# assets

id: 240641
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: [Single Market] Will Joe Rogan win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
start_date: 2023-02-23
end_date: 2024-09-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Rogan wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.


id: 247745
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: [Single Market] Will Mike Pence win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
start_date: 2023-02-23
end_date: 2024-09-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if former US vice president Michael Richard Pence wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.


id: 248211
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: [Single Market] Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
start_date: 2023-02-23
end_date: 2024-09-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Glenn Youngkin wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.


id: 248212
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: [Single Market] Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
start_date: 2023-02-23
end_date: 2024-09-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tim Scott wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.


id: 248316
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023?
start_date: 2023-06-23
end_date: 2023-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin remains the President of Russia without interruption from February 13, 2023 through June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be the CIA World Factbook page for Russia, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/russia/#government. A consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 248332
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Bola Tinubu be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election?
start_date: 2023-01-05
end_date: 2023-02-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on whether Bola Tinubu will be elected president of the Federal Republic of Nigeria in the upcoming presidential election scheduled for February 25, 2023. If Bola Tinubu is elected President of Nigeria, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Nigerian government and/or information published through the official website of the Nigerian Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/elections/election-results/). However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.


id: 248365
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023?
start_date: 2023-01-09
end_date: 2023-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, Ronald Dion DeSantis or his authorized representative does at least one of the following: 
-Files a Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) 
-Amends an existing Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the FEC 
-Designates a principal campaign committee for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election 
-Otherwise files or communicates with the FEC with the same effect as the filing of a Form 2 Statement of Candidacy for the 2024 election. 

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note that any informal declarations by Ron DeSantis and/or his representatives regarding DeSantis's intentions to run will have no bearing on this market; only the above criteria will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve based on the official FEC website (https://www.fec.gov/), however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


id: 248596
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
start_date: 2023-02-06
end_date: 2023-05-14
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, the 12th President of Turkey, is seeking reelection in the 2023 Turkish general election, currently scheduled to take place on May 14, 2023.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Recep Tayyip Erdogan wins the 2023 Turkish presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market includes any potential second round. If the result isn't known by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Turkish government (e.g. https://www.ysk.gov.tr/en/main-page), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 248813
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
start_date: 2023-02-16
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-4 has 500 billion or more parameters when released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market covers how many parameters GPT-4 has at the time of its initial release, and will resolve based on that number regardless of whether that figure is later increased or decreased.

If GPT-4 is not released by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

GPT-4 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-4, or is a successor to GPT-3 in the way that GPT-3 was a successor to GPT-2; it cannot be branded as GPT3.5 or a version of GPT-3.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting (including corroborating statements from employees of OpenAI where available) may also be used.


id: 248840
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Celtics be the 2022-23 NBA Champion?
start_date: 2023-02-21
end_date: 2023-06-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Boston Celtics become the 2022-23 NBA Champion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is determined at any point that it is impossible for the Celtics to be the 2022-23 NBA Champion based on the rules of the NBA (e.g. they're eliminated in the playoffs), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

If this team is still in contention to become the champion and the champion still isn't determined by October 24, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 248843
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Nuggets be the 2022-23 NBA Champion?
start_date: 2023-02-21
end_date: 2023-06-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Denver Nuggets become the 2022-23 NBA Champion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is determined at any point that it is impossible for the Nuggets to be the 2022-23 NBA Champion based on the rules of the NBA (e.g. they're eliminated in the playoffs), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

If this team is still in contention to become the champion and the champion still isn't determined by October 24, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 248845
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Arsenal be the 2022-23 Premier League champions?
start_date: 2023-02-22
end_date: 2023-05-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arsenal F.C. is the 2022-23 Premier League champion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is a mathematical certainty this team will be the 2022-23 Premier League champion, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes." Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for this team to be the 2022-23 Premier League champion, this market will immediately resolve to "No." Potential retroactive points deductions past these points will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

If the 2022-23 Premier League champion has not been determined by August 12, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 248851
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the FDV of OpenSea's token be above $5b 1 week after launch?
start_date: 2023-02-22
end_date: 2023-12-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of OpenSea's token is above $5,000,000,000 1 week after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

"1 week after launch" is defined as 12:00 PM ET, 7 calendar days after it launches. For example, if the token launches at 8 PM ET, March 15, then the FDV at 12:00 PM ET, March 22 will be used.

The resolution source for this market is CoinGecko, specifically the "Fully Diluted Valuation" metric. The FDV 1 week after launch will be memorialized on the Polymarket market description here: https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-fdv-of-openseas-token-be-above-5b-1-week-after-launch.

If OpenSea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.


id: 248852
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the FDV of OpenSea's token be above $10b 1 week after launch?
start_date: 2023-02-22
end_date: 2023-12-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of OpenSea's token is above $10,000,000,000 1 week after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

"1 week after launch" is defined as 12:00 PM ET, 7 calendar days after it launches. For example, if the token launches at 8 PM ET, March 15, then the FDV at 12:00 PM ET, March 22 will be used.

The resolution source for this market is CoinGecko, specifically the "Fully Diluted Valuation" metric. The FDV 1 week after launch will be memorialized on the Polymarket market description here: https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-fdv-of-openseas-token-be-above-10b-1-week-after-launch.

If OpenSea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.


id: 248853
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the FDV of OpenSea's token be above $15b 1 week after launch?
start_date: 2023-02-22
end_date: 2023-12-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of OpenSea's token is above $15,000,000,000 1 week after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

"1 week after launch" is defined as 12:00 PM ET, 7 calendar days after it launches. For example, if the token launches at 8 PM ET, March 15, then the FDV at 12:00 PM ET, March 22 will be used.

The resolution source for this market is CoinGecko, specifically the "Fully Diluted Valuation" metric. The FDV 1 week after launch will be memorialized on the Polymarket market description here: https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-fdv-of-openseas-token-be-above-15b-1-week-after-launch.

If OpenSea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.


id: 248854
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the FDV of OpenSea's token 1 week after launch be above Blur's FDV?
start_date: 2023-02-22
end_date: 2023-12-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of OpenSea's token 1 week after launch is above Blur's. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

"1 week after launch" is defined as 12:00 PM ET, 7 days after it launches. For example, if the OpenSea token launches at 8 PM ET, March 15, then the FDV of OpenSea and Blur at 12:00 PM ET, March 22 will be used.

The resolution source for this market is CoinGecko, specifically the "Fully Diluted Valuation" metric. 1 week after OpenSea's token launch, OpenSea's FDV and Blur's FDV will be memorialized on the Polymarket market description here: https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-fdv-of-openseas-token-1-week-after-launch-be-above-blurs-fdv.

If OpenSea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.


id: 249011
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Sweden win Eurovision 2023?
start_date: 2023-03-08
end_date: 2023-05-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Swedish candidate for Eurovision 2023 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for the Swedish candidate for Eurovision 2023 to win, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2023, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


id: 249013
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Finland win Eurovision 2023?
start_date: 2023-03-08
end_date: 2023-05-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Finnish candidate for Eurovision 2023 (presently Käärijä) wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for the Finnish candidate for Eurovision 2023 to win, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2023, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


id: 249015
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Czechia win Eurovision 2023?
start_date: 2023-03-08
end_date: 2023-05-11
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Czech candidate for Eurovision 2023 (presently Vesna) wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for the Czech candidate for Eurovision 2023 to win, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2023, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


id: 249037
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: zkSync airdrop by June 1?
start_date: 2023-03-08
end_date: 2023-06-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on whether zkSync (https://zksync.io/) will both launch and airdrop a native token by June 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Launching a token in this context can be defined as a deployed-to-mainnet, actively transferrable and/or tradable token that is in some way native to the underlying application or protocol, and substantiated by the respective project via website or official social media channels. In the case of a token being announced but not yet transferrable or “live”, that will not satisfy market conditions. If the token is deployed to mainnet, but is not transferrable, that will also not satisfy market conditions. In the case of ERC20 tokens, if the token is deployed, but there is no existing Uniswap pool for the token, it will be considered not “live” and thus will not satisfy market conditions. For clarity, this market is about fungible tokens, and not NFTs related to a platform.

Airdrop in this context means that a nonzero portion of this token’s supply must have been distributed for free to at least one subset of actors relevant to the underlying project, based on their retroactive, past participation in using the product or protocol, participating in the community, or some other non-transactional action that pertains to the underlying project. An airdrop is considered to have taken place if the aforementioned free token distribution occurs, regardless of lockups or restrictions on the ability to sell the airdropped token, as long as the underlying token itself is live as per the earlier definition.

If this project launches a token and performs an airdrop by June 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If one or both of the objectives are not met by the resolution date, the market resolves to “No”.


id: 249045
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Israel win Eurovision 2023?
start_date: 2023-03-08
end_date: 2023-05-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli candidate (presently Noa Kirel) for Eurovision 2023 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for the Israeli candidate for Eurovision 2023 to win, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2023, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


id: 249407
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by June 30?
start_date: 2023-04-21
end_date: 2023-06-27
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "Ship 24 (S24)", by June 30, 2023.

A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.

If the Starship completes a successful launch by June 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "Ship 24 (S24)" with another vehicle (i.e. "S25", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market. This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level by June 30, 2023.


id: 249700
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Sui Airdrop by May 15?
start_date: 2023-03-28
end_date: 2023-05-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
In Response to Trader Inquiry: Token sales are not airdrops. Tokens need to be distributed to users’ wallets for free or through claiming with a gas fee for it to be an airdrop.

This is a market on whether Sui (https://sui.io/) will both launch and airdrop a native token by May 15, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. 

Launching a token can be defined as a deployed-to-mainnet, actively transferrable and/or tradable token that is in some way native to the underlying application or protocol, and substantiated by the respective project via website or official social media channels.

Airdrop in this context means that a nonzero portion of this token’s supply must have been distributed (by claiming, directly, etc.) to at least one subset of actors relevant to the underlying project.

If this project launches a token and performs an airdrop by May 15, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If one or both of the objectives are not met by the resolution date, the market resolves to “No”.


id: 249754
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31?
start_date: 2023-03-30
end_date: 2023-05-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if CEO of OpenAI Sam Altman testifies before the US congress in any capacity by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Government and Sam Altman, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 249767
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30?
start_date: 2023-04-28
end_date: 2023-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for a second time in 2023, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States announces a criminal indictment of former President Donald Trump before the resolution time June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used. 


id: 249887
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 1?
start_date: 2023-04-04
end_date: 2023-06-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump's verified Twitter account (@realDonaldTrump) tweets at least once after April 3, 2023, and by June 1, 2023, (11:59:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be Donald J. Trump's verified Twitter account: https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump.

For the purpose of this market's resolution, retweets do not count as a tweet.

Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Twitter account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald J. Trump tweets from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.


id: 249992
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Milady outperform BAYC?
start_date: 2023-04-07
end_date: 2023-05-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on May 31, the percent gain of Milady Maker’s floor price is more than the percent gain of BAYC’s floor price, in relation to the floor prices at the time of this market’s inception (Milady: 1.90 ETH, BAYC: 58.388 ETH).

For example, if on May 31 the floor price of Milady is 3.2 ETH and the floor price of BAYC is 65.5 ETH, the market will resolve to “Yes” because Milady’s percent gain is 100 * (3.2 - 1.90)/1.90 = 68.4%, while BAYC’s percent gain is 100 * (65.5-58.388)/58.388 = 12.1%.

The floor price on May 31 will be calculated using https://pro.opensea.io/, or if it ceases to exist, https://blur.io. At 12:00 PM ET, all listings that have existed for at least 1 hour will be considered, and the lowest price of them will be used as the floor price for the respective collections. Only listings that don't have a "suspicious activity" marker on https://pro.opensea.io will be considered. Listings across the marketplaces Blur, OpenSea, LooksRare, and x2y2 will count, in addition to other marketplaces that https://pro.opensea.io lists.


id: 250075
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: LayerZero airdrop by June 15?
start_date: 2023-04-10
end_date: 2023-06-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
In Response to Trader Inquiry: Token sales are not airdrops. Tokens need to be distributed to users’ wallets for free or through claiming with a gas fee for it to be an airdrop.

This is a market on whether LayerZero (https://layerzero.network/) will both launch and airdrop a native token by June 15, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. 

Launching a token can be defined as a deployed-to-mainnet, actively transferrable and/or tradable token that is in some way native to the underlying application or protocol, and substantiated by the respective project via website or official social media channels.

Airdrop in this context means that a nonzero portion of this token’s supply must have been distributed (by claiming, directly, etc.) to at least one subset of actors relevant to the underlying project.

If LayerZero launches a token and performs an airdrop by June 15, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If one or both of the objectives are not met by the resolution date, the market resolves to “No”.


id: 250328
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: US debt ceiling hike by July 1?
start_date: 2023-04-24
end_date: 2023-07-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the current debt ceiling for the US federal government is raised or suspended between April 19 and July 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The debt ceiling for the US federal government herein refers to the limit set by Title 31 of the U.S. Code, § 3101. Raising this debt ceiling refers to legislation enacted creating a new debt limit greater than the legal limit in effect as of the creation of this market (4/20/2023). Suspending this debt ceiling refers to legislation enacted that suspends application of the debt limit found in Title 31 U.S. Code § 3101 for any length of time.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. federal government (e.g. https://www.congress.gov/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 250353
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?
start_date: 2023-04-21
end_date: 2023-12-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If any Starship completes a successful launch by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.


id: 250476
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Newcastle finish in the Premier League Top 4 for the 2022/23 season?
start_date: 2023-04-25
end_date: 2023-05-27
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Newcastle United F.C. finishes in the Premier League top four for the 2022/23 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is a mathematical certainty this team will be in the 2022-23 Premier League top four, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes." Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for this team to be in the 2022-23 Premier League top four, this market will immediately resolve to "No." Potential retroactive points deductions past these points will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

If the 2022-23 Premier League top four have not been determined by August 12, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 250477
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Brighton finish in the Premier League Top 4 for the 2022/23 season?
start_date: 2023-04-25
end_date: 2023-05-27
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Brighton & Hove Albion Football Club finishes in the Premier League top four for the 2022/23 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is a mathematical certainty this team will be in the 2022-23 Premier League top four, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes." Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for this team to be in the 2022-23 Premier League top four, this market will immediately resolve to "No." Potential retroactive points deductions past these points will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

If the 2022-23 Premier League top four have not been determined by August 12, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 250478
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Liverpool finish in the Premier League Top 4 for the 2022/23 season?
start_date: 2023-04-25
end_date: 2023-05-27
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Liverpool Football Club finishes in the Premier League top four for the 2022/23 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is a mathematical certainty this team will be in the 2022-23 Premier League top four, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes." Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for this team to be in the 2022-23 Premier League top four, this market will immediately resolve to "No." Potential retroactive points deductions past these points will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

If the 2022-23 Premier League top four have not been determined by August 12, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 250480
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the 76ers be the 2022-23 NBA Champion?
start_date: 2023-04-25
end_date: 2023-06-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Philadelphia 76ers become the 2022-23 NBA Champion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is determined at any point that it is impossible for the 76ers to be the 2022-23 NBA Champion based on the rules of the NBA (e.g. they're eliminated in the playoffs), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

If this team is still in contention to become the champion and the champion still isn't determined by October 24, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 250481
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Warriors be the 2022-23 NBA Champion?
start_date: 2023-04-25
end_date: 2023-06-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Golden State Warriors become the 2022-23 NBA Champion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is determined at any point that it is impossible for the Warriors to be the 2022-23 NBA Champion based on the rules of the NBA (e.g. they're eliminated in the playoffs), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

If this team is still in contention to become the champion and the champion still isn't determined by October 24, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 250507
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30?
start_date: 2023-05-03
end_date: 2023-07-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a fourth US bank fails in 2023 by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET (according to FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market may only resolve to "No" 24 hours past the end time (July 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET) to allow for the Failed Bank List to potentially update. The date on the list must be June 30 or before for the market to resolve to "Yes."

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/


id: 250579
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Knicks be the 2022-23 NBA Champion?
start_date: 2023-04-28
end_date: 2023-06-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the New York Knicks become the 2022-23 NBA Champion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is determined at any point that it is impossible for the Knicks to be the 2022-23 NBA Champion based on the rules of the NBA (e.g. they're eliminated in the playoffs), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

If this team is still in contention to become the champion and the champion still isn't determined by October 24, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 250580
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Heat be the 2022-23 NBA Champion?
start_date: 2023-04-28
end_date: 2023-06-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Miami Heat become the 2022-23 NBA Champion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is determined at any point that it is impossible for the Heat to be the 2022-23 NBA Champion based on the rules of the NBA (e.g. they're eliminated in the playoffs), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

If this team is still in contention to become the champion and the champion still isn't determined by October 24, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 250583
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Did US GDP grow 2.0% or more in Q2 2023?
start_date: 2023-05-03
end_date: 2023-07-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If the BEA reports an annual rate of change of 2.0% or more in real GDP from the preceding quarter for Q2 of 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be reporting from the United States Bureau of Economic Analysis, specifically the GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q2 of 2023.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product, scheduled to be released on July 27, 2023.

Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution. 


id: 250646
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump receive a gag order by May 31?
start_date: 2023-05-03
end_date: 2023-05-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ex-president of the United States Donald J. Trump becomes the subject of a gag order by any Federal or State court in the US between May 1 and May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a "gag order" is broadly defined as a legally binding court order prohibiting Mr. Trump from discussing, commenting on, or disseminating information related to a specific legal case or investigation. The gag order must be issued by a federal or state court within the United States.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US courts/government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 250703
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting?
start_date: 2023-05-03
end_date: 2023-06-13
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 13-14, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's June 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is exactly the same as the level it was prior to the meeting (namely it increased 0 bps). Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 250704
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting?
start_date: 2023-05-03
end_date: 2023-06-13
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 13-14, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's June 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased exactly 25 basis points over the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 250725
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Olivia Chow win the 2023 Toronto mayoral by-election?
start_date: 2023-05-04
end_date: 2023-06-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023 Toronto mayoral by-election is scheduled to take place on Monday, June 26, 2023. This is a market asking who will be the ultimate victor.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Olivia Chow wins the 2023 Toronto mayoral by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however if there is any ambiguity in the results this market will resolve according to official information from the government of Canada/Toronto (e.g. https://www.toronto.ca/city-government/elections/election-results-reports/election-results/by-election-results/). 


id: 250727
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Lakers be the 2022-23 NBA Champion?
start_date: 2023-05-04
end_date: 2023-06-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Los Angeles Lakers become the 2022-23 NBA Champion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is determined at any point that it is impossible for the Lakers to be the 2022-23 NBA Champion based on the rules of the NBA (e.g. they're eliminated in the playoffs), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

If this team is still in contention to become the champion and the champion still isn't determined by October 24, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 250786
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will EIP-4844 be implemented by EOY?
start_date: 2023-05-22
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If EIP-4844 "Proto-Danksharding" (https://eips.ethereum.org/EIPS/eip-4844) is implemented on the Ethereum mainnet by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Ethereum blockchain, which can be explored here: https://etherscan.io.


id: 250821
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Rebecca Rhynhart win the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral Democratic primary?
start_date: 2023-05-08
end_date: 2023-05-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Democratic primary for the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral election is scheduled for May 16, 2023.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rebecca Rhynhart wins the 2023 Philadelphia Democratic mayoral primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however if there is ambiguity in this election's results this market will resolve according to official information from the Philadelphia City Commissioners (e.g. https://vote.phila.gov/results/).


id: 250842
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Cherelle Parker win the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral Democratic primary?
start_date: 2023-05-08
end_date: 2023-05-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Democratic primary for the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral election is scheduled for May 16, 2023.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cherelle Parker wins the 2023 Philadelphia Democratic mayoral primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however if there is ambiguity in this election's results this market will resolve according to official information from the Philadelphia City Commissioners (e.g. https://vote.phila.gov/results/).


id: 250843
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Helen Gym win the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral Democratic primary?
start_date: 2023-05-08
end_date: 2023-05-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Democratic primary for the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral election is scheduled for May 16, 2023.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Helen Gym wins the 2023 Philadelphia Democratic mayoral primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however if there is ambiguity in this election's results this market will resolve according to official information from the Philadelphia City Commissioners (e.g. https://vote.phila.gov/results/). 


id: 250847
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Wesley So win the 2023 Superbet Chess Classic?
start_date: 2023-05-08
end_date: 2023-05-14
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023 Grand Chess Tour starts with Superbet Chess Classic, set in Bucharest, Romania. It is scheduled to take place over May 4, 2023 – May 15, 2023. The tournament is structured so that ten players compete in round-robin format for their share of a $350,000 prize fund.

