Diddy depicting sexual acts directly involving the genitals of any individual(s) shown. The video must be authentic, not animated or AI-altered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from law enforcement agencies or publicly released video. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500488
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ethena token FDV less than 5 billion one day after launch?
start_date: 2024-03-27
end_date: 2024-04-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On March 27 Ethena (ENA) announced the upcoming end of their pre-token "Ethena Shard Campaign" and the upcoming launch of their token (see https://mirror.xyz/0xF99d0E4E3435cc9C9868D1C6274DfaB3e2721341/uCBp9VeuLWs-ul1b6AOUAoMg5HBB_iizMIi-11N6nT8).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ethena's token $ENA is less than $5,000,000,000 1 day after its first community airdrop. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

"1 day after its first community airdrop" is defined as 24 hours after the first community airdrop starts. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ethena (NA) doesn't airdrop by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes."


id: 500489
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ethena token FDV between 5b and 7.5b one day after launch?
start_date: 2024-03-27
end_date: 2024-04-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On March 27 Ethena (ENA) announced the upcoming end of their pre-token "Ethena Shard Campaign" and the upcoming launch of their token (see https://mirror.xyz/0xF99d0E4E3435cc9C9868D1C6274DfaB3e2721341/uCBp9VeuLWs-ul1b6AOUAoMg5HBB_iizMIi-11N6nT8).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ethena's token $ENA is between $5,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $7,500,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after its launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

"1 day after its first community airdrop" is defined as 24 hours after the first community airdrop starts. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ethena (NA) doesn't airdrop by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes."


id: 500490
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ethena token FDV between 7.5b and 10b one day after launch?
start_date: 2024-03-27
end_date: 2024-04-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On March 27 Ethena (ENA) announced the upcoming end of their pre-token "Ethena Shard Campaign" and the upcoming launch of their token (see https://mirror.xyz/0xF99d0E4E3435cc9C9868D1C6274DfaB3e2721341/uCBp9VeuLWs-ul1b6AOUAoMg5HBB_iizMIi-11N6nT8).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ethena's token $ENA is between $7,500,000,000 (inclusive) and $10,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after its first community airdrop. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

"1 day after its first community airdrop" is defined as 24 hours after the first community airdrop starts. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ethena (NA) doesn't airdrop by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes."


id: 500491
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ethena token FDV between 10b and 12.5b one day after launch?
start_date: 2024-03-27
end_date: 2024-04-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On March 27 Ethena (ENA) announced the upcoming end of their pre-token "Ethena Shard Campaign" and the upcoming launch of their token (see https://mirror.xyz/0xF99d0E4E3435cc9C9868D1C6274DfaB3e2721341/uCBp9VeuLWs-ul1b6AOUAoMg5HBB_iizMIi-11N6nT8).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ethena's token $ENA is between $10,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $12,500,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after its first community airdrop. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

"1 day after its first community airdrop" is defined as 24 hours after the first community airdrop starts. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ethena (NA) doesn't airdrop by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes."


id: 500492
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ethena token FDV between 12.5b and 15b one day after launch?
start_date: 2024-03-27
end_date: 2024-04-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On March 27 Ethena (ENA) announced the upcoming end of their pre-token "Ethena Shard Campaign" and the upcoming launch of their token (see https://mirror.xyz/0xF99d0E4E3435cc9C9868D1C6274DfaB3e2721341/uCBp9VeuLWs-ul1b6AOUAoMg5HBB_iizMIi-11N6nT8).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ethena's token $ENA is between $12,500,000,000 (inclusive) and $15,000,000,000 (inclusive) 1 day after its first community airdrop. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

"1 day after its first community airdrop" is defined as 24 hours after the first community airdrop starts. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ethena (NA) doesn't airdrop by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes."


id: 500493
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ethena token (FDV) more than 15 billion a day after launch?
start_date: 2024-03-27
end_date: 2024-04-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On March 27 Ethena (ENA) announced the upcoming end of their pre-token "Ethena Shard Campaign" and the upcoming launch of their token (see https://mirror.xyz/0xF99d0E4E3435cc9C9868D1C6274DfaB3e2721341/uCBp9VeuLWs-ul1b6AOUAoMg5HBB_iizMIi-11N6nT8).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ethena's token $ENA is more than $15,000,000,000 1 day after its first community airdrop. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

"1 day after its first community airdrop" is defined as 24 hours after the first community airdrop starts. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ethena (NA) doesn't airdrop by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes."


id: 500494
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $DJT market cap less than $8b on April 5?
start_date: 2024-03-27
end_date: 2024-04-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the market cap of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) is less than $8 billion as of market close on April 5, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The market capitalization of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. will be determined by checking Google Finance’s  “Market Cap” metric for DJT at the time of market close for April 5, 2024 (website: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DJT:NASDAQ). 

If Google Finance’s market cap data for DJT is not available by April 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source for market capitalization on April 5, market close, will be used to resolve this market.


id: 500495
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $DJT market cap between $8-$9b on April 5?
start_date: 2024-03-27
end_date: 2024-04-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the market cap of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) is between $8 billion (inclusive) and $9 billion (exclusive) as of market close on April 5, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The market capitalization of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. will be determined by checking Google Finance’s  “Market Cap” metric for DJT at the time of market close for April 5, 2024 (website: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DJT:NASDAQ). 

If Google Finance’s market cap data for DJT is not available by April 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source for market capitalization on April 5, market close, will be used to resolve this market. 


id: 500496
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $DJT market cap between $9-$10b on April 5?
start_date: 2024-03-27
end_date: 2024-04-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the market cap of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) is between $9 billion (inclusive) and $10 billion (exclusive) as of market close on April 5, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The market capitalization of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. will be determined by checking Google Finance’s  “Market Cap” metric for DJT at the time of market close for April 5, 2024 (website: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DJT:NASDAQ). 

If Google Finance’s market cap data for DJT is not available by April 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source for market capitalization on April 5, market close, will be used to resolve this market.


id: 500503
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Nebraska's 1st congressional district?
start_date: 2024-04-10
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Nebraska's 1st congressional district in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500509
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump tweet again by June 1?
start_date: 2024-03-28
end_date: 2024-06-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/tweets again, between March 27, 12 PM ET and June 1, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, all quote and reply posts/tweets count toward a "Yes" resolution, but reposts/retweets will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be Donald J. Trump's verified X/Twitter account: https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump.

Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified X/Twitter account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald J. Trump posts/tweets from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.


id: 500511
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-28
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in New Mexico in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500512
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win New Mexico Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-03-28
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in New Mexico in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500541
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska's 2nd congressional district?
start_date: 2024-04-10
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Nebraska's 2nd congressional district (NE-2) in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500542
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Nebraska's 2nd congressional district?
start_date: 2024-04-10
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Nebraska's 2nd congressional district in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500550
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Maine's 2nd congressional district?
start_date: 2024-04-10
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Maine's 2nd congressional district in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500551
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Maine's 2nd congressional district?
start_date: 2024-04-10
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Maine's 2nd congressional district in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500557
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' over $80m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-03-29
end_date: 2024-04-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt14539740/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 29 - March 31) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' (2024) grosses more than $80,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by April 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 500559
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ukraine aid package in April?
start_date: 2024-04-01
end_date: 2024-04-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new bill containing at least $5 billion in aid to Ukraine is signed into law in the US between April 1 and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Funding for replenishment of US stocks sent to Ukraine counts as Ukraine aid. Aid in the form of a loan will count toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500560
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ethereum above $3,500 on April 5?
start_date: 2024-03-29
end_date: 2024-04-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHUSDT 05 Apr '24 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 3,500.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETHUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 500561
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Bitcoin above $70,000 on April 5?
start_date: 2024-03-29
end_date: 2024-04-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 05 Apr '24 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 70,000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 500573
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Justin Fields Week 1 starter for Steelers?
start_date: 2024-04-04
end_date: 2024-09-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Fields is listed as the starting quarterback for the Pittsburgh Steelers in their Week 1 regular season game of the 2024 NFL season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the official NFL gamebook or team announcement for the Steelers' Week 1 game does not list a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.  


id: 500574
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Russell Wilson Week 1 starter for Steelers?
start_date: 2024-04-04
end_date: 2024-09-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russell Wilson is listed as the starting quarterback for the Pittsburgh Steelers in their Week 1 regular season game of the 2024 NFL season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the official NFL gamebook or team announcement for the Steelers' Week 1 game does not list a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.  


id: 500580
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Port of Baltimore reopen in April?
start_date: 2024-03-31
end_date: 2024-04-27
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Port of Baltimore officially reopens at any point between April 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "reopening" refers to the actual resumption of port activities and not merely announcements of a future reopening.

The primary resolution source for this market is official announcements or statements from the Port Authority of Baltimore confirming the reopening and resumption of operations. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500581
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Port of Baltimore reopen in May?
start_date: 2024-03-31
end_date: 2024-04-27
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Port of Baltimore officially reopens at any point between May 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and May 31, 2024 11:59 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "reopening" refers to the actual resumption of port activities and not merely announcements of a future reopening.

