# assets

id: 253249
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: EigenLayer airdrop by April?
start_date: 2023-11-30
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if EigenLayer launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the EigenLayer team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253250
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House in 2023?
start_date: 2023-12-01
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin McCarthy announces his resignation from his position as a member of the US House of Representatives by 11:59 PM ET, December 31, 2023. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market, a resignation is defined as Kevin McCarthy formally announcing his intention to step down, or his resignation being reported by a reputable source, such as a government website or major news outlet.


Note that if he announces he will resign from the House by the resolution date it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when or if the resignation actually occurs.


id: 253252
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023?
start_date: 2023-12-01
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between December 1, 11:00 AM ET and December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. 

An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties. Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. The ceasefire must last at least 48 hours and have begun before the resolution date. For example, if the ceasefire begins on December 30, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 48 hours.

This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media sources. 


id: 253253
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY?
start_date: 2023-12-01
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases 12 or more hostages in any 24-hour period between December 1 and December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a negotiated release of hostages will trigger a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253254
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
start_date: 2023-12-01
end_date: 2024-01-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any spot Bitcoin ETF receives approval from the SEC by January 15, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the SEC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 253256
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Milady flip MAYC by March 1?
start_date: 2023-12-01
end_date: 2024-03-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Milady Maker has a higher finalized daily floor price than Mutant Ape Yacht Club (MAYC) on any day between December 1 and March 1, 2024 ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be OpenSea Pro's finalized daily floor prices for the dates within this market's range (Milady Maker: https://pro.opensea.io/collection/milady/analytics, MAYC: https://pro.opensea.io/collection/mutant-ape-yacht-club/analytics). If OpenSea Pro becomes unavailable or ceases to report figures in a timely manner, Blur or another reliable source may be used.


id: 253258
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?
start_date: 2023-12-02
end_date: 2024-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of OpenSea's token is above $1,000,000,000 1 week after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

"1 week after launch" is defined as 12:00 PM ET, 7 calendar days after it launches. For example, if the token launches at 8 PM ET, March 15, then the FDV at 12:00 PM ET, March 22 will be used.

The resolution source for this market is CoinGecko, specifically the "Fully Diluted Valuation" metric.  

If OpenSea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.


id: 253259
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: OpenSea token by May 1?
start_date: 2023-12-02
end_date: 2024-05-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenSea announces a token by May 1, 2024 11:59 PM ET, or to "No" otherwise.

"Announces a token by May 1" means they confirm by May 1 that they will have a token, regardless of when the token actually launches.

The resolution source is OpenSea (https://opensea.io/blog/, https://twitter.com/opensea, etc.).


id: 253260
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: OpenSea token announcement in 2024?
start_date: 2023-12-02
end_date: 2024-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenSea announces a token by December 31, 2024 11:59 PM ET, or to "No" otherwise.

"Announces a token by December 31" means they confirm by December 31 that they will have a token, regardless of when the token actually launches.

The resolution source is OpenSea (https://opensea.io/blog/, https://twitter.com/opensea, etc.).


id: 253261
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will BTC hit $44,000 in 2023?
start_date: 2023-12-04
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for BTC-USD between 04 Dec '23 8:00 and 31 Dec '23 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 44,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 253263
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1?
start_date: 2023-12-04
end_date: 2023-12-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
 This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first official GTA 6 trailer gets over 600,000,000 views within 24 hours of being posted on YouTube. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only videos posted to the official Grand Theft Auto or Rockstar Games YouTube accounts will count toward the resolution of this market. Any video posted on any account or channel affiliated with Rockstar Games will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If the video is deleted during the first 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50. If YouTube is down or otherwise unavailable on the time of the final check, market resolution will be delayed for up to 3 days. If YouTube is still unavailable at that time, this market will resolve to 50-50. If, when checked on any of those three days allotted for a delay, over 600,000,000 views is recorded by YouTube, this market will resolve to "Yes".

If multiple GTA 6 trailers are released simultaneously, this market will resolve based on the video with the highest number of views within the stated 24 hour period.

If the GTA 6 trailer is not officially posted on YouTube by December 12, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 253272
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Community notes on Biden Xeet by December 11?
start_date: 2023-12-04
end_date: 2023-12-11
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if community notes are attached to any @JoeBiden (https://twitter.com/JoeBiden) Tweet or post on x.com made between December 4, 12:00 AM ET and December 11, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Biden's official X account, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253273
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Qatar buy Bitcoin by Jan 31?
start_date: 2023-12-04
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Qatar Investment Authority announces it has bought any amount of Bitcoin by January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the Qatar Investment Authority, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253276
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023?
start_date: 2023-12-04
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for BTC-USD between 04 Dec '23 8:00 and 31 Dec '23 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 50,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 253279
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election?
start_date: 2023-12-05
end_date: 2024-01-13
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2024 Taiwanese general election is scheduled to take place on January 13, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the DPP (Democratic Progressive Party, 民進黨) wins a majority in the Legislative Yuan in the upcoming 2024 Taiwanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, winning a majority means one party or coalition wins 57 or more seats out of the 113 in the Legislative Yuan.

If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan (e.g. https://web.cec.gov.tw/english/cms/le), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 253282
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?
start_date: 2023-12-06
end_date: 2023-12-13
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is greater than or equal to 38.0% for the day of December 12, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve according to the datapoint for December 12 as soon as a datapoint for December 13 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the December 13 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for December 12 is available by December 13, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous approval rating to December 12.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.


id: 253294
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023?
start_date: 2023-12-06
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudine Gay remains President of Harvard University until 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2023. The resolution source will be official statements from Harvard University or a consensus of credible reporting. If Gay is no longer holding the office for any reason by the stated date, the market will resolve to "No". If Gay departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.


id: 253296
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023?
start_date: 2023-12-06
end_date: 2023-12-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elizabeth “Liz” Magill remains President the University of Pennsylvania until 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2023. The resolution source will be official statements from the University of Pennsylvania or a consensus of credible reporting. If Magill is no longer holding the office for any reason by the stated date, the market will resolve to "No". If Magill departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.


id: 253298
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023?
start_date: 2023-12-06
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any of the 3 college presidents who testified on antisemitism on December 5, 2023 are no longer serving as president of their respective university for any length of time by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The presidents who count toward the resolution of this market are:
- Elizabeth "Liz" Magill of University of Pennsylvania
- Sally Kornbluth of Massachusetts Institute of Technology
- Claudine Gay of Harvard University

If any of the listed presidents depart from their office before this market's expiration date, this market should resolve immediately.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the mentioned universities, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 253315
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Gemini Ultra released by Jan 31?
start_date: 2023-12-06
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google releases Gemini Ultra by January 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only a release accessible to the public (e.g. developers, public sign-ups, through Bard, etc.) will count for this market.

This market will resolve as soon as it can be verified that Gemini Ultra has been released within timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Google, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 253317
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024?
start_date: 2023-12-06
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Doomsday Clock is a symbolic clock face that represents the likelihood of a man-made global catastrophe, maintained since 1947 by the members of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. The closer the clock is set to midnight, the closer the scientists believe the world is to global disaster.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Doomsday Clock is set closer to midnight (i.e. closer than 90 seconds to midnight, see https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/#nav_menu) during the yearly meeting of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists scheduled for January 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the Doomsday Clock setting is delayed this market's resolution may be delayed until the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists' 2024 release is published. If no release is published by December 31, 2024 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be information released by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.


id: 253334
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Bryan Johnson's functional sperm above 20.0 M/ejac on next test?
start_date: 2023-12-07
end_date: 2024-07-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on Bryan Johnson's (https://twitter.com/bryan_johnson) next sperm report his functional sperm count is above 20.0 M/ejac. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve immediately based on the results of his next release of functional sperm count information.

If Bryan Johnson does not release updated information on his sperm count by July 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information released by Bryan Johnson, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 253335
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Harvard get fewer applicants this year?
start_date: 2023-12-07
end_date: 2024-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if number of applicants to Harvard for the Class of 2028 is lower than the number of applicants for the class of 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first release of information by Harvard on the number of applicants for the Class of 2028, regardless of whether that information is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Harvard University (e.g. https://college.harvard.edu/admissions/admissions-statistics, https://oira.harvard.edu/factbook/fact-book-admissions/, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

If no information is released for applicants to Harvard for the Class of 2028 by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 253336
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will George Santos announce he's running for congress before May?
start_date: 2023-12-07
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ex-congressman George Santos announces he will run for congress, either the House or the Senate, in the 2024 US general election by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from George Santos or his representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


id: 253338
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $JTO above $2 one week after launch?
start_date: 2023-12-07
end_date: 2023-12-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if $JTO is above $2.0000 (i.e. $2.0001 or greater) on Dec 14, 11:30 AM ET (16:30 UTC). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be Binance, specifically the Dec 14, 16:30 UTC candle (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/JTO_USDT).


id: 253341
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will X unban Alex Jones in 2023?
start_date: 2023-12-07
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alex Jones' X account is unbanned by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official statements from X, Elon Musk, or a consensus of credible reporting. This market will resolve immediately if Alex Jones is unbanned.


id: 253353
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Shohei Ohtani sign with Blue Jays?
start_date: 2023-12-08
end_date: 2024-01-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shohei Ohtani signs for the Toronto Blue Jays for 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will also resolve to “No” if it is announced that Ohtani has signed for any team other than the Toronto Blue Jays for 2024.

This market's resolution source will be official, credible announcements from either the Toronto Blue Jays or the signing team.

This market will stay open until it is definitively determined whether Shohei Ohtani will sign for the Blue Jays for 2024.


id: 253355
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Taylor Swift pregnant before March?
start_date: 2023-12-08
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if pop star Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between December 7, 2023, and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Taylor Swift's verified social media accounts (https://twitter.com/taylorswift13, https://www.instagram.com/taylorswift/, etc.), video footage of an announcement, a press release, an announcement through Taylor Swift's legal representative, however other credible reporting may be used.

This market will resolve “Yes” solely based on an announcement of pregnancy by Taylor Swift. Any announcement originating from another person will not result in a “Yes” resolution. If it is later revealed Taylor Swift was never pregnant after she announced she was pregnant, it will have no impact on the resolution of this market; only the announcement of pregnancy is necessary for a “Yes” resolution for this question.


id: 253361
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its January meeting?
start_date: 2023-12-08
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's January 2024 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is exactly the same as the level it was prior to the meeting (namely it increased 0 bps). Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 30 - 31, 2024 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by February 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 253364
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting?
start_date: 2023-12-08
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's January 2024 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased exactly 25 basis points below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 30 - 31, 2024 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by February 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 253366
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15?
start_date: 2023-12-08
end_date: 2023-12-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel begins flooding Hamas tunnels with seawater by December 15, 2023, 11:59 IST (Israel Standard Time, GMT+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements by the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253370
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ by Friday?
start_date: 2023-12-11
end_date: 2023-12-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West’s collab album with Ty Dolla Sign, currently titled ‘Vultures’, is officially released by Friday, December 15, 2023, 11:59 PM PT. 

Officially released means that the album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” 

If the album is named something other than “Vultures” but is still a collab album between Kanye West and Ty Dolla Sign, that album will count for the resolution of this market.

The resolution source will be any official Kanye West streaming or download site, like Apple Music or Spotify. 


id: 253372
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Drift airdrop by March 1?
start_date: 2023-12-11
end_date: 2024-02-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drift launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between December 10, 2023 and March 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Drift Protocol team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253377
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Wormhole airdrop by March 1?
start_date: 2023-12-11
end_date: 2024-03-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wormhole launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between December 10, 2023 and March 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Wormhole team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253379
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Jupiter airdrop in 2023?
start_date: 2023-12-11
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Nov 15, 2023, Jupiter announced airdrop allocation details for airdrop #1: https://twitter.com/weremeow/status/1724855485507981454.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jupiter launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Jupiter Project team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253381
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Base airdrop by May 1?
start_date: 2023-12-11
end_date: 2024-05-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between December 10, 2023 and May 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Base team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253384
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Elizabeth Warren crypto bill become law by June?
start_date: 2023-12-11
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any cryptocurrency-focused bill introduced by Elizabeth Warren becomes law by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" Elizabeth Warren must be the primary sponsor of the bill, not a cosponsor.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the federal government of the United States.


id: 253385
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Wonka' gross over $35m over its opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-12-11
end_date: 2023-12-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Wonka' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2942927617/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 15 - December 17) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Wonka' (2023) grosses more than $35,000,000 on its 3-day opening. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by December 22, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 253387
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Wonka' gross over $40m over its opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-12-11
end_date: 2023-12-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Wonka' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2942927617/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 15 - December 17) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Wonka' (2023) grosses more than $40,000,000 on its 3-day opening. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by December 22, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 253390
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Arévalo inaugurated in Guatemala in January?
start_date: 2023-12-12
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bernardo Arévalo is inaugurated as the president of Guatemala in January 2024, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Guatemala, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253394
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Brock Purdy win NFL MVP for the 2023-24 season?
start_date: 2023-12-12
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The NFL MVP award for the 2023-24 season will be announced during the NFL Honors ceremony, which is scheduled for Thursday, February 8, 2024. The event will start at 9 p.m. ET and will be held in Phoenix, Arizona.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Brock Purdy wins NFL MVP for the 2023-2024 football season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no NFL MVP is selected for the 2023-2024 season by March 31, 2024 ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL, including live broadcast footage, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253395
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Dak Prescott win NFL MVP for the 2023-24 season?
start_date: 2023-12-12
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The NFL MVP award for the 2023-24 season will be announced during the NFL Honors ceremony, which is scheduled for Thursday, February 8, 2024. The event will start at 9 p.m. ET and will be held in Phoenix, Arizona.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dak Prescott wins NFL MVP for the 2023-2024 football season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no NFL MVP is selected for the 2023-2024 season by March 31, 2024 ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL, including live broadcast footage, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253396
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Gävle Goat be destroyed in 2023?
start_date: 2023-12-12
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Gävle Goat, a traditional Christmas display erected annually in Gävle, Sweden, is set on fire or destroyed before 11:59 PM (ET) on December 31, 2023. The destruction or damage must be confirmed by an official Gävle Goat social media account, the City of Gävle's official website, or a reputable news source.

Any burning of the main body of the Gävle Goat will result in this market resolving to "Yes".

Any non-fire damage must result in the destruction of the Gävle Goat for this market to resolve to "Yes". 


id: 253398
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Starlink available in Gaza by Jan 31?
start_date: 2023-12-12
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, credible reports indicate that SpaceX's Starlink has officially commenced providing internet services in Gaza. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

Resolution sources include but are not limited to official statements or press releases from Starlink or SpaceX, and reputable news outlets. 


id: 253401
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023?
start_date: 2023-12-12
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Congress passes a bill granting military aid to Ukraine between December 11 and December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253402
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023?
start_date: 2023-12-12
end_date: 2024-01-11
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from November to December 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.2 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from November to December 2023 and “No“ otherwise.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS November 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on January 11, 2024, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

----

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.3%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.2%, this market will resolve to “No”).


id: 253403
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Elon Musk own X through June 30?
start_date: 2023-12-12
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk retains ownership of X/Twitter, the social media platform, without interruption from December 11, 2023 through June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from X/Twitter, Elon Musk, and/or those entities' official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 253404
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Elon get someone pregnant before July?
start_date: 2023-12-12
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk gets another person pregnant between December 11, 2023 and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on information from Elon Musk or his representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253405
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Kanye West's song "Everybody" reach #1 on Billboard Hot 100?
start_date: 2023-12-12
end_date: 2024-04-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West’s song “Everybody” (song which has Backstreet Boys sample) reaches #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 within two weeks of its release. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Note that the song referenced for this market is the song with a Backstreet Boys sample, even if its title isn’t “Everybody”. 

If the song is not released by April 1, 2024, ET this market will resolve to “No.”


id: 253407
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Rabby airdrop by March 1?
start_date: 2023-12-13
end_date: 2024-03-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rabby launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between December 11, 2023 and March 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Rabby team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253408
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Rainbow airdrop by March 1?
start_date: 2023-12-12
end_date: 2024-03-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Dec 12, Rainbow Wallet announced "Rainbow Points — the first step towards including our community in the future success of Rainbow" (see https://twitter.com/rainbowdotme/status/1734700911719555580).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rainbow launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between December 11, 2023 and March 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Rainbow team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253425
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Another Tesla recall before July?
start_date: 2023-12-13
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Dec 13 it was reported that >2M Tesla vehicles were recalled over Autopilot safety concerns (see https://www.cnbc.com/2023/12/13/tesla-software-fix-rolls-out-after-regulators-recall-2-million-cars-over-autopilot-defect.html). 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla issues a new recall between December 13, 2023, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.


id: 253426
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Hunter Biden arrested before April?
start_date: 2023-12-13
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if son of US president Joseph Biden, Hunter Biden, is arrested by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however official information from the governments involved in any action against Hunter Biden and information from Hunter Biden's legal representatives will also be used.


id: 253428
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Mohamed Deif still in Hamas leadership through March 1?
start_date: 2023-12-13
end_date: 2024-03-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mohammed Deif remains in the leadership of Hamas in the Gaza Strip uninterrupted from December 13 through March 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 253429
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February?
start_date: 2023-12-13
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between December 13, 11:00 AM ET and January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties. Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. The ceasefire must last at least 24 hours and have begun before the resolution date. For example, if the ceasefire begins on January 31, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 24 hours.

This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media sources.


id: 253430
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15?
start_date: 2023-12-13
end_date: 2024-01-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases at least one hostage between December 12 and January 15, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a negotiated release of a hostage will trigger a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253431
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will SpaceX's 3rd Starship go higher than its prior launch before April?
start_date: 2023-12-13
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If a third Starship launch attempt successfully reaches >150km above sea level by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches an altitude of 150 km above sea level will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.


id: 253433
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: UK election called by end of year?
start_date: 2023-12-13
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared before December 31, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2023 an election is scheduled for March 23, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes").

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253434
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Haley win the Iowa Caucus?
start_date: 2023-12-13
end_date: 2024-01-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley wins the greatest share of apportioned delegates in the 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Trump ties for the greatest share of apportioned delegates, the popular vote will be used as a tiebreaker. Namely, if Haley ties for the greatest share of apportioned delegates and has the higher final popular vote number, the market resolves to "Yes", and if Haley ties for the greatest share of apportioned delegates and doesn't have the higher final popular vote number, the market resolves to "No".

If no 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses take place, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 253435
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Haniyeh still in Hamas leadership through March 1?
start_date: 2023-12-13
end_date: 2024-03-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ismail Haniyeh remains in the leadership of Hamas uninterrupted from December 13 through March 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 253438
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ledger hacker identified by end of 2023?
start_date: 2023-12-14
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ledger hacker responsible for the December 14, 2023 exploit is identified (i.e. personal identity) by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.


id: 253440
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will US attack Yemen in 2023?
start_date: 2023-12-14
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States of America initiates a military attack on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory between December 14, 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "military attack" is any use of force executed by the US on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a Houthi weapons depot on Yemeni soil is subject to a US missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the U.S. federal government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count.