If Wesley So wins the 2023 Superbet Chess Classic, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve immediately to "No" if it becomes impossible for Wesley So to win the 2023 Superbet Chess Classic based on the rules of the tournament. Otherwise, this market will not resolve until this tournament's end.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament, including live footage (https://grandchesstour.org/2022-grand-chess-tour-watch/live); however, other credible reporting will be used.


id: 250852
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Fast X' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-05-09
end_date: 2023-05-21
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
'Fast X' (2023) is an upcoming American action adventure film distributed by Universal Pictures. It is the tenth main installment in the Fast and Furious movie series. It is scheduled for theatrical release in the USA on May 19, 2023.

This is a market on how much ‘Fast X' will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt5433140/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 19 - 21) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Fast X’ grosses more than $65,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by May 29, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 250853
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Fast X' gross more than $75 million domestically on its opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-05-09
end_date: 2023-05-21
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
'Fast X' (2023) is an upcoming American action adventure film distributed by Universal Pictures. It is the tenth main installment in the Fast and Furious movie series. It is scheduled for theatrical release in the USA on May 19, 2023.

This is a market on how much ‘Fast X' will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt5433140/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 19 - 21) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Fast X’ grosses more than $75,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by May 29, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 250860
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will George Santos remain in Congress through June 30?
start_date: 2023-05-09
end_date: 2023-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if George Santos is the Member of the U.S. House of Representatives from New York's 3rd district without interruption from May 9 through June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If George Santos ceases to be a member of Congress before this market's end date, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by George Santos or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. 


id: 250861
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round?
start_date: 2023-05-10
end_date: 2023-05-14
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023 Turkish general election is currently scheduled to take place on May 14, 2023. If no candidate receives a majority of votes, it will trigger a second round of voting between the two candidates which received the highest number of votes in the first round. The potential second round, if needed, is currently scheduled for May 28, 2023.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2023 Turkish presidential election requires a second round of voting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Turkish government (e.g. https://www.ysk.gov.tr/en/main-page), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 250872
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will U.S. inflation be greater than -0.1% from April to May 2023?
start_date: 2023-05-10
end_date: 2023-06-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from April to May 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than -0.1 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from April to May 2023 and “No“ otherwise.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS May 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 13, 2023, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

----

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.0%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is -0.1%, this market will resolve to “No”).


id: 250875
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from April to May 2023?
start_date: 2023-05-10
end_date: 2023-06-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from April to May 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.2 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from April to May 2023 and “No“ otherwise.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS May 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 13, 2023, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

----

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.3%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.2%, this market will resolve to “No”).


id: 250879
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from April to May 2023?
start_date: 2023-05-10
end_date: 2023-06-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from April to May 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.1 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from April to May 2023 and “No“ otherwise.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS May 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 13, 2023, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

----

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.2%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.1%, this market will resolve to “No”).


id: 251022
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Hurricanes be the 2023 NHL Champion?
start_date: 2023-05-15
end_date: 2023-06-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Carolina Hurricanes become the 2023 Stanley Cup Champion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is determined at any point that it is impossible for the Hurricanes to be the 2023 Stanley Cup Champion based on the rules of the NHL (e.g. they're eliminated in the playoffs), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

If this team is still in contention to become the champion and the champion still isn't determined by November 3, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 251025
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by May 31, 2023?
start_date: 2023-05-15
end_date: 2023-05-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, Ronald Dion DeSantis or his authorized representative does at least one of the following: 
-Files a Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) 
-Amends an existing Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the FEC 
-Designates a principal campaign committee for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election 
-Otherwise files or communicates with the FEC with the same effect as the filing of a Form 2 Statement of Candidacy for the 2024 election. 

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note that any informal declarations by Ron DeSantis and/or his representatives regarding DeSantis's intentions to run will have no bearing on this market; only the above criteria will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve based on the official FEC website (https://www.fec.gov/), however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


id: 251026
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: League of Legends: Will a South Korean team win The 2023 Mid-Season Invitational?
start_date: 2023-05-15
end_date: 2023-05-21
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Mid-Season Invitational (MSI) is an annual Riot Games-organized tournament for League of Legends, a multiplayer online battle arena video game. It is the second most important international League of Legends tournament, behind only the World Championship. The 2023 Mid-Season Invitational will be held from May 2 to 21, 2023, in the Copper Box Arena in London, UK. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a team from South Korea wins The 2023 MSI tournament and to "No" otherwise. If all South Korean teams are removed from contention the market may immediately resolve to "No."

This market will resolve according to official information from Riot Games, the tournament's organizer, either from their website (https://lolesports.com/) or Twitter profiles (https://twitter.com/LeagueOfLegends, https://twitter.com/riotgames), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 251027
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: USD/TRY (Turkish Lira) above 19.75 on May 22?
start_date: 2023-05-15
end_date: 2023-05-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If one United States Dollar (USD) is valued above ₺19.7500 Turkish Lira (TRY) on May 22, 2023 (according to the "Price" column on investing.com), this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is the USD/TRY currency exchange rate found on investing.com, specifically the historical daily "Price" column: https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-try-historical-data.

This market may resolve only after the "Price" for May 22, 2023, on the "USD/TRY Historical Data" chart is finalized. If investing.com doesn't post a price for the resolution date, Wall Street Journal's "CLOSE" price for the date will be used instead: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/fx/USDTRY/historical-prices.


id: 251028
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through June 30?
start_date: 2023-05-15
end_date: 2023-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexander Lukashenko remains the President of Belarus without interruption from May 15, 2023 through June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be the CIA World Factbook page for Belarus, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/belarus/#government. A consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 251040
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Coinbase list $PEPE by May 31?
start_date: 2023-05-16
end_date: 2023-05-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Coinbase lists $PEPE (https://etherscan.io/token/0x6982508145454Ce325dDbE47a25d4ec3d2311933) by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Coinbase listing $PEPE refers to coinbase.com and/or the coinbase mobile app(s) opening spot trading for a pair with $PEPE by the resolution time.


id: 251042
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%?
start_date: 2023-05-17
end_date: 2023-05-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
A 2023 election for the President of Turkey resulted in no candidate getting a majority, triggering a runoff between incumbent Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu scheduled to be held on Sunday, May 28, 2023.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either candidate in the 2023 Turkish presidential runoff wins by a margin greater than 5% (e.g. margin of 5.0001% resolves to "Yes"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the margin of victory is the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by each candidate in the election. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates.

For example, if Candidate A receives 53% of the votes, and Candidate B receives 47% of the votes, the difference will be found by subtracting 47 from 53, thus the margin of victory in this case would equal 6 (|Candidate A% - Candidate B%| = Margin of Victory).

Determination of the margin of victory of this election will be based on official information from the Yüksek Seçim Kurulu/YSK/Supreme Election Council (e.g. https://www.ysk.gov.tr/tr/cumhurbaskani-secim-arsivi/2647).

If this election does not take place by December 31, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50. 


id: 251045
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: US debt ceiling hike by June 1?
start_date: 2023-05-17
end_date: 2023-06-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the current debt ceiling for the US federal government is raised or suspended between May 16 and June 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The debt ceiling for the US federal government herein refers to the limit set by Title 31 of the U.S. Code, § 3101. Raising this debt ceiling refers to legislation enacted creating a new debt limit greater than the legal limit in effect as of the creation of this market (5/16/2023). Suspending this debt ceiling refers to legislation enacted that suspends application of the debt limit found in Title 31 U.S. Code § 3101 for any length of time.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. federal government (e.g. https://www.congress.gov/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 251046
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Turkish 2nd round turnout over 87%?
start_date: 2023-05-23
end_date: 2023-05-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the participation rate for the second round of the 2023 Turkish presidential election (scheduled to take place on May 28) including domestic, foreign, and customs votes is over 87%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is exclusively about the participation rate for second round of the 2023 Turkish presidential election. If the figures are not known by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the participation rate is the number of voters who voted (OY KULLANAN SECMEN SAYISI) divided by the number of voters who are registered to vote (KAYITLI SECMEN SAYISI). For example, if 45,000,000 voted out of the 60,000,000 registered to vote, the participation rate would be 45,000,000 / 60,000,000 = 0.75 which as a percentage is 75%.

The participation rate % used to decide the market's resolution will be the unrounded percentage. E.g. if the percentage was 87.001483... the market would resolve to "Yes."

Determination of the participation rate of this election will be based on official Turkish governmental sources, specifically the figure that includes domestic, foreign, and customs votes.


id: 251130
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the UCP win a plurality of seats in the 2023 Alberta general election?
start_date: 2023-05-22
end_date: 2023-05-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Canadian province of Alberta has scheduled a general election for May 29, 2023.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if UCP (The United Conservative Party) controls a greater number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Alberta than any other party after the results of the 2023 Alberta general election are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Alberta government and/or information published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/). However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.


id: 251131
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'The Little Mermaid' gross over $120 million on Memorial Day weekend?
start_date: 2023-05-22
end_date: 2023-05-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much ‘The Little Mermaid' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt5971474/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day opening weekend (May 26 - 29) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘The Little Mermaid’ grosses more than $120,000,000 on its 4-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and Monday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 4-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by June 5, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251132
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse' gross over $100 million on opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-05-22
end_date: 2023-06-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much ‘Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2812183041/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 2 - 4) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse’ grosses more than $100,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by June 12, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251134
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Erdoğan >93¢ on May 26?
start_date: 2023-05-22
end_date: 2023-05-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Memorialization: Taking the average of the samples on the resolution source https://data.polymarket.io/public/question/c366a6b6-0178-4d57-8428-6d26dc77d5ad yields 88.58... cents as the average price of Erdogan "Yes" shares on May 26, 2023.

This is a market on whether the average price of Erdogan Yes shares in the market https://polymarket.com/event/will-erdogan-win-the-2023-turkish-presidential-election is above 93.00¢ on May 26, 2023, ET.

To calculate the average price, the "Yes" midpoint price (halfway point between the best bid and best ask) will be captured exactly once at a random time in every 10 minute interval. This will be repeated for every 10 minute interval on May 26, 2023, ET. The average of all of the recorded prices will then be calculated - this will be defined as the average price of “Yes” shares on May 26, 2023, ET.

If the average price of Erdogan “Yes” shares on May 26, 2023 is above 93.00 cents, the market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise it will resolve to “No.”

The recorded prices will be viewable here, once the date is May 26, 2023 and samples have been taken: https://data.polymarket.io/public/question/c366a6b6-0178-4d57-8428-6d26dc77d5ad. The average price will also be memorialized on the Polymarket description once all samples have been taken.


id: 251137
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Abdusattorov win the ChessKid Cup 2023?
start_date: 2023-05-22
end_date: 2023-05-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If Nodirbek Abdusattorov wins the ChessKid Cup 2023, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve immediately to "No" if it becomes impossible for Nodirbek Abdusattorov to win the ChessKid Cup 2023 based on the rules of the tournament. Otherwise, this market will not resolve until this tournament's end.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament, including live footage (https://www.youtube.com/@chesscomlive, Chess.com/TV, etc.); however, other credible reporting will be used.


id: 251213
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season?
start_date: 2023-05-24
end_date: 2023-12-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on whether the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) will name 19 or more storms during the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season, a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if NOAA names 19 or more storms during the Atlantic hurricane season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” 

If 19 or more storms are named during the Atlantic hurricane season, the market will resolve to "Yes" immediately. Note: storms that form before the designated period but which are active during it are included in NOAA’s count. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.

This market may only resolve to "No" after December 1, 2023, 12:00:00 PM ET, if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not occurred before then.


id: 251214
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will LeBron announce his retirement by May 31?
start_date: 2023-05-24
end_date: 2023-05-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James announces by May 31, 11:59:59 PM ET that he will retire from playing in the NBA. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Mr. James will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually retires.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Mr. James (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or an official representative of his, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 251215
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Nikola Jokic win the 2023 NBA Finals MVP?
start_date: 2023-05-24
end_date: 2023-07-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikola Jokic is awarded the 2023 NBA Finals MVP. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2023 NBA Finals MVP is not decided by July 31, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 251216
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Jimmy Butler win the 2023 NBA Finals MVP?
start_date: 2023-05-24
end_date: 2023-07-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Butler is awarded 2023 NBA Finals MVP. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2023 NBA Finals MVP is not decided by July 31, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 251218
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Kendall Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4?
start_date: 2023-05-23
end_date: 2023-07-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kendall Roy is selected to be the next CEO of Waystar Royco by the end of Succession's 4th season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the sake of this market's resolution, if this character is selected to become a co-CEO this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the show itself, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the CEO of Waystar Royco is ambiguous or unknown at the end of Succession's 4th season, this market will resolve "No".


id: 251221
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Roman Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4?
start_date: 2023-05-23
end_date: 2023-07-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roman Roy is selected to be the next CEO of Waystar Royco by the end of Succession's 4th season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the sake of this market's resolution, if this character is selected to become a co-CEO this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the show itself, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the CEO of Waystar Royco is ambiguous or unknown at the end of Succession's 4th season, this market will resolve "No".


id: 251222
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Shiv Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4?
start_date: 2023-05-23
end_date: 2023-07-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shiv Roy is selected to be the next CEO of Waystar Royco by the end of Succession's 4th season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the sake of this market's resolution, if this character is selected to become a co-CEO this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the show itself, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the CEO of Waystar Royco is ambiguous or unknown at the end of Succession's 4th season, this market will resolve "No".


id: 251223
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Gerri Kellman or Connor Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4?
start_date: 2023-05-23
end_date: 2023-07-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Gerri Kellman or Connor Roy is selected to be the next CEO of Waystar Royco by the end of Succession's 4th season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the sake of this market's resolution, if this character is selected to become a co-CEO this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the show itself, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the CEO of Waystar Royco is ambiguous or unknown at the end of Succession's 4th season, this market will resolve "No".


id: 251224
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Tom Wambsgans be CEO at the end of Succession S4?
start_date: 2023-05-23
end_date: 2023-07-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tom Wambsgans is selected to be the next CEO of Waystar Royco by the end of Succession's 4th season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the sake of this market's resolution, if this character is selected to become a co-CEO this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the show itself, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the CEO of Waystar Royco is ambiguous or unknown at the end of Succession's 4th season, this market will resolve "No".


id: 251225
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Greg Hirsch be CEO at the end of Succession S4?
start_date: 2023-05-23
end_date: 2023-07-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greg Hirsch is selected to be the next CEO of Waystar Royco by the end of Succession's 4th season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the sake of this market's resolution, if this character is selected to become a co-CEO this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the show itself, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the CEO of Waystar Royco is ambiguous or unknown at the end of Succession's 4th season, this market will resolve "No".


id: 251226
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Lukas Matsson be CEO at the end of Succession S4?
start_date: 2023-05-23
end_date: 2023-07-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lukas Matsson is selected to be the next CEO of Waystar Royco by the end of Succession's 4th season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the sake of this market's resolution, if this character is selected to become a co-CEO this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the show itself, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the CEO of Waystar Royco is ambiguous or unknown at the end of Succession's 4th season, this market will resolve "No".


id: 251242
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $PSYOP market cap over $2B on May 31?
start_date: 2023-05-24
end_date: 2023-05-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Memorialization: The FDV of $PSYOP was $884.8M at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if $PSYOP has a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) greater than $2,000,000,000 on May 31, 2023, 12 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be CoinGecko, specifically the "Fully Diluted Valuation" figure located on this asset's page (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/psyop). If CoinGecko is unavailable at the check time, a consensus of credible sources will be used.

The FDV for this asset at 12:00 PM ET will be memorialized on the Polymarket market description after the resolution time passes: https://polymarket.com/event/will-psyop-have-a-fdv-over-2b-on-may-31


id: 251247
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Sierra Leone Presidential Election: Will Julius Maada Bio win?
start_date: 2023-05-28
end_date: 2023-06-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Julius Maada Wonie Bio, the 5th president of Sierra Leone, is seeking reelection in the 2023 Sierra Leonean general election, currently scheduled to take place on June 24, 2023.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Julius Maada Bio wins the 2023 Sierra Leonean presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market includes any potential second round. If the result isn't known by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Sierra Leonean government (e.g. https://ec.gov.sl/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 251248
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Sandra Torres win?
start_date: 2023-06-13
end_date: 2023-06-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Sandra Julieta Torres Casanova is seeking election to the presidency in the 2023 Guatemalan general election, currently scheduled to take place on June 25, 2023.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sandra Torres wins the 2023 Guatemalan presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market includes any potential second round. If the result isn't known by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Guatemalan government (e.g. https://www.tse.org.gt/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 251254
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?
start_date: 2023-05-30
end_date: 2023-10-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Javier Gerardo Milei is seeking election to the presidency in the 2023 Argentine general election, currently scheduled to take place on October 22, 2023.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Javier Milei wins the 2023 Argentine presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Argentine government (e.g. https://www.argentina.gob.ar/interior/dine), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 251257
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: US debt ceiling hike by June 5?
start_date: 2023-05-30
end_date: 2023-06-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the current debt ceiling for the US federal government is raised or suspended between May 29 and June 5, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The debt ceiling for the US federal government herein refers to the limit set by Title 31 of the U.S. Code, § 3101. Raising this debt ceiling refers to legislation enacted creating a new debt limit greater than the legal limit in effect as of the creation of this market (5/29/2023). Suspending this debt ceiling refers to legislation enacted that suspends application of the debt limit found in Title 31 U.S. Code § 3101 for any length of time.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. federal government (e.g. https://www.congress.gov/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 251258
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4?
start_date: 2023-05-30
end_date: 2023-06-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 140 or more House Republicans vote “Yea” on the first vote on passage of “H.R.3746 - Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023” by June 4, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

Only the first such vote on passage of the act is considered for this market: namely if less than 140 House Republicans vote “Yea” on the first vote, the market will resolve to “No.”

Note: The vote on this act must be finalized and closed ("gaveled") by June 4, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET for the market to resolve to “Yes.” Any ongoing vote that is not yet closed will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The resolution source will be US governmental sources such as https://www.congress.gov/roll-call-votes however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 


id: 251259
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: USD/TRY (Turkish Lira) above 21 on June 9?
start_date: 2023-05-30
end_date: 2023-06-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If one United States Dollar (USD) is valued above ₺21.0000 Turkish Lira (TRY) on June 9, 2023 (according to the "Price" column on investing.com), this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is the USD/TRY currency exchange rate found on investing.com, specifically the historical daily "Price" column: https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-try-historical-data.

This market may resolve only after the "Price" for June 9, 2023, on the "USD/TRY Historical Data" chart is finalized. If investing.com doesn't post a price for the resolution date, Wall Street Journal's "CLOSE" price for the date will be used instead: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/fx/USDTRY/historical-prices.


id: 251263
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Fabiano Caruana win 2023 Norway Chess?
start_date: 2023-05-31
end_date: 2023-06-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If Fabiano Caruana wins the 2023 Norway Chess, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve immediately to "No" if it becomes impossible for Fabiano Caruana to win 2023 Norway Chess based on the rules of the tournament. Otherwise, this market will not resolve until this tournament's end.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament (e.g. https://norwaychess.no/en/), including live footage.


id: 251293
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Nuggets sweep the Heat?
start_date: 2023-06-02
end_date: 2023-06-11
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Nuggets win the NBA 2023 Finals Series with a score of 4-0 vs. the Miami Heat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market may immediately resolve to "No" if it is impossible for the Nuggets to win 4-0 (e.g. they lose a game).


id: 251300
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Nuggets v. Heat Finals Series be 6 games long?
start_date: 2023-06-06
end_date: 2023-06-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2023 NBA Finals Series between the Nuggets and the Heat lasts exactly 6 games. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No."

This market may immediately resolve to "No" if based on the rules of the NBA it becomes impossible for there to be exactly 6 games.


id: 251304
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Nuggets v. Heat Finals Series be 5 games long?
start_date: 2023-06-06
end_date: 2023-06-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2023 NBA Finals Series between the Nuggets and the Heat lasts exactly 5 games. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No."