The primary resolution source for this market is official announcements or statements from the Port Authority of Baltimore confirming the reopening and resumption of operations. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500582
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Port of Baltimore reopen in June?
start_date: 2024-03-31
end_date: 2024-04-27
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Port of Baltimore officially reopens at any point between June 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "reopening" refers to the actual resumption of port activities and not merely announcements of a future reopening.

The primary resolution source for this market is official announcements or statements from the Port Authority of Baltimore confirming the reopening and resumption of operations. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500583
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Port of Baltimore reopen in July?
start_date: 2024-03-31
end_date: 2024-04-27
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Port of Baltimore officially reopens at any point between July 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "reopening" refers to the actual resumption of port activities and not merely announcements of a future reopening.

The primary resolution source for this market is official announcements or statements from the Port Authority of Baltimore confirming the reopening and resumption of operations. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 500588
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Monkey Man' gross more than $16m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-04-01
end_date: 2024-04-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Monkey Man' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt9214772/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 5 - April 7) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Monkey Man' (2024) grosses more than $16,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by April 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 500589
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'The First Omen' gross more than $11m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-04-01
end_date: 2024-04-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'The First Omen' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt5672290/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 5 - April 7) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The First Omen' (2024) grosses more than $11,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by April 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 500598
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Iran response to Israel by Friday?
start_date: 2024-04-01
end_date: 2024-04-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On April 1, 2024, Israel bombed an Iranian consulate in Syria, killing a senior commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps. Iran promised a "decisive response".

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an Iranian response to Israel's bombing of the Iranian consulate in Syria by April 5, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

A response by Iran refers to action(s) carried out by Iran that are explicitly in response to Israel's bombing of the Iranian consulate in Syria, which may include strikes, cyber attacks, sanctions, etc.

Only responses by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e.  Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market even if explicitly claimed by the Iranian government. 

The resolution source will be official sources from the Iranian government, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.


id: 500610
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: US bank failure in April?
start_date: 2024-04-02
end_date: 2024-04-27
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between April 1 and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET (according to FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be in April 2024. If there is a potential bank failure in April and FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/ however other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.


id: 500611
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Bitcoin all time high in April?
start_date: 2024-04-02
end_date: 2024-05-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches a price greater than 73,777.00 for the first time according to Binance's candlestick prices before May 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT).


id: 500612
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump violates gag order?
start_date: 2024-04-02
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the presiding judge in "THE PEOPLE OF THE STATE OF NEW YORK -against- DONALD J. TRUMP" explicitly states that Donald Trump has violated the gag order imposed on him by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the gag order is lifted at any point before this market's expiration date and Donald Trump has not violated it, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the presiding court in this case, however a consensus of credible sources may also be used.


id: 500614
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-03
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Arizona US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500615
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-03
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Arizona US Senate election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500618
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Texas US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-03
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Texas US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500619
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Texas US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-03
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Texas US Senate election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500621
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Maryland US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-03
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Maryland US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500622
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Maryland US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-03
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Maryland US Senate election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500643
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?
start_date: 2024-04-04
end_date: 2024-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Eigenlayer's token is less than $10,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Eigenlayer doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."


id: 500644
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $10-15b one day after launch?
start_date: 2024-04-04
end_date: 2024-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Eigenlayer's token is between $10,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $15,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Eigenlayer doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."


id: 500652
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will David Trone win Maryland US Senate Democratic Primary?
start_date: 2024-04-05
end_date: 2024-05-14
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if David Trone wins the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maryland. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maryland Democratic Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 500653
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Angela Alsobrooks win Maryland US Senate Democratic Primary?
start_date: 2024-04-05
end_date: 2024-05-14
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Angela Alsobrooks wins the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maryland. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maryland Democratic Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 500655
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will George Santos start an OnlyFans by April 12?
start_date: 2024-04-03
end_date: 2024-04-13
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ex-congressman George Santos starts an OnlyFans page featuring himself by April 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If he starts an Onlyfans page but doesn't have any posts yet it will still suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The primary resolutions source for this market will be from George Santos and OnlyFans, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 500656
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-04
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senatorial elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Florida US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500657
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-04
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senatorial elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Florida US Senate election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500661
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a candidate from another party win California US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-12
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate from neither the Democratic nor Republican parties wins the 2024 California US Senate election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500665
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will one member of The Squad lose their primary?
start_date: 2024-04-04
end_date: 2024-09-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
"The Squad" refers to an informal group of eight Democratic members of the US House of Representatives known for leftist, progressive views. All are running for reelection in the 2024 US general election.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if exactly one listed member of The Squad loses their 2024 primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The list of members in The Squad are as follows:
-Greg Casar (TX-35, won his primary on March 5)
-Summer Lee (PA-12, primary on April 23)
-Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (NY-14, primary on June 25)
-Jamaal Bowman (NY-16, primary on June 25)
-Cori Bush (MO-1, primary on August 6)
-Rashida Tlaib (MI-12, primary on August 6)
-Ilhan Omar (MN-5, primary on August 13)
-Ayanna Pressley (MA-7, primary on September 3)

This market may immediately resolve to "No" if more than one squad member loses.

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from each relevant state's Democratic Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 500666
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a candidate from another party win Washington US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-12
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate from neither the Democratic nor Republican parties wins the 2024 Washington US Senate election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500670
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Utah US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-12
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senatorial elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Utah US Senate election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500674
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a candidate from another party win Wyoming US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-12
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate from neither the Democratic nor Republican parties wins the 2024 Wyoming US Senate election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500677
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win New Mexico US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-12
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senatorial elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 New Mexico US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500683
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win North Dakota US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-12
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senatorial elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 North Dakota US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500684
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win North Dakota US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-12
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senatorial elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 North Dakota US Senate election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500687
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Nebraska US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-12
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senatorial elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Nebraska US Senate election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500688
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-12
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate from neither the Democratic nor Republican parties wins the 2024 Nebraska US Senate election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500692
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Missouri US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-12
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senatorial elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Missouri US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500693
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Missouri US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-12
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senatorial elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Missouri US Senate election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500697
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a candidate from another party win Tennessee US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-12
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate from neither the Democratic nor Republican parties wins the 2024 Tennessee US Senate election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500700
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a candidate from another party win Mississippi US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-12
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate from neither the Democratic nor Republican parties wins the 2024 Mississippi US Senate election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500708
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Virginia US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-12
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senatorial elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Virginia US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500709
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Virginia US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-12
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senatorial elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Virginia US Senate election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500735
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Maine US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-12
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Note: At the time of this market's publication, Angus King would count as a Democrat because he caucuses with the democrats. 

United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senatorial elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Maine US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500737
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a candidate from another party win Maine US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-12
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate from neither the Democratic nor Republican parties wins the 2024 Maine US Senate election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500739
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Hawaii US Senate Election?
start_date: 2024-04-12
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senatorial elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Hawaii US Senate election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 500743
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Drake Maye taken with the 2nd pick in the 2024 NFL Draft?
start_date: 2024-04-09
end_date: 2024-04-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake Maye is taken with the 2nd pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used. 


id: 500744
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Jayden Daniels taken with the 2nd pick in the 2024 NFL Draft?
start_date: 2024-04-09
end_date: 2024-04-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jayden Daniels is taken with the 2nd pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used. 


id: 500745
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: J.J. McCarthy taken with the 2nd pick in the 2024 NFL Draft?
start_date: 2024-04-09
end_date: 2024-04-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if J.J. McCarthy is taken with the 2nd pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
  


id: 500753
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
start_date: 2024-05-02
end_date: 2024-08-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cori Bush wins the 2024 Democratic Primary for the 1st Missouri Congressional District (MO-1). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2024 Democratic Primary for the 1st Missouri Congressional District (MO-1) takes place this market will resolve to “No”. 

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Missouri Democratic Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 500758
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Ilhan Omar win the MN-5 Democratic House Primary?
start_date: 2024-05-02
end_date: 2024-08-13
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilhan Omar wins the 2024 Democratic Primary for the 5th Minnesota Congressional District (MN-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2024 Democratic Primary for the 5th Minnesota Congressional District (MN-5) takes place this market will resolve to “No”. 