The US striking an unmanned aerial vehicle or projectile over Yemeni territory in a defensive capacity will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution.


id: 253443
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?
start_date: 2023-12-14
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches a price greater than $68,789 according to Binance between December 14, 2023, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). If Binance is unavailable, a consensus of other credible sources will be used.


id: 253454
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Detroit Pistons longest single-season losing streak in NBA history (>26 games)?
start_date: 2023-12-18
end_date: 2023-12-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
At the time of this market's inception, the Detroit Pistons have lost 23 games in a row in the 2023-24 season. The record for the longest single-season losing streak in NBA history is 26.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Detroit Pistons lose 27 games in a row in their current losing streak. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the Pistons win any of their next four games, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

Note if they tie for the longest single-season losing streak at 26 games, it will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - they must lose 27 games in a row. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including game footage, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253456
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by end of 2023?
start_date: 2023-12-18
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On December 15, 2023, Danish shipping company A.P. Moller-Maersk announced they will pause all container shipments through the Red Sea due to Houthi attacks on international shipping.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maersk announces they will resume shipping through the Red Sea between December 18, 12:00 PM ET and December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Maersk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253458
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: JN.1 most common COVID variant in US by Dec 23?
start_date: 2023-12-19
end_date: 2023-12-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the JN.1 variant of SARS-CoV-2 is responsible for the most COVID-19 cases by proportion in the United States according to CDC's Nowcast at the time of its next release (after 12/9/23). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Nowcast Estimates in the United States for 12/23/23 as soon as released (% Total column in graph here https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions). This market will resolve based on the initial information release by the CDC regardless of later information updates. If the CDC stops reporting figures for COVID-19 or ceases to utilize the Nowcast before the end of this market, it will resolve 50-50.


id: 253459
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Saudi Arabia and Yemeni Houthis peace deal by end of 2023?
start_date: 2023-12-19
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the Houthis announce they have agreed to a peace agreement between December 18 and December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Saudi Arabia, the Houthis, and/or the United Nations, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253460
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Confederate Memorial at Arlington Cemetery removed by Jan 1?
start_date: 2023-12-19
end_date: 2024-01-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Dec 19, a federal judge halted the removal of the confederate memorial at Arlington Cemetery, which was mandated by the Defense Department to be removed by Jan 1, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the confederate memorial at Arlington Cemetery in Virginia, USA is completely removed by January 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Arlington National Cemetery, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 253461
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Epstein documents unsealed by Jan 31?
start_date: 2023-12-19
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Dec 19, Federal Judge Loretta Preska ordered documents containing names of Jeffrey Epstein's associates to be unsealed.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if these documents are unsealed by January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253462
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot?
start_date: 2023-12-20
end_date: 2024-03-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Dec 19 the Colorado Supreme Court voted in a 4-3 decision that Trump was barred from appearing on Colorado’s 2024 presidential primary ballot. 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Supreme Court overturns Colorado Supreme Court’s decision - namely they assert Trump can indeed appear on Colorado’s Presidential Primary ballot. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Note that this market will resolve immediately based on the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision on this case. If the U.S. Supreme Court makes no decision by March 5, 2024, the date of Colorado’s Republican State Primary, this market will resolve to "No", regardless of whether Trump ends up on the ballot by other mechanisms.

This market will immediately resolve to "No" if the U.S. Supreme Court does not take up the case.

The resolution source is official information from the U.S. Supreme Court, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253463
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot?
start_date: 2023-12-20
end_date: 2024-03-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump appears on the official ballot for the 2024 Colorado Republican Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Write-ins will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". Only if the ballots officially issued list Donald Trump as an option will this market resolve to "Yes", regardless of any court ruling about whether he can appear on the ballot or not.

The primary resolution source will be information from the Colorado Republican Party and the 2024 Colorado Republican Primary, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253464
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31?
start_date: 2023-12-20
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Dec 19, the Colorado Supreme Court voted in a 4-3 decision that Trump was barred from appearing on Colorado’s 2024 presidential primary ballot.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if another state's court votes to bar Trump from its respective ballot (primary/caucus and/or general) by January 31, 2024, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Note that if another state's court votes to bar Trump from its respective ballot, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of whether the decision is overturned by a higher court. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 253466
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: FTX claims worth >75¢ on the dollar by end of Q1?
start_date: 2023-12-20
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the midpoint between bid and ask price on FTX claims (https://claims-market.com/) is greater than 75% by March 31, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note that if any midpoint before March 31 is greater than 75% this market will immediately resolve to "Yes." This market may only resolve to "No" once the final data point on or before March 31 is available on the chart. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be Cherokee Acquisition (https://claims-market.com/) however in the case this source becomes unavailable, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.


id: 253468
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Do Kwon extradited before March?
start_date: 2023-12-20
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Do Kwon is extradited to any country by February 29, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

"Extradited" to a country means Do Kwon must be extradited and physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the country. 

The resolution source will be official government sources from the relevant extraditing and receiving countries, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


id: 253469
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Epstein documents name Bill Clinton?
start_date: 2023-12-20
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Dec 19, Federal Judge Loretta Preska ordered documents containing names of Jeffrey Epstein's associates to be unsealed.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the mentioned documents contain any mention of Bill Clinton. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the mentioned documents are not unsealed by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253471
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Epstein documents name Donald Trump?
start_date: 2023-12-20
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Dec 19, Federal Judge Loretta Preska ordered documents containing names of Jeffrey Epstein's associates to be unsealed.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the mentioned documents contain any mention of Donald J. Trump. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the mentioned documents are not unsealed by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253472
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Epstein documents name Prince Andrew?
start_date: 2023-12-20
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Dec 19, Federal Judge Loretta Preska ordered documents containing names of Jeffrey Epstein's associates to be unsealed.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the mentioned documents contain any mention of Prince Andrew. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the mentioned documents are not unsealed by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253474
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Epstein documents name Bill Gates?
start_date: 2023-12-20
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Dec 19, Federal Judge Loretta Preska ordered documents containing names of Jeffrey Epstein's associates to be unsealed.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the mentioned documents contain any mention of Bill Gates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the mentioned documents are not unsealed by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253477
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April?
start_date: 2023-12-20
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudine Gay ceases to be President of Harvard University for any length of time from December 19, 2023 through March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of her resignation before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation goes into effect.

This market's resolution source will be official statements from Harvard University or a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 253481
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump >50% chance of winning nomination after Super Tuesday?
start_date: 2023-12-21
end_date: 2024-03-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on whether Trump has >50% chance of winning the Republican nomination after Super Tuesday (March 5), according to the market https://polymarket.com/market/will-donald-j-trump-win-the-us-2024-republican-presidential-nomination-1. If the average price of Trump Yes shares is above 50¢ on March 6, 2024, ET, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

To calculate the average price, the "Yes" midpoint price (halfway point between the best bid and best ask) will be captured exactly once at a random time in every 10 minute interval. This will be repeated for every 10 minute interval starting on March 6, 2024, 12:00 AM ET. The average of all of the recorded prices will then be calculated - this will be defined as the average price of “Yes” shares on March 6, 2024, ET.

The recorded prices will be viewable here, once the date is March 6, 2024 and samples have been taken: [to be edited in with data link]. The average price will also be memorialized on the Polymarket description once all samples have been taken.


id: 253482
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by March 31?
start_date: 2023-12-21
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On December 15, 2023, Danish shipping company A.P. Moller-Maersk announced they will pause all container shipments through the Red Sea due to Houthi attacks on international shipping.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maersk announces they will resume shipping through the Red Sea between December 20, 2023, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Maersk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253483
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by June 30?
start_date: 2023-12-21
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On December 15, 2023, Danish shipping company A.P. Moller-Maersk announced they will pause all container shipments through the Red Sea due to Houthi attacks on international shipping.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maersk announces they will resume shipping through the Red Sea between December 20, 2023, 12:00 PM ET and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Maersk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253484
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump wins every state in Rep. Nomination?
start_date: 2023-12-21
end_date: 2024-06-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins at least one Republican primary or caucus in every state for the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

The winner of a primary/caucus is defined as the candidate who wins the greatest number of votes. Note this market only concerns the 50 US state Republican primaries and caucuses (i.e. not Guam, District of Columbia, Northern Mariana Islands, etc). 

If a state primary or caucus is cancelled, the state will not be considered for this market - namely if Trump wins all other states, this market will resolve to “Yes.”

This market will not resolve to "Yes" until every state Republican primary and/or caucus for the 2024 US presidential cycle has concluded and Donald Trump has won at least one primary or caucus in every state. 

This market may resolve to "No" immediately once conclusive proof that Donald Trump has lost a state’s primary and caucus is available.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the state Republican parties, the national GOP, and the caucuses and primaries themselves, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253486
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be less than 38.5% on January 7?
start_date: 2023-12-22
end_date: 2024-01-07
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is less than 38.5% for the day of January 7, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve according to the datapoint for January 7 as soon as a datapoint for January 8 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the January 8 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for January 7 is available by January 10, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous approval rating to January 7.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.


id: 253487
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be between 38.5-39.0% on January 7?
start_date: 2023-12-22
end_date: 2024-01-07
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is between 38.5% and 39.0% (inclusive) for the day of January 7, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve according to the datapoint for January 7 as soon as a datapoint for January 8 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the January 8 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for January 7 is available by January 10, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous approval rating to January 7.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.


id: 253488
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be between 39.1-39.5% on January 7?
start_date: 2023-12-22
end_date: 2024-01-07
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is between 39.1% and 39.5% (inclusive) for the day of January 7, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve according to the datapoint for January 7 as soon as a datapoint for January 8 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the January 8 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for January 7 is available by January 10, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous approval rating to January 7.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.


id: 253489
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be greater than 39.5% on January 7?
start_date: 2023-12-22
end_date: 2024-01-07
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is greater than 39.5% for the day of January 7, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve according to the datapoint for January 7 as soon as a datapoint for January 8 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the January 8 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for January 7 is available by January 10, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous approval rating to January 7.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.


id: 253490
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'The Color Purple' gross over $15m on Christmas Day?
start_date: 2023-12-22
end_date: 2023-12-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'The Color Purple' (2023) will gross domestically on Christmas Day. The “Domestic Daily” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1200263/ will be used to resolve this market once the value for Christmas Day (December 25) is final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘The Color Purple' (2023) grosses more than $15,000,000 on Christmas Day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If there is no final data available by January 2, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 253491
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'The Color Purple' gross over $20m on Christmas Day?
start_date: 2023-12-22
end_date: 2023-12-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'The Color Purple' (2023) will gross domestically on Christmas Day. The “Domestic Daily” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1200263/ will be used to resolve this market once the value for Christmas Day (December 25) is final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘The Color Purple' (2023) grosses more than $20,000,000 on Christmas Day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If there is no final data available by January 2, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 253510
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?
start_date: 2023-12-26
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the Supreme Leader of Iran, maintains his position as the Supreme Leader until June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. The market will resolve to "No" if, for any reason, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is no longer in his position as the Supreme Leader of Iran at any point during this same time period.

The resolution will be based on reputable global news sources. If Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is no longer serving as Supreme Leader before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.


id: 253511
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will US attack Yemen before February?
start_date: 2023-12-26
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States of America initiates a military attack on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory between December 25, 12:00 PM ET, and January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "military attack" is any use of force executed by the US on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a Houthi weapons depot on Yemeni soil is subject to a US missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the U.S. federal government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count.

The US striking an unmanned aerial vehicle or projectile over Yemeni territory in a defensive capacity will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution.


id: 253518
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will ETH hit $2,500 by Jan 31?
start_date: 2023-12-26
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for ETH-USD between 26 Dec '23 00:00 and 31 Jan '24 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 2,500.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the ETH-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/ETH-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase ETH-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 253520
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will SOL outperform ETH in January?
start_date: 2023-12-26
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on whether $SOL or $ETH will perform better in January, in terms of percentage change in USD prices. The time period for this market starts on January 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and ends on January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

The percentage change will be calculated by dividing the coin’s Close Price for the candle titled 31 Jan '24 23:59 (ET) by the coin's Open Price for the candle titled 1 Jan '24 00:00 (ET). Coinbase SOL-USD and ETH-USD will be used for the candles (https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/spot/SOL-USD & https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/spot/ETH-USD).

If $SOL relative change is greater than $ETH, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".


id: 253521
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Jupiter airdrop by Jan 31?
start_date: 2023-12-26
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Nov 15, 2023, Jupiter announced airdrop allocation details for airdrop #1: https://twitter.com/weremeow/status/1724855485507981454.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jupiter launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop by January 31, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Jupiter Project team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253523
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: JUP above $1 one week after launch?
start_date: 2023-12-26
end_date: 2024-10-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jupiter Exchange's token ($JUP) is above $1.000 (i.e. $1.001 or greater) one week after token airdrop occurs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

"One week after launch" is defined as exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the token airdrop occurs. This market description will be updated with the exact time it occurred as soon as it is known.

The resolution source for this market will be Binance, specifically the spot price of Jupiter Exchange's token. If the price doesn't exist on Binance at resolution time, a consensus of highly liquid price sources will be used instead. If Jupiter doesn't airdrop by October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.


id: 253524
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: “All I want for Christmas is You” #1 on Billboard Hot 100 first week of 2024?
start_date: 2023-12-27
end_date: 2024-01-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mariah Carey's "All I want for Christmas is You" is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of January 6, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve as soon as data for the week of January 6 is released (Which typically occurs on the Tuesday, i.e. Jan 2). 

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).


id: 253526
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ by Jan 12?
start_date: 2023-12-26
end_date: 2024-01-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West’s collab album with Ty Dolla $ign, currently titled ‘Vultures’, is officially released by January 12, 2024, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Officially released means that the album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

If the album is named something other than “Vultures” but is still a collab album between Kanye West and Ty Dolla $ign, that album will count toward the resolution of this market.

The resolution source will be any official Kanye West streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.


id: 253530
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February?
start_date: 2023-12-27
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vivek Ramaswamy officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn or dropped out from the 2024 US presidential race between December 26, 2023, and January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Vivek Ramaswamy from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Vivek Ramaswamy or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253533
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Claudine Gay out as Harvard President by Jan 15?
start_date: 2023-12-27
end_date: 2024-01-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudine Gay ceases to be President of Harvard University for any length of time from December 26, 2023 through January 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of her resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's resolution source will be official statements from Harvard University or a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 253534
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Haley beat DeSantis in Iowa?
start_date: 2023-12-28
end_date: 2024-01-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley wins a greater number of votes than Ron DeSantis in the 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses take place, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 253536
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February?
start_date: 2023-12-27
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google announces more than 1000 new layoffs in total between Dec 27 and January 31, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Unannounced layoffs will not be considered toward the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253539
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $BONK all time high before February?
start_date: 2023-12-27
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if $BONK achieves a new all time high between December 26, 2023 ET and January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Coingecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bonk). If Coingecko becomes unavailable or fails to update, a consensus of highly liquid sources will be used instead.


id: 253540
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $WIF all time high before February?
start_date: 2023-12-27
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if $WIF reaches a new all time high between December 26, 2023 ET and January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/dogwifhat), specifically the All time high figure and date on the right box. If CoinGecko becomes unavailable or fails to update, a consensus of highly liquid sources will be used instead.


id: 253541
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?
start_date: 2023-12-29
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas is no longer recognized as the primary governing authority in the Gaza Strip for any length of time between December 26, 2023, and January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM GMT+2. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Primary governing authority" is defined as Hamas having predominant political and military control in the Gaza Strip. In case of shared governance or significant disruptions, the group or authority with majority of control of the Gaza Strip will be considered the primary governing authority.

If at any point within the time window of this market Hamas is not recognized as the primary governing authority of the Gaza Strip, this market may immediately resolve to "Yes".

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 253558
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: SOL/ETH new high by Jan 31?
start_date: 2023-12-29
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market about whether the SOL/ETH price according to Binance reaches a new recent high by January 31, 2024 11:59 PM ET.

If the SOL/ETH price is greater than .05538 (reached on December 25, 2023 ET) at any point between December 28, 2023 and January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_ETH) high prices for 1-day candles within this market's date range, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253569
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 2024 be better than 2023?
start_date: 2023-12-29
end_date: 2024-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ipsos Consumer Tracker's "Me Personally" measure on the "It was a (comparatively) really good year" chart for 2024 (ex: https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/americans-say-2023-was-good-year-and-think-2024-will-be-even-better) indicates that 2024 was a better year than 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The yearly results for the Ipsos Consumer Tracker are usually published early in December of a given year. If Ipsos announces they will cease to release consumer tracker information, otherwise shuts down, or if the Consumer Tracker information for 2024 is not made available by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the Ipsos Consumer Tracker.


id: 253570
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: AI on Amazon speaker by June?
start_date: 2024-01-02
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if users can use a large language model through any Amazon-manufactured smart speaker product by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Amazon, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253573
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Solana Network go down in January?
start_date: 2024-01-02
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if Solana experiences downtime in January (ET). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." 

Downtime must occur for at least 10 minutes and be widely reported by a consensus of credible reporting. Sources such as https://status.solana.com/uptime?page=5 and https://dune.com/dsaber/solana-network-health-report may additionally be considered.


id: 253574
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Paramount merger/acquisition in Q1?
start_date: 2024-01-02
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if announcement that Paramount Global will be, has been, or is being acquired or merged with by March 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, an announcement by Paramount is enough to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paramount, an acquirer of Paramount, or a company merging with Paramount, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 253575
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Any Hamas leader out in January?
start_date: 2024-01-02
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any of the following people: Ismail Haniyeh, Yahya Sinwar, Mohammed Deif, Marwan Issa, Khaled Meshaal, or Mahmoud Zahar is no longer in the leadership of Hamas at any moment from Jan 2 through January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 253582
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15?
start_date: 2024-01-03
end_date: 2024-01-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On January 2 Maersk announced it would pause shipping through the Red Sea until further notice after another one of its vessels was attacked.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maersk announces by January 15, 2024 ET that they will resume shipping through the Red Sea. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Note that an announcement before the resolution date that Maersk will resume shipping through the Red Sea will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when or if their shipping resumes. 