This market may immediately resolve to "No" if based on the rules of the NBA it becomes impossible for there to be exactly 5 games.


id: 251305
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Nuggets v. Heat Finals Series be 7 games long?
start_date: 2023-06-06
end_date: 2023-06-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2023 NBA Finals Series between the Nuggets and the Heat lasts exactly 7 games. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No."

This market may immediately resolve to "Yes" if based on the rules of the NBA it becomes guaranteed for there to be exactly 7 games.


id: 251306
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Transformers: Rise of the Beasts' gross over $45 million on opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-06-06
end_date: 2023-06-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much ‘Transformers: Rise of the Beasts' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1606320641/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 9 - 11) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Transformers: Rise of the Beasts’ grosses more than $45,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by June 19, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251314
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Turkish Central Bank raise interest rates at its June meeting?
start_date: 2023-06-06
end_date: 2023-06-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey's (TCMB, Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası) interest rates are defined in this market by the policy rate (one-week repo auction rate) released by the TCMB each month. Decisions on the one-week repo auction rate are made by the Monetary Policy Committee. As of the time of this market's inception, the rate is 8.5%.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Monetary Policy Committee's June 2023 meeting the policy rate is raised above the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is the TCMB statement after its meeting scheduled for June 22, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/EN/TCMB+EN/Main+Menu/Core+Functions/Monetary+Policy/Monetary+Policy+Committee/2023.

This market may resolve as soon as the Monetary Policy Committee's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by July 6, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 251315
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the WGA strike end by June 30?
start_date: 2023-06-06
end_date: 2023-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ongoing Writers Guild of America's (WGA) strike ends by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the ongoing WGA strike to be considered ended, both WGAW (Writers Guild of America West) and WGAE (Writers Guild of America East) must end the strike.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WGA (WGAW: https://www.wga.org/; WGAE: https://www.wgaeast.org/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 251319
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31?
start_date: 2023-06-06
end_date: 2023-08-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for a third time in 2023, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States announces a criminal indictment of former President Donald Trump before the resolution time August 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 251321
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will N.D. win over 42% of votes?
start_date: 2023-06-12
end_date: 2023-06-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Democracy (Νέα Δημοκρατία, N.D.) gets over 42% of votes in the 2023 Greek legislative election scheduled for June 25 after the results are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Unrounded percent of the vote will be used for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Greek government and/or information published through the official website of the Hellenic Republic's Ministry of the Interior (https://ekloges.ypes.gr/en). However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.


id: 251323
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will KKE win over 7% of votes?
start_date: 2023-06-12
end_date: 2023-06-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if KKE (The Communist Party of Greece, Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας) gets over 7% of votes in the 2023 Greek legislative election scheduled for June 25 after the results are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Unrounded percent of the vote will be used for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Greek government and/or information published through the official website of the Hellenic Republic's Ministry of the Interior (https://ekloges.ypes.gr/en). However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.


id: 251324
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will PASOK win over 12% of votes?
start_date: 2023-06-12
end_date: 2023-06-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PASOK (ΠΑΣΟΚ, The Panhellenic Socialist Movement, Πανελλήνιο Σοσιαλιστικό Κίνημα) gets over 12% of votes in the 2023 Greek legislative election scheduled for June 25 after the results are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Unrounded percent of the vote will be used for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Greek government and/or information published through the official website of the Hellenic Republic's Ministry of the Interior (https://ekloges.ypes.gr/en). However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.


id: 251325
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Greek Election: Will Syriza get more votes than PASOK?
start_date: 2023-06-12
end_date: 2023-06-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Syriza (ΣΥΡΙΖΑ, Coalition of the Radical Left – Progressive Alliance, Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Προοδευτική Συμμαχία) wins a greater number of votes than PASOK (ΠΑΣΟΚ, The Panhellenic Socialist Movement, Πανελλήνιο Σοσιαλιστικό Κίνημα) in the 2023 Greek legislative election scheduled for June 25 after the results are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Greek government and/or information published through the official website of the Hellenic Republic's Ministry of the Interior (https://ekloges.ypes.gr/en). However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.


id: 251342
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: USD/TRY (Turkish Central Bank buy rate) above 25 on July 3?
start_date: 2023-06-07
end_date: 2023-07-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If the rate in the “Forex Buying" column for USD/TRY on https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/en/tcmb+en/main+menu/statistics/exchange+rates/indicative+exchange+rates for July 3, 2023 is above 25.0000, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası (TCMB) buy rate of July 3 will be found in the cell under column “Forex Buying” for USD/TRY. If unavailable, other sources for TCMB's USD/TRY buy rate for July 3 will be considered.


id: 251359
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Ja Morant be suspended for more than 45 games?
start_date: 2023-06-07
end_date: 2023-10-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ja Morant is suspended for more than 45 games. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will only consider the next suspension of Ja Morant issued by the NBA after June 6 and before October 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, and not any suspensions incurred additionally from separate incidents.

If the NBA issues no suspension of Ja Morant by Oct 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA.


id: 251451
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will U.S. inflation be greater than -0.1% from May to June 2023?
start_date: 2023-06-12
end_date: 2023-07-11
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from May to June 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than -0.1 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from May to June 2023 and “No“ otherwise.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS June 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 12, 2023, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

----

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.0%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is -0.1%, this market will resolve to “No”).


id: 251452
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from May to June 2023?
start_date: 2023-06-12
end_date: 2023-07-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from May to June 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.0 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from May to June 2023 and “No“ otherwise.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS June 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 12, 2023, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

----

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.1%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.0%, this market will resolve to “No”).


id: 251454
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from May to June 2023?
start_date: 2023-06-12
end_date: 2023-07-11
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from May to June 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.2 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from May to June 2023 and “No“ otherwise.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS June 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 12, 2023, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

----

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.3%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.2%, this market will resolve to “No”).


id: 251456
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from May to Jun 2023?
start_date: 2023-06-12
end_date: 2023-07-11
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from May to June 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.1 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from May to June 2023 and “No“ otherwise.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS June 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 12, 2023, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

----

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the avg change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.2%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.1%, this market will resolve to “No”).


id: 251457
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
start_date: 2023-06-12
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin remains the President of Russia without interruption from June 12, 2023 through December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be the CIA World Factbook page for Russia, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/russia/#government. A consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 251458
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.3% from May to June 2023?
start_date: 2023-06-12
end_date: 2023-07-11
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from May to June 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.3 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from May to June 2023 and “No“ otherwise.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS June 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 12, 2023, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

----

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.4%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.3%, this market will resolve to “No”).


id: 251465
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Mbappé leave PSG?
start_date: 2023-06-12
end_date: 2023-09-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on whether Kylian Mbappé will sign for any football club other than Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) in the Summer transfer window, which closes on September 1, 2023.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Mbappé has signed for any team that is not PSG during the transfer window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will also resolve to “No” if it is announced that Mbappé has signed a contract extension with PSG.

If a club announces that Mbappé has signed with them but later retracts that announcement, this market will resolve according to the initial announcement.

This market's resolution source will be official, credible announcements from either PSG or the signing club.


id: 251467
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Elemental' gross over $37.5m on opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-06-13
end_date: 2023-06-18
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Elemental' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1811383041/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 16 - 18) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Elemental' (2023) grosses more than $37,500,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by June 26, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251470
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump attend the first RNC debate?
start_date: 2023-06-13
end_date: 2023-08-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ex-President Donald J. Trump participates in the first Republican National Committee (RNC)-sanctioned presidential primary debate, currently scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "participation" will be defined as Trump directly participating in the debate by speaking at least once during the debate, and being acknowledged by the moderator of the debate. If Trump is a remote participant in this debate, this market will still resolve to "Yes".

If this debate is split into multiple debates over multiple days, all days or rounds included in the debate will be considered toward the resolution of this market. If this debate is cancelled, delayed or rescheduled to a start date after September 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. 


id: 251472
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Vox win over 45 seats in the 2023 Spanish general election?
start_date: 2023-07-10
end_date: 2023-07-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vox gets over 45 seats in the Congress of Deputies (Congreso de los Diputados) in the 2023 Spanish general election scheduled for July 23. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity official information from the Spanish government and/or information published through the official website of the Kingdom of Spain's Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/opencms/es/elecciones-celebradas/elecciones-anteriores/) will be used.


id: 251477
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump be indicted a third time by June 30?
start_date: 2023-06-13
end_date: 2023-06-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for a third time in 2023, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States announces a criminal indictment of former President Donald Trump before the resolution time June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 251478
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump be indicted a third time by July 31?
start_date: 2023-06-13
end_date: 2023-07-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for a third time in 2023, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States announces a criminal indictment of former President Donald Trump before the resolution time July 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 251539
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the missing submarine be found by June 23?
start_date: 2023-06-20
end_date: 2023-06-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
*UPDATE: This market was sent to a dispute resolution on UMA. No need to worry, it will be resolved on Sunday. Thank you for your patience and join our Discord: discord.gg/polymarket if you have any questions.*

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the OceanGate vessel in St John's, Newfoundland which had been exploring the wreckage of the RMS Titanic is found by Friday, June 23, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, the vessel need not have been rescued or physically recovered to be considered “found.” If pieces are located, but not the cabin which contains the vessel’s passengers, that will not suffice for this market to resolve to “Yes.” 
 
The resolution source for this market will be either an official statement from OceanGate, the US Coastguard, or another credible government agency. If no such statement is issued, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 251570
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight?
start_date: 2023-06-22
end_date: 2023-07-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg both announce that they have agreed to fight one another by July 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, an “announcement” will be defined as Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg publicly confirming that a physical fight will take place. The fight itself does not need to take place prior to July 1 for this market to resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be any statements issued directly by both Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg which confirm that a fight will take place.


id: 251572
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Moriah Mills leak a sex tape with Zion Williamson?
start_date: 2023-06-22
end_date: 2023-07-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moriah Mills publishes a sex tape that features Zion Williamson by July 1, 2023, 12:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be credible reporting about a video posted by Moriah Mills on any platform.


id: 251576
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'No Hard Feelings' gross over $10m on opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-06-23
end_date: 2023-07-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'No Hard Feelings' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4174349057/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 23 - 25) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘No Hard Feelings' (2023) grosses more than $10,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by July 03, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251592
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Young Thug's new album have over 140k sales in its first week?
start_date: 2023-06-23
end_date: 2023-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
 Young Thug's new album 'Business is Business' is scheduled to be released on June 23, 2023.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Young Thug's new album 'Business is Business' has over 140,000 in sales for the week ending June 29, 2023, according to the finalized version of hitsdailydouble.com's "HITS TOP 50" list. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the figure in the column titled "ALBUMS" once the named list is finalized.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming.

If the chart specified herein is rendered permanently unavailable or does not list 'Business is Business', another credible resolution source may be chosen.


id: 251596
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will YNW Melly be found guilty?
start_date: 2023-06-27
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Bulletin Board Update (2:30 PM ET): Per the rules, particularly the third paragraph, this market should resolve 50-50 as the case against YNW Melly had not finished by the resolution date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jamell Demons (YNW Melly) is found guilty of any charge in his ongoing case "The State of Florida v. Jamell Demons" (Case Number 19001872CF10A). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If "The State of Florida v. Jamell Demons" case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgement is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".

If the trial has not ended by the resolution date, December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source will be an official judgement delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.


id: 251620
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1?
start_date: 2023-06-24
end_date: 2023-07-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the current  Russian Minister of Defense, Sergei Shoigu, remains the Russian Minister of Defense without interruption from June 24 through July 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".


The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Russian government, however in case of ambiguity a consensus of credible reporting will be used.


id: 251622
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: NATO article 5 by November 30?
start_date: 2023-09-19
end_date: 2023-11-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between September 19, 2023, and November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive), this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.


id: 251623
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Wagner take Moscow by Tuesday?
start_date: 2023-06-24
end_date: 2023-06-27
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if forces affiliated with Wagner gain majority control of Moscow by Tuesday, June 27, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 251642
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: ETH above $2,000 on June 30?
start_date: 2023-06-26
end_date: 2023-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT titled 2023/06/30 12:00 in the ET timezone (referring to noon ET) has a final “Close” price of 2000.01 or higher, or to "No" otherwise.

The resolution source for this market is https://www.binance.com, specifically the ETH/USDT “Close” prices, currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT. The Binance API url for ETH/USDT may be used in the event that the chart is unavailable.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 251658
asset_class: PolyMarket
start_date: 2023-06-28
end_date: 2023-07-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
question:
Formula 1: Will Red Bull collect the most points of any constructor at the 2023 Austrian Grand Prix?

resolution_criteria:
This is a market on whether the Red Bull constructor team will collect the most points at the 2023 Austrian Grand Prix, a Formula 1 racing event that is scheduled to take place over 71 laps of the 4.318-kilometre Red Bull Ring in Spielberg, on July 2, 2023.

Constructor teams are awarded the same points won by the drivers who race in their cars. If, for example, the drivers earn 25 and 18 points, respectively, their constructor team will be awarded 43 points, which are the points won by both drivers combined.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Oracle Red Bull Racing collects more points than any other constructor team at the 2023 Austrian Grand Prix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason the 2023 Austrian Grand Prix is rescheduled to a different time and date on or before July 16, 2023, the same market conditions will apply. If the race is rescheduled to a time and date after July 16, 2023, this market will resolve to 50-50.


id: 251659
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Formula 1: Will 17 or more drivers complete the 2023 Austrian Grand Prix?
start_date: 2023-06-28
end_date: 2023-07-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023 Austrian Grand Prix is a Formula 1 racing event that is scheduled to take place to take place over 71 laps of the 4.318-kilometre Red Bull Ring in Spielberg, on July 2, 2023.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 17 or more drivers are classified at the finish of the 2023 Austrian Grand Prix main race. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note, drivers which are disqualified or have covered less than 90% of the number of laps covered by the winner (rounded down to the nearest whole number of laps), will not be classified.

This market will resolve based on the official classification published after the race at https://www.formula1.com/en/racing/2022/Austria.html. The number of drivers with classified positions will count for this market.

If for any reason the 2023 Austrian Grand Prix is rescheduled to a different time and date on or before July 16, 2023, the same market conditions will apply. If the race is rescheduled to a time and date after July 16, 2023, this market will resolve to 50-50.


id: 251660
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Formula 1: Will Max Verstappen win the 2023 Austrian Grand Prix?
start_date: 2023-06-28
end_date: 2023-07-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023 Austrian Grand Prix is a Formula 1 racing event that is scheduled to take place to take place over 71 laps of the 4.318-kilometre Red Bull Ring in Spielberg, on July 2, 2023.

This is a market on whether Max Verstappen will finish the 2023 Austrian Grand Prix in first position.

If Max Verstappen finishes the 2023 Austrian Grand Prix in first position, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason the 2023 Austrian Grand Prix is rescheduled to a different time and date on or before July 16, 2023, the same market conditions will apply. If the race is rescheduled to a time and date after July 16, 2023, this market will resolve to 50-50.


id: 251671
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny' gross more than $70.5m on its 3-day opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-06-28
end_date: 2023-07-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2776598017/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 30 - July 02) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny' (2023) grosses more than $70,500,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the number acquired by adding the Box Office Mojo figures under Domestic Daily for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by July 10, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. 


id: 251692
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Biden v. Nebraska: Student Loan Forgiveness
start_date: 2023-06-29
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If, as a result of a ruling in the Biden v. Nebraska SCOTUS case (Docket 22–506), the Supreme Court vacates or otherwise lifts the injunction placed by the Eighth Circuit enjoining the US Secretary of Education from implementing its plan to discharge student loan debt under the Higher Education Relief Opportunities for Students Act (HEROES Act) of 2003, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A ruling that narrows the injunction to specific states will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". 

A ruling that otherwise prohibits the Secretary of Education’s plan to discharge student loan debt under the HEROES Act based on statutory, constitutional, or other grounds, will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

Any ruling on the Biden administration’s modification to income-driven repayment plans will not effect the outcome of this market.

Only if the Supreme Court vacates or otherwise lifts the injunction placed by the Eighth Circuit enjoining the US Secretary of Education from implementing its plan to discharge student loan debt under the HEROES Act will this market resolve to "Yes".

This market will resolve as soon as a verdict rendered by SCOTUS in this case is made public. If a ruling is not provided by SCOTUS by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States. 


id: 251698
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Insidious: The Red Door' gross more than $26.5m on its 3-day opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-07-03
end_date: 2023-07-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Insidious: The Red Door' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1137607425/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 07 - July 09) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Insidious: The Red Door'' (2023) grosses more than $26,500,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by July 17, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251699
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Joy Ride' gross more than $13.5m on its 3-day opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-07-03
end_date: 2023-07-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Joy Ride' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2732688129/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 07 - July 09) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Joy Ride' (2023) grosses more than $13,500,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by July 17, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251705
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Lil Uzi Vert's new album have over 175k sales in its first week?
start_date: 2023-06-30
end_date: 2023-07-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lil Uzi Vert's new album 'The Pink Tape' has over 175,000 in sales for the week ending July 6, 2023, according to the finalized version of hitsdailydouble.com's "HITS TOP 50" list. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the figure in the column titled "ALBUMS" once the named list is finalized.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming.

If the chart specified herein is rendered permanently unavailable or does not list 'Business is Business', another credible resolution source may be chosen.


id: 251747
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10?
start_date: 2023-07-03
end_date: 2023-07-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if unverified Twitter profiles are permitted to view over 1000 posts per day by July 10, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If "new" unverified accounts are unable to view more than 1000 posts per day, but other unverified Twitter accounts are able to, this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Twitter, including information provided by Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.    


id: 251749
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2023 Tour de France?
start_date: 2023-07-03
end_date: 2023-07-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2023 Tour de France is the 110th edition of the Tour de France. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tadej Pogačar wins the 2023 Tour de France general classification and to "No" otherwise.

If for any reason the winner is not declared by July 31, 2023 (11 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". Please note that any revisions to the results, after the champion receives the trophy, will have no bearing on this market.


id: 251753
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon?
start_date: 2023-07-05
end_date: 2023-07-16
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Novak Djokovic wins the 2023 Wimbledon Championships Men's Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for Novak Djokovic to win in Men's Singles based on the rules of The Championships, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/), however credible reporting may also be used.


id: 251757
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Threads be the most popular app a week after launch?
start_date: 2023-07-06
end_date: 2023-07-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Memorialization: Remini - AI Photo Enhancer was the #1 free iPhone app at resolution time. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Threads is the #1 free iPhone app on July 12, 12 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the US iPhone App Store's "Top Free Apps" chart, viewable here: https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone.

The Polymarket description will be updated with the #1 app at resolution time.


id: 251762
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: White House cokehead arrested by July 15?
start_date: 2023-07-06
end_date: 2023-07-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone is arrested in connection with the bag of cocaine found in the White House by July 15, 2023 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Note: If the person(s) arrested in connection with the cocaine are later found innocent it will have no bearing on the resolution of this market - this market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if an arrest is made.


id: 251763
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Twitter sue Meta by July 15?
start_date: 2023-07-06
end_date: 2023-07-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Twitter/X Corp. sues Meta by July 15, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market X Corp and Meta include any of the subsidiaries of each company.

This market will resolve according to official information from Twitter and Meta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 251765
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will $BTC reach $32,500 by July 14?
start_date: 2023-07-07
end_date: 2023-07-14
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for BTC-USD between 7 Jul '23 12:00 and 14 Jul '23 23:59 (inclusive) in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 32,500.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 251767
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Kane sign for Bayern Munich?
start_date: 2023-07-07
end_date: 2023-09-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on whether Harry Kane will sign for Bayern Munich in the Summer transfer window, which closes on September 1, 2023.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Kane has signed for Bayern Munich during the transfer window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will also resolve to “No” if it is announced that Kane has signed a contract extension with Tottenham Hotspur, or signs for a club other than Bayern Munich during the described transfer window.

If a club announces that Kane has signed with them but later retracts that announcement, this market will resolve according to the initial announcement.