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 500763
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Bitcoin above $70,000 on April 12?
start_date: 2024-04-05
end_date: 2024-04-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 12 Apr '24 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 70,000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 500764
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ethereum above $3,500 on April 12?
start_date: 2024-04-05
end_date: 2024-04-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHUSDT 12 Apr '24 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 3,500.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETHUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 500765
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Solana above $175 on April 12?
start_date: 2024-04-05
end_date: 2024-04-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOLUSDT 12 Apr '24 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 175.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOLUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOLUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 500766
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: US inflation >0.2% from Feb to March 2024?
start_date: 2024-04-05
end_date: 2024-04-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from February to March 2024. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.2 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from February to March 2024 and “No“ otherwise.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS March 2024 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2024, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

----

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.3%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.2%, this market will resolve to “No”).


id: 500767
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the US gain less than 150k jobs in April?
start_date: 2024-04-05
end_date: 2024-05-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 303,000 in March 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains less than 150,000 in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for April, scheduled to be released on May 3, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm


id: 500771
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the US gain more than 303k jobs in April?
start_date: 2024-04-05
end_date: 2024-05-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 303,000 in March 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains more than 303,000 in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for April, scheduled to be released on May 3, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm


id: 500772
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Civil War' gross more than $23m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-04-08
end_date: 2024-04-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Civil War' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl172392449/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 12 - April 14) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Civil War' (2024) grosses more than $23,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by April 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 500781
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Iran response to Israel by Monday?
start_date: 2024-04-05
end_date: 2024-04-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On April 1, 2024, it was reported Israel bombed an Iranian consulate in Syria, killing a senior commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps. Iran promised a "decisive response".

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an Iranian response to Israel's bombing of the Iranian consulate in Syria by April 8, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

A response by Iran refers to action(s) carried out by Iran that are explicitly in response to Israel's bombing of the Iranian consulate in Syria, which may include strikes, cyber attacks, sanctions, etc.

Only responses by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e.  Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.


id: 500783
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Iran response to Israel by Friday?
start_date: 2024-04-08
end_date: 2024-04-13
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On April 1, 2024, it was reported Israel bombed an Iranian consulate in Syria, killing a senior commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps. Iran promised a "decisive response".

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an Iranian response to Israel's bombing of the Iranian consulate in Syria by April 12, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

A response by Iran refers to action(s) carried out by Iran that are explicitly in response to Israel's bombing of the Iranian consulate in Syria, which may include strikes, cyber attacks, sanctions, etc.

Only responses by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e.  Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.


id: 500788
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ben Shapiro + Candace Owens debate by Friday?
start_date: 2024-04-06
end_date: 2024-04-13
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben Shapiro and Candace Owens debate by April 12, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The debate must occur after this market's start date (April 5), and can be virtual or in person. The debate merely needs to be confirmed to have been completed by the end date, regardless of whether it is released by then.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 500791
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will POPCAT reach $1b first?
start_date: 2024-04-07
end_date: 2024-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if POPCAT (https://dexscreener.com/solana/frhb8l7y9qq41qzxyltc2nw8an1rjfllxrf2x9rwllmo) reaches $1b FDV before all other cat memecoins. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

The market start date is April 7, 2024, 12:00 AM ET.

The resolution source will be dexscreener, specifically the candlestick high prices multiplied by the coin's supply. 

Note: Coins which show a hyper-inflated FDV due to extremely low liquidity will not count for this market group.


id: 500793
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will MEW reach $1b first?
start_date: 2024-04-07
end_date: 2024-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MEW (https://dexscreener.com/solana/879f697iudjgmevrkrcnw21fcxiaeljk1ffsw2atebce) reaches $1b FDV before all other cat memecoins. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

The market start date is April 7, 2024, 12:00 AM ET.

The resolution source will be dexscreener, specifically the candlestick high prices multiplied by the coin's supply. 

Note: Coins which show a hyper-inflated FDV due to extremely low liquidity will not count for this market group.


id: 500795
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will another cat memecoin reach $1b first?
start_date: 2024-04-07
end_date: 2024-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a cat memecoin other than HOBBES, Keycat, POPCAT, Shark Cat, MEW, and TOSHI reaches $1b before they do. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The market start date is April 7, 2024, 12:00 AM ET.

The resolution source will be dexscreener, specifically the candlestick high prices multiplied by the coin's supply. 

Note: Coins which show a hyper-inflated FDV due to extremely low liquidity will not count for this market group.

If no cat memecoin reaches $1b between Apr 7 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes", and all other markets in the group will resolve to "No."


id: 500798
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ansem FriendTech keys >10 ETH by Friday?
start_date: 2024-04-08
end_date: 2024-04-13
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ansem Friend.Tech keys are priced above 10ETH between April 8, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, and April 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Ansem's (@blknoiz06) Friend.Tech page (https://www.friend.tech/0xe9825fd47c5d863b1aecba3707abcc7c8b49b88d), however a consensus of credible reports will also be used.


id: 500799
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Remilio flip MAYC in April?
start_date: 2024-04-08
end_date: 2024-04-16
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Redacted Remilio Babies (TEST) collection has a higher floor price than the Mutant Ape Yacht Club (MAYC) collection for at least one continuous hour between April 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be Blur's chart for each NFT, specifically the red line for 30-day sales, for the dates within this market's range (Redacted Remilio Babies: https://blur.io/collection/remilio-babies, MAYC: https://blur.io/collection/mutant-ape-yacht-club). If Blur becomes unavailable or ceases to report figures, another credible source may be used.

Note: If the hour-long period starts at e.g., April 30, 2024, 11:30 PM ET, it will still count for this market's resolution.  


id: 500804
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Israel ground offensive in Rafah between April 8-12?
start_date: 2024-04-08
end_date: 2024-04-14
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if between April 8, 2024, 12:00 AM and April 12, 2024, 11:59 PM Palestine Standard Time (UTC +2), the New York Times or WSJ reports that Israel has initiated a ground offensive within Rafah. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Reports of small raids or special operations will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes."

The resolution source of this market will be reporting from the New York Times or the Wall Street Journal.


id: 500812
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2024 Masters Tournament?
start_date: 2024-04-10
end_date: 2024-04-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Scottie Scheffler wins the 2024 Masters Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources will be official information from the Masters Tournament (https://www.masters.com/en_US/scores/index.html) or the Augusta National Golf Club.

This market may immediately resolve to “No” if this golfer is eliminated or otherwise has no path to victory based on the rules of the 2024 Masters Tournament.


id: 500813
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Xander Schauffele win the 2024 Masters Tournament?
start_date: 2024-04-10
end_date: 2024-04-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xander Schauffele wins the 2024 Masters Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources will be official information from the Masters Tournament (https://www.masters.com/en_US/scores/index.html) or the Augusta National Golf Club.

This market may immediately resolve to “No” if this golfer is eliminated or otherwise has no path to victory based on the rules of the 2024 Masters Tournament.


id: 500814
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Jon Rahm win the 2024 Masters Tournament?
start_date: 2024-04-10
end_date: 2024-04-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jon Rahm wins the 2024 Masters Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources will be official information from the Masters Tournament (https://www.masters.com/en_US/scores/index.html) or the Augusta National Golf Club.

This market may immediately resolve to “No” if this golfer is eliminated or otherwise has no path to victory based on the rules of the 2024 Masters Tournament.


id: 500815
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Rory McIlroy win the 2024 Masters Tournament?
start_date: 2024-04-10
end_date: 2024-04-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rory McIlroy wins the 2024 Masters Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources will be official information from the Masters Tournament (https://www.masters.com/en_US/scores/index.html) or the Augusta National Golf Club.

This market may immediately resolve to “No” if this golfer is eliminated or otherwise has no path to victory based on the rules of the 2024 Masters Tournament. 


id: 500816
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will another golfer win the 2024 Masters Tournament?
start_date: 2024-04-10
end_date: 2024-04-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a golfer other than Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele, Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Viktor Hoyland, Patrick Cantlay, or Tiger Woods wins the 2024 Masters Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources will be official information from the Masters Tournament (https://www.masters.com/en_US/scores/index.html) or the Augusta National Golf Club.

This market may immediately resolve to “Yes” if all previously listed golfers are eliminated or otherwise have no path to victory based on the rules of the 2024 Masters Tournament.

This market may immediately resolve to “No” if all golfers other than those previously listed are eliminated or otherwise have no path to victory based on the rules of the 2024 Masters Tournament.


id: 500818
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $WIF listed on Bybit spot in April?
start_date: 2024-04-08
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the crypto token dogwifhat ($WIF) is listed for spot purchase on Bybit by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Bybit, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 500822
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Viktor Hovland win the 2024 Masters Tournament?
start_date: 2024-04-10
end_date: 2024-04-13
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Hovland wins the 2024 Masters Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources will be official information from the Masters Tournament (https://www.masters.com/en_US/scores/index.html) or the Augusta National Golf Club.

This market may immediately resolve to “No” if this golfer is eliminated or otherwise has no path to victory based on the rules of the 2024 Masters Tournament.


id: 500826
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the NDA win by 0%-5%?
start_date: 2024-04-10
end_date: 2024-06-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes” if the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) wins the 2024 Indian General Election by between 0% and 5% (exclusive) of the popular vote compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the NDA and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election.

Political alliances such as I.N.D.I.A will be considered parties for the purposes of this market.