The primary resolution source will be official information from Maersk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253583
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Bangladesh Election: Sheikh Hasina reelected as Prime Minister?
start_date: 2024-01-03
end_date: 2024-01-07
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Bangladesh general election is scheduled for January 7, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sheikh Hasina is reelected as Prime Minister as a result of the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Bangladesh’s government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 253587
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30?
start_date: 2024-01-03
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any spot Ethereum ETF receives approval from the SEC by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the SEC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 253591
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-01-04
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.


id: 253597
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-01-04
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


id: 253604
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LVIII?
start_date: 2024-01-06
end_date: 2024-02-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LVIII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".


id: 253605
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII?
start_date: 2024-01-06
end_date: 2024-02-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".


id: 253607
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Nikki Haley win the New Hampshire Republican Primary?
start_date: 2024-01-06
end_date: 2024-01-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

If no such primary takes place in New Hampshire in 2024, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 253608
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Donald Trump win the New Hampshire Republican Primary?
start_date: 2024-01-06
end_date: 2024-01-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former president Donald J. Trump wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

If no such primary takes place in New Hampshire in 2024, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 253616
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LVIII?
start_date: 2024-01-06
end_date: 2024-02-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LVIII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".


id: 253617
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LVIII?
start_date: 2024-01-06
end_date: 2024-02-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LVIII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".


id: 253619
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII?
start_date: 2024-01-06
end_date: 2024-02-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".


id: 253621
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LVIII?
start_date: 2024-01-06
end_date: 2024-02-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LVIII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".


id: 253622
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LVIII?
start_date: 2024-01-06
end_date: 2024-02-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LVIII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".


id: 253625
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LVIII?
start_date: 2024-01-06
end_date: 2024-02-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LVIII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".


id: 253628
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LVIII?
start_date: 2024-01-06
end_date: 2024-02-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LVIII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".


id: 253631
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LVIII?
start_date: 2024-01-06
end_date: 2024-02-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LVIII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".


id: 253632
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LVIII?
start_date: 2024-01-06
end_date: 2024-02-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LVIII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".


id: 253633
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LVIII?
start_date: 2024-01-06
end_date: 2024-02-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LVIII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".


id: 253653
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Mexican Presidential Election: Will Claudia Sheinbaum win?
start_date: 2024-01-16
end_date: 2024-05-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2024 Mexican presidential election is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudia Sheinbaum wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Mexico, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 253654
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Mexican Presidential Election: Will Xóchitl Gálvez win?
start_date: 2024-01-16
end_date: 2024-05-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2024 Mexican presidential election is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xóchitl Gálvez wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Mexico, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 253659
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Haley place 2nd in the 2024 Iowa Caucus?
start_date: 2024-01-08
end_date: 2024-01-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley wins the second greatest number of votes in the 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses take place, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve to the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 253660
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Ramaswamy place 2nd in the 2024 Iowa Caucus?
start_date: 2024-01-08
end_date: 2024-01-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vivek Ramaswamy wins the second greatest number of votes in the 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses take place, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve to the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 253662
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will DeSantis place 2nd in the 2024 Iowa Caucus?
start_date: 2024-01-08
end_date: 2024-01-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ron DeSantis wins the second greatest number of votes in the 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses take place, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve to the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 253677
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
start_date: 2024-01-10
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 65 and 104 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


id: 253678
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64
start_date: 2024-01-10
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 35 and 64 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


id: 253679
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34
start_date: 2024-01-10
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 15 and 34 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


id: 253682
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4
start_date: 2024-01-10
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 0 and 4 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


id: 253685
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64
start_date: 2024-01-10
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 35 and 64 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


id: 253686
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104
start_date: 2024-01-10
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 65 and 104 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


id: 253687
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154
start_date: 2024-01-10
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 105 and 154 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


id: 253689
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Boeing Max 9 cleared to fly by Friday?
start_date: 2024-01-08
end_date: 2024-01-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Jan 8 regulators grounded the Boeing 737 Max 9 aircraft model after part of an Alaska Airlines plane's fuselage fell off.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Boeing 737 Max 9 is cleared to fly by the FAA by Friday, January 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and "No" otherwise.

The resolution source will be official information from the FAA, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. 


id: 253704
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154
start_date: 2024-01-10
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 105 and 154 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


id: 253706
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
start_date: 2024-01-09
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.


id: 253750
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
start_date: 2024-01-09
end_date: 2024-05-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any spot Ethereum ETF receives approval from the SEC by May 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the SEC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 253751
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $BTC price <$40,000 1 hour after ETF approval?
start_date: 2024-01-09
end_date: 2024-01-14
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Bulletin Board Update - 2024-01-10 1:12 PM PT:

If it is confirmed the SEC pdf approving the first bitcoin spot ETFs was legitimate, then the close price of the candle at 1:43 PM PT (1 hour after @tier10k posted approval news) will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of $BTC according to Coinbase BTC-USD is less than $40,000.00 1 hour after first Bitcoin spot ETF approval is officially announced. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be Coinbase BTC-USD, specifically the 1 minute candle close price one hour after the approval announcement. 

If the first Bitcoin spot ETF is not approved by January 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”


id: 253752
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $BTC price between $42,500-45,000 1 hour after ETF approval?
start_date: 2024-01-09
end_date: 2024-01-14
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Bulletin Board Update - 2024-01-10 1:12 PM PT:

If it is confirmed the SEC pdf approving the first bitcoin spot ETFs was legitimate, then the close price of the candle at 1:43 PM PT (1 hour after @tier10k posted approval news) will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of $BTC according to Coinbase BTC-USD is between $42,500.01 and $45,000.00 (inclusive) 1 hour after first Bitcoin spot ETF approval is officially announced. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be Coinbase BTC-USD, specifically the 1 minute candle close price one hour after the approval announcement. 

If the first Bitcoin spot ETF is not approved by January 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”


id: 253753
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $BTC price between $40,000-42,500 1 hour after ETF approval?
start_date: 2024-01-09
end_date: 2024-01-14
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Bulletin Board Update - 2024-01-10 1:12 PM PT:

If it is confirmed the SEC pdf approving the first bitcoin spot ETFs was legitimate, then the close price of the candle at 1:43 PM PT (1 hour after @tier10k posted approval news) will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of $BTC according to Coinbase BTC-USD is between $40,000.00 and $42,500.00 (inclusive) 1 hour after first Bitcoin spot ETF approval is officially announced. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be Coinbase BTC-USD, specifically the 1 minute candle close price one hour after the approval announcement. 

If the first Bitcoin spot ETF is not approved by January 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”


id: 253754
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $BTC price between $47,500-50,000 1 hour after ETF approval?
start_date: 2024-01-09
end_date: 2024-01-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Bulletin Board Update - 2024-01-10 1:12 PM PT:

If it is confirmed the SEC pdf approving the first bitcoin spot ETFs was legitimate, then the close price of the candle at 1:43 PM PT (1 hour after @tier10k posted approval news) will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of $BTC according to Coinbase BTC-USD is between $47,500.01 and $50,000.00 (inclusive) 1 hour after first Bitcoin spot ETF approval is officially announced. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be Coinbase BTC-USD, specifically the 1 minute candle close price one hour after the approval announcement. 

If the first Bitcoin spot ETF is not approved by January 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”


id: 253755
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $BTC price >$50,000 1 hour after ETF approval?
start_date: 2024-01-09
end_date: 2024-01-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Bulletin Board Update - 2024-01-10 1:12 PM PT:

If it is confirmed the SEC pdf approving the first bitcoin spot ETFs was legitimate, then the close price of the candle at 1:43 PM PT (1 hour after @tier10k posted approval news) will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of $BTC according to Coinbase BTC-USD is greater than $50,000.00 1 hour after first Bitcoin spot ETF approval is officially announced. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be Coinbase BTC-USD, specifically the 1 minute candle close price one hour after the approval announcement. 

If the first Bitcoin spot ETF is not approved by January 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”


id: 253756
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $BTC price between $45,000-47,500 1 hour after ETF approval?
start_date: 2024-01-09
end_date: 2024-01-14
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Bulletin Board Update - 2024-01-10 1:12 PM PT:

If it is confirmed the SEC pdf approving the first bitcoin spot ETFs was legitimate, then the close price of the candle at 1:43 PM PT (1 hour after @tier10k posted approval news) will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of $BTC according to Coinbase BTC-USD is between $45,000.01 and $47,500.00 (inclusive) 1 hour after first Bitcoin spot ETF approval is officially announced. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be Coinbase BTC-USD, specifically the 1 minute candle close price one hour after the approval announcement. 

If the first Bitcoin spot ETF is not approved by January 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”


id: 253758
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Bitcoin ETF doesn't get approval by Jan 15?
start_date: 2024-01-09
end_date: 2024-01-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if no spot Bitcoin ETF receives approval from the SEC by January 15, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the SEC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 253759
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Was @SECGov really hacked?
start_date: 2024-01-09
end_date: 2024-01-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "No" if definitive evidence is released that @SECGov (https://twitter.com/secgov) was not actually hacked, meaning that someone from within the SEC posted the false tweet claiming that the Bitcoin ETF had been approved. This market will resolve to "Yes" otherwise. If no definitive evidence is released prior to Friday, January 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes."

This market will resolve according to official statements from the SEC or a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 253760
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump margin of victory in Iowa Caucus <20%
start_date: 2024-01-11
end_date: 2024-01-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses by between 0% and 20% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses take place, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 253762
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump margin of victory in Iowa Caucus 20-25%
start_date: 2024-01-11
end_date: 2024-01-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses by between 20% (inclusive) and 25% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses take place, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 253763
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump margin of victory in Iowa Caucus 25-30%
start_date: 2024-01-11
end_date: 2024-01-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses by between 25% (inclusive) and 30% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses take place, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 253764
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump margin of victory in Iowa Caucus 30-35%
start_date: 2024-01-11
end_date: 2024-01-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses by between 30% (inclusive) and 35% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses take place, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 253765
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump margin of victory in Iowa Caucus 35-40%
start_date: 2024-01-11
end_date: 2024-01-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses by between 35% (inclusive) and 40% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses take place, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 253766
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump margin of victory in Iowa Caucus >40%
start_date: 2024-01-11
end_date: 2024-01-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses by greater than 40% of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses take place, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 253767
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20?
start_date: 2024-01-11
end_date: 2024-01-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if is a US government shutdown occurs between January 9 and January 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary a US government shutdown occurs, whether it is a partial shutdown, or a full shutdown.

If the US federal government goes unfunded for any period of time before a new budget/stopgap can be signed into law, it will be considered a government shutdown.

The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 253768
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Musk tweet less than 160 times between Jan 10-16?
start_date: 2024-01-10
end_date: 2024-01-16
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Bulletin Board Update: 5:27 PM ET

If SocialBlade stops updating numbers correctly for the correct dates, as verified by checking X itself, a manual count for Tweets from Jan 10, ET to Jan 16, ET will be done instead on Jan 17, 12 AM ET (including whichever post types that SocialBlade accounts for).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the @elonmusk X/Twitter account posts/tweets fewer than 160 times between January 10 and 16, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Social Blade page for the Elon Musk X/Twitter account (https://socialblade.com/twitter/user/elonmusk), specifically the chart for "Tweets Posted Weekly" once the number for Jan 10, 2024 - Jan 16, 2024 is finalized.

If Social Blade becomes permanently unavailable by the time this market is set to resolve, the @elonmusk X/Twitter account itself will be used as the resolution source.


id: 253769
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Musk tweet between 160-225 times between Jan 10-16?
start_date: 2024-01-10
end_date: 2024-01-16
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Bulletin Board Update: 5:27 PM ET

If SocialBlade stops updating numbers correctly for the correct dates, as verified by checking X itself, a manual count for Tweets from Jan 10, ET to Jan 16, ET will be done instead on Jan 17, 12 AM ET (including whichever post types that SocialBlade accounts for).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the @elonmusk X/Twitter account posts/tweets between 160-225 (inclusive) times between January 10 and 16, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Social Blade page for the Elon Musk X/Twitter account (https://socialblade.com/twitter/user/elonmusk), specifically the chart for "Tweets Posted Weekly" once the number for Jan 10, 2024 - Jan 16, 2024 is finalized.

If Social Blade becomes permanently unavailable by the time this market is set to resolve, the @elonmusk X/Twitter account itself will be used as the resolution source.


id: 253770
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Musk tweet between 226-300 times between Jan 10-16?
start_date: 2024-01-10
end_date: 2024-01-16
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Bulletin Board Update: 5:27 PM ET

If SocialBlade stops updating numbers correctly for the correct dates, as verified by checking X itself, a manual count for Tweets from Jan 10, ET to Jan 16, ET will be done instead on Jan 17, 12 AM ET (including whichever post types that SocialBlade accounts for).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the @elonmusk X/Twitter account posts/tweets between 226-300 (inclusive) times between January 10 and 16, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Social Blade page for the Elon Musk X/Twitter account (https://socialblade.com/twitter/user/elonmusk), specifically the chart for "Tweets Posted Weekly" once the number for Jan 10, 2024 - Jan 16, 2024 is finalized.

If Social Blade becomes permanently unavailable by the time this market is set to resolve, the @elonmusk X/Twitter account itself will be used as the resolution source.


id: 253771
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Musk tweet between 376-450 times between Jan 10-16?
start_date: 2024-01-10
end_date: 2024-01-16
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Bulletin Board Update: 5:27 PM ET

If SocialBlade stops updating numbers correctly for the correct dates, as verified by checking X itself, a manual count for Tweets from Jan 10, ET to Jan 16, ET will be done instead on Jan 17, 12 AM ET (including whichever post types that SocialBlade accounts for).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the @elonmusk X/Twitter account posts/tweets between 376-450 (inclusive) times between January 10 and 16, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Social Blade page for the Elon Musk X/Twitter account (https://socialblade.com/twitter/user/elonmusk), specifically the chart for "Tweets Posted Weekly" once the number for Jan 10, 2024 - Jan 16, 2024 is finalized.

If Social Blade becomes permanently unavailable by the time this market is set to resolve, the @elonmusk X/Twitter account itself will be used as the resolution source.


id: 253772
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Musk tweet between 451-525 times between Jan 10-16?
start_date: 2024-01-10
end_date: 2024-01-16
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Bulletin Board Update: 5:27 PM ET

If SocialBlade stops updating numbers correctly for the correct dates, as verified by checking X itself, a manual count for Tweets from Jan 10, ET to Jan 16, ET will be done instead on Jan 17, 12 AM ET (including whichever post types that SocialBlade accounts for).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the @elonmusk X/Twitter account posts/tweets between 451-525 (inclusive) times between January 10 and 16, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Social Blade page for the Elon Musk X/Twitter account (https://socialblade.com/twitter/user/elonmusk), specifically the chart for "Tweets Posted Weekly" once the number for Jan 10, 2024 - Jan 16, 2024 is finalized.

If Social Blade becomes permanently unavailable by the time this market is set to resolve, the @elonmusk X/Twitter account itself will be used as the resolution source.


id: 253773
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Musk tweet between 301-375 times between Jan 10-16?
start_date: 2024-01-10
end_date: 2024-01-16
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Bulletin Board Update: 5:27 PM ET

If SocialBlade stops updating numbers correctly for the correct dates, as verified by checking X itself, a manual count for Tweets from Jan 10, ET to Jan 16, ET will be done instead on Jan 17, 12 AM ET (including whichever post types that SocialBlade accounts for).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the @elonmusk X/Twitter account posts/tweets between 301-375 (inclusive) times between January 10 and 16, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Social Blade page for the Elon Musk X/Twitter account (https://socialblade.com/twitter/user/elonmusk), specifically the chart for "Tweets Posted Weekly" once the number for Jan 10, 2024 - Jan 16, 2024 is finalized.

If Social Blade becomes permanently unavailable by the time this market is set to resolve, the @elonmusk X/Twitter account itself will be used as the resolution source.


id: 253774
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Musk tweet more than 525 times between Jan 10-16?
start_date: 2024-01-10
end_date: 2024-01-16
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Bulletin Board Update: 5:27 PM ET

If SocialBlade stops updating numbers correctly for the correct dates, as verified by checking X itself, a manual count for Tweets from Jan 10, ET to Jan 16, ET will be done instead on Jan 17, 12 AM ET (including whichever post types that SocialBlade accounts for).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the @elonmusk X/Twitter account posts/tweets more than 525 times between January 10 and 16, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Social Blade page for the Elon Musk X/Twitter account (https://socialblade.com/twitter/user/elonmusk), specifically the chart for "Tweets Posted Weekly" once the number for Jan 10, 2024 - Jan 16, 2024 is finalized.

If Social Blade becomes permanently unavailable by the time this market is set to resolve, the @elonmusk X/Twitter account itself will be used as the resolution source.


id: 253776
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January?
start_date: 2024-01-10
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remains free from government custody and active through January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.


id: 253777
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will they find another Jewish tunnel in NYC by Monday?
start_date: 2024-01-10
end_date: 2024-01-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if another illegal tunnel constructed by Hasidic Jews is discovered in New York City between January 10 and January 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution of this market will be based on a consensus of credible sources.


id: 253779
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: BTC ETFs first week combined AUM between $10-30 billion?
start_date: 2024-01-11
end_date: 2024-01-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the combined AUM of all bitcoin spot ETFs as of end of day Jan 19, 2024 ET is between $10 billion and $30 billion (inclusive). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible sources. This market may stay open until figures are known.


id: 253782
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: BTC ETFs first week combined AUM between $30-60 billion?
start_date: 2024-01-11
end_date: 2024-01-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the combined AUM of all bitcoin spot ETFs as of end of day Jan 19, 2024 ET is between $30 billion (exclusive) and $60 billion (inclusive). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible sources. This market may stay open until figures are known.


id: 253784
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Ron DeSantis be the next major GOP presidential race dropout?
start_date: 2024-01-11
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ron DeSantis drops out of the 2024 US presidential election before Donald Trump, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Nikki Haley. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from this candidate or their official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253785
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next major GOP presidential race dropout?
start_date: 2024-01-11
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vivek Ramaswamy drops out of the 2024 US presidential election before Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, and Nikki Haley. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from this candidate or their official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253786
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Nikki Haley be the next major GOP presidential race dropout?
start_date: 2024-01-11
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley drops out of the 2024 US presidential election before Donald Trump, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Ron DeSantis. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from this candidate or their official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253788
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Over $4 billion inflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs on first day of trading?
start_date: 2024-01-11
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Jan 10 Bloomberg Intelligence predicted there would be over $4 billion of inflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs on the first day of trading (https://x.com/BBGIntelligence/status/1745187694928376233).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are $4 billion or more of combined inflows into bitcoin spot ETFs on their first day of trading. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible sources. This market may stay open until the value of inflows is known.


id: 253796
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
start_date: 2024-01-11
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.


id: 253798
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Jordan Henderson leave Saudi Arabia this transfer window?
start_date: 2024-01-11
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on whether Jordan Henderson, the current Al-Ettifaq player, will sign for any football club not in the Saudi Pro League in the Winter transfer window, which closes on January 31, 2024.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Henderson has signed for any team NOT in the Saudi Pro League during the transfer window, or if he announces his immediate retirement during the transfer window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will also resolve to “No” if it is announced that Henderson has signed a contract extension with Al-Ettifaq.  

If a club announces that Henderson has signed with them but later retracts that announcement, this market will resolve according to the initial announcement.