This market's resolution source will be official, credible announcements from either Tottenham Hotspur or the signing club.


id: 251770
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will PP win over 33.5% of votes in the 2023 Spanish general election?
start_date: 2023-07-10
end_date: 2023-07-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PP (Partido Popular, People's Party) gets over 33.5% of votes for the Congress of Deputies (Congreso de los Diputados) in the 2023 Spanish general election scheduled for July 23. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity official information from the Spanish government and/or information published through the official website of the Kingdom of Spain's Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/opencms/es/elecciones-celebradas/elecciones-anteriores/) will be used.


id: 251771
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Sumar win over 13.5% of votes in the 2023 Spanish general election?
start_date: 2023-07-10
end_date: 2023-07-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sumar gets over 13.5% of votes for the Congress of Deputies (Congreso de los Diputados) in the 2023 Spanish general election scheduled for July 23. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity official information from the Spanish government and/or information published through the official website of the Kingdom of Spain's Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/opencms/es/elecciones-celebradas/elecciones-anteriores/) will be used.


id: 251773
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will VOX win over 13.5% of votes in the 2023 Spanish general election?
start_date: 2023-07-10
end_date: 2023-07-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if VOX gets over 13.5% of votes for the Congress of Deputies (Congreso de los Diputados) in the 2023 Spanish general election scheduled for July 23. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity official information from the Spanish government and/or information published through the official website of the Kingdom of Spain's Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/opencms/es/elecciones-celebradas/elecciones-anteriores/) will be used.


id: 251774
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Mission: Impossible' gross over $100m on its 5-day open?
start_date: 2023-07-10
end_date: 2023-07-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much ‘Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One' will gross domestically over its 5-day opening. The “Domestic Daily” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1896449537/ be used to resolve this market once the values for the first five days of the film's release (July 12 - July 16) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One’ grosses more than $100,000,000 on its 5-day opening. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the sum of the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Daily for July 12-16.

If there is no final data available by July 24, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251777
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Ecuador Presidential Election: Will Luisa González win?
start_date: 2023-07-14
end_date: 2023-08-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Luisa González is seeking election to the presidency in the 2023 Ecuadorian general election, currently scheduled to take place on August 20, 2023.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luisa González wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market includes any potential second round. If the result isn't known by March 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity official information from the Ecuadorian government and/or information published through the official website of Ecuador's Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.tse.org.gt/) will be used.


id: 251780
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Mission: Impossible' gross over $70m on its 3-day open?
start_date: 2023-07-10
end_date: 2023-07-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much ‘Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One' will gross domestically over its 3-day opening. The “Domestic Daily” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1896449537/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 14 - July 16 are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One’ grosses more than $70,000,000 on its 3-day opening. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the sum of the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Daily for July 14 - 16.

If there is no final data available by July 24, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251793
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: North Korea missile test by July 31?
start_date: 2023-07-13
end_date: 2023-07-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile test between July 13 and July 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.


id: 251794
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Nate Silver win the WSOP main event?
start_date: 2023-07-12
end_date: 2023-07-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nate Silver wins the 2023 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” 

Note - this market will immediately resolve to “No” if Nate Silver is eliminated. 

The resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 251795
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY?
start_date: 2023-07-12
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
[From ACX Mini-Grants: Impact Markets]

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official announcement of a ceasefire agreement, regardless of the ceasefire's length, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The ceasefire agreement must be acknowledged and accepted by both the Russian and Ukrainian governments to be considered valid. The ceasefire must apply to the entire territory of Ukraine as defined by the UN, including all regions currently involved in the conflict, to be considered valid.

The specific date that the ceasefire agreement will take effect is not relevant to the resolution of this market. The only requirement is that the agreement must be announced before this market's end time.


id: 251800
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will $XRP hit $1 by July 20?
start_date: 2023-07-13
end_date: 2023-07-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT between 2023/07/13 00:00 and 2023/07/20 23:59 in the ET timezone has a “High” price of 1.0000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.binance.com, specifically the XRP/USDT “High” prices, currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT. The Binance API url for XRP/USDT may be used in the event that the chart is unavailable.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 251801
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Coinbase announce XRP relist by July 31?
start_date: 2023-07-13
end_date: 2023-07-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if coinbase.com announces it will list $XRP by July 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For a "Yes" resolution it is only necessary that Coinbase announces by July 31 that it will relist $XRP, regardless of whether it relists the token within this market's timeframe.


id: 251803
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will an American win WSOP main event?
start_date: 2023-07-14
end_date: 2023-07-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if an American wins the 2023 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” 

Note - this market will immediately resolve to “No” if all Americans are eliminated. 

The resolution source for this market will be https://www.wsop.com, namely individuals with "United States" listed as their country. A consensus of credible reporting will also suffice. 


id: 251806
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will $ETH hit $2,000 again by July 31?
start_date: 2023-07-14
end_date: 2023-07-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for ETH-USD between 14 Jul '23 17:00 and 31 Jul '23 23:59 (inclusive) in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 2,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the ETH-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/ETH-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase ETH-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 251807
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-07-14
end_date: 2023-07-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Barbie' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1077904129/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 21 - July 23) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Barbie' (2023) grosses more than $150,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If there is no final data available by July 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251809
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will $BTC hit $32,000 by Aug 4?
start_date: 2023-07-17
end_date: 2023-08-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for BTC-USD between 17 Jul '23 17:00 and 04 Aug '23 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 32,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 251813
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30?
start_date: 2023-07-19
end_date: 2023-09-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump tweets at least once between July 18 and September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, all quote and reply tweets count toward a "Yes" resolution, but retweets will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be Donald J. Trump's verified Twitter account: https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump.

Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Twitter account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald J. Trump tweets from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.


id: 251819
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Biden additional aid to Ukraine by July 31?
start_date: 2023-07-19
end_date: 2023-07-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If the US Department of Defense (DoD) announces the Biden Administration's forty-third drawdown of equipment from DoD inventories for Ukraine since August 2021 by July 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note that an announcement will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

This market's resolution only concerns the forty-third drawdown of equipment from DoD inventories for Ukraine since August 2021, and not other aid packages.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the DoD (e.g. https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 251820
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Another North Korea missile test by July 31?
start_date: 2023-07-19
end_date: 2023-07-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile test between July 19, 9:00 AM ET and July 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.


id: 251822
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a LIV Golfer win The Open?
start_date: 2023-07-19
end_date: 2023-07-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any golfer contracted with LIV Golf wins The Open Championship (https://www.theopen.com/) in 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may immediately resolve to "Yes" if all players remaining are LIV Golfers - likewise the market may immediately resolve to "No" if there are no remaining LIV golfers.

If for any reason the winner is not decided by August 6, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from The Open, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 251824
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting?
start_date: 2023-07-19
end_date: 2023-09-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's September 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is exactly the same as the level it was prior to the meeting (namely it increased 0 bps). Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 19-20, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by September 27, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 251825
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting?
start_date: 2023-07-19
end_date: 2023-09-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's September 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased exactly 25 basis points over the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 19-20, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by September 27, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 251826
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $65m on opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-07-19
end_date: 2023-07-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Oppenheimer' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3725886209/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 21 - July 23) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Oppenheimer' (2023) grosses more than $65,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by July 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251827
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-07-19
end_date: 2023-07-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Barbie' has a domestic gross of at least two times the amount of 'Oppenheimer' on their opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The respective "Domestic Weekend" tabs on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1517268/ and https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15398776/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for their 3-day opening weekend (July 21-23) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release.

If there is no final data available by July 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251828
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Opepen floor price over .69 ETH on July 28?
start_date: 2023-07-20
end_date: 2023-07-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Memorialization: At 12:00 PM ET, the Openpen Edition floor price was .6167 ETH.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on July 28, 2023, 12:00 PM ET the Openpen Edition floor price is greater than 0.6900 ETH. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The floor price on July 28 will be found using https://pro.opensea.io/, or if it ceases to exist, https://blur.io. At 12:00 PM ET, all listings that have existed for at least 30 minutes will be considered, and the lowest price of them will be used as the floor price for Openpen Edition. Only listings that don't have a "suspicious activity" marker on https://pro.opensea.io will be considered. Listings across the marketplaces Blur, OpenSea, and LooksRare will count, in addition to other marketplaces that https://pro.opensea.io lists.

The floor price at 12:00 PM ET will be memorialized on the Polymarket market description after the resolution time passes.


id: 251829
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from June to July 2023?
start_date: 2023-07-21
end_date: 2023-08-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from June to July 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.0 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from June to July 2023 and “No“ otherwise.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS July 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 10, 2023, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

----

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.1%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.0%, this market will resolve to “No”).


id: 251830
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from June to July 2023?
start_date: 2023-07-21
end_date: 2023-08-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from June to July 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.1 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from June to July 2023 and “No“ otherwise.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS July 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 10, 2023, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

----

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.2%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.1%, this market will resolve to “No”).


id: 251831
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from June to July 2023?
start_date: 2023-07-21
end_date: 2023-08-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from June to July 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.2 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from June to July 2023 and “No“ otherwise.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS July 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 10, 2023, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

----

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.3%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.2%, this market will resolve to “No”).


id: 251835
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Travis Scott's Utopia over 250k sales week 1?
start_date: 2023-07-24
end_date: 2023-08-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Travis Scott's new album 'Utopia' is scheduled to be released on July 28, 2023.  

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Travis Scott's new album 'Utopia' has over 250,000 sales in its first week (ending August 3, 2023) according to the finalized version of hitsdailydouble.com's "HITS TOP 50" list. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".  

This market will resolve according to the figure in the column titled "ALBUMS" once the named list is finalized.  The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming.  

If the chart specified herein is rendered permanently unavailable or does not list 'Utopia', another credible resolution source may be chosen.


id: 251836
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $80m on opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-07-21
end_date: 2023-07-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Oppenheimer' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3725886209/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 21 - July 23) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Oppenheimer' (2023) grosses more than $80,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by July 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251837
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Barbie' gross over $170m on opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-07-21
end_date: 2023-07-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Barbie' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1077904129/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 21 - July 23) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Barbie' (2023) grosses more than $170,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If there is no final data available by July 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251844
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: WorldCoin Market cap (FDV) over $10b one week after launch?
start_date: 2023-07-24
end_date: 2023-07-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Memorialization: The FDV at 5:00 AM ET was $22,780,000,000.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if $WLD has a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) greater than $10,000,000,000 on July 31, 2023, 5 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, FDV will be found by multiplying the Binance close price of the 1m WLD candle titled "07/31/2023 05:00" in the ET timezone by the supply (FDV = Current Price x Max Supply [or total supply if max supply is invalid]).

The FDV at 05:00 AM ET will be memorialized on this market's Polymarket market description after the resolution time passes.


id: 251846
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Barbie' gross over $90m on its second weekend?
start_date: 2023-07-24
end_date: 2023-07-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Barbie' (2023) will gross domestically on its second weekend. The “Domestic Daily” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1077904129/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for each of the 3 days consisting of this movie's second weekend (July 28 - July 30) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Barbie' (2023) grosses more than $90,000,000 on its second weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If there is no final data available by August 7, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251847
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on its second weekend?
start_date: 2023-07-24
end_date: 2023-07-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Oppenheimer' (2023) will gross domestically on its second weekend. The “Domestic Daily” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3725886209/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for each of the the 3 days consisting of this movie's second weekend (July 28 - July 30) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Oppenheimer' (2023) grosses more than $50,000,000 on its second weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If there is no final data available by August 7, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251848
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Christoph Strasser win the 2023 Transcontinental Race?
start_date: 2023-07-24
end_date: 2023-08-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Christoph Strasser wins the 2023 Transcontinental Race (TCRNo9). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2023 Transcontinental Race is cancelled before it is completed, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Transcontinental Race (e.g. https://www.transcontinental.cc/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 251849
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Haunted Mansion' gross over $30m on opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-07-25
end_date: 2023-07-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Haunted Mansion' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl707822337/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 28 - July 30) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Haunted Mansion ' (2023) grosses more than $30,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by August 7th, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251850
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Mbappé sign for Real Madrid?
start_date: 2023-07-25
end_date: 2023-09-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on whether Kylian Mbappé will sign for Real Madrid in the Summer transfer window, which closes on September 1, 2023.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Mbappé has signed for Real Madrid during the transfer window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will also resolve to “No” if it is announced that Mbappé has signed a contract extension with PSG, or signs for a club other than Real Madrid during the described transfer window.

If a club announces that Mbappé has signed with them but later retracts that announcement, this market will resolve according to the initial announcement.

This market's resolution source will be official, credible announcements from either PSG or the signing club.


id: 251855
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY?
start_date: 2023-07-26
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for ETH-USD between 26 Jul '23 10:00 and 31 Dec '23 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 2,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the ETH-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/ETH-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase ETH-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 251858
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will LeBron say COVID vaccine could've caused Bronny's cardiac arrest?
start_date: 2023-07-26
end_date: 2023-07-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James states that the COVID vaccine could've caused Bronny James's cardiac arrest by July 31, 2023 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be statements verifiably made by LeBron James.


id: 251861
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Travis Scott's Utopia over 350k sales week 1?
start_date: 2023-07-27
end_date: 2023-08-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Travis Scott's new album 'Utopia' is scheduled to be released on July 28, 2023.  

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Travis Scott's new album 'Utopia' has over 350,000 sales in its first week (ending August 3, 2023) according to the finalized version of hitsdailydouble.com's "HITS TOP 50" list. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the figure in the column titled "ALBUMS" once the named list is finalized.  The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming.  

If the chart specified herein is rendered permanently unavailable or does not list 'Utopia', another credible resolution source may be chosen.


id: 251862
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Travis Scott's Utopia over 500k sales week 1?
start_date: 2023-07-27
end_date: 2023-08-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Travis Scott's new album 'Utopia' is scheduled to be released on July 28, 2023.  

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Travis Scott's new album 'Utopia' has over 500,000 sales in its first week (ending August 3, 2023) according to the finalized version of hitsdailydouble.com's "HITS TOP 50" list. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".  

This market will resolve according to the figure in the column titled "ALBUMS" once the named list is finalized.  The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming.  

If the chart specified herein is rendered permanently unavailable or does not list 'Utopia', another credible resolution source may be chosen.


id: 251863
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: SBF jail by August 31?
start_date: 2023-07-27
end_date: 2023-08-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Bankman-Fried (SBF) spends any time in custody in a jail or prison between July 27 and August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 251864
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 2023 FIDE World Cup: Will Magnus Carlsen win top 3?
start_date: 2023-07-27
end_date: 2023-08-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Magnus Carlsen finishes in the top 3 of the 2023 FIDE World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market may resolve immediately to "No" if it becomes impossible for Magnus Carlsen to win a top 3 position in the 2023 FIDE World Cup based on the rules of the tournament. Likewise, if it becomes a certainty that Magnus Carlsen will win a top 3 position in the 2023 FIDE World Cup, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

If the 2023 FIDE World Cup top 3 are not decided by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament (e.g. https://worldcup2023.fide.com/), including live footage.


id: 251865
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 2023 FIDE World Cup: Will Hikaru Nakamura win top 3?
start_date: 2023-07-27
end_date: 2023-08-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hikaru Nakamura finishes in the top 3 of the 2023 FIDE World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market may resolve immediately to "No" if it becomes impossible for Hikaru Nakamura to win a top 3 position in the 2023 FIDE World Cup based on the rules of the tournament. Likewise, if it becomes a certainty that Hikaru Nakamura will win a top 3 position in the 2023 FIDE World Cup, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

If the 2023 FIDE World Cup top 3 are not decided by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament (e.g. https://worldcup2023.fide.com/), including live footage.


id: 251866
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: 2023 FIDE World Cup: Will Fabiano Caruana win top 3?
start_date: 2023-07-27
end_date: 2023-08-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fabiano Caruana finishes in the top 3 of the 2023 FIDE World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market may resolve immediately to "No" if it becomes impossible for Fabiano Caruana to win a top 3 position in the 2023 FIDE World Cup based on the rules of the tournament. Likewise, if it becomes a certainty that Fabiano Caruana will win a top 3 position in the 2023 FIDE World Cup, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

If the 2023 FIDE World Cup top 3 are not decided by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament (e.g. https://worldcup2023.fide.com/), including live footage.


id: 251871
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will USA win the 2023 Women's World Cup?
start_date: 2023-07-27
end_date: 2023-08-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if USA is the Champion of FIFA Women's World Cup 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to “No” if the team is eliminated or otherwise has no path to victory based on the rules of the FIFA Women's World Cup 2023.

If no Champion of FIFA Women's World Cup 2023 is declared by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (e.g. https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/womens/womensworldcup/australia-new-zealand2023/scores-fixtures), including official footage from the World Cup, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 251872
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Spain win the 2023 Women's World Cup?
start_date: 2023-07-27
end_date: 2023-08-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spain is the Champion of FIFA Women's World Cup 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to “No” if the team is eliminated or otherwise has no path to victory based on the rules of the FIFA Women's World Cup 2023.

If no Champion of FIFA Women's World Cup 2023 is declared by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (e.g. https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/womens/womensworldcup/australia-new-zealand2023/scores-fixtures), including official footage from the World Cup, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 251873
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will England win the 2023 Women's World Cup?
start_date: 2023-07-27
end_date: 2023-08-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if England is the Champion of FIFA Women's World Cup 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to “No” if the team is eliminated or otherwise has no path to victory based on the rules of the FIFA Women's World Cup 2023.

If no Champion of FIFA Women's World Cup 2023 is declared by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (e.g. https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/womens/womensworldcup/australia-new-zealand2023/scores-fixtures), including official footage from the World Cup, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 251874
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Germany win the 2023 Women's World Cup?
start_date: 2023-07-27
end_date: 2023-08-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Germany is the Champion of FIFA Women's World Cup 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to “No” if the team is eliminated or otherwise has no path to victory based on the rules of the FIFA Women's World Cup 2023.

If no Champion of FIFA Women's World Cup 2023 is declared by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (e.g. https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/womens/womensworldcup/australia-new-zealand2023/scores-fixtures), including official footage from the World Cup, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 251875
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will France win the 2023 Women's World Cup?
start_date: 2023-07-27
end_date: 2023-08-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France is the Champion of FIFA Women's World Cup 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to “No” if the team is eliminated or otherwise has no path to victory based on the rules of the FIFA Women's World Cup 2023.

If no Champion of FIFA Women's World Cup 2023 is declared by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (e.g. https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/womens/womensworldcup/australia-new-zealand2023/scores-fixtures), including official footage from the World Cup, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 251876
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Brazil win the 2023 Women's World Cup?
start_date: 2023-07-27
end_date: 2023-08-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Brazil is the Champion of FIFA Women's World Cup 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to “No” if the team is eliminated or otherwise has no path to victory based on the rules of the FIFA Women's World Cup 2023.

If no Champion of FIFA Women's World Cup 2023 is declared by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (e.g. https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/womens/womensworldcup/australia-new-zealand2023/scores-fixtures), including official footage from the World Cup, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 251877
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Australia win the 2023 Women's World Cup?
start_date: 2023-07-27
end_date: 2023-08-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Australia is the Champion of FIFA Women's World Cup 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to “No” if the team is eliminated or otherwise has no path to victory based on the rules of the FIFA Women's World Cup 2023.

If no Champion of FIFA Women's World Cup 2023 is declared by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (e.g. https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/womens/womensworldcup/australia-new-zealand2023/scores-fixtures), including official footage from the World Cup, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 251878
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Japan win the 2023 Women's World Cup?
start_date: 2023-07-27
end_date: 2023-08-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Japan is the Champion of FIFA Women's World Cup 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to “No” if the team is eliminated or otherwise has no path to victory based on the rules of the FIFA Women's World Cup 2023.

If no Champion of FIFA Women's World Cup 2023 is declared by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (e.g. https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/womens/womensworldcup/australia-new-zealand2023/scores-fixtures), including official footage from the World Cup, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 251888
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: [Single Market] Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination?
start_date: 2023-08-21
end_date: 2024-09-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nikki Haley wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.


id: 251890
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August?
start_date: 2023-08-01
end_date: 2023-08-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between August 1 and August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET as listed on the National Hurricane Center website (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If no tropical systems with hurricane status make landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may only resolve to "No" after August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.

For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL

This market will resolve based on an initial announcement released by NOAA that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.


id: 251892
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2?
start_date: 2023-09-12
end_date: 2023-10-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if is a US government shutdown occurs between Sep 1 and October 2, 2023, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary a US government shutdown occurs, whether it is a partial shutdown, or a full shutdown.