If no 2024 Indian General Election takes place, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based off the party composition of the NDA at the time of the official announcement of the election results, currently scheduled for June 4. Any subsequent changes to the NDA coalition will not be considered for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of India, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 500832
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Indian Election: Will BJP win a majority of seats?
start_date: 2024-04-10
end_date: 2024-06-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) controls 272 or more seats in the Lok Sabha after the results of the 2024 Indian General Election are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If voting in the 2024 Indian General Election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the BJP, not any coalition of which it may be a part. 


id: 500834
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Jose Raul Mulino win?
start_date: 2024-04-09
end_date: 2024-05-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2024 Panama presidential election is scheduled to take place on May 5, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jose Raul Mulino wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 500835
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Lombana win?
start_date: 2024-04-09
end_date: 2024-05-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2024 Panama presidential election is scheduled to take place on May 5, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ricardo Lombana wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 500837
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Romulo Roux win?
start_date: 2024-04-09
end_date: 2024-05-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2024 Panama presidential election is scheduled to take place on May 5, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Romulo Roux wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 500843
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 4 QBs drafted in 1st round?
start_date: 2024-04-17
end_date: 2024-04-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 4 quarterbacks are drafted in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 500844
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 5 QBs drafted in 1st round?
start_date: 2024-04-17
end_date: 2024-04-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 5 quarterbacks are drafted in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used. 


id: 500845
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 6+ QBs drafted in 1st round?
start_date: 2024-04-17
end_date: 2024-04-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 6 or more quarterbacks are drafted in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used. 


id: 500858
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: FriendTech market cap less than $1b one day after launch?
start_date: 2024-04-10
end_date: 2024-05-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Friend.Tech's token is less than $1,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Friend.Tech doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes." 


id: 500859
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: FriendTech market cap $1-2b one day after launch?
start_date: 2024-04-10
end_date: 2024-05-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Friend.Tech's token is between $1,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $2,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Friend.Tech doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."


id: 500860
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: FriendTech market cap $2-3b one day after launch?
start_date: 2024-04-10
end_date: 2024-05-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Friend.Tech's token is between $2,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $3,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Friend.Tech doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."


id: 500861
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: FriendTech market cap $3-4b one day after launch?
start_date: 2024-04-10
end_date: 2024-05-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Friend.Tech's token is between $3,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $4,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Friend.Tech doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."


id: 500862
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: FriendTech market cap $4-5b one day after launch?
start_date: 2024-04-10
end_date: 2024-05-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Friend.Tech's token is between $4,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $5,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Friend.Tech doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."


id: 500864
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: FriendTech market cap $5-10b one day after launch?
start_date: 2024-04-10
end_date: 2024-05-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Friend.Tech's token is between $5,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $10,000,000,000 (inclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Friend.Tech doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." 


id: 500881
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will April 2024 show an increase between 1.20°C-1.25°C?
start_date: 2024-04-11
end_date: 2024-05-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of between 1.20°C (inclusive) and 1.25°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of between 1.20°C (inclusive) and 1.25°C (inclusive) for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."


id: 500882
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will April 2024 show an increase of between 1.26°C-1.31°C?
start_date: 2024-04-11
end_date: 2024-05-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of between 1.26°C (inclusive) and 1.31°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of between 1.26°C (inclusive) and 1.31°C (inclusive) for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."


id: 500883
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will April 2024 show an increase of greater than 1.31°C?
start_date: 2024-04-11
end_date: 2024-05-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase of greater than 1.31°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of greater than 1.31°C for April 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2024 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."


id: 500889
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Israel military action against Iran by April 15?
start_date: 2024-04-11
end_date: 2024-04-16
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory between April 10 and April 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.

In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.


id: 500903
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: South Africa Election: Will ANC win a majority of seats?
start_date: 2024-04-12
end_date: 2024-05-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the African National Congress (ANC) controls 201 or more seats in the National Assembly after the results of the 2024 South African General Election, currently scheduled for May 29, 2024, are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If voting in the 2024 South African General Election does not occur by July 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the ANC, not any coalition of which it may be a part.


id: 500910
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Barney KO Ansem?
start_date: 2024-04-11
end_date: 2024-04-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Ansem (@blknoiz06) is scheduled to fight Barney (@barneytheboi) on April 19, 2024 in Dubai. You can view this post to learn more: https://twitter.com/RookieXBT/status/1765082785126219980

If Barney knockouts Ansem, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Technical knockouts will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution.

If this fight is postponed after April 26, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve to "No".


id: 500911
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Barney cry?
start_date: 2024-04-11
end_date: 2024-04-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Ansem (@blknoiz06) is scheduled to fight Barney (@barneytheboi) on April 19, 2024 in Dubai. You can view this post to learn more: https://twitter.com/RookieXBT/status/1765082785126219980

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barney (@barneytheboi) cries at any point while on camera while at the venue of his fight with Ansem scheduled for April 19, 2024 in Dubai. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, 'crying' is defined as the visible shedding of tears that can be clearly observed on Barney's face. The 'crying' can take place at any time Barney is on camera and present at the fight venue even if the fight isn't ongoing.

This market will resolve to "No" if barney has left the venue after the fight and did not end up crying. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the fight, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 500912
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Cyril Ramaphosa be the next President of South Africa?
start_date: 2024-04-12
end_date: 2024-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cyril Ramaphosa is elected as the President of South Africa following the election scheduled for May 29, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No.".

Interim or acting presidents will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no president is instated by the end of 2024, or if Cyril Ramaphosa is not elected, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results from South Africa, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 500921
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Drake track drops by Monday?
start_date: 2024-04-13
end_date: 2024-04-16
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake releases a new song/track, as a lead artist, by April 15, 2024, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official Drake channels or credible music news outlets, or any major streaming platform.


id: 500923
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will another ANC candidate be the next President of South Africa?
start_date: 2024-04-12
end_date: 2024-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an ANC candidate other than Cyril Ramaphosa is elected as the President of South Africa following the election scheduled for May 29, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Interim or acting presidents will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no president is instated by the end of 2024, or another ANC candidate is not elected, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results from South Africa, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 500924
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?
start_date: 2024-04-15
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic candidate for president wins the popular vote in any state in the 2024 US presidential election that was won by Donald Trump in the 2020 election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

States won by Trump in 2020 include: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Florida, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, West Virginia, and Wyoming.

Individual congressional district electors will not count towards the resolution of this market; only statewide popular vote results will be considered.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.
This market may resolve immediately if at least one of the listed states has been called for the Democratic candidate for President by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC or if all listed states have been called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race in the listed states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500925
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump flips a 2020 Biden state?
start_date: 2024-04-15
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican candidate for president wins the popular vote in any state in the 2024 US presidential election that was won by Joe Biden in the 2020 election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

States won by Biden in 2020 include: Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, and Wisconsin.

Individual congressional district electors will not count towards the resolution of this market; only statewide popular vote results will be considered. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

This market may resolve immediately if at least one of the listed states has been called for the Republican candidate for President by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC or if all listed states have been called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race in the listed states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500926
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Liverpool win the Europa League?
start_date: 2024-04-15
end_date: 2024-04-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023-24 UEFA Europa League is the 53rd season of Europe's secondary club football tournament organized by UEFA.

The final is scheduled to be played on May 22, 2024, at the Aviva Stadium in Dublin, Ireland.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Liverpool wins the 2023-24 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Liverpool is eliminated from contention to win the 2023-2024 Europa League.


id: 500927
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Bayer Leverkusen win the Europa League?
start_date: 2024-04-15
end_date: 2024-05-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023-24 UEFA Europa League is the 53rd season of Europe's secondary club football tournament organized by UEFA.

The final is scheduled to be played on May 22, 2024, at the Aviva Stadium in Dublin, Ireland.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bayer Leverkusen wins the 2023-24 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Bayer Leverkusen is eliminated from contention to win the 2023-2024 Europa League. 


id: 500928
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will AS Roma win the Europa League?
start_date: 2024-04-15
end_date: 2024-05-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023-24 UEFA Europa League is the 53rd season of Europe's secondary club football tournament organized by UEFA.

The final is scheduled to be played on May 22, 2024, at the Aviva Stadium in Dublin, Ireland.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if AS Roma wins the 2023-24 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to "No" if AS Roma is eliminated from contention to win the 2023-2024 Europa League. 


id: 500929
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will AC Milan win the Europa League?
start_date: 2024-04-15
end_date: 2024-04-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023-24 UEFA Europa League is the 53rd season of Europe's secondary club football tournament organized by UEFA.

The final is scheduled to be played on May 22, 2024, at the Aviva Stadium in Dublin, Ireland.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if AC Milan wins the 2023-24 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to "No" if AC Milan is eliminated from contention to win the 2023-2024 Europa League. 


id: 500930
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will West Ham win the Europa League?
start_date: 2024-04-15
end_date: 2024-04-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023-24 UEFA Europa League is the 53rd season of Europe's secondary club football tournament organized by UEFA.

The final is scheduled to be played on May 22, 2024, at the Aviva Stadium in Dublin, Ireland.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if West Ham United wins the 2023-24 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to "No" if West Ham United is eliminated from contention to win the 2023-2024 Europa League. 


id: 500931
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Atalanta win the Europa League?
start_date: 2024-04-15
end_date: 2024-05-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023-24 UEFA Europa League is the 53rd season of Europe's secondary club football tournament organized by UEFA.