This market's resolution source will be official, credible announcements from either Al-Ettifaq or the signing club.


id: 253799
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions?
start_date: 2024-03-20
end_date: 2024-06-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Boston Celtics win the 2023-2024 NBA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "No" immediately if it becomes impossible for this team to become 2023-24 NBA Champion.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.


id: 253801
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will New York Knicks be 2023-24 NBA Champions?
start_date: 2024-03-20
end_date: 2024-06-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the New York Knicks win the 2023-2024 NBA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "No" immediately if it becomes impossible for this team to become 2023-24 NBA Champion.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.


id: 253814
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Dallas Mavericks be 2023-24 NBA Champions?
start_date: 2024-03-20
end_date: 2024-06-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Dallas Mavericks win the 2023-2024 NBA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "No" immediately if it becomes impossible for this team to become 2023-24 NBA Champion.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.


id: 253819
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Denver Nuggets be 2023-24 NBA Champions?
start_date: 2024-03-20
end_date: 2024-06-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Denver Nuggets win the 2023-2024 NBA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "No" immediately if it becomes impossible for this team to become 2023-24 NBA Champion.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.


id: 253820
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Minnesota Timberwolves be 2023-24 NBA Champions?
start_date: 2024-03-20
end_date: 2024-06-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2023-2024 NBA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "No" immediately if it becomes impossible for this team to become 2023-24 NBA Champion.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.


id: 253821
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Oklahoma City Thunder be 2023-24 NBA Champions?
start_date: 2024-03-20
end_date: 2024-06-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Oklahoma City Thunder wins the 2023-2024 NBA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "No" immediately if it becomes impossible for this team to become 2023-24 NBA Champion.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.


id: 253830
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Apple be the largest company in the world on January 31?
start_date: 2024-01-11
end_date: 2024-01-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple Inc. (AAPL) is the largest company in the world as ranked by market capitalization as of NASDAQ's closure on January 31, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.


id: 253832
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world on January 31?
start_date: 2024-01-11
end_date: 2024-01-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is the largest company in the world as ranked by market capitalization as of NASDAQ's closure on January 31, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.


id: 253845
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will "Oppenheimer" win the Oscar for Best Picture?
start_date: 2024-01-16
end_date: 2024-03-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Oppenheimer" wins the Academy Award for Best Picture. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the film which comes first in alphabetical order.


The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 253856
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
start_date: 2024-01-12
end_date: 2024-01-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Novak Djokovic wins the 2024 Australian Open in the Men’s Singles category. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If Novak Djokovic is eliminated before the finals this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/)


id: 253859
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Finnish Presidential Election: Will Alexander Stubb win?
start_date: 2024-01-17
end_date: 2024-01-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2024 Finnish presidential election is scheduled to take place on January 28, 2024, with a possible second round on February 11.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alexander Stubb wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No."

In the case of a two-round election, if this candidate is eliminated before the second round this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Finland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 253891
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%
start_date: 2024-01-16
end_date: 2024-01-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican New Hampshire Primary by greater than 15% of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican New Hampshire Primary take place, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 253894
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 12.5-15%
start_date: 2024-01-16
end_date: 2024-01-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican New Hampshire Primary by between 12.5% (inclusive) and 15% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican New Hampshire Primary take place, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 253896
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 10-12.5%
start_date: 2024-01-16
end_date: 2024-01-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican New Hampshire Primary by between 10% (inclusive) and 12.5% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican New Hampshire Primary take place, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 253900
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 2.5-5%
start_date: 2024-01-16
end_date: 2024-01-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican New Hampshire Primary by between 2.5% (inclusive) and 5% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican New Hampshire Primary take place, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 253901
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump lose the New Hampshire Primary?
start_date: 2024-01-16
end_date: 2024-01-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump loses the 2024 Republican New Hampshire Primary by proportion of the popular vote (comes in second place or lower). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican New Hampshire Primary take place, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 253943
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Sherrone Moore be the next head coach of the Michigan Wolverines?
start_date: 2024-01-18
end_date: 2024-08-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sherrone Moore is announced to be the next head coach of the Michigan Wolverines for the NCAA 2024-25 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve immediately based on the first official announcement of who will be head coach for Michigan.

The primary resolution source will be information from Michigan and/or Sherrone Moore and his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 253944
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Jim Harbaugh be the next head coach of the Michigan Wolverines?
start_date: 2024-01-18
end_date: 2024-08-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim Harbaugh is announced to be the next head coach of the Michigan Wolverines for the NCAA 2024-25 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve immediately based on the first official announcement of who will be head coach for Michigan.

The primary resolution source will be information from Michigan and/or Sherrone Moore and his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 253956
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: El Salvador Presidential Election: Will Joel Sanchez win?
start_date: 2024-01-23
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2024 El Salvadoran presidential election is scheduled to take place on February 4, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joel Sánchez wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No."

In the case of a two-round election, if this candidate is eliminated before the second round this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from El Salvador, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 253957
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: El Salvador Presidential Election: Will Manuel Flores win?
start_date: 2024-01-23
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2024 El Salvadoran presidential election is scheduled to take place on February 4, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Manuel Flores wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No."

In the case of a two-round election, if this candidate is eliminated before the second round this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from El Salvador, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 253958
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: El Salvador Presidential Election: Will Luis Parada win?
start_date: 2024-01-23
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2024 El Salvadoran presidential election is scheduled to take place on February 4, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luis Parada wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No."

In the case of a two-round election, if this candidate is eliminated before the second round this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from El Salvador, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 253961
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Cillian Murphy win the Oscar for Best Actor?
start_date: 2024-01-17
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cillian Murphy wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 253962
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Paul Giamatti win the Oscar for Best Actor?
start_date: 2024-01-17
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Paul Giamatti wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.


The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 253965
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Andrew Scott win the Oscar for Best Actor?
start_date: 2024-01-17
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Scott wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 253967
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Leonardo DiCaprio win the Oscar for Best Actor?
start_date: 2024-01-17
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo DiCaprio wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 253972
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Pudgy Penguins flip BAYC by February 15?
start_date: 2024-01-17
end_date: 2024-02-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pudgy Penguins has a higher floor price than Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) for at least one hour between January 16 and February 15, 2024 ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Blur's chart for each NFT, specifically the red line for 30d sales, for the dates within this market's range (Pudgy Penguins: https://blur.io/collection/pudgypenguins, BAYC: https://blur.io/collection/boredapeyachtclub). If Blur becomes unavailable or ceases to report figures, another credible source may be used.


id: 253973
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Pakistan strike Iran by Saturday?
start_date: 2024-01-17
end_date: 2024-01-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan initiates a military attack on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory between January 16, 12:00 PM ET, and January 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "military attack" is any use of force executed by Pakistan on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if an Islamic Revolutionary Guard weapons depot on Iranian soil is subject to a Pakistani missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Pakistani federal government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count.

Pakistan striking an unmanned aerial vehicle or projectile over Iranian territory in a defensive capacity will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution.


id: 253978
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the median gas price per blob be <0.0001 ETH one month after EIP-4844?
start_date: 2024-01-19
end_date: 2024-12-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Ethereum Improvement Proposal 4844 (or “proto-danksharding”) is a major step toward scaling Ethereum. It lowers the cost of posting L2 rollup data to the Ethereum mainnet via “blobs” (see https://consensys.io/blog/ethereum-evolved-dencun-upgrade-part-5-eip-4844). There has been much discussion about what the gas prices per blob will be after EIP-4844 is introduced.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the median gas price per blob is less than 0.0001 ETH one month after EIP-4844 launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If EIP-4844 hasn’t been launched by Dec 31, 2024 ET this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source will be on-chain data for blob prices exactly 30 days (720 hours) after EIP-4844 is launched. Specifically, 30 days after EIP-4844 is launched, the median gas price per blob during the following 7-day (168 hour) period will be calculated and used to resolve this market. This market may be updated with specific sources that will be looked at for determining resolution.


id: 253986
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross under $70m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-01-18
end_date: 2024-03-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Dune: Part Two' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 1 - March 3) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses less than $70,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by March 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 253987
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross between $70m-80m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-01-18
end_date: 2024-03-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Dune: Part Two' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 1 - March 3) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses between $70,000,000 (inclusive) and $80,000,000 (exclusive) on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by March 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 253988
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross between $80m-90m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-01-18
end_date: 2024-03-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Dune: Part Two' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 1 - March 3) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses between $80,000,000 (inclusive) and $90,000,000 (exclusive) on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by March 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 253989
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross between $90m-100m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-01-18
end_date: 2024-03-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Dune: Part Two' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 1 - March 3) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses between $90,000,000 (inclusive) and $100,000,000 (inclusive) on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by March 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 253990
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross over $100m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-01-18
end_date: 2024-03-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Dune: Part Two' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 1 - March 3) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses more than $100,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by March 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 253992
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
start_date: 2024-01-18
end_date: 2024-09-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Note: See other market group here https://polymarket.com/event/republican-vp-supplemental for more VP options.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tim Scott wins the 2024 Republican nomination for Vice President of the United States. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.


id: 253995
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
start_date: 2024-01-18
end_date: 2024-09-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Note: See other market group here https://polymarket.com/event/republican-vp-supplemental for more VP options.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vivek Ramaswamy wins the 2024 Republican nomination for Vice President of the United States. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.


id: 254004
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will another person be next prime minister of Pakistan?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2024 Pakistani general election is scheduled to take place on February 8, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone other than Nawaz Sharif, Bilawal Bhutto Zardari and Imran Khan is the next prime minister of Pakistan following the election. If no next prime minister of Pakistan is instated by end of 2024 this market will also resolve to "Yes."

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any interim/caretaker prime minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Pakistan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 254005
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Ben Carson win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
start_date: 2024-01-18
end_date: 2024-09-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Note: See other market group here https://polymarket.com/event/republican-vp-supplemental for more VP options.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ben Carson wins the 2024 Republican nomination for Vice President of the United States. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.


id: 254009
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Reddit IPO at between $2.5b-5b valuation?
start_date: 2024-01-18
end_date: 2024-12-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Reddit's IPO market capitalization is between $2.5 billion (inclusive) and $5 billion (exclusive) at the close of the first day of trading. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Reddit doesn't complete an IPO by December 31, 2024 ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 254010
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Reddit IPO at between $5b-7.5b valuation?
start_date: 2024-01-18
end_date: 2024-12-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Reddit's IPO market capitalization is between $5 billion (inclusive) and $7.5 billion (exclusive) at the close of the first day of trading. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Reddit doesn't complete an IPO by December 31, 2024 ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 254011
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Reddit IPO at between $7.5b-10b valuation?
start_date: 2024-01-18
end_date: 2024-12-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Reddit's IPO market capitalization is between $7.5 billion (inclusive) and $10 billion (exclusive) at the close of the first day of trading. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Reddit doesn't complete an IPO by December 31, 2024 ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 254012
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Reddit IPO at between $10b-12.5b valuation?
start_date: 2024-01-18
end_date: 2024-12-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Reddit's IPO market capitalization is between $10 billion (inclusive) and $12.5 billion (exclusive) at the close of the first day of trading. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Reddit doesn't complete an IPO by December 31, 2024 ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 254018
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January?
start_date: 2024-01-19
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis carry out a military strike against the U.S. military, inclusive of all U.S. military ships, planes, bases and other infrastructure by January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Houthi missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. Strikes on U.S. military unmanned aerial vehicles/projectiles and U.S. commercial/civilian ships will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution. 

The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible may also be used.


id: 254033
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: US call for Gaza ceasefire before March?
start_date: 2024-01-19
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US president, US secretary of state or official statements from the White House officially call for Israel to establish a ceasefire between themselves and Hamas in Gaza between January 18, 2023 and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, calls for a humanitarian pause will not be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US president, US secretary of state, the White House, and/or their official representatives.


id: 254035
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Did MrBeast's Twitter post with over 124m views make between $0 and $5k?
start_date: 2024-01-19
end_date: 2024-01-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Jan 19 MrBeast posted the following on X (https://twitter.com/MrBeast/status/1748422852401942967) asking people to guess how much revenue his tweet with over 124m views made.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MrBeast announces his X/Twitter post with over 124m views (https://x.com/MrBeast/status/1747044525116108854) made less than $5,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the amount of money made by the post is not known by January 26, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MrBeast, however a consensus of credible information may also be used.


id: 254036
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Did MrBeast's Twitter post with over 124m views make between $5k and $10k?
start_date: 2024-01-19
end_date: 2024-01-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Jan 19 MrBeast posted the following on X (https://twitter.com/MrBeast/status/1748422852401942967) asking people to guess how much revenue his tweet with over 124m views made.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MrBeast announces his X/Twitter post with over 124m views (https://x.com/MrBeast/status/1747044525116108854) made between $5,000 (inclusive) and $10,000 (exclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the amount of money made by the post is not known by January 26, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MrBeast, however a consensus of credible information may also be used.


id: 254037
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Did MrBeast's Twitter post with over 124m views make between $10k and $15k?
start_date: 2024-01-19
end_date: 2024-01-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Jan 19 MrBeast posted the following on X (https://twitter.com/MrBeast/status/1748422852401942967) asking people to guess how much revenue his tweet with over 124m views made.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MrBeast announces his X/Twitter post with over 124m views (https://x.com/MrBeast/status/1747044525116108854) made between $10,000 (inclusive) and $15,000 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the amount of money made by the post is not known by January 26, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MrBeast, however a consensus of credible information may also be used.


id: 254039
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will MrBeast not say how much his Twitter post with over 124m views made?
start_date: 2024-01-19
end_date: 2024-01-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is not announced how much MrBeast's X/Twitter post with over 124m views (https://x.com/MrBeast/status/1747044525116108854) made by January 26, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to "No" if MrBeast announces how much his X/Twitter post made.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MrBeast, however a consensus of credible information may also be used.


id: 254041
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Edmonton Oilers longest winning streak in NHL history? (>17 games)
start_date: 2024-01-22
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
At the time of this market's inception (Jan 22), the Edmonton Oilers have won 13 games in a row in the 2023-24 NHL season. The record for the longest single-season winning streak in NHL history is 17, attained by the Pittsburgh Penguins in 92-93.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Edmonton Oilers win 18 games in a row in their current winning streak. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the Edmonton Oilers lose any of their next 5 games, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

Note, if they tie for the longest single-season winning streak at 17 games, it will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - they must win 18 games in a row. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including game footage, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254046
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?
start_date: 2024-01-22
end_date: 2024-02-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary is scheduled to be held on February 24, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley drops out/suspends her presidential campaign before voting starts (7 AM ET) in the South Carolina Republican Presidential primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Nikki Haley or her official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254061
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: El Salvador Presidential Election: Will someone else win?
start_date: 2024-01-23
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2024 El Salvadoran presidential election is scheduled to take place on February 4, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if someone other than Bukele, Sanchez, Flores, and Parada wins. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will also resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market includes any potential second round.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from El Salvador, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 254062
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ Vol. 1 by Feb 9?
start_date: 2024-01-23
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West officially releases Volume 1 of his collab album with Ty Dolla $ign, currently titled ‘Vultures’, by February 9, 2024, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Officially released means that at least Volume 1 of the album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

If the album is named something other than “Vultures” but is still a collab album between Kanye West and Ty Dolla $ign, that album will count toward the resolution of this market.

The resolution source will be any official Kanye West/Ye streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.


id: 254069
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Lily Gladstone win the Oscar for Best Actress?
start_date: 2024-01-23
end_date: 2024-03-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lily Gladstone wins the Academy Award for Best Actress in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254072
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Emma Stone win the Oscar for Best Actress?
start_date: 2024-01-23
end_date: 2024-03-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emma Stone wins the Academy Award for Best Actress in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254079
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Tyson Fury beat Oleksandr Usyk in Ring of Fire?
start_date: 2024-01-24
end_date: 2024-05-18
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyson Fury is officially declared the winner of the boxing match against Oleksandr Usyk, titled "Ring of Fire", currently scheduled for February 17, 2024 in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this fight ends in a draw, is not officially designated as a win for either Tyson Fury or Oleksandr Usyk, is cancelled permanently, or moved to a date after December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".


id: 254080
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Oleksandr Usyk beat Tyson Fury in Ring of Fire?
start_date: 2024-01-24
end_date: 2024-05-18
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Oleksandr Usyk is officially declared the winner of the boxing match against Tyson Fury, titled "Ring of Fire", currently scheduled for February 17, 2024 in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this fight ends in a draw, is not officially designated as a win for either Tyson Fury or Oleksandr Usyk, is cancelled permanently, or moved to a date after December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".


id: 254081
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Ring of Fire have no official winner?
start_date: 2024-01-24
end_date: 2024-05-18
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ring of Fire: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Tyson Fury, currently scheduled for February 17, 2024 in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, ends in a draw, is not officially designated as a win for either Tyson Fury or Oleksandr Usyk, is cancelled permanently, or moved to a date after December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".


id: 254083
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Martha Pollack out as Cornell President before March?
start_date: 2024-01-24
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Martha Pollack ceases to be President of Cornell University for any length of time from January 23 through February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of her resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's resolution source will be official statements from Cornell or a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 254085
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $WIF all time high before February?
start_date: 2024-01-24
end_date: 2024-01-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if $WIF reaches a new all time high between January 24, 2024, 3 PM ET and January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/dogwifhat), specifically the All time high figure and date on the right box. If CoinGecko becomes unavailable or fails to update, a consensus of highly liquid sources will be used instead.


id: 254086
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Friend.Tech airdrop before May?
start_date: 2024-01-24
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Friend.Tech has an airdrop with some amount of monetary value by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Friend.Tech, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254087
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Jim Cramer tweet bitcoin 0 times Jan 26-Feb 1?
start_date: 2024-01-25
end_date: 2024-01-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on February 2, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, Jim Cramer's X/Twitter account (https://twitter.com/jimcramer) shows 0 posts mentioning the word "bitcoin" from between January 26, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and Feb 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only the specific word "bitcoin" in the text of the post will counted as a mention. Any variance in capitalization will be accepted as a mention, but variances in spelling will not count.

-Quote posts/tweets that mention "bitcoin" in the part written by the Jim Cramer account will be counted as a mention - those that only mention "bitcoin" in the quoted post/tweet part will not count. 
-Links that include bitcoin in the url will count.
-Reposts/retweets of the word "bitcoin" will NOT count toward this market's resolution. 
-Images that include the word bitcoin will NOT count.

The resolution source for this market will be Jim Cramer's X/Twitter account (https://twitter.com/jimcramer).


id: 254088
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Jim Cramer tweet bitcoin 1-2 times Jan 26-Feb 1?
start_date: 2024-01-25
end_date: 2024-01-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on February 2, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, Jim Cramer's X/Twitter account (https://twitter.com/jimcramer) shows 1 or 2 posts mentioning the word "bitcoin" from between January 26, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and Feb 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only the specific word "bitcoin" in the text of the post will counted as a mention. Any variance in capitalization will be accepted as a mention, but variances in spelling will not count.

-Quote posts/tweets that mention "bitcoin" in the part written by the Jim Cramer account will be counted as a mention - those that only mention "bitcoin" in the quoted post/tweet part will not count. 
-Links that include bitcoin in the url will count.
-Reposts/retweets of the word "bitcoin" will NOT count toward this market's resolution. 
-Images that include the word bitcoin will NOT count.