The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 251893
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump be indicted twice more by August 31?
start_date: 2023-08-01
end_date: 2023-08-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least two more criminal indictments of former President Donald Trump are announced by any Federal or State jurisdictions of the United States between August 1, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2023, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, the announcement of a superseding indictment will NOT count as the announcement of an indictment.

For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 251895
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention?
start_date: 2023-08-01
end_date: 2023-08-14
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if troops from countries other than Niger conduct officially acknowledged offensive military operations within the sovereign territory of Niger between August 1, 2023 and August 14, 2023 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the intervention to count toward a "Yes" resolution, the officially acknowledged offensive military operations must involve that country's physical military presence within the sovereign territory of Niger. For the purposes of this market, "offensive military operations" resulting in a "Yes" resolution specifically do not include actions exclusively related to surveillance performed by aircraft, drones, satellites, etc.

Official acknowledgement must include statements indicating foreign military intervention from the foreign government making the intervention.

A consensus of credible reporting may be used to ascertain the validity of an official acknowledgement.


id: 251896
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' gross over $30m on its 3-day opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-08-01
end_date: 2023-08-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl393904897/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 4 - August 6) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' (2023) grosses more than $30,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Daily for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by August 14th, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251897
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' gross over $42.5m on its 5-day opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-08-01
end_date: 2023-08-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl393904897/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (August 2 - August 6) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' (2023) grosses more than $42,500,000 on its 5-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

5-day opening weekend is defined as the first Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Daily for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by August 14th, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251898
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Meg 2: The Trench' gross over $23.5m on opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-08-01
end_date: 2023-08-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Meg 2: The Trench' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3090514689/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 04 - August 06) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Meg 2: The Trench' (2023) grosses more than $23,500,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by August 14th, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251900
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Netherlands win the 2023 Women's World Cup?
start_date: 2023-08-02
end_date: 2023-08-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netherlands is the Champion of FIFA Women's World Cup 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to “No” if the team is eliminated or otherwise has no path to victory based on the rules of the FIFA Women's World Cup 2023.

If no Champion of FIFA Women's World Cup 2023 is declared by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (e.g. https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/womens/womensworldcup/australia-new-zealand2023/scores-fixtures), including official footage from the World Cup, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 251903
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Mbappé sign for Chelsea?
start_date: 2023-08-02
end_date: 2023-09-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on whether Kylian Mbappé will sign for Chelsea in the Summer transfer window, which closes on September 1, 2023.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Mbappé has signed for Chelsea during the transfer window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will also resolve to “No” if it is announced that Mbappé has signed a contract extension with PSG, or signs for a club other than Chelsea during the described transfer window.

If a club announces that Mbappé has signed with them but later retracts that announcement, this market will resolve according to the initial announcement.

This market's resolution source will be official, credible announcements from either PSG or the signing club.


id: 251904
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Superconductor "Yes" trading between 15¢ and 65¢ EOW?
start_date: 2023-08-02
end_date: 2023-08-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on whether the average price of "Yes" shares in the "Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?" market https://polymarket.com/event/is-the-room-temp-superconductor-real is between 15¢ and 65¢ (inclusive) on August 6, 2023, ET.

To calculate the average price, the "Yes" midpoint price (halfway point between the best bid and best ask) will be captured exactly once at a random time in every 10 minute interval. This will be repeated for every 10 minute interval on August 6, 2023, ET. The average of all of the recorded prices will then be calculated - this will be defined as the average price of “Yes” shares on August 6, 2023, ET.

If the average price of “Yes” shares on August 6, 2023 is between 15¢ and 65¢ (inclusive), this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise it will resolve to “No.”

The recorded prices will be viewable here, once the date is August 6, 2023 and samples have been taken: https://data.polymarket.io/public/question/14e3cfb9-d4f9-400f-a218-754a0e7abce8. The average price will also be memorialized on the Polymarket description once all samples have been taken.


id: 251905
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Traoré remain President of Burkina Faso through August 31?
start_date: 2023-08-02
end_date: 2023-08-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ibrahim Traoré remains the President of Burkina Faso without interruption from August 2, 2023 through August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the CIA World Factbook page for Burkkina Faso, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/burkina-faso/#government. A consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 251916
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Sweden win the 2023 Women's World Cup?
start_date: 2023-08-02
end_date: 2023-08-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sweden is the Champion of FIFA Women's World Cup 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to “No” if the team is eliminated or otherwise has no path to victory based on the rules of the FIFA Women's World Cup 2023.

If no Champion of FIFA Women's World Cup 2023 is declared by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (e.g. https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/womens/womensworldcup/australia-new-zealand2023/scores-fixtures), including official footage from the World Cup, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 251918
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump smile in his mugshot?
start_date: 2023-08-03
end_date: 2023-09-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump is smiling in his front-view mugshot. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This mugshot will resolve based on the first front-view mugshot released after this market's inception; if no mugshot is released by September 30, 2023 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and/or official information from law enforcement. Determination as to whether Trump is smiling in his mugshot will be made by this market's decentralized resolver, UMA.


id: 251919
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023?
start_date: 2023-08-08
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Ethereum-based futures ETF receives approval from the SEC by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the SEC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 251922
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: MH370 black box found by September 30?
start_date: 2023-07-13
end_date: 2023-09-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the black box from the missing Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 251927
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Binance announces $RLB listing by Aug 18?
start_date: 2023-08-05
end_date: 2023-08-18
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if binance.com announces they will list $RLB (https://etherscan.io/token/0x046eee2cc3188071c02bfc1745a6b17c656e3f3d) by August 18, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Binance.com need only announce by the resolution date that they will list $RLB, regardless of if and when the actual listing occurs.


id: 251931
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Neymar leave PSG?
start_date: 2023-08-09
end_date: 2023-09-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on whether Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior will sign for any football club other than Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) in the Summer transfer window, which closes on September 1, 2023.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Neymar has signed for any team that is not PSG during the transfer window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will also resolve to “No” if it is announced that Neymar has signed a contract extension with PSG.

If it is announced that Neymar will go on loan to any team that is not PSG while remaining under contract with PSG, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If a club announces that Neymar has signed with them but later retracts that announcement, this market will resolve according to the initial announcement.

This market's resolution source will be official, credible announcements from either PSG or the signing club.


id: 251932
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: BTC above $28,000 at end of August?
start_date: 2023-08-07
end_date: 2023-08-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Coinbase 1 minute candle for BTC-USD 31 Aug '23 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Close” price of 28000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "Close" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 251933
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: North Korea missile test by August 31?
start_date: 2023-08-08
end_date: 2023-08-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile test between August 8, 9:00 AM ET and August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.


id: 251934
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Tory Lanez sentence over 8.5 years?
start_date: 2023-08-08
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tory Lanez is sentenced to over 8.5 years (i.e. over 3104 days) in penitentiary for his ongoing case involving Megan Thee Stallion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the first verdict and sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any subsequent appeals.

If no sentence is delivered by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The length of the sentence shall be deemed to be the longest period of time sentenced. If there are multiple sentences issued from this case and they are to be served concurrently, the sentence length is considered to be the longest of the concurrent terms sentenced; if the terms are to be served consecutively, the sentence length is considered to be the sum of the sentenced terms. Any suspension of any sentence shall not disqualify the suspended time from being considered as part of the sentence.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the court system, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 251935
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump mugshot by Sep 1?
start_date: 2023-08-08
end_date: 2023-09-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official mugshot of ex-president Donald John Trump taken after July 31 is made widely available to the public by September 1, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official mugshot of Donald Trump becomes widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, etc.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the government.


id: 251939
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will WeWork announce bankruptcy in 2023?
start_date: 2023-08-09
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if WeWork announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels (e.g. https://www.wework.com/newsroom, etc.), as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents WeWork.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 251942
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Barbie' gross over $35m over August 11-13?
start_date: 2023-08-09
end_date: 2023-08-13
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Barbie' (2023) will gross domestically on its August 11-13 weekend run. The “Domestic Daily” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1077904129/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for each of the 3 days consisting of this market's timeframe are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Barbie' (2023) grosses more than $35,000,000 on its August 11-13 weekend run. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If there is no final data available by August 21, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251943
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $20m over August 11-13?
start_date: 2023-08-09
end_date: 2023-08-13
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Oppenheimer' (2023) will gross domestically on its August 11-13 weekend run. The “Domestic Daily” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3725886209/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for each of the 3 days consisting of this market's timeframe are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Oppenheimer' (2023) grosses more than $20,000,000 on its August 11-13 weekend run. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If there is no final data available by August 21, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251944
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'The Last Voyage of the Demeter' gross over $8m on opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-08-09
end_date: 2023-08-13
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'The Last Voyage of the Demeter' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1001520/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 11 - August 13) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘The Last Voyage of the Demeter' (2023) grosses more than $8,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by August 21, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251947
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the WGA strike end by September 1?
start_date: 2023-08-10
end_date: 2023-09-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ongoing Writers Guild of America's (WGA) strike ends by September 1, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the ongoing WGA strike to be considered ended, both WGAW (Writers Guild of America West) and WGAE (Writers Guild of America East) must end the strike.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WGA (WGAW: https://www.wga.org/; WGAE: https://www.wgaeast.org/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 251950
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Mason Greenwood return to Manchester United?
start_date: 2023-08-18
end_date: 2023-09-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it's announced prior to September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET that Mason Greenwood is permitted to play any competitive match for Manchester United's senior squad. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Manchester United announces that Greenwood will not be permitted to play for Manchester United, this market may resolve "No" immediately according to that statement regardless of whether he plays within this market's timeframe after that announcement is made.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 251956
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will SBF plead guilty by August 21?
start_date: 2023-08-14
end_date: 2023-08-21
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF pleads guilty to any charge by August 21, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US court system, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 251957
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Man City win the Premier League?
start_date: 2023-08-14
end_date: 2024-05-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Man City is the 2023-24 Premier League Champion. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No". 

If it is a mathematical certainty Man City will win, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes." Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for Man City to win, this market will immediately resolve to "No." Potential retroactive points deductions past these points will have no bearing on this market's resolution.


id: 251958
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Lahaina fire in Maui be fully contained this week?
start_date: 2023-08-14
end_date: 2023-08-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Lahaina fire in Maui is 100% contained by August 20, 2023, 11:59 PM HST (Hawaii Standard Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is official updates from https://www.mauicounty.gov/. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 251961
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Blue Beetle' gross over $27m opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-08-14
end_date: 2023-08-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Blue Beetle' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3693445889/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 18 - August 20) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Blue Beetle' (2023) grosses more than $27,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by August 28th, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 251965
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump contempt of court by September 30?
start_date: 2023-08-15
end_date: 2023-09-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump is found to be in contempt of court between August 15 and September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 251966
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win?
start_date: 2023-08-15
end_date: 2023-10-21
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Sergio Massa is seeking election to the presidency in the 2023 Argentine general election, currently scheduled to take place on October 22, 2023.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sergio Massa wins the 2023 Argentine presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Argentine government (e.g. https://www.argentina.gob.ar/interior/dine), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 251968
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Zimbabwe Presidential Election: Will Mnangagwa win?
start_date: 2023-08-15
end_date: 2023-08-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Emmerson Mnangagwa is seeking reelection to the presidency in the 2023 Zimbabwe general election, currently scheduled to take place on August 23, 2023.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmerson Mnangagwa wins the 2023 Zimbabwe presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Zimbabwean government (e.g. https://www.zec.org.zw/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 251969
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Milady outperform BAYC through Aug 31?
start_date: 2023-08-15
end_date: 2023-08-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on August 31, the percent gain of Milady Maker’s floor price is more than the percent gain of BAYC’s floor price, in relation to the floor prices at the time of this market’s inception, August 15 (Milady: 4.4 ETH, BAYC: 28.8 ETH).

For example, if on August 31 the floor price of Milady is 6.42 ETH and the floor price of BAYC is 32.50 ETH, the market will resolve to “Yes” because Milady’s percent gain would be 100 * (6.42 - 4.4)/4.4 = 45.9%, while BAYC’s percent gain would be 100 * (32.5 - 28.8)/28.8 = 12.8%.

The floor price on August 31 will be calculated using https://pro.opensea.io/, or if it becomes permanently unavailable, https://blur.io. At 12:00 PM ET, all listings that have existed for at least 30 minutes will be considered, and the lowest price of them will be used as the floor price for the respective collections. Only listings that don't have a "suspicious activity" marker on https://pro.opensea.io will be considered. Listings across the marketplaces Blur and OpenSea will count, in addition to other marketplaces that https://pro.opensea.io lists.


id: 251971
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump heavier than 260 lbs?
start_date: 2023-08-16
end_date: 2023-09-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump weighs over 260 pounds when he's booked. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Trump's weight is not released by September 1, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by municipal or state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 251995
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023?
start_date: 2023-08-18
end_date: 2023-12-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2023 shows an increase of 1.05°C or greater when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of 1.05°C or greater for 2023 will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for 2023 is later revised. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2023" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2023 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 251996
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023?
start_date: 2023-08-18
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2023 shows an increase of 1.08°C or greater when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of 1.08°C or greater for 2023 will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for 2023 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2023" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2023 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 251998
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Dillon Danis back out of Logan Paul fight?
start_date: 2023-08-17
end_date: 2023-10-14
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dillon Danis pulls out of his fight with Logan Paul, presently scheduled for October 14, 2023 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official statements from Dillon Danis or his representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 251999
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY?
start_date: 2023-08-18
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if USDC market cap has an 2-week average market cap of over 25 billion for dates between December 18 and December 31, 2023 ET (inclusive). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be the “Historical Data” table for USDC on coingecko.com (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data/). To find the Market Cap data that will be used, open the Historical Data table for USDC, then find the number under “Market Cap” for the days to be used to calculate the 2-week average. If the resolution source is rendered permanently unavailable, CoinMarketCap will be used instead.

The 2-week average for December 18-31, 2023 ET will be calculated by averaging the finalized market cap historical data from this market's resolution source for the dates in question (adding the market cap historical data for December 18-31, then dividing that sum by 14).


id: 252001
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: ETH above $1,700 on Aug 25?
start_date: 2023-08-17
end_date: 2023-08-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Coinbase 1 minute candle for ETH-USD 25 Aug '23 12:00 in the ET timezone has a final “Close” price of 1700.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the ETH-USD "Close" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/ETH-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase ETH-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 252006
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Hilary hit US as a hurricane?
start_date: 2023-08-18
end_date: 2023-08-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the storm named Hilary (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep4+shtml/150034.shtml) is a hurricane when it crosses over United States land. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Hilary does not hit the United States by August 25, 2023 ET, or otherwise dissipates before that date, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on an initial announcement released by NOAA that Hilary has crossed over United States land within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement. If information from NOAA becomes unavailable a consensus of credible sources will be used.


id: 252007
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Military intervention in Niger by September 15?
start_date: 2023-08-18
end_date: 2023-09-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if troops from countries other than Niger conduct officially acknowledged offensive military operations within the sovereign territory of Niger between August 18, 2023 and September 15, 2023 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the intervention to count toward a "Yes" resolution, the officially acknowledged offensive military operations must involve that country's physical military presence within the sovereign territory of Niger. For the purposes of this market, "offensive military operations" resulting in a "Yes" resolution specifically do not include actions exclusively related to surveillance performed by aircraft, drones, satellites, etc.

Official acknowledgement must include statements indicating foreign military intervention from the foreign government making the intervention.

A consensus of credible reporting may be used to ascertain the validity of an official acknowledgement.


id: 252008
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Grayscale win v. SEC?
start_date: 2023-08-21
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the District of Columbia Court of Appeals rules the Securities and Exchange Commission was unreasonable in refusing to grant a Bitcoin ETF to Grayscale as a result of the ongoing Grayscale v. SEC case. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no ruling is issued for this case by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US court system, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 252011
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will there be widespread flooding in LA?
start_date: 2023-08-20
end_date: 2023-08-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is widespread flooding in Los Angeles County as a result of Tropical Storm Hilary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting published before August 23, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. This market may resolve to "Yes" immediately if the resolution criteria are met.


id: 252013
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will any Friend Tech user's share price be >5 ETH by Friday?
start_date: 2023-08-21
end_date: 2023-08-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Friend Tech user’s share price is over 5 ETH at any point by Friday, August 25, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be the friend.tech app. A consensus of credible sources will also suffice.


id: 252015
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: BTC above $26,000 at end of August?
start_date: 2023-08-21
end_date: 2023-08-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Coinbase 1 minute candle for BTC-USD 31 Aug '23 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Close” price of 26000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "Close" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 252017
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: [Single Market] Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination?
start_date: 2023-08-21
end_date: 2024-09-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vivek Ramaswamy wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.


id: 252018
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: [Single Market] Will Tim Scott win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination?
start_date: 2023-08-21
end_date: 2024-09-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tim Scott wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.


id: 252037
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: LayerZero airdrop by Oct 31?
start_date: 2023-09-18
end_date: 2023-10-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if LayerZero launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the LayerZero team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252051
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will SBF get Adderall in jail?
start_date: 2023-08-24
end_date: 2023-09-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If it is learned SBF has received Adderall between August 24 and September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, then this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is learned that SBF received Adderall within this market's timeframe after this market's timeframe has expired, it will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be statements made by SBF and/or his legal representation, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252073
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Dillon Danis release 'the picture'?
start_date: 2023-08-24
end_date: 2023-08-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, Dillon Danis releases "the picture" he is referencing in the post located here: https://twitter.com/dillondanis/status/1694776296079843384. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The text of this post states "Since Logan threatened to sue me if I release the picture if I hit 4 million on instagram I’ll say fuck it and spend the jail time 🤷‍♂️".

The primary resolution source will be information from Dillon Danis and his social media profiles, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252082
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31?
start_date: 2023-08-25
end_date: 2023-08-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Trump recently broke his silence on X by tweeting a picture of his mugshot (https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1694886846050771321).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump tweets again, between August 24, 8 PM ET and August 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, all quote and reply tweets count toward a "Yes" resolution, but retweets will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be Donald J. Trump's verified Twitter account: https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump.

Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Twitter account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald J. Trump tweets from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.


id: 252087
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: ETH above $1,700 on Sep 1?
start_date: 2023-08-25
end_date: 2023-09-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Coinbase 1 minute candle for ETH-USD 01 Sep '23 12:00 in the ET timezone has a final “Close” price of 1700.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the ETH-USD "Close" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/ETH-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase ETH-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 252101
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Rubiales remain Spanish FA president through Sep 11?
start_date: 2023-08-28
end_date: 2023-09-11
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luis Rubiales remains president of the Spanish FA (Royal Spanish Football Federation) without interruption through September 11, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Luis Rubiales and the Spanish FA, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252103
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Inter Miami make playoffs?
start_date: 2023-08-28
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Inter Miami makes the 2023 Major League Soccer (MLS) playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from MLS (https://www.mlssoccer.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252105
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Inter Miami win MLS Cup?
start_date: 2023-08-28
end_date: 2023-12-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Inter Miami wins the MLS Cup for 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may immediately resolve "No" if it becomes impossible for Inter Miami to win the 2023 MLS Cup.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from MLS (https://www.mlssoccer.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252106
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump tweet again by Sep 30?
start_date: 2023-08-28
end_date: 2023-09-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Trump recently broke his silence on X by tweeting a picture of his mugshot (https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1694886846050771321).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump tweets again, between August 24, 8 PM ET and September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, all quote and reply tweets count toward a "Yes" resolution, but retweets will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be Donald J. Trump's verified Twitter account: https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump.

Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Twitter account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald J. Trump tweets from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.


id: 252111
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open?
start_date: 2023-08-29
end_date: 2023-09-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Novak Djokovic wins the 2023 US Open Men's Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for Novak Djokovic to win in Men's Singles based on the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org/), however credible reporting may also be used.


id: 252116
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'The Equalizer 3' gross over $35m Labor Day weekend?
start_date: 2023-08-30
end_date: 2023-09-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'The Equalizer 3' (2023) will gross domestically on its 4-day opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1430029057/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day long opening weekend (September 1 - September 4) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If "Domestic Weekend" tab does not include the 4-day number, then the "Domestic Daily" will be used for the 4 days.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘The Equalizer 3' (2023) grosses more than $35,000,000 on its 4-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The long opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and Monday of this film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 4-day weekend or by adding up the 4 days under Domestic Daily, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by September 10th, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 252119
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Another African coup by October 31?
start_date: 2023-08-30
end_date: 2023-10-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is another coup resulting in the removal of an African country's head of government from power for any length of time between August 30, 3 PM ET and October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 252120
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: ETH above $1,700 on Sep 8?
start_date: 2023-08-30
end_date: 2023-09-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Coinbase 1 minute candle for ETH-USD 08 Sep '23 12:00 in the ET timezone (referring to Noon) has a final “Close” price of 1700.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the ETH-USD "Close" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/ETH-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase ETH-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 252121
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Max Verstappen win every remaining Grand Prix in 2023?
start_date: 2023-08-31
end_date: 2023-11-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If Max Verstappen finishes every F1 grand prix held in the 2023 season after Netherlands (Aug 27) in first position, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any cancelled races will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market considers all races actually run for the remainder of the 2023 F1 season. If Max Verstappen misses a race for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from F1 (ex: https://www.formula1.com/en/racing/2023.html), however live footage and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 252122
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: $UNIBOT below $100 by EoY?
start_date: 2023-08-31
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on whether Unibot ($UNIBOT) will be below $100.00 between August 31, 2023, and December 31, 2023 (inclusive) according to CoinGecko's Historical Data on "Close" prices.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for Unibot ($UNIBOT) is below $100.00 on any date within this market's timeframe. This market will resolve to "No" if the "Close" price of Unibot ($UNIBOT) remains at $100.00 or above for every day within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be CoinGecko's Historical Data chart for Unibot (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/unibot/historical_data#panel), particularly the "Close" price for each day within this market's timeframe.


id: 252124
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween?
start_date: 2023-08-31
end_date: 2023-10-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits 200 million subscribers by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET.  Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 252132
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Magnus Carlsen win the Speed Chess Championship?
start_date: 2023-08-31
end_date: 2023-09-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Norwegian chess grandmaster Magnus Carlsen wins the Speed Chess Championship 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it can be definitively determined at any point that Magnus Carlsen will not be the winner of the Speed Chess Championship 2023 based on the rules of the tournament, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If for any reason the tournament is cancelled or rescheduled to an end date after October 5, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from the Speed Chess Championship including footage from the tournament (which will be streamed here: https://www.chess.com/tv), however a consensus of other credible sources may be used.


id: 252133
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will DOJ charge Binance by Sep 30?
start_date: 2023-09-01
end_date: 2023-09-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Justice (DOJ) files any charges against Binance and/or Binance.US by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the DOJ, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 252135
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-09-01
end_date: 2023-10-16
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28814949 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 13 - October 15) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' (2023) grosses more than $100,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by October 23, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 252136
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the WGA strike end by September 30?
start_date: 2023-09-14
end_date: 2023-09-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ongoing Writers Guild of America's (WGA) strike ends by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the ongoing WGA strike to be considered ended, both WGAW (Writers Guild of America West) and WGAE (Writers Guild of America East) must end the strike.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WGA (WGAW: https://www.wga.org/; WGAE: https://www.wgaeast.org/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252137
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will SAG end strike by Sep 30?
start_date: 2023-09-14
end_date: 2023-09-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ongoing Screen Actors Guild – American Federation of Television and Radio Artists (SAG - AFTRA) strike ends by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SAG-AFTRA (e.g. https://www.sagaftra.org/news-events), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252139
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: BTC above $23,456.78 at end of September?
start_date: 2023-09-02
end_date: 2023-09-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Coinbase 1 minute candle for BTC-USD 30 Sept '23 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Close” price of 23,456.79 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "Close" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 252140
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will ‘Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'?
start_date: 2023-09-02
end_date: 2023-10-16
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' has a higher domestic opening weekend gross than 'Barbie'. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The respective "Domestic Weekend" tabs on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1517268/ (for days Jul 21 - 23) and https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28814949 will be used to resolve this market once the values for 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' 3-day opening weekend (October 13-15) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by October 23, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 252150
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Antony suspended by Man United?
start_date: 2023-09-05
end_date: 2023-09-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Antony Matheus dos Santos (Antony) is suspended by Manchester United for any length of time by September 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by Sep 12 that Antony is suspended will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when or if the suspension actually occurs.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United its official or legal representatives.


id: 252173
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'The Nun II' gross over $40m opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-09-05
end_date: 2023-09-11
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'The Nun II' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt10160976/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 8 - September 10) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘The Nun II' (2023) grosses more than $40,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by September 17, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 252174
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3' gross over $10m opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-09-05
end_date: 2023-09-11
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt21103300 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 8 - September 10) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3' (2023) grosses more than $10,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by September 17, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 252175
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Coco Gauff win Women's US Open?
start_date: 2023-09-05
end_date: 2023-09-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Cori Dionne "Coco" Gauff wins the 2023 US Open Women's Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for Cori Gauff to win in Women's Singles based on the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org/), however credible reporting may also be used.


id: 252180
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Lee become a Category 5 hurricane?
start_date: 2023-09-06
end_date: 2023-09-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Lee is designated Category 5 (a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 157 mph) at any point according to official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/). If Lee dissipates without ever becoming a Category 5 hurricane, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" based on any initial advisory released by the NHC that Lee has become a Category 5 hurricane regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement. 


id: 252191
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Nina Agdal win restraining order against Dillon Danis?
start_date: 2023-09-06
end_date: 2023-10-14
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nina Agdal is granted any type of restraining order against Dillon Danis by October 14, 2023 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252194
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Republican VP nominee be a woman?
start_date: 2023-09-08
end_date: 2024-09-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a woman wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.


id: 252196
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: BTC above $27,000 at end of September?
start_date: 2023-09-08
end_date: 2023-09-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Coinbase 1 minute candle for BTC-USD 30 Sept '23 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Close” price of 27,000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "Close" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 252222
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will SMER win a plurality?
start_date: 2023-09-12
end_date: 2023-09-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SMER (Smer – sociálna demokracia, Direction – Social Democracy) controls a greater number of seats in the National Council than any other party after the results of the 2023 Slovakian parliamentary election are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election aren't known by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity official information from the Slovakian government and/or information published through the official website of Slovakia's Ministry of the Interior (https://www.minv.sk/?ministry-of-interior) will be used.


id: 252223
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Progresívne Slovensko win over 18% of votes?
start_date: 2023-09-12
end_date: 2023-09-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Progresívne Slovensko (Progressive Slovakia) gets over 18% of votes for the National Council in the 2023 Slovak parliamentary elections scheduled for September 30. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election aren't known by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity official information from the Slovakian government and/or information published through the official website of Slovakia's Ministry of the Interior (https://www.minv.sk/?ministry-of-interior) will be used.


id: 252226
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election?
start_date: 2023-09-12
end_date: 2023-11-07
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democrat wins the 2023 Kentucky gubernatorial election, scheduled for November 7, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

Determination of the winner of the 2023 U.S. Gubernatorial election for Kentucky will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, the final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2023 election results.


id: 252227
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Milady Floor above 3 ETH on September 22?
start_date: 2023-09-12
end_date: 2023-09-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on September 22, 2023, 12:00 PM ET the Milady Maker floor price is greater than 3.0000 ETH. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The floor price on September 22 will be found using https://blur.io. At 12:00 PM ET, all listings that have existed for at least 15 minutes will be considered, and the lowest price of them will be used as the floor price for Milady Maker. Listings across all marketplaces that blur lists will be considered. If blur is unavailable, https://pro.opensea.io will be used.

The number at 12:00 PM ET will be memorialized on this market's Polymarket market description after the resolution time passes.


id: 252229
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15?
start_date: 2023-09-13
end_date: 2023-10-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin McCarthy remains Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives without interruption from September 13 through October 15, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Kevin McCarthy or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


id: 252233
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: ETH above $1,600 on Sep 22?
start_date: 2023-09-13
end_date: 2023-09-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Coinbase 1 minute candle for ETH-USD 22 Sep '23 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 1600.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the ETH-USD "Close" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/ETH-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase ETH-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 252236
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Messi win Ballon d'Or?
start_date: 2023-09-15
end_date: 2023-10-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi wins the Ballon d'Or for 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is France Football’s website: https://www.francefootball.fr/ballon-d-or/palmares/, however live footage of the ceremony and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the award isn't announced by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 252243
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the UAW strike end by October 31?
start_date: 2023-09-15
end_date: 2023-10-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ongoing United Auto Workers union (UAW) strike ends by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UAW (https://uaw.org/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252244
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the UAW strike end by September 30?
start_date: 2023-09-15
end_date: 2023-09-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ongoing United Auto Workers union (UAW) strike ends by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UAW (https://uaw.org/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252246
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Blur Season 2 end this year?
start_date: 2023-09-18
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
Blur announced its rewards season 2 on February 14, 2023. You can find their announcement here: https://twitter.com/blur_io/status/1625566192906964993

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Blur season 2 ends by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Blur (e.g. https://blur.foundation/, https://twitter.com/blur_io, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 252249
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump receive a gag order by October 15?
start_date: 2023-09-18
end_date: 2023-10-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ex-president of the United States Donald J. Trump becomes the subject of a gag order by any Federal or State court in the US between September 18 and October 15, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a "gag order" is broadly defined as a legally binding court order prohibiting Trump from discussing, commenting on, or disseminating information related to a specific legal case or investigation. The gag order must be issued by a federal or state court within the United States.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US courts/government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252250
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Military intervention in Niger by October 31?
start_date: 2023-09-18
end_date: 2023-10-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if troops from countries other than Niger conduct officially acknowledged offensive military operations within the sovereign territory of Niger between September 18, 2023 and October 31, 2023 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the intervention to count toward a "Yes" resolution, the officially acknowledged offensive military operations must involve that country's physical military presence within the sovereign territory of Niger. For the purposes of this market, "offensive military operations" resulting in a "Yes" resolution specifically do not include actions exclusively related to surveillance performed by aircraft, drones, satellites, etc.

Official acknowledgement must include statements indicating foreign military intervention from the foreign government making the intervention.

A consensus of credible reporting may be used to ascertain the validity of an official acknowledgement.


id: 252253
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Chelsea F.C. win another Premier League game this year?
start_date: 2023-09-18
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chelsea Football Club wins a Premier League match between September 18, 2023, and December 31, 2023, as per the official results. If no such win is recorded in the official Premier League results by the end of December 31, 2023, the market will resolve to "No".


id: 252254
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Luton Town win a Premier League game this year?
start_date: 2023-09-18
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luton Town wins a Premier League match by December 31, 2023, as per the official results. If no such win is recorded in the official Premier League results by the end of December 31, 2023, the market will resolve to "No".


id: 252260
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Hunter Biden face new criminal charges before November 1?
start_date: 2023-09-18
end_date: 2023-11-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if new criminal charges are filed against Hunter Biden before November 1, 2023, 12:00 AM ET. A "new criminal charge" is defined as a charge that has not been formally filed against him before September 18, 2023. If no new charges are filed by the resolution date, the market will resolve to "No". 


id: 252291
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: zkSync airdrop in 2023?
start_date: 2023-09-19
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if zkSync launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the zkSync team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252294
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Biden drops out of presidential race?
start_date: 2023-09-21
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race.

In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes". 

If Joe Biden does not drop out or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 Presidential Election by 12:01 AM ET on November 5, 2024, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252295
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a candidate say something racist at the next Republican debate?
start_date: 2023-09-19
end_date: 2023-10-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate participating in the GOP debate scheduled for September 27, 2023 makes a racist statement during the debate.

Explicitly racist remarks are defined as comments that directly discriminate, degrade, or express prejudice towards a particular race. 

If no such remark is made during the debate, the market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond October 4, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".


id: 252297
asset_class: PolyMarket
start_date: 2023-09-19
end_date: 2023-10-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
question:
Will Justin Jefferson be the highest scoring Wide Receiver in Week 3 Fantasy Football (PPR scoring)?

resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Jefferson, the Minnesota Vikings' Wide Receiver, achieves the highest fantasy points score among all wide receivers in Week 3 of the current NFL season, following standard PPR scoring rules.

Standard PPR scoring rules consider not only points for each reception, but also for yards gained, touchdowns scored, and other performance factors. If Justin Jefferson's total PPR score, as calculated under these rules, is the highest among all wide receivers in Week 3, the market will resolve to "Yes". In the event of a tie for the highest PPR score between Jefferson and any other wide receiver, the market will resolve to "No".

The market will resolve immediately after the completion of the last NFL game of Week 3, regardless of any subsequent scoring revisions. If NFL Week 3 is not complete by October 4, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution of this market will be based on the official statistics provided by Yahoo Fantasy Sports, accessible at their official website (https://sports.yahoo.com/fantasy/). In case of any discrepancies, the final resolution will be made based on the most reliable and widely accepted source, as decided by the Polymarket team.


id: 252299
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Parlay: US Bitcoin Spot and ETH Futures ETF this year?
start_date: 2023-09-19
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both a Bitcoin Spot ETF and an Ethereum Futures ETF receive SEC approval in the US by December 31, 2023, ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."


id: 252301
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Aella: Will more men report they were spanked than women?
start_date: 2023-09-19
end_date: 2023-11-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, according to Aella's "Big Kink Survey", men report they were spanked more often in childhood than women. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first-released finalized results of Aella's "Big Kink Survey" regardless of whether they're later recanted or revised.

If no results are released by November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be information released by Aella (ex: https://manifold.markets/Aella; https://twitter.com/Aella_Girl)

You can find Aella's original market here: https://manifold.markets/Aella/will-men-report-they-were-spanked-m


id: 252304
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: New Carti music this year?
start_date: 2023-09-19
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Playboi Carti releases a new single or album, as a lead artist, on or before December 31, 2023 11:59 PM ET. The release must be confirmed through official Playboi Carti channels or credible music news outlets. This market will resolve to "No" if no such song or album is released by December 31, 2023 11:59 PM ET.


id: 252320
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Aella find someone new to seriously date in 2023?
start_date: 2023-09-19
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Aella finds someone new to seriously date by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on information from Aella (e.g. https://twitter.com/Aella_Girl), including the manifold market this market is based on (https://manifold.markets/Aella/will-i-aella-find-someone-new-to-se-2640399d36de).

If no definitive information or results indicating a "Yes" or "No" outcome are released by January 14, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".


id: 252321
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Manchester United make it out of their group?
start_date: 2023-09-19
end_date: 2023-12-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Manchester United advances to the knockout stage of the UEFA Champions League for the 2023-2024 season. If it becomes impossible for Manchester United to advance based on remaining matches and points before the group stage matches are completed, the market will resolve to "No". If the group stage ends without Manchester United advancing, the market will also resolve to "No".


id: 252327
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Expend4bles' gross over $12.5m opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-09-20
end_date: 2023-09-25
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Expend4bles' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2783019777/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 22 - September 24) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘ Expend4bles' (2023) grosses more than $12,500,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by October 2, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 252328
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GTA 6 release date by end of year?
start_date: 2023-09-20
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rockstar Games officially announces a release date for Grand Theft Auto 6 (GTA 6) by December 31st, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. The announcement must be confirmed through official Rockstar Games channels or credible gaming news outlets. If no such announcement takes place by this date and time, the market will resolve to "No".


id: 252331
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Katie Porter advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary?
start_date: 2023-09-21
end_date: 2024-03-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The CA Senate Primary is scheduled for March 5, 2024, in which the two highest-placing candidates advance to the general election, regardless of party affiliation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Katie Porter moves onto the US general election from the 2024 California primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 California primaries take place before the 2024 US General Election, this market will resolve to "No".

If Katie Porter withdraws from or otherwise announces she is dropping out of the 2024 race for US Senator from California at any point before the primary, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from California, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 252377
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Canada sanction India by October 31?
start_date: 2023-09-21
end_date: 2023-10-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada officially imposes any form of sanctions against India between September 21, 3 PM ET and October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The sanctions could include measures like trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. 

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.


id: 252381
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift be seen kissing?
start_date: 2023-09-25
end_date: 2023-10-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a picture or video showing Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift kissing is made public by October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The picture or video must be original and not manipulated or digitally altered to mislead the viewer. Photoshopped images/videos, deepfakes, or any form of manipulated media will not be considered valid for the resolution of this market.

For the purposes of this market's resolution, only a kiss on the face/neck will trigger a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Swift kisses Kelce on the cheek will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes").

The primary resolution source for this market will be the image(s) and/or video(s) in question, verified by a consensus of credible reporting and/or Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift and their representatives.


id: 252382
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift seen together again?
start_date: 2023-09-25
end_date: 2023-10-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a picture or video clearly showing Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift together in close physical proximity between September 25, 12:00 PM ET and October 31, 11:59 PM ET is made public. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The picture or video must be taken within this market's timeframe, original, and not manipulated or digitally altered to mislead the viewer. Previously taken images, photoshopped images/videos, deepfakes, or any form of manipulated media will not be considered valid for the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the image(s) and/or video(s) in question, verified by a consensus of credible reporting and/or Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift and their representatives.


id: 252393
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trudeau announce resignation by EoY?
start_date: 2023-09-26
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau announces he has resigned, is resigning, or will resign from his position as Prime Minister of Canada by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Justin Trudeau or his official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252400
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift break up by Nov 1?
start_date: 2023-09-26
end_date: 2023-11-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce end their romantic relationship, or if it's confirmed that they were never in one, by November 1, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Confirmation can come in various forms, including but not limited to, social media posts, interviews, press releases, official statements, or a consensus of credible reporting. This market will resolve to "No" otherwise.

If it's unclear whether or not they are in a romantic relationship, this market will resolve to the side with the stronger argument based on credible reporting.


id: 252402
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Trump tweet again in 2023?
start_date: 2023-09-26
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump tweets again, between September 25, 12:00 PM ET and December 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, all quote and reply tweets count toward a "Yes" resolution, but retweets will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be Donald J. Trump's verified Twitter account: https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump.

Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Twitter account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald J. Trump tweets from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.


id: 252403
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: BTC above $26,000 at end of September?
start_date: 2023-09-27
end_date: 2023-09-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Coinbase 1 minute candle for BTC-USD 30 Sept '23 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Close” price of 26,000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "Close" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 252405
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will SAG end strike by Oct 31?
start_date: 2023-09-26
end_date: 2023-10-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ongoing Screen Actors Guild – American Federation of Television and Radio Artists (SAG - AFTRA) strike ends by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SAG-AFTRA (e.g. https://www.sagaftra.org/news-events), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252406
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Bitboy divorce by Oct 14?
start_date: 2023-09-26
end_date: 2023-10-14
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben ‘Bitboy’ Armstrong and/or his wife Bethany Armstrong announce that they are getting a divorce by October 14, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, an announcement by either Ben, Bethany, or both, will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements by Ben and/or Bethany (these may be made via social media, e.g. https://twitter.com/BenArmstrongsX, https://www.instagram.com/bethanyreadsalot/, etc), or statements made on their behalf by their official and/or legal representatives. However, credible reporting from other sources of either of them saying they will get divorced may be used (i.e. Bethany shouts in a restaurant that she is divorcing Ben and footage of the encounter is leaked).


id: 252422
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?
start_date: 2023-09-26
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2023 shows an increase of 1.18°C or greater when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of 1.18°C or greater for 2023 will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for 2023 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2023" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2023 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 252428
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Saw X' gross over $21m opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-09-27
end_date: 2023-10-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Saw X' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt21807222/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 29 - October 1) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Saw X' (2023) grosses more than $21,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by October 9, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 252429
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'The Creator' gross over $17m opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-09-27
end_date: 2023-10-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'The Creator' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt11858890/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 29 - October 1) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘The Creator' (2023) grosses more than $17,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by October 9, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 252430
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie' gross over $16m opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-09-27
end_date: 2023-10-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15837338/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 29 - October 1) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie' (2023) grosses more than $16,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by October 9, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 252463
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Taylor Swift attend the next Chiefs home game?
start_date: 2023-09-27
end_date: 2023-10-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift attends the next Chiefs home game (currently scheduled on October 12, 2023) for any portion of the game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be image(s) and/or video(s) taken at the game, however a consensus of credible reporting and information from Taylor Swift and her representatives will also be used.


id: 252464
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will DOJ charge Binance by EoY?
start_date: 2023-09-28
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Justice (DOJ) files any charges against Binance and/or Binance.US by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the DOJ, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 252465
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through EoY?
start_date: 2023-09-29
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin McCarthy remains Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives without interruption from September 28 through December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Kevin McCarthy or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


id: 252466
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Newsom appoint a black woman as Feinstein's replacement?
start_date: 2023-09-29
end_date: 2024-11-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
In 2021, Gavin Newsom pledged that if Feinstein left office before the natural end of her term, he would appoint a Black woman to serve the remainder of her term.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom appoints a black woman as Dianne Feinstein's replacement in the US Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of California and the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252467
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Shirley Weber replace Feinstein?
start_date: 2023-09-29
end_date: 2024-11-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shirley Weber is appointed to replace Dianne Feinstein in the US Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of California and the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252468
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Holly Mitchell replace Feinstein?
start_date: 2023-09-29
end_date: 2024-11-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Holly Mitchell is appointed to replace Dianne Feinstein in the US Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of California and the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252470
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Barbara Lee replace Feinstein?
start_date: 2023-09-29
end_date: 2024-11-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barbara Lee is appointed to replace Dianne Feinstein in the US Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of California and the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252471
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Lateefah Simon replace Feinstein?
start_date: 2023-09-29
end_date: 2024-11-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lateefah Simon is appointed to replace Dianne Feinstein in the US Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of California and the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252473
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Newsom announce Feinstein's replacement by October 2?
start_date: 2023-09-29
end_date: 2023-10-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom announces who will be replacing Dianne Feinstein's vacant US Senate seat by October 2, 2023, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be any definitive announcement by Gavin Newsom and/or his official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252482
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-10-02
end_date: 2023-10-16
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28814949 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 13 - October 15) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' (2023) grosses more than $125,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by October 23, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 252483
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Drake's album drop by 10/6?
start_date: 2023-10-02
end_date: 2023-10-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake's album "For All the Dogs" is released by October 6, 2023, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify or Apple Music, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252484
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Laphonza Butler advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary?
start_date: 2023-10-02
end_date: 2024-03-05
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The CA Senate Primary is scheduled for March 5, 2024, in which the two highest-placing candidates advance to the general election, regardless of party affiliation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Laphonza Butler moves onto the US general election from the 2024 California primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 California primaries take place before the 2024 US General Election, this market will resolve to "No".