The final is scheduled to be played on May 22, 2024, at the Aviva Stadium in Dublin, Ireland.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Atalanta wins the 2023-24 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Atalanta is eliminated from contention to win the 2023-2024 Europa League. 


id: 500932
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Marseille win the Europa League?
start_date: 2024-04-15
end_date: 2024-05-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023-24 UEFA Europa League is the 53rd season of Europe's secondary club football tournament organized by UEFA.

The final is scheduled to be played on May 22, 2024, at the Aviva Stadium in Dublin, Ireland.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olympique Marseille wins the 2023-24 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Olympique Marseille is eliminated from contention to win the 2023-2024 Europa League. 


id: 500933
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Benfica win the Europa League?
start_date: 2024-04-15
end_date: 2024-04-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023-24 UEFA Europa League is the 53rd season of Europe's secondary club football tournament organized by UEFA.

The final is scheduled to be played on May 22, 2024, at the Aviva Stadium in Dublin, Ireland.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if S.L. Benfica wins the 2023-24 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to "No" if S.L. Benfica is eliminated from contention to win the 2023-2024 Europa League. 


id: 500935
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Dortmund win?
start_date: 2024-04-13
end_date: 2024-04-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Borussia Dortmund and Atlético Madrid are scheduled to play the second leg of the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals on April 16, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Borussia Dortmund wins the match against Atlético Madrid . Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based off the final result of the game including extra time and penalties. 


id: 500936
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Atletico Madrid win?
start_date: 2024-04-13
end_date: 2024-04-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Borussia Dortmund and Atlético Madrid are scheduled to play the second leg of the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals on April 16, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Atlético Madrid wins the game against Borussia Dortmund. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the final result of the game including extra time and penalties. 


id: 500937
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Borussia Dortmund vs Atlético Madrid be a draw?
start_date: 2024-04-13
end_date: 2024-04-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Borussia Dortmund and Atlético Madrid are scheduled to play the second leg of the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals on April 16, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game between Borussia Dortmund and Atlético Madrid ends in a draw. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the final result of the game including extra time and penalties. 


id: 500938
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Barcelona win?
start_date: 2024-04-13
end_date: 2024-04-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Barcelona and PSG are scheduled to play the second leg of the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals on April 16, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barcelona wins the match against PSG. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based off the final result of the game including extra time and penalties. 


id: 500939
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will PSG win?
start_date: 2024-04-13
end_date: 2024-04-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Barcelona and PSG are scheduled to play the second leg of the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals on April 16, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if PSG wins the match against Barcelona. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the final result of the game including extra time and penalties. 


id: 500940
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Barcelona vs PSG be a draw?
start_date: 2024-04-13
end_date: 2024-04-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Barcelona and PSG are scheduled to play the second leg of the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals on April 16, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game between Barcelona and PSG ends in a draw. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based off the final result of the game including extra time and penalties. 


id: 500941
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Bitcoin above $60,000 on April 19?
start_date: 2024-04-13
end_date: 2024-04-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 19 Apr '24 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 60,000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 500942
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ethereum above $3,000 on April 19?
start_date: 2024-04-13
end_date: 2024-04-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHUSDT 19 Apr '24 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 3,000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETHUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 500943
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
start_date: 2024-04-15
end_date: 2024-04-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between April 13 and April 19, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.

In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.


id: 500961
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross between $150m and $170m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-04-15
end_date: 2024-07-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Deadpool & Wolverine' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt6263850/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 26 - July 28) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Deadpool & Wolverine' (2024) grosses between $150,000,000 (inclusive) and $170,000,000 (inclusive) on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by August 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 500962
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross more than $170m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-04-15
end_date: 2024-07-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Deadpool & Wolverine' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt6263850/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 26 - July 28) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Deadpool & Wolverine' (2024) grosses more than $170,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by August 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 500963
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Boston Bruins win the 2024 Stanley Cup?
start_date: 2024-04-16
end_date: 2024-06-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Boston Bruins become the 2024 Stanley Cup Champion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is determined at any point that it is impossible for the Bruins to be the 2024 Stanley Cup Champion based on the rules of the NHL (e.g. they're eliminated in the playoffs), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

If this team is still in contention to become the champion and the champion still isn't determined by November 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. 


id: 500964
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Carolina Hurricanes win the 2024 Stanley Cup?
start_date: 2024-04-16
end_date: 2024-06-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Carolina Hurricanes become the 2024 Stanley Cup Champion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is determined at any point that it is impossible for the Hurricanes to be the 2024 Stanley Cup Champion based on the rules of the NHL (e.g. they're eliminated in the playoffs), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

If this team is still in contention to become the champion and the champion still isn't determined by November 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 500965
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Florida Panthers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?
start_date: 2024-04-16
end_date: 2024-06-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Florida Panthers become the 2024 Stanley Cup Champion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is determined at any point that it is impossible for the Panthers to be the 2024 Stanley Cup Champion based on the rules of the NHL (e.g. they're eliminated in the playoffs), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

If this team is still in contention to become the champion and the champion still isn't determined by November 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 500966
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: New York Rangers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?
start_date: 2024-04-16
end_date: 2024-06-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the New York Rangers become the 2024 Stanley Cup Champion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is determined at any point that it is impossible for the Rangers to be the 2024 Stanley Cup Champion based on the rules of the NHL (e.g. they're eliminated in the playoffs), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

If this team is still in contention to become the champion and the champion still isn't determined by November 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 500968
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2024 Stanley Cup?
start_date: 2024-04-16
end_date: 2024-05-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Toronto Maple Leafs become the 2024 Stanley Cup Champion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is determined at any point that it is impossible for the Maple Leafs to be the 2024 Stanley Cup Champion based on the rules of the NHL (e.g. they're eliminated in the playoffs), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

If this team is still in contention to become the champion and the champion still isn't determined by November 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 500969
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Colorado Avalanche win the 2024 Stanley Cup?
start_date: 2024-04-16
end_date: 2024-06-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Colorado Avalanche become the 2024 Stanley Cup Champion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is determined at any point that it is impossible for the Avalanche to be the 2024 Stanley Cup Champion based on the rules of the NHL (e.g. they're eliminated in the playoffs), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

If this team is still in contention to become the champion and the champion still isn't determined by November 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 500970
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Dallas Stars win the 2024 Stanley Cup?
start_date: 2024-04-16
end_date: 2024-06-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Dallas Stars become the 2024 Stanley Cup Champion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is determined at any point that it is impossible for the Stars to be the 2024 Stanley Cup Champion based on the rules of the NHL (e.g. they're eliminated in the playoffs), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

If this team is still in contention to become the champion and the champion still isn't determined by November 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 500971
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Edmonton Oilers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?
start_date: 2024-04-16
end_date: 2024-06-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Edmonton Oilers become the 2024 Stanley Cup Champion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is determined at any point that it is impossible for the Oilers to be the 2024 Stanley Cup Champion based on the rules of the NHL (e.g. they're eliminated in the playoffs), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

If this team is still in contention to become the champion and the champion still isn't determined by November 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 500974
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Vancouver Canucks win the 2024 Stanley Cup?
start_date: 2024-04-16
end_date: 2024-06-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Vancouver Canucks become the 2024 Stanley Cup Champion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is determined at any point that it is impossible for the Canucks to be the 2024 Stanley Cup Champion based on the rules of the NHL (e.g. they're eliminated in the playoffs), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

If this team is still in contention to become the champion and the champion still isn't determined by November 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 500975
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Vegas Golden Knights win the 2024 Stanley Cup?
start_date: 2024-04-16
end_date: 2024-05-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Vegas Golden Knights become the 2024 Stanley Cup Champion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is determined at any point that it is impossible for the Golden Knights to be the 2024 Stanley Cup Champion based on the rules of the NHL (e.g. they're eliminated in the playoffs), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

If this team is still in contention to become the champion and the champion still isn't determined by November 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 500982
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Israel aid package by April 30?
start_date: 2024-04-16
end_date: 2024-04-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new bill containing at least $1 billion in aid to Israel is signed into law in the US between April 14 and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Funding for replenishment of US stocks sent to Israel counts as Israel aid. Aid in the form of a loan will count toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 500996
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?
start_date: 2024-04-18
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic candidate for president wins the popular vote in any solid red state(s) in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Solid red states include: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Utah, West Virginia, Wyoming.

Solid red states are defined using the Cook Political Report's ratings as of this market's inception. Further changes to cook political report's rankings will not be considered for this market.

Individual congressional district electors will not count towards the resolution of this market; only statewide popular vote results will be considered.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.
This market may resolve immediately if at least one of the listed states has been called for the Democratic candidate for President by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, or if all listed states have been called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race in the listed states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 500999
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $DJT market cap between $2b and $3b on April 30?
start_date: 2024-04-16
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the market cap of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) is between $2 billion (inclusive) and $3 billion (exclusive) as of market close on April 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The market capitalization of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. will be determined by checking Google Finance’s “Market Cap” metric for DJT at the time of market close for April 30, 2024 (website: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DJT:NASDAQ).