The resolution source for this market will be Jim Cramer's X/Twitter account (https://twitter.com/jimcramer).


id: 254089
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Jim Cramer tweet bitcoin 3-4 times Jan 26-Feb 1?
start_date: 2024-01-25
end_date: 2024-01-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on February 2, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, Jim Cramer's X/Twitter account (https://twitter.com/jimcramer) shows 3 or 4 posts mentioning the word "bitcoin" from between January 26, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and Feb 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only the specific word "bitcoin" in the text of the post will counted as a mention. Any variance in capitalization will be accepted as a mention, but variances in spelling will not count.

-Quote posts/tweets that mention "bitcoin" in the part written by the Jim Cramer account will be counted as a mention - those that only mention "bitcoin" in the quoted post/tweet part will not count. 
-Links that include bitcoin in the url will count.
-Reposts/retweets of the word "bitcoin" will NOT count toward this market's resolution. 
-Images that include the word bitcoin will NOT count.

The resolution source for this market will be Jim Cramer's X/Twitter account (https://twitter.com/jimcramer).


id: 254090
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Jim Cramer tweet bitcoin 5+ times Jan 26-Feb 1?
start_date: 2024-01-25
end_date: 2024-01-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on February 2, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, Jim Cramer's X/Twitter account (https://twitter.com/jimcramer) shows 5 or more posts mentioning the word "bitcoin" from between January 26, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and Feb 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only the specific word "bitcoin" in the text of the post will counted as a mention. Any variance in capitalization will be accepted as a mention, but variances in spelling will not count.

-Quote posts/tweets that mention "bitcoin" in the part written by the Jim Cramer account will be counted as a mention - those that only mention "bitcoin" in the quoted post/tweet part will not count. 
-Links that include bitcoin in the url will count.
-Reposts/retweets of the word "bitcoin" will NOT count toward this market's resolution. 
-Images that include the word bitcoin will NOT count.

The resolution source for this market will be Jim Cramer's X/Twitter account (https://twitter.com/jimcramer).


id: 254092
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by between 10-20% of the vote?
start_date: 2024-01-25
end_date: 2024-02-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican South Carolina Primary by between 10% (inclusive) and 20% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican South Carolina Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 254093
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by between 20-30% of the vote?
start_date: 2024-01-25
end_date: 2024-02-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican South Carolina Primary by between 20% (inclusive) and 30% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican South Carolina Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 254094
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by between 30-40% of the vote?
start_date: 2024-01-25
end_date: 2024-02-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican South Carolina Primary by between 30% (inclusive) and 40% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican South Carolina Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 254095
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by between 40-50% of the vote?
start_date: 2024-01-25
end_date: 2024-02-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican South Carolina Primary by between 40% (inclusive) and 50% (inclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican South Carolina Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 254096
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by more than 50% of the vote?
start_date: 2024-01-25
end_date: 2024-02-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican South Carolina Primary by more than 50% of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican South Carolina Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 254097
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Israel attack Iran by February 15?
start_date: 2024-01-25
end_date: 2024-02-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military attack on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory between January 25 and February 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a "military attack" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is subject to a Israeli missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.

In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.


id: 254101
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will The Holdovers win the Oscar for Best Original Screenplay?
start_date: 2024-01-25
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The Holdovers' wins the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254104
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Anatomy of a Fall win the Oscar for Best Original Screenplay?
start_date: 2024-01-25
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Anatomy of a Fall' wins the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254106
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will American Fiction win the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?
start_date: 2024-01-25
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'American Fiction' wins the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254108
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Barbie win the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?
start_date: 2024-01-25
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Barbie' wins the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254109
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Oppenheimer win the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?
start_date: 2024-01-25
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Oppenheimer' wins the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254110
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Poor Things win the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?
start_date: 2024-01-25
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Poor Things' wins the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254112
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
start_date: 2024-01-18
end_date: 2024-09-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Note: See other market group here https://polymarket.com/event/republican-vp-supplemental for more VP options.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance wins the 2024 Republican nomination for Vice President of the United States. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.


id: 254113
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Mark Ruffalo win the Oscar for Best Supporting Actor?
start_date: 2024-01-25
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Ruffalo wins the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254114
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Robert De Niro win the Oscar for Best Supporting Actor?
start_date: 2024-01-25
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert De Niro wins the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254116
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Sterling K. Brown win the Oscar for Best Supporting Actor?
start_date: 2024-01-25
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sterling K. Brown wins the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254117
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Ryan Gosling win the Oscar for Best Supporting Actor?
start_date: 2024-01-25
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ryan Gosling wins the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254120
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Da'Vine Joy Randolph win the Oscar for Best Supporting Actress?
start_date: 2024-01-25
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Da'Vine Joy Randolph wins the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254128
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: US government shutdown by Mar 9?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-03-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if is a US government shutdown occurs between January 24 and March 9, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary a US government shutdown occurs, whether it is a partial shutdown, or a full shutdown.

If the US federal government goes unfunded for any period of time before a new budget/stopgap can be signed into law, it will be considered a government shutdown.

The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254130
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GRAMMYs 2024: Will "Anti-Hero" by Taylor Swift win Song of the Year?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between October 1, 2022, to September 15, 2023. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 4, 2024. The nominations were announced on November 10, 2023.

If "Anti-Hero" by Taylor Swift wins the Grammy for Song of the Year at the 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song which comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254131
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GRAMMYs 2024: Will "Butterfly" by Jon Batiste win Song of the Year?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between October 1, 2022, to September 15, 2023. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 4, 2024. The nominations were announced on November 10, 2023.

If "Butterfly" by Jon Batiste wins the Grammy for Song of the Year at the 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song which comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254133
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GRAMMYs 2024: Will "Flowers" by Miley Cyrus win Song of the Year?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between October 1, 2022, to September 15, 2023. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 4, 2024. The nominations were announced on November 10, 2023.

If "Flowers" by Miley Cyrus wins the Grammy for Song of the Year at the 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song which comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254134
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GRAMMYs 2024: Will "Kill Bill" by SZA win Song of the Year?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between October 1, 2022, to September 15, 2023. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 4, 2024. The nominations were announced on November 10, 2023.

If "Kill Bill" by SZA wins the Grammy for Song of the Year at the 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song which comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254136
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GRAMMYs 2024: Will "What Was I Made For?" by Billie Eilish win Song of the Year?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between October 1, 2022, to September 15, 2023. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 4, 2024. The nominations were announced on November 10, 2023.

If "What Was I Made For?" by Billie Eilish wins the Grammy for Song of the Year at the 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song which comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254139
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GRAMMYs 2024: Will ‘Flowers’ by Miley Cyrus win Record of the Year?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between October 1, 2022, to September 15, 2023. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 4, 2024. The nominations were announced on November 10, 2023.

If ‘Flowers’ by Miley Cyrus wins the Grammy for Record of the Year at the 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the record which comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254140
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GRAMMYs 2024: Will 'What Was I Made For?' by Billie Eilish win Record of the Year?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between October 1, 2022, to September 15, 2023. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 4, 2024. The nominations were announced on November 10, 2023.

If 'What Was I Made For?' by Billie Eilish wins the Grammy for Record of the Year at the 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the record which comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254143
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GRAMMYs 2024: Will ‘Anti-Hero’ by Taylor Swift win Record of the Year?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between October 1, 2022, to September 15, 2023. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 4, 2024. The nominations were announced on November 10, 2023.

If ‘Anti-Hero’ by Taylor Swift wins the Grammy for Record of the Year at the 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the record which comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254144
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GRAMMYs 2024: Will ‘Kill Bill’ by SZA win Record of the Year?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between October 1, 2022, to September 15, 2023. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 4, 2024. The nominations were announced on November 10, 2023.

If ‘Kill Bill’ by SZA wins the Grammy for Record of the Year at the 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the record which comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254146
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GRAMMYs 2024: Will ’the record’ by boygenius win Album of the Year?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between October 1, 2022, to September 15, 2023. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 4, 2024. The nominations were announced on November 10, 2023.

If ’the record’ by boygenius wins the Grammy for Album of the Year at the 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated album which comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254151
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GRAMMYs 2024: Will ‘Midnights’ by Taylor Swift win Album of the Year?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between October 1, 2022, to September 15, 2023. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 4, 2024. The nominations were announced on November 10, 2023.

If ‘Midnights’ by Taylor Swift wins the Grammy for Album of the Year at the 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated album which comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254153
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GRAMMYs 2024: Will ’SOS’ by SZA win Album of the Year?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between October 1, 2022, to September 15, 2023. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 4, 2024. The nominations were announced on November 10, 2023.

If ’SOS’ by SZA wins the Grammy for Album of the Year at the 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated album which comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254154
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GRAMMYs 2024: Will ‘GUTS’ by Olivia Rodrigo win Album of the Year?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between October 1, 2022, to September 15, 2023. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 4, 2024. The nominations were announced on November 10, 2023.

If ‘GUTS’ by Olivia Rodrigo wins the Grammy for Album of the Year at the 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated album which comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254155
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GRAMMYs 2024: Will Gracie Abrams win Best New Artist?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between October 1, 2022, to September 15, 2023. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 4, 2024. The nominations were announced on November 10, 2023.

If Gracie Abrams wins the Grammy for Best New Artist at the 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the artist which comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254156
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GRAMMYs 2024: Will Fred Again win Best New Artist?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between October 1, 2022, to September 15, 2023. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 4, 2024. The nominations were announced on November 10, 2023.

If Fred Again wins the Grammy for Best New Artist at the 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the artist which comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254157
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GRAMMYs 2024: Will Ice Spice win Best New Artist?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between October 1, 2022, to September 15, 2023. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 4, 2024. The nominations were announced on November 10, 2023.

If Ice Spice wins the Grammy for Best New Artist at the 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the artist which comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254158
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GRAMMYs 2024: Will Jelly Roll win Best New Artist?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between October 1, 2022, to September 15, 2023. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 4, 2024. The nominations were announced on November 10, 2023.

If Jelly Roll wins the Grammy for Best New Artist at the 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the artist which comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254159
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GRAMMYs 2024: Will Coco Jones win Best New Artist?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between October 1, 2022, to September 15, 2023. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 4, 2024. The nominations were announced on November 10, 2023.

If Coco Jones wins the Grammy for Best New Artist at the 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the artist which comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254160
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GRAMMYs 2024: Will Noah Kahan win Best New Artist?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between October 1, 2022, to September 15, 2023. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 4, 2024. The nominations were announced on November 10, 2023.

If Noah Kahan wins the Grammy for Best New Artist at the 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the artist which comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254161
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GRAMMYs 2024: Will The War And Treaty win Best New Artist?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between October 1, 2022, to September 15, 2023. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 4, 2024. The nominations were announced on November 10, 2023.

If The War And Treaty wins the Grammy for Best New Artist at the 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the artist which comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254162
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GRAMMYs 2024: Will Victoria Monet win Best New Artist?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-02-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between October 1, 2022, to September 15, 2023. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 4, 2024. The nominations were announced on November 10, 2023.

If Victoria Monét wins the Grammy for Best New Artist at the 66th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the artist which comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254165
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Istanbul Mayoral Election 2024: Will CHP win?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate from the Republican People's Party (CHP, Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi) wins the 2024 Istanbul mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Turkish government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 254166
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Istanbul Mayoral Election 2024: Will AK win?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate from the Justice and Development Party (AK Party, Adalet ve Kalkınma Partisi) wins the 2024 Istanbul mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Turkish government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 254170
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Steve Garvey advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary?
start_date: 2024-01-26
end_date: 2024-03-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The CA Senate Primary is scheduled for March 5, 2024, in which the two highest-placing candidates advance to the general election, regardless of party affiliation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Garvey moves onto the US general election from the 2024 California primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 California primaries take place before the 2024 US General Election, this market will resolve to "No".

If Steve Garvey withdraws from or otherwise announces he is dropping out of the 2024 race for US Senator from California at any point before the primary, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from California, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 254174
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March?
start_date: 2024-01-28
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between January 27, 11:00 AM ET and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties. Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. The ceasefire must last at least 24 hours and have begun before the resolution date. For example, if the ceasefire begins on January 31, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 24 hours.

This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media sources.


id: 254181
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday?
start_date: 2024-01-29
end_date: 2024-03-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Super Tuesday (March 5) is a day in the Republican nomination process in which 15 states hold their Republican primaries/caucuses. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley drops out/suspends her presidential campaign before the main polling places open on Super Tuesday (7 AM ET, March 5, 2024). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Nikki Haley or her official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254186
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) beat More Light?
start_date: 2024-01-30
end_date: 2024-12-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben Armstrong is officially declared the winner of Influencer Fight Club (IFC) match against More Light. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this fight ends in a draw, is not officially designated as a win for either Ben Armstrong or More Light, is cancelled permanently, or moved to a date after December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".


id: 254187
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will More Light beat Ben Armstrong?
start_date: 2024-01-30
end_date: 2024-12-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if More Light is officially declared the winner of Influencer Fight Club (IFC) match against Ben Armstrong. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this fight ends in a draw, is not officially designated as a win for either Ben Armstrong or More Light, is cancelled permanently, or moved to a date after December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".


id: 254188
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Ben Armstrong vs. More Light have no official winner?
start_date: 2024-01-30
end_date: 2024-12-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Influencer Fight Club's (IFC) match between Ben Armstrong and More Light, ends in a draw, is not officially designated as a win for either Ben Armstrong or More Light, is cancelled permanently, or moved to a date after December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".


id: 254191
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Marco Rubio win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
start_date: 2024-01-30
end_date: 2024-09-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Note: See other market group here https://polymarket.com/event/republican-vp-supplemental for more VP options.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio wins the 2024 Republican nomination for Vice President of the United States. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.


id: 254197
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
start_date: 2024-01-30
end_date: 2024-09-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Note: See other market group here https://polymarket.com/event/republican-vp-supplemental for more VP options.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a man other than Vivek Ramaswamy, Tucker Carlson, Ron DeSantis, Tim Scott, Byron Donalds, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Ben Carson, JD Vance, Mike Pence, Mike Pompeo, Marco Rubio, Wesley Hunt, Henry McMaster, Lee Zeldin, Donald Trump Jr., and Eric Trump wins the 2024 Republican nomination for Vice President of the United States. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.


id: 254202
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary?
start_date: 2024-01-30
end_date: 2024-02-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Nevada is holding both a Republican Primary and Republican caucus in 2024, and the state party determined only the caucus will decide the delegate allocation. Haley is the only major candidate on the Primary ballot, and Trump is the only major candidate on the Caucus ballot. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley wins over 50% of the votes cast in the Nevada Republican Primary, currently scheduled for February 6th, 2024. "Votes cast" includes votes for any candidate as well as votes for "None of these candidates".

If no such primary takes place in Nevada in 2024, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Nevada Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 254204
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Man City win the 2023-24 Champions League?
start_date: 2024-01-30
end_date: 2024-05-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023–24 UEFA Champions League is the 69th season of Europe's premier club football tournament organized by UEFA.

The final is scheduled to be played on June 1, 2024 at the Wembley Stadium in London, England.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Man City wins the 2023-24 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to "No" if this team is eliminated from contention to win the 2023-2024 Champions League.


id: 254205
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will PSG win the 2023-24 Champions League?
start_date: 2024-01-30
end_date: 2024-05-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023–24 UEFA Champions League is the 69th season of Europe's premier club football tournament organized by UEFA.

The final is scheduled to be played on June 1, 2024 at the Wembley Stadium in London, England.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if PSG wins the 2023-24 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to "No" if this team is eliminated from contention to win the 2023-2024 Champions League.


id: 254208
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Dortmund win the 2023-24 Champions League?
start_date: 2024-01-30
end_date: 2024-05-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023–24 UEFA Champions League is the 69th season of Europe's premier club football tournament organized by UEFA.

The final is scheduled to be played on June 1, 2024 at the Wembley Stadium in London, England.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dortmund wins the 2023-24 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to "No" if this team is eliminated from contention to win the 2023-2024 Champions League.


id: 254210
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Arsenal win the 2023-24 Champions League?
start_date: 2024-01-30
end_date: 2024-05-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023–24 UEFA Champions League is the 69th season of Europe's premier club football tournament organized by UEFA.

The final is scheduled to be played on June 1, 2024 at the Wembley Stadium in London, England.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arsenal wins the 2023-24 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to "No" if this team is eliminated from contention to win the 2023-2024 Champions League.


id: 254212
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Real Madrid win the 2023-24 Champions League?
start_date: 2024-01-30
end_date: 2024-05-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023–24 UEFA Champions League is the 69th season of Europe's premier club football tournament organized by UEFA.

The final is scheduled to be played on June 1, 2024 at the Wembley Stadium in London, England.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Real Madrid wins the 2023-24 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to "No" if this team is eliminated from contention to win the 2023-2024 Champions League.


id: 254214
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Inter win the 2023-24 Champions League?
start_date: 2024-01-30
end_date: 2024-05-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023–24 UEFA Champions League is the 69th season of Europe's premier club football tournament organized by UEFA.

The final is scheduled to be played on June 1, 2024 at the Wembley Stadium in London, England.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Inter Milan wins the 2023-24 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to "No" if this team is eliminated from contention to win the 2023-2024 Champions League.


id: 254215
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Bayern win the 2023-24 Champions League?
start_date: 2024-01-30
end_date: 2024-05-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023–24 UEFA Champions League is the 69th season of Europe's premier club football tournament organized by UEFA.

The final is scheduled to be played on June 1, 2024 at the Wembley Stadium in London, England.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bayern Munich wins the 2023-24 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to "No" if this team is eliminated from contention to win the 2023-2024 Champions League.


id: 254216
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Atletico Madrid win the 2023-24 Champions League?
start_date: 2024-01-30
end_date: 2024-05-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023–24 UEFA Champions League is the 69th season of Europe's premier club football tournament organized by UEFA.

The final is scheduled to be played on June 1, 2024 at the Wembley Stadium in London, England.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Atletico Madrid wins the 2023-24 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to "No" if this team is eliminated from contention to win the 2023-2024 Champions League.


id: 254218
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Barcelona win the 2023-24 Champions League?
start_date: 2024-01-30
end_date: 2024-05-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023–24 UEFA Champions League is the 69th season of Europe's premier club football tournament organized by UEFA.