If Laphonza Butler withdraws from or otherwise announces she is dropping out of the 2024 race for US Senator from California at any point before the primary, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from California, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


id: 252487
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: ETH above $1,700 on October 13?
start_date: 2023-10-02
end_date: 2023-10-13
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Coinbase 1 minute candle for ETH-USD 13 Oct '23 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 1700.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the ETH-USD "Close" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/ETH-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.


Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase ETH-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 252488
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of less than 15?
start_date: 2023-10-03
end_date: 2023-10-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of fewer than 15 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". 

The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30).

Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252489
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of 15-50?
start_date: 2023-10-03
end_date: 2023-10-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of between 15 and 50 voting representatives (inclusive). Otherwise the market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". 

The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30).

Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252490
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of 51-100?
start_date: 2023-10-03
end_date: 2023-10-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of between 51 and 100 voting representatives (inclusive). Otherwise the market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". 

The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30).

Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252491
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of over 100?
start_date: 2023-10-03
end_date: 2023-10-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of greater than 100 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". 

The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30).

Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252493
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the first vote to oust McCarthy succeed?
start_date: 2023-10-03
end_date: 2023-10-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House passes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs within this market's timeframe (October 2, 12:00 PM ET - October 31, 11:59 PM ET).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252504
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: SBF guilty of all charges?
start_date: 2023-10-04
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF is found guilty of all of the charges for which he is presently on trial (as of Oct 3, 2023) by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first verdict rendered by the court regarding SBF's present trial. 

If SBF's ongoing trial ends (e.g. mistrial) without the rendering of a guilty verdict on all charges, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the US court system, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252512
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will SBF testify?
start_date: 2023-10-04
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF testifies in his ongoing (as of Oct 3, 2023) trial by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based exclusively on SBF's ongoing trial.

If SBF's ongoing trial ends (e.g. mistrial) at any point without him testifying, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the US court system, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. 


id: 252515
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: North Korea missile test by October 15?
start_date: 2023-10-03
end_date: 2023-10-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile test between October 3, 12:00 AM ET and October 15, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.


id: 252528
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker?
start_date: 2023-10-03
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hakeem Jeffries receives the most votes in the first vote for a new Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy was ousted. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

If no vote for a new US Speaker of the House takes place by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 252529
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker?
start_date: 2023-10-03
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin McCarthy is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after his ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore).

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."


id: 252530
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker?
start_date: 2023-10-03
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Patrick McHenry is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore).

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."


id: 252531
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15?
start_date: 2023-10-03
end_date: 2023-10-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next speaker following Kevin McCarthy's ousting is elected by October 15, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore).

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252532
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31?
start_date: 2023-10-03
end_date: 2023-10-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next speaker following Kevin McCarthy's ousting is elected by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore).

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252533
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker?
start_date: 2023-10-03
end_date: 2024-06-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Scalise is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore).

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."


id: 252534
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker?
start_date: 2023-10-04
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim Jordan is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore).

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."


id: 252551
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19?
start_date: 2023-10-04
end_date: 2023-11-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if is a US government shutdown occurs between October 4 and November 19, 2023, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary a US government shutdown occurs, whether it is a partial shutdown, or a full shutdown.

If the US federal government goes unfunded for any period of time before a new budget/stopgap can be signed into law, it will be considered a government shutdown.

The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 252552
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Kevin Hern be the next Speaker?
start_date: 2023-10-04
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin Hern is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore).

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."


id: 252556
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'The Exorcist: Believer' gross over $28m opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-10-04
end_date: 2023-10-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'The Exorcist: Believer' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt12921446/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 6 - October 8) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘The Exorcist: Believer' (2023) grosses more than $28,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by October 16, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 252560
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will James Harden be traded?
start_date: 2023-10-04
end_date: 2024-02-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Harden is officially traded from the Philadelphia 76ers or otherwise listed on another team's official roster before the NBA trade deadline (February 8, 2024, 3 PM ET). The market will resolve to "No" if James Harden remains with the Philadelphia 76ers without being traded, released, or waived past the NBA trade deadline. Any official announcements from the Philadelphia 76ers or the NBA will be considered the resolution source. In the event of a dispute over the resolution, the final decision will be based on official NBA sources. The market will resolve immediately if one of the aforementioned criteria is met prior to the trade deadline. 


id: 252561
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will PiS get over 36% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election?
start_date: 2023-10-05
end_date: 2023-10-14
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PiS (Prawo i Sprawiedliwość, Law and Justice) gets over 36% of votes for the Sejm in the 2023 Polish parliamentary elections currently scheduled for October 15. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election aren't known by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity official information from the Polish government and/or information published through the official website of Poland's National Electoral Commission (PKW) (https://wybory.gov.pl/index/index.html) will be used.


id: 252562
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will TD get over 11% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election?
start_date: 2023-10-05
end_date: 2023-10-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if TD (Trzecia Droga, Third Way) gets over 11% of votes for the Sejm in the 2023 Polish parliamentary elections currently scheduled for October 15. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election aren't known by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity official information from the Polish government and/or information published through the official website of Poland's National Electoral Commission (PKW) (https://wybory.gov.pl/index/index.html) will be used.


id: 252563
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will KO get over 31% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election?
start_date: 2023-10-05
end_date: 2023-10-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if KO (Koalicja Obywatelska, The Civic Coalition) gets over 31% of votes for the Sejm in the 2023 Polish parliamentary elections currently scheduled for October 15. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election aren't known by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity official information from the Polish government and/or information published through the official website of Poland's National Electoral Commission (PKW) (https://wybory.gov.pl/index/index.html) will be used.


id: 252568
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Jonathan Taylor to play this week?
start_date: 2023-10-04
end_date: 2023-10-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market resolves to "Yes" if Jonathan Taylor plays at least one snap in the Colts vs. Titans game on October 8, 2023, as confirmed by official NFL sources. If he does not play at least one snap, the market resolves to "No".


id: 252569
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Scorigami in NFL Week 5?
start_date: 2023-10-05
end_date: 2023-10-09
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
In sports, a Scorigami is a scoring combination that has never before occurred in a sport's or league's history.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one NFL Scorigami occurs during Week 5 of the 2023 NFL Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may only resolve to "No" once all scheduled games for Week 5 have been completed and none resulted in a new Scorigami.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL (https://www.nfl.com/scores/), however other sites tracking Scorigamis may be used (https://nflscorigami.com/, https://twitter.com/NFL_Scorigami).


id: 252573
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Fantano rate Drake's new album a 7 or higher?
start_date: 2023-10-06
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Fantano’s Needle Drop gives Drake’s new album “For all the Dogs” a 7 or higher. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

The primary resolution source will be https://www.youtube.com/@theneedledrop specifically the description of the video where he rates For all the Dogs. If theneedledrop gives it a non-numeric score, the decentralized resolver UMA will determine whether it translates to a 7 or higher. 

If he doesn’t rate "For all the Dogs" by Dec 31, 2023 ET, this market will resolve to “No.”


id: 252575
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Drake's "For All the Dogs" over 350k sales week 1?
start_date: 2023-10-06
end_date: 2023-10-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'For All the Dogs' has over 350,000 sales including streaming equivalents in its first week. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming. This market will resolve according to the figure in the column titled "TOTAL" once the list is finalized.

If the chart specified herein is rendered permanently unavailable or does not list 'For All the Dogs', another credible resolution source may be chosen.


id: 252582
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?
start_date: 2023-10-07
end_date: 2023-10-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas on or before Oct 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media sources. An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties. Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. The ceasefire must last 48h and to have begun before the resolution date (if the ceasefire begins on Oct 30, for example, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 48h). 


id: 252583
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14?
start_date: 2023-10-07
end_date: 2023-10-14
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah officially deploys ground forces in Israel in the ongoing war between Israel and Hamas on or before October 14, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Deployment is defined as Hezbollah sending troops to engage in combat against Israel. This market will resolve according to a consensus of credible sources. If no such deployment occurs by the resolution date, the market will resolve to "No". Note that the market may resolve before the expiry date if Hezbollah's deployment of ground forces in the war is confirmed prior to this date.


id: 252589
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 15?
start_date: 2023-10-08
end_date: 2023-10-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel regains control over all territories in which control was lost relative to Oct 5, 2023, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time by the resolution date, Oct 15, 2023, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. "Regaining control" is defined as Israel establishing political and military authority in the territories. The resolution will be based on credible reporting from international media outlets. This market will resolve immediately if Israel regains control over all its territories.


id: 252598
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023?
start_date: 2023-10-09
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas on or before December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media sources. An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties. Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. The ceasefire must last at least 48 hours and have begun before the resolution date. For example, if the ceasefire begins on December 30, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 48 hours.


id: 252601
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1?
start_date: 2023-10-09
end_date: 2023-11-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal is successfully brokered with Hamas for the release of hostages by 11:59 PM ET on November 1, 2023. The hostages may be from any country and the deal can be brokered by any entity. A "successful deal" is defined as an agreement that results in the release of one or more hostages currently held by Hamas. The deal must be verifiable through credible reporting or the respective governments of the hostages. If no such deal is brokered by the resolution date, the market will resolve to "No". If a deal is brokered before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.


id: 252604
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week?
start_date: 2023-10-09
end_date: 2023-10-13
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are Israeli troops physically present in Gaza by 11:59 PM ET on Friday, October 13, 2023. "On the ground" is defined as Israeli troops actively deployed and physically present within the borders of Gaza. Verification of such deployment must be through reliable sources, such as verified news outlets or official statements from the Israeli government. If no such deployment occurs by the stated date, the market will resolve to "No". If Israeli troops are deployed in Gaza before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.


id: 252626
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
start_date: 2023-10-10
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible evidence surfaces indicating that Israeli intelligence agencies or the Israeli government had foreknowledge of a specific attack by Hamas, linked to the October 7 attack, and took no action to prevent it by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The evidence must unequivocally demonstrate that the Israeli government or intelligence apparatus had substantial and specific information about an attack by Hamas prior to its occurrence and deliberately chose not to act. Generic or vague alerts, warnings, or intelligence without direct link to the October 7, 2023 attack by Hamas will not be considered sufficient for this market's resolution.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 252627
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: US military intervention by Oct 31?
start_date: 2023-10-10
end_date: 2023-10-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET the United States engages in a kinetic strike relating to the 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict. This market will also resolve to “Yes” if the US deploys any new troops on the ground with the explicit purpose of combat operations in the 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict. Official announcements can include, but are not limited to, statements or press releases issued by the U.S. Department of Defense, the White House, or public speeches by the U.S. President or Secretary of Defense.

The market will resolve to "No" if no such intervention occurs by October 31, 2023.


id: 252631
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 15?
start_date: 2023-10-11
end_date: 2023-10-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Egypt opens its border with Gaza for Palestinian refugees by October 15, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The "Yes" criterion include the opening of the Rafah border crossing for refugees, the creation of a humanitarian corridor, or any other mechanism which intends to allow the passage of Palestinian refugees directly into Egypt.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Egyptian government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252632
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31?
start_date: 2023-10-11
end_date: 2023-10-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one American hostage currently held by Hamas is rescued by the U.S. by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

A rescue is defined as a successful operation or negotiation that results in the release and safe return of an American hostage. The rescue operation or negotiation must be attributed to the U.S. and be verifiable through reliable sources, such as verified news outlets or official U.S. government statements. 

If a rescue operation results in the return of at least one American hostage before the expiry date, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes".


id: 252651
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker?
start_date: 2023-10-12
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tom Emmer is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore).

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."


id: 252653
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Scorigami in NFL Week 6?
start_date: 2023-10-13
end_date: 2023-10-16
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
In sports, a Scorigami is a scoring combination that has never before occurred in a sport's or league's history.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one NFL Scorigami occurs during Week 6 of the 2023 NFL Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may only resolve to "No" once all scheduled games for Week 6 have been completed and none resulted in a new Scorigami.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL (https://www.nfl.com/scores/), however other sites tracking Scorigamis may be used (https://nflscorigami.com/, https://twitter.com/NFL_Scorigami).


id: 252657
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20?
start_date: 2023-10-13
end_date: 2023-10-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Egypt opens its border with Gaza for Palestinian refugees by October 20, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The "Yes" criterion include the opening of the Rafah border crossing for refugees, the creation of a humanitarian corridor, or any other mechanism which intends to allow the passage of Palestinian refugees directly into Egypt.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Egyptian government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252659
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Astros win the World Series?
start_date: 2023-10-16
end_date: 2023-11-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houston Astros are the 2023 MLB World Series Champion. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." 

This market may immediately resolve to "No" if the Houston Astros are eliminated during the playoffs. 


id: 252661
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday?
start_date: 2023-10-15
end_date: 2023-10-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by October 20, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza. A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves greater than 1000 Israeli ground forces, and does not include smaller raids or special operations. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The market will resolve to "No" if no such major ground offensive takes place in Gaza by the Israeli forces by October 20. If the event occurs before the expiry date, the market will resolve immediately.


id: 252663
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1?
start_date: 2023-10-15
end_date: 2023-11-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Egypt opens its border with Gaza for Palestinian refugees by November 1, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The "Yes" criterion includes the opening of the Rafah border crossing for refugees, the creation of a humanitarian corridor, or any other mechanism that intends to allow the passage of Palestinian refugees directly into Egypt.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Egyptian government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252665
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023?
start_date: 2023-10-15
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah officially declares war on Israel by December 31, 2023 11:59 PM ET. Declarations of war must be clear and explicit. The market will resolve to "No" if no such official declaration of war is made by the specified date. Note that Israel or Hamas declaring war is not considered for this market.


id: 252667
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Phillies win the World Series?
start_date: 2023-10-16
end_date: 2023-11-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Philadelphia Phillies are the 2023 MLB World Series Champion. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." 

This market may immediately resolve to "No" if the Philadelphia Phillies are eliminated during the playoffs. 


id: 252668
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Rangers win the World Series?
start_date: 2023-10-16
end_date: 2023-11-03
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Texas Rangers are the 2023 MLB World Series Champion. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." 

This market may immediately resolve to "No" if the Texas Rangers are eliminated during the playoffs. 


id: 252670
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Biden visit Israel by end of week?
start_date: 2023-10-16
end_date: 2023-10-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If U.S. President Biden visits Israel between October 16 and October 22, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time (UTC + 3), this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Biden physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel. Whether or not Biden enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Biden or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), and official information from Israel (e.g. https://twitter.com/Israel); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252673
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $60m opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-10-16
end_date: 2023-10-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Five Nights at Freddy's' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl764248833/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 27 - October 29) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Five Nights at Freddy's' (2023) grosses more than $60,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. 

If there is no final data available by November 6, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 252674
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-10-16
end_date: 2023-10-29
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Five Nights at Freddy's' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl764248833/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 27 - October 29) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Five Nights at Freddy's' (2023) grosses more than $80,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. 

If there is no final data available by November 6, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 252677
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Argentina presidential election go to a second round?
start_date: 2023-10-18
end_date: 2023-10-23
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2023 Argentina presidential election requires a second round of voting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Argentina's government (e.g. https://www.argentina.gob.ar/elecciones-2023), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 252680
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will any Dem vote for the next speaker?
start_date: 2023-10-17
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Democratic congressperson votes for the next person elected Speaker of the House. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only a vote which successfully elects a new Speaker will count toward this market's resolution.

If no Speaker is elected before December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252682
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?
start_date: 2023-10-17
end_date: 2023-10-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time (UTC +3), Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza. A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves greater than 1000 Israeli ground forces, and does not include smaller raids or special operations. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The market will resolve to "No" if no such major ground offensive takes place in Gaza by the Israeli forces by October 31. If the event occurs before the expiry date, the market will resolve immediately.


id: 252684
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast?
start_date: 2023-10-18
end_date: 2023-11-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The New York Times, on any of its official platforms, definitively states that Israel was not responsible for the hospital blast in Gaza. This could be in the form of a corrected article, a retraction, an updated headline, or a public statement explicitly attributing the blast to a different party (Hamas, PIJ, etc.). If The New York Times does not make such a definitive statement by November 1, 2023, the market will resolve to "No". Official New York Times publications and statements will be used to determine the resolution.


id: 252703
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will a North American team make it to the knockout stage in LoL Worlds?
start_date: 2023-10-18
end_date: 2023-11-13
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any League of Legends team from the North American region (as officially recognized by Riot Games) makes it to the knockout stage in the upcoming World Championship. It will resolve to "No" if no North American team advances to the knockout stage.

The resolution source will be official information from Riot Games or any other reputable esports news outlet.


id: 252705
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
start_date: 2023-10-19
end_date: 2024-01-14
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If "AI", "Artificial Intelligence", or another phrase directly referring to artificial intelligence (e.g. ChatGPT, GPT-4) is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2023, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, that this market will resolve to "Yes" if AI is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with another person or thing, so long as AI is directly referenced. If, for example, the Person of the Year is "AI and Sam Altman", this market will resolve to "Yes". If, however, the Person of the Year is the "OpenAI Team", this market will resolve to "No".

If Time's cover and other Time webpages have different winners for the Person of the Year, only one of them has to mention AI or AI models/interfaces as the winner for this market to resolve to "Yes".

This market can resolve after the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2023 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 15, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No".


id: 252716
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS?
start_date: 2023-10-19
end_date: 2024-01-01
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia accepts the invitation to join BRICS. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Saudi Arabia does not join BRICS by the 2024 initiation date (set as Jan 1, 2024), this market will resolve to "No."


id: 252719
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Saudi Arabia boost oil production in Q4?
start_date: 2023-10-19
end_date: 2024-01-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia increases their level of crude oil production (in tb/d) in Q4 of 2023 over the level in Q3 of 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be information released by OPEC based on direct communication, after the close of the 4th financial quarter for 2023 (e.g. https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/publications/338.htm + https://www.opec.org/opec_web/static_files_project/media/downloads/publications/Addendum_October%20MOMR.pdf).


id: 252726
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: ETH above $1,600 on Halloween?
start_date: 2023-10-20
end_date: 2023-10-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Coinbase 1 minute candle for ETH-USD 31 Oct '23 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 1600.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the ETH-USD "Close" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/ETH-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase ETH-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 252729
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its December meeting?
start_date: 2023-10-23
end_date: 2023-12-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's December 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is exactly the same as the level it was prior to the meeting (namely it increased 0 bps). Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 12 - 13, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by December 20, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 252730
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting?
start_date: 2023-10-23
end_date: 2023-12-13
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's December 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased exactly 25 basis points over the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 12 - 13, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by December 20, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.


id: 252745
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker?
start_date: 2023-10-23
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore).