If Google Finance’s market cap data for DJT is not available by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source for market capitalization on April 30, market close, will be used to resolve this market.


id: 501000
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $DJT market cap between $3b and $4b on April 30?
start_date: 2024-04-16
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the market cap of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) is between $3 billion (inclusive) and $4 billion (exclusive) as of market close on April 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The market capitalization of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. will be determined by checking Google Finance’s “Market Cap” metric for DJT at the time of market close for April 30, 2024 (website: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DJT:NASDAQ).

If Google Finance’s market cap data for DJT is not available by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source for market capitalization on April 30, market close, will be used to resolve this market.


id: 501001
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $DJT market cap between $4b and $5b on April 30?
start_date: 2024-04-16
end_date: 2024-05-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the market cap of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) is between $4 billion (inclusive) and $5 billion (inclusive) as of market close on April 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The market capitalization of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. will be determined by checking Google Finance’s “Market Cap” metric for DJT at the time of market close for April 30, 2024 (website: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DJT:NASDAQ).

If Google Finance’s market cap data for DJT is not available by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source for market capitalization on April 30, market close, will be used to resolve this market.


id: 501002
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $DJT market cap greater than $5b on April 30?
start_date: 2024-04-16
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the market cap of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) is greater than $5 billion as of market close on April 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The market capitalization of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. will be determined by checking Google Finance’s “Market Cap” metric for DJT at the time of market close for April 30, 2024 (website: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DJT:NASDAQ).

If Google Finance’s market cap data for DJT is not available by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source for market capitalization on April 30, market close, will be used to resolve this market.


id: 501012
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win Washington DC Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-04-17
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Washington DC in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 501013
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-04-17
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Washington DC in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.


id: 501016
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Indian election: NDA wins 400+ seats?
start_date: 2024-04-17
end_date: 2024-06-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is the BJP's electoral coalition. Figures within the BJP, including Narendra Modi, claimed that the BJP-led NDA will win 400 seats or more in the Lok Sabha from the 2024 Indian general election.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the NDA controls 400 or more seats in the Lok Sabha as a result of the 2024 Indian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If voting in the 2024 Indian General Election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: This market will resolve based off the party composition of the NDA at the time of the official announcement of the election results, currently scheduled for June 4. Any subsequent changes to the NDA coalition will not be considered for this market's resolution.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. 


id: 501020
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Bitcoin above $60,000 on April 30?
start_date: 2024-04-17
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 30 Apr '24 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 60,000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 501021
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ethereum above $3,000 on April 30?
start_date: 2024-04-17
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHUSDT 30 Apr '24 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 3,000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETHUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 501022
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Challengers' gross less than $16m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-04-23
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Challengers' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt16426418/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 26 - April 28) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Challengers' (2024) grosses less than $16,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by May 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 501023
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Challengers' gross between $16m and $19m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-04-23
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Challengers' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt16426418/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 26 - April 28) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Challengers' (2024) grosses between $16,000,000 (inclusive) and $19,000,000 (exclusive) on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by May 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 501024
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Challengers' gross between $19m and $22m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-04-23
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Challengers' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt16426418/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 26 - April 28) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Challengers' (2024) grosses between $19,000,000 (inclusive) and $22,000,000 (inclusive) on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by May 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 501025
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Challengers' gross more than $22m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-04-23
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Challengers' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt16426418/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 26 - April 28) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Challengers' (2024) grosses more than $22,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by May 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 501032
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 'Abigail' over $15m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-04-18
end_date: 2024-04-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Abigail' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1488880385 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 19 - April 21) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Abigail' (2024) grosses more than $15,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by April 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 501036
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Drake track officially drops in April?
start_date: 2024-04-18
end_date: 2024-04-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new song/track, as a lead artist, between April 17, 2024 and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be such a release on any major streaming platform.


id: 501038
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the NDA win less than 300 seats?
start_date: 2024-04-18
end_date: 2024-06-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the NDA controls less than 300 seats in the Lok Sabha as a result of the 2024 Indian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If voting in the 2024 Indian General Election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes".

This market will resolve based off the party composition of the NDA at the time of the official announcement of the election results, currently scheduled for June 4. Any subsequent changes to the NDA coalition will not be considered for this market's resolution.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. 


id: 501039
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the NDA win 300-325 seats?
start_date: 2024-04-18
end_date: 2024-06-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the NDA controls between 300 (inclusive) and 325 (inclusive) seats in the Lok Sabha as a result of the 2024 Indian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If voting in the 2024 Indian General Election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based off the party composition of the NDA at the time of the official announcement of the election results, currently scheduled for June 4. Any subsequent changes to the NDA coalition will not be considered for this market's resolution.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. 


id: 501040
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the NDA win 326-350 seats?
start_date: 2024-04-18
end_date: 2024-06-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the NDA controls between 326 (inclusive) and 350 (inclusive) seats in the Lok Sabha as a result of the 2024 Indian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If voting in the 2024 Indian General Election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based off the party composition of the NDA at the time of the official announcement of the election results, currently scheduled for June 4. Any subsequent changes to the NDA coalition will not be considered for this market's resolution.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. 


id: 501041
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the NDA win 351-375 seats?
start_date: 2024-04-18
end_date: 2024-06-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the NDA controls between 351 (inclusive) and 375 (inclusive) seats in the Lok Sabha as a result of the 2024 Indian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If voting in the 2024 Indian General Election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based off the party composition of the NDA at the time of the official announcement of the election results, currently scheduled for June 4. Any subsequent changes to the NDA coalition will not be considered for this market's resolution.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. 


id: 501042
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Top 10 songs on Billboard all from Taylor Swift?
start_date: 2024-04-18
end_date: 2024-04-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all numbers 1-10 on Billboard's Hot 100 are held by Taylor Swift for the first week her new album "The Tortured Poets Department" is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The "first week" is defined as the first Billboard week that takes into account songs from Taylor swift's new album.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).


id: 501043
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the NDA win 376-400 seats?
start_date: 2024-04-18
end_date: 2024-06-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the NDA controls between 376 (inclusive) and 400 (inclusive) seats in the Lok Sabha as a result of the 2024 Indian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If voting in the 2024 Indian General Election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based off the party composition of the NDA at the time of the official announcement of the election results, currently scheduled for June 4. Any subsequent changes to the NDA coalition will not be considered for this market's resolution.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. 


id: 501044
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the NDA win more than 400 seats?
start_date: 2024-04-18
end_date: 2024-06-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the NDA controls more than 400 seats in the Lok Sabha as a result of the 2024 Indian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If voting in the 2024 Indian General Election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based off the party composition of the NDA at the time of the official announcement of the election results, currently scheduled for June 4. Any subsequent changes to the NDA coalition will not be considered for this market's resolution.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. 


id: 501050
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Taylor Swift #1 album for 4 weeks?
start_date: 2024-04-18
end_date: 2024-06-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift's "The Tortured Poets Society" album is in the number 1 position on the Billboard 200 chart for exactly the 4 consecutive weeks following its drop. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The first week following the album drop is defined as the first Billboard week that takes into account Taylor Swift's "The Tortured Poets Society" album.

This market will immediately resolve to “No” if the album has been #1 for more than 4 consecutive weeks following its drop.

Additionally this market will immediately resolve to “No” if the album dropped off #1 before reaching 4 consecutive weeks at #1 following its drop.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).


id: 501051
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Taylor Swift #1 album for 5 weeks?
start_date: 2024-04-18
end_date: 2024-06-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift's "The Tortured Poets Society" album is in the number 1 position on the Billboard 200 chart for exactly the 5 consecutive weeks following its drop. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The first week following the album drop is defined as the first Billboard week that takes into account Taylor Swift's "The Tortured Poets Society" album.

This market will immediately resolve to “No” if the album has been #1 for more than 5 consecutive weeks following its drop.

Additionally this market will immediately resolve to “No” if the album dropped off #1 before reaching 5 consecutive weeks at #1 following its drop.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).


id: 501059
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' over $8m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-04-18
end_date: 2024-04-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt5177120 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 19 - April 21) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' (2024) grosses more than $8,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by April 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 501061
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Ansem mention $WIF in post fight interview?
start_date: 2024-04-18
end_date: 2024-04-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on whether Ansem (@blknoiz06) will say "WIF", "dogwifhat", or "dog with hat" during his post-fight interview, scheduled for April 19, 2024, in Dubai, following his fight against Barney (@barneytheboi). 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ansem says either "WIF", "dogwifhat", or "dog with hat" during his post-fight interview. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No".  

Note - if he makes references to dogwifhat but does not explicitly say "WIF", "dogwifhat", or "dog with hat", this market will resolve to "No." Capitalization does not matter for this market.

Note: if Ansem does multiple post-fight interviews, this market will consider all of them.

If Ansem's fight appearance is canceled or delayed past April 26 this market will resolve "No". If there is no live stream of the post-fight interview, or an interview does not take place, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary source for this market will be official audio and video stream of Ansem’s post-fight interview available here: (https://www.trillertv.com/watch/cfn-4/2pevx/). If the trillertv stream is unavailable, other video streams may be used to resolve this market.


id: 501062
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump wins a solid blue state?
start_date: 2024-04-19
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican candidate for president wins the popular vote in any solid blue state(s) in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Solid blue states include: California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, Virginia, and Washington.