The final is scheduled to be played on June 1, 2024 at the Wembley Stadium in London, England.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Barcelona wins the 2023-24 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to "No" if this team is eliminated from contention to win the 2023-2024 Champions League.


id: 254223
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Argylle' gross under $20m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-01-30
end_date: 2024-02-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Argylle' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15009428/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (February 2 - February 4) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Argylle' (2024) grosses less than $20,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by February 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 254224
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Argylle' gross between $20m and $25m opening weekend?
start_date: 2024-01-30
end_date: 2024-02-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Argylle' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15009428/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (February 2 - February 4) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Argylle' (2024) grosses between $20,000,000 (inclusive) and $25,000,000 (exclusive) on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by February 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 254236
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will JUP be below $0.40 one week after airdrop?
start_date: 2024-01-31
end_date: 2024-02-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jupiter Project's token ($JUP) is below $0.4000 (i.e. $0.3999 or less) one week after token airdrop occurs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/JUP_USDT?_from=markets&theme=dark&type=spot), specifically the close price of the 1 minute candle titled 7 Feb ’24 10:00 in the ET timezone will be used.


id: 254237
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will JUP be between $0.40 and $0.70 one week after airdrop?
start_date: 2024-01-31
end_date: 2024-02-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jupiter Project's token ($JUP) is between $0.4000 (inclusive) and $0.7000 (exclusive) one week after token airdrop occurs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/JUP_USDT?_from=markets&theme=dark&type=spot), specifically the close price of the 1 minute candle titled 7 Feb ’24 10:00 in the ET timezone will be used.


id: 254238
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will JUP be between $0.70 and $1.00 one week after airdrop?
start_date: 2024-01-31
end_date: 2024-02-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jupiter Project's token ($JUP) is between $0.7000 (inclusive) and $1.0000 (inclusive) one week after token airdrop occurs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/JUP_USDT?_from=markets&theme=dark&type=spot), specifically the close price of the 1 minute candle titled 7 Feb ’24 10:00 in the ET timezone will be used.


id: 254239
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will JUP be above $1.00 one week after airdrop?
start_date: 2024-01-31
end_date: 2024-02-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jupiter Project's token ($JUP) is above $1.0000 (i.e. $1.0001 or more) one week after token airdrop occurs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/JUP_USDT?_from=markets&theme=dark&type=spot), specifically the close price of the 1 minute candle titled 7 Feb ’24 10:00 in the ET timezone will be used.


id: 254240
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will BTC hit $50,000 in February?
start_date: 2024-01-31
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for bitcoin BTC-USD between 1 Feb '24 00:00 and 29 Feb '24 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 50,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 254241
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will ETH hit $2,500 in February?
start_date: 2024-01-31
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for ethereum ETH-USD between 1 Feb '24 00:00 and 29 Feb '24 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 2,500.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the ETH-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/ETH-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase ETH-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 254247
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Fed rate cut by June 12?
start_date: 2024-01-31
end_date: 2024-06-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between January 31, 2024 ET and June 12, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market may not resolve to "No" until June 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET has passed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254259
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Courtney Najera lose CA-30 primary?
start_date: 2024-02-01
end_date: 2024-03-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The CA House Primary is scheduled for March 5, 2024, in which the two highest-placing candidates advance to the general election, regardless of party affiliation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Courtney Najera fails to move onto the CA-30 general election from the primary. If she advances to the CA-30 general election from the primary, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from California, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 254261
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: New Zhu Su/Kyle Davies crypto company before March?
start_date: 2024-02-01
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Feb 1 it was announced that Zhu Su + Kyle Davies' company OPNX would cease all operations. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zhu Su and Kyle Davies announce they are starting or have started another crypto-related company together by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Zhu Su and Kyle Davies and/or their official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254263
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Gatorade shower at 2024 Super Bowl be purple?
start_date: 2024-02-02
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the color of the gatorade shower in Super Bowl 58 is purple. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official footage of Super Bowl 58, however a consensus of credible sources may also be used.

Note: In the event the gatorade shower color doesn’t match any of the listed options in this group, this market will resolve to the listed option that looks the closest. 


id: 254265
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Gatorade shower at 2024 Super Bowl be blue?
start_date: 2024-02-02
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the color of the gatorade shower in Super Bowl 58 is blue. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official footage of Super Bowl 58, however a consensus of credible sources may also be used.

Note: In the event the gatorade shower color doesn’t match any of the listed options in this group, this market will resolve to the listed option that looks the closest. 


id: 254266
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Gatorade shower at 2024 Super Bowl be yellow/green?
start_date: 2024-02-02
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the color of the gatorade shower in Super Bowl 58 is yellow/green. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official footage of Super Bowl 58, however a consensus of credible sources may also be used.

Note: In the event the gatorade shower color doesn’t match any of the listed options in this group, this market will resolve to the listed option that looks the closest. 


id: 254267
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Gatorade shower at 2024 Super Bowl be orange?
start_date: 2024-02-02
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the color of the gatorade shower in Super Bowl 58 is orange. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official footage of Super Bowl 58, however a consensus of credible sources may also be used.

Note: In the event the gatorade shower color doesn’t match any of the listed options in this group, this market will resolve to the listed option that looks the closest. 


id: 254268
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Gatorade shower at 2024 Super Bowl be red/pink?
start_date: 2024-02-02
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the color of the gatorade shower in Super Bowl 58 is red/pink. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official footage of Super Bowl 58, however a consensus of credible sources may also be used.

Note: In the event the gatorade shower color doesn’t match any of the listed options in this group, this market will resolve to the listed option that looks the closest. 


id: 254269
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Gatorade shower at 2024 Super Bowl be clear/water?
start_date: 2024-02-02
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the color of the gatorade shower in Super Bowl 58 is clear or water. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official footage of Super Bowl 58, however a consensus of credible sources may also be used.

Note: In the event the gatorade shower color doesn’t match any of the listed options in this group, this market will resolve to the listed option that looks the closest. 


id: 254270
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl 58?
start_date: 2024-02-02
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is no gatorade shower in Super Bowl 58. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official footage of Super Bowl 58, however a consensus of credible sources may also be used.


id: 254271
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: TikTok/UMG deal before March?
start_date: 2024-02-02
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if TikTok and Universal Music Group (UMG) agree by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET to a deal which would permit music by UMG artists to appear on TikTok again.

Note: An announcement before the resolution date of an agreement/deal will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the agreement/deal goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok and UMG, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.


id: 254273
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will US gain less than 200k jobs in February?
start_date: 2024-02-02
end_date: 2024-03-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 353,000 in January 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains less than 200,000 in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for February, scheduled to be released on March 8, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm


id: 254282
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Farcaster's growth peak on Friday?
start_date: 2024-02-02
end_date: 2024-02-07
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of Farcaster users (by # unique casters) is fewer on February 3, 2024 than on February 2, 2024 after numbers for those days are finalized AND none of the prior days starting from Feb 1 peaked. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve immediately once numbers for both dates are finalized.

The primary resolution source for this market is https://dune.com/pixelhack/farcaster, specifically the DAU graph by unique cast fid. If this source is down at the resolution time, another reliable source will be used.


id: 254283
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Farcaster's growth peak on Saturday?
start_date: 2024-02-02
end_date: 2024-02-07
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of Farcaster users (by # unique casters) is fewer on February 4, 2024 than on February 3, 2024 after numbers for those days are finalized AND none of the prior days starting from Feb 1 peaked. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve immediately once numbers for both dates are finalized.

The primary resolution source for this market is https://dune.com/pixelhack/farcaster, specifically the DAU graph by unique cast fid. If this source is down at the resolution time, another reliable source will be used.


id: 254284
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Farcaster's growth peak on Sunday?
start_date: 2024-02-02
end_date: 2024-02-07
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of Farcaster users (by # unique casters) is fewer on February 5, 2024 than on February 4, 2024 after numbers for those days are finalized AND none of the prior days starting from Feb 1 peaked. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve immediately once numbers for both dates are finalized.

The primary resolution source for this market is https://dune.com/pixelhack/farcaster, specifically the DAU graph by unique cast fid. If this source is down at the resolution time, another reliable source will be used.


id: 254290
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Farcaster's growth peak on Thursday?
start_date: 2024-02-02
end_date: 2024-02-07
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of Farcaster users (by # unique casters) is fewer on February 2, 2024 than on February 1, 2024, after numbers for those days are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve immediately once numbers for both dates are finalized.

The primary resolution source for this market is https://dune.com/pixelhack/farcaster, specifically the DAU graph by unique cast fid. If this source is down at the resolution time, another reliable source will be used.


id: 254291
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Larry Sukernik last the longest-lasting of the listed Cryptothegame participants?
start_date: 2024-02-03
end_date: 2024-05-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Larry Sukernik lasts the longest of the listed 'Crypto: The Game' participants. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The list of relevant participants is: Larry Sukernik, Paris Rouzati, mgiuelpf, Anish Agnihotri, Lito Coen, Jesse Pollak, 3lau, packym, funghibull, web3brett

If two or more participants are eliminated at the same time, the one whose name comes first in alphanumeric order, starting with the first name in cases where this applies, will the one who will be considered to have lasted longer.

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and participants relevant to this market remain in-game, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players


id: 254293
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will mgiuelpf last the longest-lasting of the listed Cryptothegame participants?
start_date: 2024-02-03
end_date: 2024-05-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if mgiuelpf lasts the longest of the listed 'Crypto: The Game' participants. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The list of relevant participants is: Larry Sukernik, Paris Rouzati, mgiuelpf, Anish Agnihotri, Lito Coen, Jesse Pollak, 3lau, packym, funghibull, web3brett

If two or more participants are eliminated at the same time, the one whose name comes first in alphanumeric order, starting with the first name in cases where this applies, will the one who will be considered to have lasted longer.

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and participants relevant to this market remain in-game, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players


id: 254294
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Anish Agnihotri last the longest-lasting of the listed Cryptothegame participants?
start_date: 2024-02-03
end_date: 2024-05-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anish Agnihotri lasts the longest of the listed 'Crypto: The Game' participants. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The list of relevant participants is: Larry Sukernik, Paris Rouzati, mgiuelpf, Anish Agnihotri, Lito Coen, Jesse Pollak, 3lau, packym, funghibull, web3brett

If two or more participants are eliminated at the same time, the one whose name comes first in alphanumeric order, starting with the first name in cases where this applies, will the one who will be considered to have lasted longer.

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and participants relevant to this market remain in-game, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players


id: 254295
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Lito Coen last the longest-lasting of the listed Cryptothegame participants?
start_date: 2024-02-03
end_date: 2024-05-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lito Coen lasts the longest of the listed 'Crypto: The Game' participants. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The list of relevant participants is: Larry Sukernik, Paris Rouzati, mgiuelpf, Anish Agnihotri, Lito Coen, Jesse Pollak, 3lau, packym, funghibull, web3brett

If two or more participants are eliminated at the same time, the one whose name comes first in alphanumeric order, starting with the first name in cases where this applies, will the one who will be considered to have lasted longer.

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and participants relevant to this market remain in-game, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players


id: 254296
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 3lau last the longest-lasting of the listed Cryptothegame participants?
start_date: 2024-02-03
end_date: 2024-05-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 3lau lasts the longest of the listed 'Crypto: The Game' participants. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The list of relevant participants is: Larry Sukernik, Paris Rouzati, mgiuelpf, Anish Agnihotri, Lito Coen, Jesse Pollak, 3lau, packym, funghibull, web3brett

If two or more participants are eliminated at the same time, the one whose name comes first in alphanumeric order, starting with the first name in cases where this applies, will the one who will be considered to have lasted longer.

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and participants relevant to this market remain in-game, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players


id: 254297
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Jesse Pollak last the longest-lasting of the listed Cryptothegame participants?
start_date: 2024-02-03
end_date: 2024-05-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jesse Pollak lasts the longest of the listed 'Crypto: The Game' participants. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The list of relevant participants is: Larry Sukernik, Paris Rouzati, mgiuelpf, Anish Agnihotri, Lito Coen, Jesse Pollak, 3lau, packym, funghibull, web3brett

If two or more participants are eliminated at the same time, the one whose name comes first in alphanumeric order, starting with the first name in cases where this applies, will the one who will be considered to have lasted longer.

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and participants relevant to this market remain in-game, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players


id: 254298
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will funghibull last the longest-lasting of the listed Cryptothegame participants?
start_date: 2024-02-03
end_date: 2024-05-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if funghibull lasts the longest of the listed 'Crypto: The Game' participants. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The list of relevant participants is: Larry Sukernik, Paris Rouzati, mgiuelpf, Anish Agnihotri, Lito Coen, Jesse Pollak, 3lau, packym, funghibull, web3brett

If two or more participants are eliminated at the same time, the one whose name comes first in alphanumeric order, starting with the first name in cases where this applies, will the one who will be considered to have lasted longer.

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and participants relevant to this market remain in-game, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players


id: 254299
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will packym last the longest-lasting of the listed Cryptothegame participants?
start_date: 2024-02-03
end_date: 2024-05-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if packym lasts the longest of the listed 'Crypto: The Game' participants. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The list of relevant participants is: Larry Sukernik, Paris Rouzati, mgiuelpf, Anish Agnihotri, Lito Coen, Jesse Pollak, 3lau, packym, funghibull, web3brett

If two or more participants are eliminated at the same time, the one whose name comes first in alphanumeric order, starting with the first name in cases where this applies, will the one who will be considered to have lasted longer.

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and participants relevant to this market remain in-game, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players


id: 254300
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will web3brett last the longest-lasting of the listed Cryptothegame participants?
start_date: 2024-02-03
end_date: 2024-05-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if web3brett lasts the longest of the listed 'Crypto: The Game' participants. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The list of relevant participants is: Larry Sukernik, Paris Rouzati, mgiuelpf, Anish Agnihotri, Lito Coen, Jesse Pollak, 3lau, packym, funghibull, web3brett

If two or more participants are eliminated at the same time, the one whose name comes first in alphanumeric order, starting with the first name in cases where this applies, will the one who will be considered to have lasted longer.

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and participants relevant to this market remain in-game, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players


id: 254301
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Anish Agnihotri win Crypto: The Game?
start_date: 2024-02-05
end_date: 2024-05-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anish Agnihotri wins 'Crypto: The Game'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to whoever comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players


id: 254304
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Jesse Pollak win Crypto: The Game?
start_date: 2024-02-05
end_date: 2024-05-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jesse Pollak wins 'Crypto: The Game'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to whoever comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players


id: 254305
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Goldy win Crypto: The Game?
start_date: 2024-02-05
end_date: 2024-05-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Goldy wins 'Crypto: The Game'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to whoever comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players


id: 254306
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Gabriel Haines win Crypto: The Game?
start_date: 2024-02-05
end_date: 2024-05-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gabriel Haines wins 'Crypto: The Game'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to whoever comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players


id: 254307
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will BeraMVP win Crypto: The Game?
start_date: 2024-02-05
end_date: 2024-05-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if BeraMVP wins 'Crypto: The Game'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to whoever comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players


id: 254309
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will lito.eth win Crypto: The Game?
start_date: 2024-02-05
end_date: 2024-05-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if lito.eth wins 'Crypto: The Game'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to whoever comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players


id: 254310
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will DeeZe win Crypto: The Game?
start_date: 2024-02-05
end_date: 2024-05-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if DeeZe wins 'Crypto: The Game'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a winner has not been declared for 'Crypto: The Game' by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market group will resolve to "Yes" for the active participant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If there are multiple winners, this market will resolve to whoever comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from 'Crypto: The Game' (e.g. https://twitter.com/cryptothegame_). If 'Crypto: The Game' fails to provide information, another credible source will be chosen.

For up-to-date information on game participants, see the following link: https://cryptothegame.com/api/state/players


id: 254311
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February?
start_date: 2024-02-05
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson interviews Vladimir Putin by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be footage of the interview and/or a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 254313
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Super Bowl LVIII: Tails Never Fails Parlay
start_date: 2024-02-07
end_date: 2024-02-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the choosing team picks Tails, the coin lands on tails, and the choosing team wins Super Bowl LVIII. This market will also resolve to "Yes" If the choosing team picks Heads and subsequently loses Super Bowl LVIII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254317
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Super Bowl LVIII: Travis Kelce scores first touchdown?
start_date: 2024-02-07
end_date: 2024-02-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if tight end for the Kansas City Chiefs Travis Kelce scores the first touchdown in Super Bowl LVIII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254333
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Super Bowl LVIII: Overtime?
start_date: 2024-02-07
end_date: 2024-02-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Super Bowl LVIII goes into at least one period of overtime. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 254334
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Super Bowl LVIII: Field goal from 50+ yards?
start_date: 2024-02-07
end_date: 2024-02-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team scores a field goal from 50 or more yards during Super Bowl LVIII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 254335
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Taylor Swift Super Bowl Parlay
start_date: 2024-02-06
end_date: 2024-02-11
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at Super Bowl LVIII: Travis Kelce scores a touchdown, AND the Kansas City Chiefs win the game, AND Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift kiss while on venue grounds (must be confirmed by picture or video). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: A kiss on the cheek counts.

If Super Bowl LVIII is not completed by March 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254336
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Tucker Carlson + Putin interview released by Friday?
start_date: 2024-02-06
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Feb 6, Tucker Carlson posted to X confirming that he was interviewing Putin (see https://twitter.com/TuckerCarlson/status/1754939251257475555).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson's interview with Vladimir Putin is released to the general public by February 9, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Released previews of the interview won't count - the full interview must be released by the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes." 

The resolution source for this market will be footage of the interview and/or a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 254337
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Super Bowl LVIII: Will the Chiefs win by more than 21 points?
start_date: 2024-02-06
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII by more than 21 points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this game is not completed by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254338
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Super Bowl LVIII: Will the Chiefs win by between 7 and 14 points?
start_date: 2024-02-06
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII by between 7 and 14 points (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this game is not completed by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254339
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Super Bowl LVIII: Will the Chiefs win by between 3 and 6 points?
start_date: 2024-02-06
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII by between 3 and 6 points (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this game is not completed by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254340
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Super Bowl LVIII: Will the Chiefs win by between 1 and 2 points?
start_date: 2024-02-06
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII by between 1 and 2 points (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this game is not completed by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254341
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Super Bowl LVIII: Will the 49ers win by between 1 and 2 points?
start_date: 2024-02-06
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII by between 1 and 2 points (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this game is not completed by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254342
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Super Bowl LVIII: Will the 49ers win by between 3 and 6 points?
start_date: 2024-02-06
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII by between 3 and 6 points (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this game is not completed by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254343
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Super Bowl LVIII: Will the 49ers win by between 7 and 14 points?
start_date: 2024-02-06
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII by between 7 and 14 points (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this game is not completed by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254344
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Super Bowl LVIII: Will the 49ers win by more than 21 points?
start_date: 2024-02-06
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII by more than 21 points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this game is not completed by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254346
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Super Bowl LVIII: Will the Chiefs win by between 15 and 21 points?
start_date: 2024-02-06
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII by between 15 and 21 points (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this game is not completed by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254347
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Super Bowl LVIII: Will the 49ers win by between 15 and 21 points?
start_date: 2024-02-06
end_date: 2024-02-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII by between 15 and 21 points (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this game is not completed by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254360
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Mayorkas impeached by Feb 15?
start_date: 2024-02-07
end_date: 2024-02-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Feb 6, the House GOP failed to impeach Mayorkas over border handling, with the vote tallied at 214-216. Republican lawmakers predicted there will be another vote held in the following days once they have the votes to succeed.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the House successfully votes to impeach Mayorkas by Feb 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

The vote must be final ("gaveled") by the resolution time for this market to resolve to "Yes."

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. 


id: 254362
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Yahya Sinwar still at large through February?
start_date: 2024-02-07
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the present leader of Hamas, Yahya Sinwar, remains free from government custody and active through February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.


id: 254363
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Wormhole airdrop in February?
start_date: 2024-02-07
end_date: 2024-02-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Feb 7 Wormhole announced an upcoming token, and distribution/airdrop plan for it (see https://wormhole.com/wormhole-w-tokenomics/): "The Community has been allocated 17% of the token supply... 11% of this allocation will be unlocked at TGE and will be distributed during the initial phases of the TGE, including the TGE-related airdrop (and related activities)."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wormhole performs the first community airdrop between February 6 and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Wormhole team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254364
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Wormhole airdrop in March?
start_date: 2024-02-07
end_date: 2024-03-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Feb 7 Wormhole announced an upcoming token, and distribution/airdrop plan for it (see https://wormhole.com/wormhole-w-tokenomics/): "The Community has been allocated 17% of the token supply... 11% of this allocation will be unlocked at TGE and will be distributed during the initial phases of the TGE, including the TGE-related airdrop (and related activities)."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wormhole performs the first community airdrop between March 1 and March 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Wormhole team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254367
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Wormhole airdrop in June?
start_date: 2024-02-07
end_date: 2024-06-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Feb 7 Wormhole announced an upcoming token, and distribution/airdrop plan for it (see https://wormhole.com/wormhole-w-tokenomics/): "The Community has been allocated 17% of the token supply... 11% of this allocation will be unlocked at TGE and will be distributed during the initial phases of the TGE, including the TGE-related airdrop (and related activities)."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wormhole performs the first community airdrop between June 1 and June 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Wormhole team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254369
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: No Wormhole airdrop before July?
start_date: 2024-02-07
end_date: 2024-06-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Feb 7 Wormhole announced an upcoming token, and distribution/airdrop plan for it (see https://wormhole.com/wormhole-w-tokenomics/): "The Community has been allocated 17% of the token supply... 11% of this allocation will be unlocked at TGE and will be distributed during the initial phases of the TGE, including the TGE-related airdrop (and related activities)."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wormhole does not perform the first community airdrop between February 6 and June 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Wormhole team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254397
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Wormhole token FDV between 5-6 billion a week after airdrop?
start_date: 2024-02-08
end_date: 2024-12-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Feb 7 Wormhole announced an upcoming token, and distribution/airdrop plan for it (see https://wormhole.com/wormhole-w-tokenomics/): "The Community has been allocated 17% of the token supply... 11% of this allocation will be unlocked at TGE and will be distributed during the initial phases of the TGE, including the TGE-related airdrop (and related activities)."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Wormhole's token is between $5,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $6,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 week after its first community airdrop. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

"1 week after its first community airdrop" is defined as 168 hours after the first community airdrop starts. The resolution source for this market is CoinGecko, specifically the "Fully Diluted Valuation" metric. If Wormhole doesn't airdrop by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."


id: 254398
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Wormhole token FDV between 6-7 billion a week after airdrop?
start_date: 2024-02-08
end_date: 2024-12-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Feb 7 Wormhole announced an upcoming token, and distribution/airdrop plan for it (see https://wormhole.com/wormhole-w-tokenomics/): "The Community has been allocated 17% of the token supply... 11% of this allocation will be unlocked at TGE and will be distributed during the initial phases of the TGE, including the TGE-related airdrop (and related activities)."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Wormhole's token is between $6,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $7,000,000,000 (inclusive) 1 week after its first community airdrop. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

"1 week after its first community airdrop" is defined as 168 hours after the first community airdrop starts. The resolution source for this market is CoinGecko, specifically the "Fully Diluted Valuation" metric. If Wormhole doesn't airdrop by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."


id: 254399
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Wormhole token FDV more than 7 billion a week after airdrop?
start_date: 2024-02-08
end_date: 2024-12-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Feb 7 Wormhole announced an upcoming token, and distribution/airdrop plan for it (see https://wormhole.com/wormhole-w-tokenomics/): "The Community has been allocated 17% of the token supply... 11% of this allocation will be unlocked at TGE and will be distributed during the initial phases of the TGE, including the TGE-related airdrop (and related activities)."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Wormhole's token is more than $7,000,000,000 1 week after its first community airdrop. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

"1 week after its first community airdrop" is defined as 168 hours after the first community airdrop starts. The resolution source for this market is CoinGecko, specifically the "Fully Diluted Valuation" metric. If Wormhole doesn't airdrop by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."


id: 254400
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times?
start_date: 2024-02-08
end_date: 2024-02-11
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, during the official broadcast of Super Bowl LVIII, between the start of the National Anthem and the final whistle, Taylor Swift is shown on-screen more than 5 times (i.e. 6 or more times). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Times" refers to discrete instances where Taylor Swift is clearly visible. These instances must be separated by shots where Taylor Swift is not clearly visible on screen.

Note: Only live appearances count (commercials and videos recorded in the past won't count).

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official NFL broadcast of Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254407
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 2024 have the hottest February on record?
start_date: 2024-02-08
end_date: 2024-03-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes"  if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2024 shows an increase of 1.38°C or greater when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of 1.38°C or greater for February 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for February 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2024 is provided by NASA by April 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."


id: 254410
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s?
start_date: 2024-02-09
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Sotheby’s has an Ether Rock NFT for auction from February 14-21 (https://sealed.sothebys.com/ether-rock/auction). 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the final winning bid is successful and greater than $600,000 (i.e. $600,001 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the lot is not sold because the final winning bid was lower than the reserve price, this market will resolve to "No."

Note: this is a market on the final winning bid price, which does not include buyer’s premium, fees, or taxes.

If the auction is cancelled altogether or does not finish by February 29, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No”.


id: 254411
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will ETH hit $3,000 in February?
start_date: 2024-02-09
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for ethereum ETH-USD between 1 Feb '24 00:00 and 29 Feb '24 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 3,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the ETH-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/ETH-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase ETH-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 254413
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump election interference trial start in July or earlier?
start_date: 2024-02-15
end_date: 2024-07-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Trump's election interference trial was initially set to begin on March 4, but the judge postponed it with no new date set due to Trump's immunity appeals.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the new start date for the trial for the election interference case against Trump (United States of America v. Donald J. Trump) is set to July 31, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

If the judge sets a trial date outside of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the next trial date set by the judge in this case. If the trial date is moved, it will have no effect on the outcome of this market.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 254419
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Kanye release 'Vultures' Vol. 1 by Feb 16?
start_date: 2024-02-09
end_date: 2024-02-16
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West officially releases Volume 1 of his collab album with Ty Dolla $ign, currently titled ‘Vultures’, by February 16, 2024, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Officially released means that at least Volume 1 of the album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

If the album is named something other than “Vultures” but is still a collab album between Kanye West and Ty Dolla $ign, that album will count toward the resolution of this market.

The resolution source will be any official Kanye West/Ye streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.


id: 254425
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will BTC hit $55,000 in February?
start_date: 2024-02-12
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for bitcoin BTC-USD between 11 Feb '24 00:00 and 29 Feb '24 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 55,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 254428
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Kanye release 'Vultures' Vol. 2 by March 8?
start_date: 2024-02-12
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West officially releases Volume 2 of his collab album with Ty Dolla $ign, titled ‘Vultures’, by March 8, 2024, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Officially released means that Volume 2 of the album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

If a new album from Kanye West and Ty Dolla $ign is released between Feb 11 and March 8, even if not titled 'Vultures' Vol. 2 it will count for this markets resolution. 

The resolution source will be any official Kanye West/Ye streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.


id: 254431
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Bitcoin all time high in 2024?
start_date: 2024-02-12
end_date: 2024-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches a price greater than $68,789.63 according to Binance by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). If Binance is unavailable, a consensus of other credible sources will be used.


id: 254434
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Donald Trump endorse Lara Trump for RNC co-chair in February?
start_date: 2024-02-12
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump endorses his daughter in-law, Lara Trump for RNC co-chair by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be statements made by Donald Trump, his social media, and/or his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254442
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: SpaceX Starship launch by March 15?
start_date: 2024-02-13
end_date: 2024-03-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If any Starship successfully launches from its launchpad between February 13, 2023, and March 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.


id: 254443
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Fed rate cut by July 31?
start_date: 2024-02-13
end_date: 2024-07-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between February 12, 2024 ET and July 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market may not resolve to "No" until July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET has passed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254444
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Pudgy Penguins flip BAYC in February?
start_date: 2024-02-13
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pudgy Penguins has a higher floor price than Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) for at least one continuous hour between February 12 and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Blur's chart for each NFT, specifically the red line for 30d sales, for the dates within this market's range (Pudgy Penguins: https://blur.io/collection/pudgypenguins, BAYC: https://blur.io/collection/boredapeyachtclub). If Blur becomes unavailable or ceases to report figures, another credible source may be used.

Note: If the hour long period starts at e.g. Feb 29, 2024 11:30 PM ET it will still count for this market.


id: 254446
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Walmart buy Vizio in February?
start_date: 2024-02-13
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Vizio will be, has been, or is being bought by Walmart by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, an announcement by Walmart and/or Vizio is enough to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced purchase actually occurs.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Walmart or Vizio, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254448
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: CZ sentenced to prison?
start_date: 2024-02-13
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Feb 13 it was announced the sentencing of Changpeng Zhao (CZ) in the ongoing case "United States v. Changpeng Zhao" would be postponed to April 30 (see https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/12/criminal-sentencing-of-binance-founder-cz-postponed-to-late-april-.html). 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if CZ is sentenced to spend any time in custody of a jail or prison, as part of "United States v. Changpeng Zhao", by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254451
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will STRK be between $1.00 and $1.50 one day after airdrop?
start_date: 2024-02-14
end_date: 2024-02-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Starknet recently announced that they would be initiating an airdrop at 12 PM UTC on Feb 20, 2024. You can read about it here: https://medium.com/@StarknetFoundation/introducing-the-starknet-provisions-program-05d03ce13970

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Starknet Project's token ($STRK) is between $1.0000 (inclusive) and $1.5000 (exclusive) 24 hours after token airdrop occurs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

If STRK doesn't airdrop by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the top bracket (<$1).

The resolution source for this market will be the most liquid price source for STRK.


id: 254452
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will STRK be between $1.50 and $2.00 one day after airdrop?
start_date: 2024-02-14
end_date: 2024-02-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Starknet recently announced that they would be initiating an airdrop at 12 PM UTC on Feb 20, 2024. You can read about it here: https://medium.com/@StarknetFoundation/introducing-the-starknet-provisions-program-05d03ce13970

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Starknet Project's token ($STRK) is between $1.5000 (inclusive) and $2.0000 (inclusive) 24 hours after token airdrop occurs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

If STRK doesn't airdrop by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the top bracket (<$1).

The resolution source for this market will be the most liquid price source for STRK.


id: 254453
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will STRK be above $2.00 one day after airdrop?
start_date: 2024-02-14
end_date: 2024-02-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Starknet recently announced that they would be initiating an airdrop at 12 PM UTC on Feb 20, 2024. You can read about it here: https://medium.com/@StarknetFoundation/introducing-the-starknet-provisions-program-05d03ce13970

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Starknet Project's token ($STRK) is above $2.0000 (i.e. $2.0001 or more) 24 hours after token airdrop occurs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

If STRK doesn't airdrop by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the top bracket (<$1).

The resolution source for this market will be the most liquid price source for STRK.


id: 254457
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Blast airdrop by June 30?
start_date: 2024-02-14
end_date: 2024-06-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Blast launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between February 13, 2024 and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Blast team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254459
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Friend.Tech airdrop by June 30?
start_date: 2024-02-14
end_date: 2024-06-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Friend.Tech has an airdrop with some amount of monetary value by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Friend.Tech, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254473
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the crypto market cap be between 1.9 trillion and 2 trillion on March 1?
start_date: 2024-02-14
end_date: 2024-02-27
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total crypto market cap is between $1.9 trillion (inclusive) and $2 trillion (exclusive) on March 1, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is CoinGecko, specifically when the "7d" option is selected on the "Total Crypto Market Cap Chart" found here: https://www.coingecko.com/en/global-charts. The information for March 1, 2024 will be used once data is finalized for that day.


id: 254474
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the crypto market cap be between 2 trillion and 2.1 trillion on March 1?
start_date: 2024-02-14
end_date: 2024-02-27
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total crypto market cap is between $2.0 trillion (inclusive) and $2.1 trillion (exclusive) on March 1, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is CoinGecko, specifically when the "7d" option is selected on the "Total Crypto Market Cap Chart" found here: https://www.coingecko.com/en/global-charts. The information for March 1, 2024 will be used once data is finalized for that day.


id: 254475
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the crypto market cap be between 2.1 trillion and 2.2 trillion on March 1?
start_date: 2024-02-14
end_date: 2024-02-27
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total crypto market cap is between $2.1 trillion (inclusive) and $2.2 trillion (inclusive) on March 1, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is CoinGecko, specifically when the "7d" option is selected on the "Total Crypto Market Cap Chart" found here: https://www.coingecko.com/en/global-charts. The information for March 1, 2024 will be used once data is finalized for that day.


id: 254476
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the crypto market cap be greater than 2.2 trillion on March 1?
start_date: 2024-02-14
end_date: 2024-02-27
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total crypto market cap is greater than $2.2 trillion on March 1, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is CoinGecko, specifically when the "7d" option is selected on the "Total Crypto Market Cap Chart" found here: https://www.coingecko.com/en/global-charts. The information for March 1, 2024 will be used once data is finalized for that day.


id: 254482
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will WIF hit $1 by March 15?
start_date: 2024-02-14
end_date: 2024-03-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if $WIF reaches $1 or greater by March 15, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/dogwifhat), specifically the all time high figure in this market's timeframe. If CoinGecko becomes unavailable or fails to update, a consensus of highly liquid sources will be used instead.


id: 254485
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: LayerZero airdrop by June 30?
start_date: 2024-02-15
end_date: 2024-06-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if LayerZero launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between February 13, 2024 and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the LayerZero team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254487
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Tensor airdrop by June 30?
start_date: 2024-02-15
end_date: 2024-06-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tensor launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between February 13, 2024 and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Tensor team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254494
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will ETH hit $3,500 by May 31?
start_date: 2024-02-15
end_date: 2024-05-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for ethereum ETH-USD between 15 Feb '24 00:00 and 31 May '24 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 3,500.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the ETH-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/ETH-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart.


Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase ETH-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 254502
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump found guilty in hush money case?
start_date: 2024-04-15
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is found guilty of "falsifying business records in the first degree in violation of Penal Law §175.10” in the case of The People of the State of New York v. Donald J. Trump by November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump’s case is dismissed, or ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, this market will resolve to "No". If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open to consider further retrials - if by election day Trump has not yet been found guilty or has not entered a guilty plea, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.


id: 254510
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Kanye's 'Vultures 1' back on Apple Music before April?
start_date: 2024-02-15
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 'Vultures 1' album by Ye/Kanye West returns to Apple Music by March 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" the 'Vultures 1' album must be made available on Apple Music under its own title. The return of individual tracks as singles or part of different albums or EPs, etc., will not be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution.

If this album is returned to Apple Music but specific songs remain unavailable from it on that platform, this market will resolve to "Yes" provided more than half of the songs are available.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Apple Music, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254511
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: WIF listed on Coinbase or Binance in February?
start_date: 2024-02-15
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the crypto token dogwifhat (WIF) is listed for spot purchase on Binance and/or Coinbase by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".


The primary resolution source for this market will be Binance and/or Coinbase, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254520
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday?
start_date: 2024-02-16
end_date: 2024-02-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if by February 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the New York Times or WSJ reports that Israel has initiated a ground offensive within Rafah. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

Reports of small raids or special operations will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes."

The resolution source of this market will be reporting from the New York Times or the Wall Street Journal.


id: 254523
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from Congress before May?
start_date: 2024-02-16
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The House Ethics Committee is investigating Matt Gaetz over allegations he paid for sex with women and an underage teenager.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Matt Gaetz is expelled from Congress by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official resolutions from the House of Representatives and information from the Government of the United States of America, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


id: 254533
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Julian Assange extradited to US before April?
start_date: 2024-02-20
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Julian Assange is extradited to the United States by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Extradited" to the US means Julian Assange must be extradited and physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the US. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 254534
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan?
start_date: 2024-02-20
end_date: 2024-03-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Feb 18, member of Israeli War Cabinet Benny Gantz said "The world must know — and Hamas leaders must know — that if by Ramadan the hostages are not home, then the fighting will continue, including in Rafah."

This market will resolve to "Yes” Israel and Hamas agree to a hostage deal by 11:59 PM Palestine Standard Time (UTC +2), March 10, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

Note that an announcement by the resolution date of an agreed hostage deal between Israel and Hamas will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when and if the hostage deal actually takes place. Note that any hostage deal agreement will suffice, regardless of the number of hostages agreed to be released.

The primary resolution source will be formal acknowledgments from Hamas and Israel. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254535
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2024?
start_date: 2024-02-21
end_date: 2024-05-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


id: 254536
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Italy win Eurovision 2024?
start_date: 2024-02-21
end_date: 2024-05-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Italian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


id: 254537
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Croatia win Eurovision 2024?
start_date: 2024-02-21
end_date: 2024-05-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Croatian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


id: 254538
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Israel win Eurovision 2024?
start_date: 2024-02-21
end_date: 2024-05-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


id: 254545
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Ireland win Eurovision 2024?
start_date: 2024-02-21
end_date: 2024-05-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Irish candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


id: 254547
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will France win Eurovision 2024?
start_date: 2024-02-21
end_date: 2024-05-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


id: 254549
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2024?
start_date: 2024-02-21
end_date: 2024-05-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Swiss candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


id: 254556
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will another country win Eurovision 2024?
start_date: 2024-02-21
end_date: 2024-05-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate from a country not listed in this market group but participating in Eurovision 2024 wins that contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This is the list of countries previously referred to: Ukraine, Italy, Croatia, Israel, Sweden, United Kingdom, Belgium, Iceland, Norway, Lithuania, Ireland, Finland, France, Switzerland, Georgia, Austria, Greece, Australia, Armenia, Poland, Spain.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


id: 254561
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: ETH above $3,000 on March 1?
start_date: 2024-02-21
end_date: 2024-03-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Coinbase 1 minute candle for ETH-USD 1 Mar '24 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 3000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the ETH-USD "Close" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/ETH-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase ETH-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 254562
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Etherfi airdrop by June 30?
start_date: 2024-02-21
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Etherfi launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Etherfi team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254566
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ethena airdrop by June 30?
start_date: 2024-02-21
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ethena Labs launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Ethena team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254569
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will NYC give migrant families $10,000?
start_date: 2024-02-21
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if NYC begins giving migrant families payments which annualized would total over $10,000 by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. 

Payments include cash as well as prepaid debit and credit cards. Cards which can only be used at select locations such as grocery stores will still qualify for this market. 

Note: If any migrant family regardless of size is given payments totaling over $10,000 annualized, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 254570
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April?
start_date: 2024-02-22
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between February 21, 11:00 AM ET and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties. Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. The ceasefire must last at least 24 hours and have begun before the resolution date. For example, if the ceasefire begins on March 31, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 24 hours.