Solid blue states are defined using the Cook Political Report's ratings as of this market's inception. Further changes to cook political report's rankings will not be considered for this market.

Individual congressional district electors will not count towards the resolution of this market; only statewide popular vote results will be considered.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.
This market may resolve immediately if at least one of the listed states has been called for the Republican candidate for President by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, or if all listed states have been called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race in the listed states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. 


id: 501078
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: No sweeps in 1st round of NBA Playoffs?
start_date: 2024-04-19
end_date: 2024-04-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there are no sweeps in the first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A sweep is defined as one team winning all four games in a best-of-seven series against another team. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 501079
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 1 sweep in 1st round of NBA Playoffs?
start_date: 2024-04-19
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is one sweep in the first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A sweep is defined as one team winning all four games in a best-of-seven series against another team. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 501080
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 2 sweeps in 1st round of NBA Playoffs?
start_date: 2024-04-19
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there are two sweeps in the first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A sweep is defined as one team winning all four games in a best-of-seven series against another team. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 501081
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Fantano rate new Tswift album above 5?
start_date: 2024-04-19
end_date: 2024-04-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthony Fantano gives Taylor Swift's "The Tortured Poets Department" a numerical rating above 5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first official rating by Anthony Fantano of "The Tortured Poets Department", specifically the numerical rating he posts under the YouTube video for this review. If Anthony Fantano does not review "The Tortured Poets Department" by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source for this market will be information from Anthony Fantano (e.g. https://www.youtube.com/@fantano, https://www.theneedledrop.com/articles/category/Reviews), specifcally an episode of The Needle Drop that rates "The Tortured Poets Department".


id: 501083
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 3 sweeps in 1st round of NBA Playoffs?
start_date: 2024-04-19
end_date: 2024-04-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there are three sweeps in the first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A sweep is defined as one team winning all four games in a best-of-seven series against another team. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 501084
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 4 sweeps in 1st round of NBA Playoffs?
start_date: 2024-04-19
end_date: 2024-04-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there are four sweeps in the first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A sweep is defined as one team winning all four games in a best-of-seven series against another team. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 501086
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Taylor Swift's new album have between 2.0m and 2.2m sales in its first week?
start_date: 2024-04-20
end_date: 2024-04-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift's new album 'The Tortured Poets Department' has between 2.0m (inclusive) and 2.2m (exclusive) in sales for the week ending April 25, 2024, according to the finalized version of hitsdailydouble.com's "HITS TOP 50" list. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the figure in the column titled "TOTAL" once the named list is finalized.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming.

If the chart specified herein is rendered permanently unavailable or does not list 'The Tortured Poets Department', another credible resolution source may be chosen.


id: 501089
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Taylor Swift's new album have between 2.2m and 2.4m sales in its first week?
start_date: 2024-04-20
end_date: 2024-04-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift's new album 'The Tortured Poets Department' has between 2.0m (inclusive) and 2.2m (inclusive) in sales for the week ending April 25, 2024, according to the finalized version of hitsdailydouble.com's "HITS TOP 50" list. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the figure in the column titled "TOTAL" once the named list is finalized.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming.

If the chart specified herein is rendered permanently unavailable or does not list 'The Tortured Poets Department', another credible resolution source may be chosen.


id: 501090
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Taylor Swift's new album have more than 2.4m sales in its first week?
start_date: 2024-04-20
end_date: 2024-04-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift's new album 'The Tortured Poets Department' has more than 2.4m in sales for the week ending April 25, 2024, according to the finalized version of hitsdailydouble.com's "HITS TOP 50" list. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the figure in the column titled "TOTAL" once the named list is finalized.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming.

If the chart specified herein is rendered permanently unavailable or does not list 'The Tortured Poets Department', another credible resolution source may be chosen.


id: 501098
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Shafik out as Columbia President in April?
start_date: 2024-04-19
end_date: 2024-05-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Minouche Shafik ceases to be President of Columbia University for any length of time from April 18, 2024 through April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of her resignation before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation goes into effect.

This market's resolution source will be official statements from Columbia University or a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 501103
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Derivatives_Ape/Prometheus arrested this year?
start_date: 2024-04-21
end_date: 2024-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
ZKasino operators Derivatives_Ape or XBT_Prometheus are rumored to be in legal hot water following controversy about ZKasino.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any of the individuals behind https://x.com/XBT_Prometheus or https://x.com/Derivatives_Ape/ are arrested between April 19, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. However, official information from the government involved in any action against either individual and information from the individuals' legal representatives will also be used.


id: 501115
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ding Liren plays in 2024 World Chess Championship?
start_date: 2024-04-22
end_date: 2024-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ding Liren plays in the World Chess Championship 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is definitively determined/announced that Ding Liren will not participate in the World Chess Championship 2024, this market may immediately resolve to "No". Otherwise, this market will only resolve once Ding Liren plays his first move in the 2024 World Chess Championship.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIDE, organizers of the 2024 FIDE World Championship Match, and/or Ding Liren and his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 501124
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Columbia protest cleared by Wednesday?
start_date: 2024-04-22
end_date: 2024-04-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market is on the ongoing pro-Palestinian protests at Columbia University, located on the West Lawn in front of Butler Library. 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the majority of protesters (as of April 22 10 AM ET) are cleared from the West Lawn at any point between April 22, 2024, 10:00 AM ET, and Wednesday, April 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

The term 'cleared' includes any action where the majority of protesters are forcibly removed or voluntarily leave the area.  The clearing of protesters which took place on April 18, when dozens of protesters were arrested would qualify for a “Yes” resolution. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 501128
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Phantom post "retardio" in April?
start_date: 2024-04-22
end_date: 2024-05-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @phantom posts/tweets the word "retardio", between April 21, 2024, 10 AM ET and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, all quote and reply posts/tweets count toward a "Yes" resolution, but reposts/retweets will not count.

Pluralization/possessive of the word, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however variant spellings of the word "retardio" will not.

Only the clearly delineated word “retardio”, spelled in that manner (permitting for pluralization/possessive of the word, as well as variance in capitalizations), will count for this market to resolve to “Yes”. Other and extraneous symbols being inserted into the word (ex: r3t@rd1o) will count as a variant spelling, and will not result in a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be Phantom's verified X/Twitter account: https://twitter.com/phantom

Please note, only the @phantom verified X/Twitter account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Phantom posts/tweets from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.


id: 501133
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will MrBeast's next video be 30+ minutes?
start_date: 2024-04-22
end_date: 2024-04-27
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MrBeast's first video released on his official YouTube channel after April 21, 2024, 5:00 PM ET is 30 minutes or longer. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If MrBeast has not released a new video on his official YouTube channel before July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's official YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast


id: 501134
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Kendrick track drops in April?
start_date: 2024-04-23
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kendrick Lamar officially releases a new song/track, as a lead artist, between April 22, 2024, 11:59 PM PT and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be Apple Music, Spotify, credible music news outlets, or any major streaming platform.


id: 501138
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Retardio listed on CoinMarketCap in April?
start_date: 2024-04-23
end_date: 2024-05-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Retardio (RETARDIO) is listed on CoinMarketCap by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" Retardio must be directly listed - if CoinMarketCap merely shows dex pairings (e.g. https://coinmarketcap.com/dexscan/solana/5eLRsN6qDQTQSBF8KdW4B8mVpeeAzHCCwaDptzMyszxH/) it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market is CoinMarketCap (https://coinmarketcap.com/).


id: 501139
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Columbia protesters expelled in April?
start_date: 2024-04-23
end_date: 2024-05-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any students at Columbia University are expelled from the university activities related to the pro-Palestine protests taking place on-campus between April 23, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Columbia University, however, a consensus of credible sources will also be used.


id: 501144
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: CZ sentenced to 36 months or more in prison?
start_date: 2024-04-24
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if CZ is sentenced to 36 or more months in prison, as part of the ongoing case 'United States v. Changpeng Zhao', by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the sentencing is expressed in days by the court, one month will be considered equivalent to 30 days for the purposes of this market. 

This market will resolve based on the first sentence rendered by the court regarding CZ's present trial.

The market pertains to the actual time to be served in his sentence—if he is given concurrent sentences, the longest one is used. If he is given consecutive sentences, the sum of their lengths is used.

If no sentence is rendered by Dec 31, 2024, this market group will resolve to the bottom bracket (>6 months).

The primary resolution source will be official information from the US court system, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used."