This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media sources.


id: 254605
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15?
start_date: 2024-02-21
end_date: 2024-03-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if by March 15, 2024, 11:59 PM Palestine Standard Time (UTC +2), the New York Times or WSJ reports that Israel has initiated a ground offensive within Rafah. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Reports of small raids or special operations will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes."

The resolution source of this market will be reporting from the New York Times or the Wall Street Journal.


id: 254610
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Biden trip on a staircase again this week?
start_date: 2024-02-21
end_date: 2024-02-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On February 20 new footage was released showing President Biden tripping on stairs leading up to Air Force One, causing another round of speculation on the 81 year old's vitality.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden is recorded tripping on a staircase again by 11:59 PM ET, Sunday, February 25, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such footage is released by the end date, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

Photographs or announcements will not be considered toward this market's resolution. Only recorded video of Biden tripping on a staircase will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution.

The video must be original and not manipulated or digitally altered to mislead the viewer. Edited videos, deepfakes, or any form of manipulated media will not be considered valid for the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the video(s) in question, verified by a consensus of credible reporting and/or Biden and his representatives.


id: 254631
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Gemini generate images of people again in February?
start_date: 2024-02-22
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Feb 22 Google said "We're already working to address recent issues with Gemini's image generation feature. While we do this, we're going to pause the image generation of people and will re-release an improved version soon.” (see https://x.com/Google_Comms/status/1760603321944121506?s=20). 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gemini officially resumes its image generation of people by Feb 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: if some people are still able to use Gemini to generate images of people, it will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - there must be communication from Google or a consensus of credible reporting that Gemini's image generation of people has resumed. 

The primary resolution source will be information from Google and Alphabet, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254635
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Justin Fields be traded to the Pittsburgh Steelers?
start_date: 2024-02-26
end_date: 2024-04-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Justin Fields is traded to the Pittsburgh Steelers by April 25, 2024, 7:59 PM ET. If Justin Fields is traded to another team first, or isn’t traded by the resolution date this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the NFL teams involved in the trade. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 254637
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Justin Fields be traded to the Denver Broncos?
start_date: 2024-02-26
end_date: 2024-04-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Justin Fields is traded to the Denver Broncos by April 25, 2024, 7:59 PM ET. If Justin Fields is traded to another team first, or isn’t traded by the resolution date this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the NFL teams involved in the trade. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 254640
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Justin Fields remain on the Bears?
start_date: 2024-02-26
end_date: 2024-04-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Justin Fields is not traded by the Chicago Bears before April 25, 2024, 7:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the NFL teams involved in the trade. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 254641
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Justin Fields be traded to another NFL team?
start_date: 2024-02-26
end_date: 2024-04-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Justin Fields is traded to any team which is not the Atlanta Falcons, New England Patriots, New York Giants, Pittsburgh Steelers, Las Vegas Raiders, Denver Broncos or Washington Commanders by April 25, 2024, 7:59 PM ET. If Justin Fields is traded to another team first, or isn’t traded by the resolution date this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the NFL teams involved in the trade. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 254642
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Slovakia Presidential Election: Will Peter Pellegrini win?
start_date: 2024-02-22
end_date: 2024-04-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The first round of Slovakia's 2024 presidential election is scheduled for March 23. If no candidate receives more than half of the votes, a second round with the two candidates receiving the most votes will occur on April 6.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Peter Pellegrini wins the 2024 Slovakian presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a two-round election, if this candidate is eliminated before the second round this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Slovakia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 254643
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Slovakia Presidential Election: Will Ivan Korčok win?
start_date: 2024-02-22
end_date: 2024-04-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The first round of Slovakia's 2024 presidential election is scheduled for March 23. If no candidate receives more than half of the votes, a second round with the two candidates receiving the most votes will occur on April 6.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ivan Korčok wins the 2024 Slovakian presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a two-round election, if this candidate is eliminated before the second round this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Slovakia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 254650
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Portugal Legislative Election: Will the Socialist Party win the most votes?
start_date: 2024-03-06
end_date: 2024-03-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Snap legislative elections are scheduled to take place on March 10, 2024 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic (Assembleia da República) to the 16th Legislature of Portugal (XVI Legislatura da Terceira República Portuguesa). All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic are up for election.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Socialist Party (Partido Socialista, PS) wins the most votes in the 2024 Portuguese legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Portuguese government and/or information published through the official website of the National Elections Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE): https://www.cne.pt/content/eleicoes-referendos. However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.


id: 254652
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Portugal Legislative Election: Will the Democratic Alliance (AD) win over 30% of votes?
start_date: 2024-03-06
end_date: 2024-03-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Snap legislative elections are scheduled to take place on March 10, 2024 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic (Assembleia da República) to the 16th Legislature of Portugal (XVI Legislatura da Terceira República Portuguesa). All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic are up for election.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Alliance (Aliança Democrática, AD) wins over 30% of votes in the 2024 Portuguese legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The unrounded percent of the vote will be used for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Portuguese government and/or information published through the official website of the National Elections Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE): https://www.cne.pt/content/eleicoes-referendos. However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.


id: 254653
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Portugal Legislative Election: Will Chega win over 18% of votes?
start_date: 2024-03-06
end_date: 2024-03-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Snap legislative elections are scheduled to take place on March 10, 2024 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic (Assembleia da República) to the 16th Legislature of Portugal (XVI Legislatura da Terceira República Portuguesa). All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic are up for election.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chega (CHEGA!) wins over 18% of votes in the 2024 Portuguese legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The unrounded percent of the vote will be used for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Portuguese government and/or information published through the official website of the National Elections Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE): https://www.cne.pt/content/eleicoes-referendos. However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.


id: 254656
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will McDonald's announce new NFTs by Feb 26?
start_date: 2024-02-22
end_date: 2024-02-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald's announces a new round of NFTs affiliated with its brand by February 26, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from McDonald's, including posts from the McDonald's X/Twitter account (https://twitter.com/McDonalds), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254659
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Was the AT&T cellular outage caused by a solar flare?
start_date: 2024-02-22
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is definitively determined that the Feb 22 nationwide AT&T cellular outage in the US was caused by a solar flare. If no such determination is made public by February 25, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. Government and/or AT&T. However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used to resolve this market.


id: 254661
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will roon deactivate his account in February?
start_date: 2024-02-23
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Feb 22 roon tweeted "sunsetting roon account" (see https://twitter.com/tszzl/status/1760822079950340572).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if roon (@tszzl) deactivates his account by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The deactivation must last at least 12 consecutive hours for this market to resolve to "Yes." Periods of deactivation that start on the last day will count (e.g. Feb 29 8 PM ET to March 1 8 AM ET). 

The resolution source for this market is https://twitter.com/tszzl/.


id: 254686
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Drake Maye be taken with the 1st pick in the 2024 NFL Draft?
start_date: 2024-02-26
end_date: 2024-04-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake Maye is taken with the 1st pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 254687
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Jayden Daniels be taken with the 1st pick in the 2024 NFL Draft?
start_date: 2024-02-26
end_date: 2024-04-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jayden Daniel is taken with the 1st pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 254689
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Marvin Harrison Jr. be taken with the 1st pick in the 2024 NFL Draft?
start_date: 2024-02-26
end_date: 2024-04-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marvin Harrison Jr. is taken with the 1st pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 254690
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will another player be taken with the 1st pick in the 2024 NFL Draft?
start_date: 2024-02-26
end_date: 2024-04-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player other than Caleb Williams, Drake Maye, Jayden Daniels or Marvin Harrison Jr. is taken with the 1st pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 254691
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) get KO'd?
start_date: 2024-02-23
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) loses his fight with More Light by KO/TKO. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the fight, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254711
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Portal price above $3.40 one week after launch?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Portal's token ($PORTAL) is above $3.4000 (i.e. $3.4001 or greater) one week after token airdrop occurs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

"One week after launch" is defined as exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the token airdrop occurs.

If PORTAL doesn't airdrop by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the top bracket (<$2.50).

The resolution source for this market will be the most liquid price source for PORTAL.


id: 254714
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Portal price between $2.50-2.80 one week after launch?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Portal's token ($PORTAL) is between $2.5000 (inclusive) and $2.8000 (exclusive) one week after token airdrop occurs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

"One week after launch" is defined as exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the token airdrop occurs.

If PORTAL doesn't airdrop by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the top bracket (<$2.50).

The resolution source for this market will be the most liquid price source for PORTAL.


id: 254715
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Portal price beneath $2.50 one week after launch?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Portal's token ($PORTAL) is less than $2.5000 (i.e. $2.4999 or less) one week after token airdrop occurs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

"One week after launch" is defined as exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the token airdrop occurs.

If PORTAL doesn't airdrop by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the top bracket (<$2.50).

The resolution source for this market will be the most liquid price source for PORTAL.


id: 254716
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Blast launch delayed?
start_date: 2024-02-26
end_date: 2024-03-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Blast mainnet is not deployed and live by, February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

“Live” in this context can be defined as being deployed, usable, and publicly announced via the official Blast X/Twitter and/or blog.


id: 254731
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Nikki Haley drop out in March?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley drops out/suspends her presidential campaign between March 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Nikki Haley drops out/suspends her presidential campaign prior to March 1, 2024, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Nikki Haley or her official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254735
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will BTC hit $60,000 in February?
start_date: 2024-02-26
end_date: 2024-02-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for bitcoin BTC-USD between 26 Feb '24 00:00 and 29 Feb '24 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 60,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 254742
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Nikki Haley drop out in April?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley drops out/suspends her presidential campaign between April 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Nikki Haley drops out/suspends her presidential campaign prior to April 1, 2024, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Nikki Haley or her official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254761
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Solana all time high in Q1?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Solana (SOL) reaches a price greater than $259.90 for the first time according to Binance between January 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). If Binance is unavailable, a consensus of other credible sources will be used.


id: 254764
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: No Solana all time high in 2024?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Solana (SOL) never reaches a price greater than $259.90 according to Binance between January 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). If Binance is unavailable, a consensus of other credible sources will be used.


id: 254765
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Solana all time high in Q4?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Solana (SOL) reaches a price greater than $259.90 for the first time according to Binance between October 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). If Binance is unavailable, a consensus of other credible sources will be used.


id: 254766
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Monday?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-03-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On February 26, President Joe Biden stated that he was hopeful that a Gaza ceasefire would be reached by Monday.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between February 26, 11:00 AM ET and March 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties. Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. The ceasefire must last at least 24 hours and have begun before the resolution date. For example, if the ceasefire begins on March 3, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 24 hours.

This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media sources.


id: 254769
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump receive a gag order Before April?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former president of the United States Donald J. Trump becomes the subject of a gag order by any Federal or State court in the US between February 26, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a "gag order" is broadly defined as a legally binding court order prohibiting Trump from discussing, commenting on, or disseminating information related to a specific legal case or investigation. The gag order must be issued by a federal or state court within the United States.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US courts/government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254770
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Bitcoin all time high in Q1?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches a price greater than $68,789 for the first time according to Binance between January 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). If Binance is unavailable, a consensus of other credible sources will be used.


id: 254771
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Bitcoin all time high in Q2?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches a price greater than $68,789 for the first time according to Binance between April 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). If Binance is unavailable, a consensus of other credible sources will be used.


id: 254772
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Bitcoin all time high in Q3?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-09-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches a price greater than $68,789 for the first time according to Binance between July 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). If Binance is unavailable, a consensus of other credible sources will be used.


id: 254773
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Bitcoin all time high in Q4?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches a price greater than $68,789 for the first time according to Binance between October 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). If Binance is unavailable, a consensus of other credible sources will be used.


id: 254774
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: No BTC all time high in 2024?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin (BTC) at no point reaches a price greater than $68,789 according to Binance between January 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). If Binance is unavailable, a consensus of other credible sources will be used.


id: 254777
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Caleb Williams be drafted by the Washington Commanders?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-04-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caleb Williams is taken by the Washington Commanders in the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 254778
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Caleb Williams be drafted by the New England Patriots?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-04-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caleb Williams is taken by the New England Patriots in the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 254779
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Caleb Williams be drafted by the New York Giants?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-04-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caleb Williams is taken by the New York Giants in the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 254780
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Caleb Williams be drafted by the Atlanta Falcons?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-04-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caleb Williams is taken by the Atlanta Falcons in the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 254781
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Caleb Williams be drafted by the Minnesota Vikings?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-04-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caleb Williams is taken by the Minnesota Vikings in the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 254782
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Caleb Williams be drafted by another team?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-04-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caleb Williams is not drafted by the Chicago Bears, Washington Commanders, New England Patriots, New York Giants, Atlanta Falcons, or Minnesota Vikings. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Caleb Williams is not drafted by any team in the 2024 NFL Draft this market will resolve to "Yes". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 254788
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will The Boy and the Heron win the Oscar for Best Animated Feature Film?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-03-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The Boy and the Heron' wins the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254792
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Spider-Man: Across the Spider Verse win the Oscar for Best Animated Feature Film?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-03-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Spider-Man: Across the Spider Verse' wins the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254794
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will I'm Just Ken win the Oscar for Best Original Song?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-03-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'I'm Just Ken' (from 'Barbie') wins the Academy Award for Best Original Song. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254797
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will What Was I Made For? win the Oscar for Best Original Song?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-03-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'What Was I Made For?' (from 'Barbie') wins the Academy Award for Best Original Song. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254798
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Coinbase a top 100 app before April?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Coinbase is in the top 100 free iPhone apps between February 27, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market specifically refers to the Coinbase app. The position of the Coinbase Wallet app in the Apple App Store has no bearing on the resolution to this market.

The resolution source is the US iPhone App Store's "Top Free Apps" chart, viewable here: https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone/top-free-apps/36.


id: 254799
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: [Single Markets] Will Caleb Williams be taken with the 2nd pick in the 2024 NFL Draft?
start_date: 2024-03-25
end_date: 2024-04-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caleb Williams is taken with the 2nd pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
 


id: 254808
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 2024 have the hottest March on record?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-05-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for March 2024 shows an increase of 1.37°C or greater when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of 1.37°C or greater for March 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for March 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Mar" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for March 2024 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."


id: 254813
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Barbie win the Oscar for Best Costume Design?
start_date: 2024-03-01
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Barbie' wins the Academy Award for Best Costume Design. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254817
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Napoleon win the Oscar for Best Costume Design?
start_date: 2024-03-01
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Napoleon' wins the Academy Award for Best Costume Design. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254818
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Poor Things win the Oscar for Best Costume Design?
start_date: 2024-03-01
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Poor Things' wins the Academy Award for Best Costume Design. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254819
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Oppenheimer win the Oscar for Best Costume Design?
start_date: 2024-03-01
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Oppenheimer' wins the Academy Award for Best Costume Design. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254823
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Russell Wilson be traded to the Steelers?
start_date: 2024-03-01
end_date: 2024-04-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russell Wilson is traded to the Pittsburgh Steelers by April 25, 2024, 7:59 PM ET. If Russell Wilson is traded to another team first, or isn’t traded by the resolution date this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the NFL teams involved in the trade. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 254826
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Russell Wilson remain on the Broncos?
start_date: 2024-03-01
end_date: 2024-04-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russell Wilson is not traded by the Denver Broncos by April 25, 2024, 7:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the NFL teams involved in the trade. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 254830
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Mitch McConnell endorse Trump before Super Tuesday?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-03-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mitch McConnell endorses Donald Trump before the main polling places open on Super Tuesday (7 AM ET, March 5, 2024). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be statements made by Mitch McConnell, his social media, and/or his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254831
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-03-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fani Willis is disqualified from, withdraws from, or otherwise suspends participation in the case "The State of Georgia v. Donald J. Trump, et al." by March 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.  Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by the resolution date that she is off the case will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when it goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States/Georgia/Fulton County, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 254832
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Bronny James be drafted?
start_date: 2024-02-27
end_date: 2024-06-27
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if LeBron "Bronny" James Jr. is drafted in the 2024 NBA Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, or announcements from specific NBA teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 254833
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will BTC hit $60,000 in March?
start_date: 2024-02-28
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for bitcoin BTC-USD between 01 Mar '24 00:00 and 31 Mar '24 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 60,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 254834
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will BTC hit $65,000 in March?
start_date: 2024-02-28
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for bitcoin BTC-USD between 01 Mar '24 00:00 and 31 Mar '24 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 65,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 254835
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will BTC hit $70,000 in March?
start_date: 2024-02-28
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for bitcoin BTC-USD between 01 Mar '24 00:00 and 31 Mar '24 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 70,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 254836
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will BTC hit $80,000 in March?
start_date: 2024-02-28
end_date: 2024-03-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for bitcoin BTC-USD between 01 Mar '24 00:00 and 31 Mar '24 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 80,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 254839
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Kate Middleton appearance by Sunday?
start_date: 2024-02-28
end_date: 2024-03-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kate Middleton makes a public or digital appearance between February 27, 2024, 1:00 PM ET, and March 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This digital appearance must be verified as new, authentic footage (not AI-generated) taken within the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 254841
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Bitcoin all time high by next Friday?
start_date: 2024-02-28
end_date: 2024-03-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches a price greater than $68,789 for the first time according to Binance between February 28, 2024, 10:00 AM ET and March 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). If Binance is unavailable, a consensus of other credible sources will be used.


id: 254868
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Alabama have highest margin of victory for Trump in Super Tuesday Republican Primaries?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Update: Per the rules, the margin for this market group is defined using votes for Trump and the next highest vote-getter: 
Trump / (# Trump + # Next highest) - # Next highest / (# Trump + # Next highest). The margin for this market group doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates.

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Alabama has the highest margin of victory for Donald J. Trump in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries among the states participating, excluding American Samoa. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two candidates receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election.

The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254871
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Alaska have highest margin of victory for Trump in Super Tuesday Republican Primaries?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Update: Per the rules, the margin for this market group is defined using votes for Trump and the next highest vote-getter: 
Trump / (# Trump + # Next highest) - # Next highest / (# Trump + # Next highest). The margin for this market group doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates.

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Alaska has the highest margin of victory for Donald J. Trump in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries among the states participating, excluding American Samoa. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two candidates receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election.

The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254876
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Arkansas have highest margin of victory for Trump in Super Tuesday Republican Primaries?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Arkansas has the highest margin of victory for Donald J. Trump in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries among the states participating, excluding American Samoa. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two candidates receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election.

The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254910
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Oklahoma have highest margin of victory for Trump in Super Tuesday Republican Primaries?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Update: Per the rules, the margin for this market group is defined using votes for Trump and votes for the next highest vote-getter: 
# Trump / (# Trump + # Next highest ) - # Next highest /  (# Trump + # Next highest). The margin for this market doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates. 

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Oklahoma has the highest margin of victory for Donald J. Trump in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries among the states participating, excluding American Samoa. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two candidates receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election.

The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 254926
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Tennessee have highest margin of victory for Trump in Super Tuesday Republican Primaries?
start_date: 2024-02-29
end_date: 2024-03-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Tennessee has the highest margin of victory for Donald J. Trump in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries among the states participating, excluding American Samoa. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two candidates receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election.

The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