This revision ensures clarity and maintains consistency, allowing for accurate resolution based on whether the sentence is given in days or months.


id: 501146
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Columbia protest cleared by Friday?
start_date: 2024-04-24
end_date: 2024-04-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market is on the ongoing pro-Palestinian protests at Columbia University, located on the West Lawn in front of Butler Library. 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the majority of protesters (as of April 24 10 AM ET) are cleared from the West Lawn at any point between April 24, 2024, 10:00 AM ET, and Friday, April 26, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

The term 'cleared' includes any action where the majority of protesters are forcibly removed or voluntarily leave the area.  The clearing of protesters which took place on April 18, when dozens of protesters were arrested would qualify for a “Yes” resolution. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 501148
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: CZ sentenced to 24-29 months in prison?
start_date: 2024-04-24
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if CZ is sentenced to between 24 months (inclusive) and 30 months (exclusive) in prison, as part of the ongoing case 'United States v. Changpeng Zhao', by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the sentencing is expressed in days by the court, one month will be considered equivalent to 30 days for the purposes of this market. 

This market will resolve based on the first sentence rendered by the court regarding CZ's present trial.

The market pertains to the actual time to be served in his sentence—if he is given concurrent sentences, the longest one is used. If he is given consecutive sentences, the sum of their lengths is used.

If no sentence is rendered by Dec 31, 2024, this market group will resolve to the bottom bracket (>6 months).


id: 501149
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: CZ sentenced to 18-23 months in prison?
start_date: 2024-04-24
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if CZ is sentenced to between 18 months (inclusive) and 24 months (exclusive) in prison, as part of the ongoing case 'United States v. Changpeng Zhao', by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the sentencing is expressed in days by the court, one month will be considered equivalent to 30 days for the purposes of this market. 

This market will resolve based on the first sentence rendered by the court regarding CZ's present trial.

The market pertains to the actual time to be served in his sentence—if he is given concurrent sentences, the longest one is used. If he is given consecutive sentences, the sum of their lengths is used.

If no sentence is rendered by Dec 31, 2024, this market group will resolve to the bottom bracket (>6 months).


id: 501150
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: CZ sentenced to 12-17 months in prison?
start_date: 2024-04-24
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if CZ is sentenced to between 12 months (inclusive) and 18 months (exclusive) in prison, as part of the ongoing case 'United States v. Changpeng Zhao', by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the sentencing is expressed in days by the court, one month will be considered equivalent to 30 days for the purposes of this market. 

This market will resolve based on the first sentence rendered by the court regarding CZ's present trial.

The market pertains to the actual time to be served in his sentence—if he is given concurrent sentences, the longest one is used. If he is given consecutive sentences, the sum of their lengths is used.

If no sentence is rendered by Dec 31, 2024, this market group will resolve to the bottom bracket (>6 months).


id: 501151
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: CZ sentenced to 6-11 months in prison?
start_date: 2024-04-24
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if CZ is sentenced to between 6 months (inclusive) and 12 months (exclusive) in prison, as part of the ongoing case 'United States v. Changpeng Zhao', by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the sentencing is expressed in days by the court, one month will be considered equivalent to 30 days for the purposes of this market. 

This market will resolve based on the first sentence rendered by the court regarding CZ's present trial.

The market pertains to the actual time to be served in his sentence—if he is given concurrent sentences, the longest one is used. If he is given consecutive sentences, the sum of their lengths is used.

If no sentence is rendered by Dec 31, 2024, this market group will resolve to the bottom bracket (>6 months).


id: 501152
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: CZ sentenced to less than 6 months in prison?
start_date: 2024-04-24
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if CZ is sentenced to less than 6 months in prison, as part of the ongoing case 'United States v. Changpeng Zhao', by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the sentencing is expressed in days by the court, one month will be considered equivalent to 30 days for the purposes of this market. 

This market will resolve based on the first sentence rendered by the court regarding CZ's present trial.

The market pertains to the actual time to be served in his sentence—if he is given concurrent sentences, the longest one is used. If he is given consecutive sentences, the sum of their lengths is used.

If no sentence is rendered by Dec 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes".


id: 501157
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Elon tweet less than 60 times?
start_date: 2024-04-25
end_date: 2024-05-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts less than 60 times on X between April 26, 2024, 12:00 PM ET (noon) and May 3, 2024, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total. 

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). 

The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.


id: 501158
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Elon tweet 60-79 times?
start_date: 2024-04-25
end_date: 2024-05-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 60 (inclusive) and 79 (inclusive) times on X between April 26, 2024, 12:00 PM ET (noon) and May 3, 2024, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total. 

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). 

The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.


id: 501159
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Elon tweet 80-99 times?
start_date: 2024-04-25
end_date: 2024-05-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 80 (inclusive) and 99 (inclusive) times on X between April 26, 2024, 12:00 PM ET (noon) and May 3, 2024, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total. 

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). 

The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.


id: 501160
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Elon tweet 100-119 times?
start_date: 2024-04-25
end_date: 2024-05-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 100 (inclusive) and 119 (inclusive) times on X between April 26, 2024, 12:00 PM ET (noon) and May 3, 2024, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total. 

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). 

The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.


id: 501161
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Elon tweet 120-139 times?
start_date: 2024-04-25
end_date: 2024-05-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 120 (inclusive) and 139 (inclusive) times on X between April 26, 2024, 12:00 PM ET (noon) and May 3, 2024, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total. 

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). 

The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.


id: 501169
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Canelo Alvarez beat Jamie Munguia?
start_date: 2024-04-25
end_date: 2024-05-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canelo Alvarez is officially declared the winner of the boxing match against Jamie Munguia currently scheduled for May 4, 2024 in the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, USA. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this fight ends in a draw, is not officially designated as a win for either Canelo Alvarez or Jamie Munguia, is cancelled permanently, or moved to a date after December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".


id: 501170
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Jamie Munguia beat Canelo Alvarez?
start_date: 2024-04-25
end_date: 2024-05-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jamie Munguia is officially declared the winner of the boxing match against Canelo Alvarez currently scheduled for May 4, 2024 in the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, USA. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this fight ends in a draw, is not officially designated as a win for either Canelo Alvarez or Jamie Munguia, is cancelled permanently, or moved to a date after December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".


id: 501171
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Canelo vs. Munguia have no official winner?
start_date: 2024-04-25
end_date: 2024-05-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canelo Alvarez vs. Jamie Munguia, currently scheduled for May 4, 2024 at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, USA, ends in a draw, is not officially designated as a win for either Canelo Alvarez or Jamie Munguia, is cancelled permanently, or moved to a date after December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".


id: 501184
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Bitcoin dip below $60k before June?
start_date: 2024-04-25
end_date: 2024-05-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin BTC-USDT between 2024/04/24 00:00 and 2024/05/31 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price of 59,999.99 or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC-USDT "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” candles selected on the top bar.

To see the "Low" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "Low" at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC-USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Note: If it is clear there is a large data discrepancy issue with Binance (e.g. BTC only hit 61k on other exchanges but 40k on Binance), a consensus of other credible sources may be used.


id: 501198
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump before June?
start_date: 2024-04-25
end_date: 2024-05-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley explicitly endorses Donald Trump by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be statements made by Nikki Haley, her social media, and/or her official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 501209
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Supreme Court sends Trump immunity case to lower court?
start_date: 2024-04-26
end_date: 2024-11-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS) decides to remand the case of United States v. Donald Trump (No. 23-939) back to a lower court for further review by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If SCOTUS issues a final ruling on presidential immunity without remanding the case, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is official information released by SCOTUS, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 501218
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Friend.Tech airdrop by Thursday?
start_date: 2024-04-29
end_date: 2024-05-07
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Friend.Tech has an airdrop with some amount of monetary value by May 2, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Friend.Tech, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 501221
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Kanye drops Vultures 2 by Friday?
start_date: 2024-04-29
end_date: 2024-05-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West officially releases Volume 2 of his collab album with Ty Dolla $ign, titled ‘Vultures’, by May 3, 2024, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Officially released means that Volume 2 of the album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

If a new album from Kanye West and Ty Dolla $ign is released between April 29 and May 3, even if not titled 'Vultures' Vol. 2 it will count for this markets resolution. 

The resolution source will be any official Kanye West/Ye streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.


id: 501222
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: ICC arrest warrants for Israeli leaders by May 15?
start_date: 2024-04-29
end_date: 2024-05-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the International Criminal Court officially issues arrest warrants for any Israeli cabinet ministers (including Prime Minister Netanyahu) or IDF Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi, between April 28, and May 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" .

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Criminal Court, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.  


id: 501235
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'The Fall Guy' gross less than $20m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-04-29
end_date: 2024-05-07
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'The Fall Guy' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1684562/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 3 - 5) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The Fall Guy' (2024) grosses less than $20,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by May 13, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 501236
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'The Fall Guy' gross between $20m and $24m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-04-29
end_date: 2024-05-07
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'The Fall Guy' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1684562/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 3 - 5) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The Fall Guy' (2024) grosses between $20,000,000 (inclusive) and $24,000,000 (exclusive) on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by May 13, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 501237
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'The Fall Guy' gross between $24m and $28m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-04-29
end_date: 2024-05-07
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'The Fall Guy' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1684562/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 3 - 5) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The Fall Guy' (2024) grosses between $24,000,000 (inclusive) and $28,000,000 (inclusive) on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by May 13, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