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."


id: 252746
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker?
start_date: 2023-10-23
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore).

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."


id: 252749
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will BTC hit $40,000 by Halloween?
start_date: 2023-10-23
end_date: 2023-10-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for BTC-USD between 22 Oct '23 17:00 and 31 Oct '23 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 40,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 252776
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Bitboy remarry by EOY?
start_date: 2023-10-24
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On October 24, Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) posted on X that his wife Bethany had served him divorce papers: https://twitter.com/BenArmstrongsX/status/1716835531265606069. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben remarries by Dec 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source will be information from Ben Armstrong and his legal representatives. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used. 


id: 252829
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Trump and Biden both lose nomination?
start_date: 2023-10-25
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden loses the Democratic nomination for POTUS and Donald Trump loses the Republican nomination for POTUS in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes", both named candidates must lose the described nominations. If one loses and the other wins, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Democratic and Republican national conventions, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.


id: 252836
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
start_date: 2023-10-26
end_date: 2024-01-13
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2024 Taiwanese presidential election is scheduled to take place on January 13, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lai Ching-te (賴清德) wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 252838
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: [Single Market] Will Dean Phillips win the U.S. Democratic presidential nomination?
start_date: 2023-10-27
end_date: 2024-08-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dean Phillips wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.


id: 252839
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?
start_date: 2023-10-27
end_date: 2023-11-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas by Nov 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media sources. An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties. Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. The ceasefire must last 48h and to have begun before the resolution date (if the ceasefire begins on Nov 29, for example, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 48h). 


id: 252840
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Apple announce M3 Chip at its "Scary Fast" event?
start_date: 2023-10-27
end_date: 2023-10-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple Inc. publicly announces the M3 Chip at their Oct 30 "Scary Fast" event. To be considered an announcement, there must be a clear, public statement made by an authorized Apple representative during the event, acknowledging the M3 chip and its association with Apple. Any announcements made outside the official runtime of the event, or from unauthorized sources, will not be considered for the resolution of this market. Official Apple sources such as press releases, social media posts, or official livestreams will be used to confirm the announcement.


id: 252845
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-10-30
end_date: 2023-11-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'The Marvels' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl247366145/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 10 - 12) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The Marvels' (2023) grosses more than $55,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by November 20, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 252848
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Hikaru win the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023?
start_date: 2023-10-30
end_date: 2023-11-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hikaru Nakamura wins the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it can be definitively determined at any point that Hikaru Nakamura will not be the winner of the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023 based on the rules of the tournament, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If for any reason the tournament is cancelled or rescheduled to an end date after November 30, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023 including footage from the tournament (which will be streamed here: https://chess24.com/en/watch/live-tournaments/fide-grand-swiss-2023), however a consensus of other credible sources may be used.


id: 252849
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Fabiano win the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023?
start_date: 2023-10-30
end_date: 2023-11-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fabiano Caruana wins the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it can be definitively determined at any point that Fabiano Caruana will not be the winner of the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023 based on the rules of the tournament, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If for any reason the tournament is cancelled or rescheduled to an end date after November 30, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023 including footage from the tournament (which will be streamed here: https://chess24.com/en/watch/live-tournaments/fide-grand-swiss-2023), however a consensus of other credible sources may be used.


id: 252883
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Celestia token above $2 one week after airdrop?
start_date: 2023-10-30
end_date: 2023-11-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Celestia token ($TIA) is above $2.000 (i.e. $2.001 or greater) one week after token airdrop occurs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Celestia will have a total supply of 1 billion $TIA at genesis (see https://docs.celestia.org/learn/staking-governance-supply). 

"One week after launch" is defined as exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the token airdrop occurs, which is estimated to happen on Oct 31, 10 AM ET (see https://x.com/binance/status/1718982971796168778?s=20). This market description will be updated with the exact time it occurred as soon as it is known.

The resolution source for this market will be Binance, specifically the spot price of $TIA. If the price doesn't exist on Binance at resolution time, a consensus of highly liquid price sources will be used instead. If Celestia doesn't airdrop by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.


id: 252884
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Celestia token above $5 one week after airdrop?
start_date: 2023-10-30
end_date: 2023-11-06
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Celestia token ($TIA) is above $5.000 (i.e. $5.001 or greater) one week after token airdrop occurs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Celestia will have a total supply of 1 billion $TIA at genesis (see https://docs.celestia.org/learn/staking-governance-supply). 

"One week after launch" is defined as exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the token airdrop occurs, which is estimated to happen on Oct 31, 10 AM ET (see https://x.com/binance/status/1718982971796168778?s=20). This market description will be updated with the exact time it occurred as soon as it is known.

The resolution source for this market will be Binance, specifically the spot price of $TIA. If the price doesn't exist on Binance at resolution time, a consensus of highly liquid price sources will be used instead. If Celestia doesn't airdrop by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.


id: 252924
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30?
start_date: 2023-10-31
end_date: 2023-11-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Egypt opens its border with Gaza for Palestinian refugees by November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The "Yes" criterion includes the opening of the Rafah border crossing for refugees, the creation of a humanitarian corridor, or any other mechanism that intends to allow the passage of Palestinian refugees directly into Egypt.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Egyptian government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252928
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will WeWork announce bankruptcy by November 12?
start_date: 2023-11-01
end_date: 2023-11-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if WeWork announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by November 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels (e.g. https://www.wework.com/newsroom, etc.), as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents WeWork.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 252930
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17?
start_date: 2023-11-01
end_date: 2023-11-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases any hostages between October 31 and November 17, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a negotiated release of hostages will trigger a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252936
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15?
start_date: 2023-11-01
end_date: 2023-11-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases 20 or more hostages in any 24-hour period between October 31 and November 15, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a negotiated release of hostages will trigger a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252937
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15?
start_date: 2023-11-01
end_date: 2023-11-15
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Egypt opens its border with Gaza for >1,000 Palestinian refugees by November 15, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The "Yes" criterion includes the opening of the Rafah border crossing for refugees, the creation of a humanitarian corridor, or any other mechanism that intends to allow the passage of Palestinian refugees directly into Egypt.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Egyptian government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252939
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30?
start_date: 2023-11-03
end_date: 2023-11-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if authorized fuel (oil or gas) shipments enter Gaza by November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market only concerns fuel shipments to Gaza authorized by the state of Israel, Egypt, or the United Nations - if for example Hamas smuggles in fuel, it will not suffice to resolve the market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel, Egypt, the UN, and/or Hamas, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252940
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-11-03
end_date: 2023-11-12
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'The Marvels' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl247366145/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 10 - 12) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The Marvels' (2023) grosses more than $45,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by November 20, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 252941
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10?
start_date: 2023-11-03
end_date: 2023-11-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If Volodymyr Zelensky visits Israel between November 3 and November 10, 11:59 PM IST, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Zelensky physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel. Whether or not Zelensky enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Zelensky, information released by his verified social media accounts, Ukraine, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252942
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10?
start_date: 2023-11-03
end_date: 2023-11-10
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel enters a ceasefire in exchange for hostages held by Hamas by November 10, 2023, 11:59 PM IST (UTC + 2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a ceasefire will be considered a publicly announced and mutually agreed upon halt in military engagement between Israel and Hamas. For this market to resolve "Yes", the referenced entities must enter the ceasefire and the hostages must be exchanged before the resolution date, regardless of the de facto length of the the ceasefire.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 252946
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will ‘The Marvels’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Morbius'?
start_date: 2023-11-06
end_date: 2023-11-13
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The Marvels' (2023) has a higher domestic opening weekend gross than 'Morbius' (2022). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The respective "Domestic Weekend" tabs on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2064025089/ (for days Apr 1 - 3) and https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl247366145/ (for days (Nov 10 - 12) will be used to resolve this market once the values for 'The Marvels' 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by November 20, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 252998
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?
start_date: 2023-11-09
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for ETH-USD between 9 Nov '23 00:00 and 31 Dec '23 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 2,500.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the ETH-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/ETH-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase ETH-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.


id: 252999
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17?
start_date: 2023-11-10
end_date: 2023-11-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On November 10, 2023, Poloniex was hacked for around $120 million dollars. Shortly afterwards Justin Sun tweeted to the unknown hacker that they have 7 days to return the funds before engaging law enforcement (see https://twitter.com/justinsuntron/status/1722951876986204259).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least 80% of the money hacked from Poloniex is returned by Nov 17, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Poloniex and Justin Sun, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 253028
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Eric Adams be indicted by Dec 31?
start_date: 2023-11-12
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States announces a criminal indictment of Eric Adams by Dec 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253031
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: GTA 6 trailer released by Dec 7?
start_date: 2023-11-13
end_date: 2023-12-07
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official trailer for the next GTA (GTA 6) is released by Rockstar Games or any of its official accounts, including but not limited to Rockstar's official website, YouTube channel, Twitter, or any other official social media platform by December 7, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. 

An "official trailer" is defined as a video clearly labelled and marketed as a trailer for the game in question. Teasers, gameplay snippets, or other promotional materials will not qualify for resolution unless explicitly marketed as an official trailer by Rockstar Games. 

This market will resolve immediately if such an official trailer is released by the expiry date. If no official trailer is released by the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".


id: 253032
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Eric Adams resign by Nov 30?
start_date: 2023-11-12
end_date: 2023-11-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams announces he has resigned, is resigning, or will resign from his position as Mayor of New York City by November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Eric Adams or his official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253037
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?
start_date: 2023-11-13
end_date: 2023-11-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces a humanitarian pause of at least 24 consecutive hours between November 12 and 30, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a humanitarian pause is defined as "A temporary pause in the fighting for a short period for humanitarian purposes, one that may be designed to allow people to leave a conflict area, repairs to be made, or bring in humanitarian relief or other supplies, etc."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary Israel announces a 24h+ humanitarian pause will take place, regardless of whether it actually occurs.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253038
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $40m opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-11-13
end_date: 2023-11-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt10545296/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 17 - November 19) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' (2023) grosses more than $40,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by November 27, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 253040
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $50m opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-11-13
end_date: 2023-11-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt10545296/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 17 - November 19) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' (2023) grosses more than $50,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by November 27, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 253041
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19?
start_date: 2023-11-14
end_date: 2023-11-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
If any Starship successfully launches and lifts to an altitude of at least 500 meters from its launchpad by November 19, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches an altitude of 500m above the launch pad will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.


id: 253043
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30?
start_date: 2023-11-14
end_date: 2023-11-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases any hostages between November 14 and November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a negotiated release of hostages will trigger a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253044
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Tears of the Kingdom' win Game of the Year?
start_date: 2023-11-14
end_date: 2023-12-07
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The Game Award for Game of the Year is an award presented annually by The Game Awards. It is given to a video game judged to deliver the best experience across creative and technical fields. The Game Awards are scheduled to be held on December 7, 2023 at the Peacock Theater in Los Angeles, USA.
.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom" wins The 2023 Game Award for Game of the Year. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no game wins The 2023 Game Award for Game of the Year by December 31, 2023, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards (e.g. information found at thegameawards.com/), including live broadcast, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


id: 253046
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Blur airdrop by Nov 20?
start_date: 2023-11-14
end_date: 2023-11-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Blur has an airdrop with some amount of monetary value between November 13 and Nov 20, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Blur, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253047
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 17?
start_date: 2023-11-14
end_date: 2023-11-17
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Nov 11, 2023 Iceland declared a state of emergency after an intense string of earthquakes linked to a possible future volcanic eruption.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland has a volcanic eruption by Nov 17, 11:59 PM Iceland Time (UTC + 0). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source will be a consensus of media reporting as to whether an eruption occurred. 


id: 253100
asset_class: PolyMarket
start_date: 2023-11-15
end_date: 2023-11-20
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
question:
Will ‘The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'The Marvels'?

resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Hunger Games: Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' (2023) has a higher domestic opening weekend gross than 'The Marvels' (2023) on its domestic opening weekend. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The respective "Domestic Weekend" tabs on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt10545296/ (for days Nov 17 - 19) and https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl247366145/ (for days Nov 10 - 12) will be used to resolve this market once the values for 'Hunger Games: Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by November 27, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 253102
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Draymond Green be suspended for 10+ games?
start_date: 2023-11-15
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Draymond Green is suspended for more than 10 or more games. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will only consider the next suspension of Draymond Green issued by the NBA after November 14 and before December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, and not any suspensions incurred additionally from separate incidents.

If the NBA issues no suspension of Draymond Green by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA.


id: 253103
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election?
start_date: 2023-11-15
end_date: 2023-11-18
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Javier Milei wins the second round of the 2023 Argentina Presidential election by a margin of more than 5%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

For the purpose of resolving this market, the margin of victory is the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by each candidate in the election. Valid votes are defined as votes cast for either Sergio Massa or Javier Milei, excluding votes that are blank, null, etc. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each candidate receives by the sum of all valid votes received by both candidates.

For example, if Milei receives 53% of the valid votes, and Massa receives 47% of the valid votes, the difference will be found by subtracting 47 from 53, thus the Milei margin of victory in this case would equal 6 (Milei% - Massa% = Margin of Victory).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Argentine government (e.g. https://www.argentina.gob.ar/interior/dine).


id: 253104
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Sergio Massa win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election?
start_date: 2023-11-15
end_date: 2023-11-19
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sergio Massa wins the second round of the 2023 Argentina Presidential election by a margin of more than 5%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

For the purpose of resolving this market, the margin of victory is the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by each candidate in the election. Valid votes are defined as votes cast for either Sergio Massa or Javier Milei, excluding votes that are blank, null, etc. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each candidate receives by the sum of all valid votes received by both candidates.

For example, if Massa receives 53% of the valid votes, and Milei receives 47% of the valid votes, the difference will be found by subtracting 47 from 53, thus the Massa margin of victory in this case would equal 6 (Massa% - Milei% = Margin of Victory).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Argentine government (e.g. https://www.argentina.gob.ar/interior/dine).


id: 253105
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30?
start_date: 2023-11-16
end_date: 2023-11-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases 20 or more hostages in any 24-hour period between November 15 and November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a negotiated release of hostages will trigger a "Yes" resolution. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon the release of 20+ hostages in a 24 hour period. 

If Hamas releases hostages on the last day within this market's range, the 24 hour period will commence starting with the release of the first hostage (e.g. if a first hostage is released on Nov 30, 2 PM ET, the 24h period will be from Nov 30, 2 PM ET to Dec 1, 2 PM ET).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253106
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: George Santos expelled in 2023?
start_date: 2023-11-16
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if George Santos, Member of the U.S. House of Representatives from New York's 3rd district, is expelled from Congress by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If George Santos ceases to be a member of Congress before this market's end date without having been expelled, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official resolutions from the House of Representatives and information from the Government of the United States of America, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


id: 253107
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?
start_date: 2023-11-16
end_date: 2023-11-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Nov 11, 2023 Iceland declared a state of emergency after an intense string of earthquakes linked to a possible future volcanic eruption.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland has a volcanic eruption between Nov 15 and Nov 30, 11:59 PM Iceland Time (UTC + 0). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source will be a consensus of media reporting as to whether an eruption occurred.  


id: 253109
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Snoop smoke again in 2023?
start_date: 2023-11-16
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Snoop Dogg smokes marijuana again between November 16 and December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be statements from Snoop Dogg and/or a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 253110
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will VVD win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election?
start_date: 2023-11-17
end_date: 2023-11-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if VVD (People's Party for Freedom and Democracy) controls a greater number of seats in the House of Representatives than any other party after the results of the 2023 Dutch general election are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election aren't known by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity official information from the government of the Netherlands and/or information published through the official website of the Dutch electoral council (https://english.kiesraad.nl/) will be used.


id: 253111
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will NSC win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election?
start_date: 2023-11-17
end_date: 2023-11-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NSC (New Social Contract) controls a greater number of seats in the House of Representatives than any other party after the results of the 2023 Dutch general election are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election aren't known by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity official information from the government of the Netherlands and/or information published through the official website of the Dutch electoral council (https://english.kiesraad.nl/) will be used.


id: 253112
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will PvdA-GL win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election?
start_date: 2023-11-17
end_date: 2023-11-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PvdA-GL (alliance between Partij van de Arbeid and GroenLinks) controls a greater number of seats in the House of Representatives than any other party after the results of the 2023 Dutch general election are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election aren't known by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity official information from the government of the Netherlands and/or information published through the official website of the Dutch electoral council (https://english.kiesraad.nl/) will be used.


id: 253113
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will PVV win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election?
start_date: 2023-11-17
end_date: 2023-11-22
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PVV (Party for Freedom) controls a greater number of seats in the House of Representatives than any other party after the results of the 2023 Dutch general election are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election aren't known by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity official information from the government of the Netherlands and/or information published through the official website of the Dutch electoral council (https://english.kiesraad.nl/) will be used.


id: 253124
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?
start_date: 2023-11-18
end_date: 2023-11-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman officially announces the creation of a new company where he holds a significant position (such as founder, co-founder, CEO, etc.) by November 24, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." 

The announcement must be public and verifiable, and can come via a variety of official channels, including but not limited to, Sam Altman's verified social media accounts, press releases, media reports, or official company announcements. For clarity, the announcement must explicitly reference the creation of a new company and not merely imply it. Note that an announcement by the resolution date of a new company suffices - the company need not be created by the resolution date.


id: 253165
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?
start_date: 2023-11-20
end_date: 2023-11-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmett Shear remains in the official position of CEO of OpenAI through Nov 26, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. 

The market will resolve to "No" if Emmett Shear has stepped down, been replaced, or otherwise ceased holding the position of CEO at OpenAI before the end of this week. 

Resolution will be based on official OpenAI announcements or a consensus of credible media reporting. 


id: 253166
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: OpenAI board out by end of week?
start_date: 2023-11-20
end_date: 2023-11-26
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all current board members of OpenAI as of Nov 19 (Ilya Sutskever, Adam D'Angelo, Helen Toner, Tasha McCauley) resign or are replaced from their positions by Nov 26, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Resignation refers to officially stepping down from their positions, and must be confirmed by official OpenAI communication or credible news sources.


id: 253168
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Linda Yaccarino remain CEO of X through 2023?
start_date: 2023-11-20
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Linda Yaccarino remains CEO of X from the date of this market's inception, November 20, through December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement that Linda Yaccarino will no longer be CEO on or before December 31 will not be sufficient to resolve this market. Only confirmation that Linda Yaccarino is no longer CEO of X within the market timeframe will result in this market resolving to "No".

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from X and/or Yaccarino, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.


id: 253169
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US?
start_date: 2023-11-20
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Binance Holdings Ltd. pays >$4,000,000,000.00 to settle any legal case with the United States by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution for this market will be official information from Binance Holdings Ltd., however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253171
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week?
start_date: 2023-11-20
end_date: 2023-11-24
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are over 500 confirmed employee resignations from OpenAI by Nov 24, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A resignation is defined as a voluntary departure from a current position within the organization.

Confirmation must come from official OpenAI announcements, credible news reporting, or direct statements from the individuals involved. This market may stay open past the deadline until is unambiguous as to whether the number of resignations before the end date was over/under 500.


id: 253190
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will CZ remain CEO of Binance through 2023?
start_date: 2023-11-21
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Changpeng Zhao (CZ) remains CEO of Binance from the date of this market's inception, November 21, through December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement that CZ will no longer be CEO on or before December 31 will not be sufficient to resolve this market. Only confirmation that CZ is no longer CEO of Binance within the market timeframe will result in this market resolving to "No".

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Binance and/or CZ, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.


id: 253194
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-11-22
end_date: 2023-11-27
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Wish' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt11304740/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (November 22 - November 26) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Wish' (2023) grosses more than $55,000,000 on its 5-day opening. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the sum of the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Daily for November 22-26, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by December 7, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 253195
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend?
start_date: 2023-11-22
end_date: 2023-11-27
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on how much 'Napoleon' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt13287846/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (November 22 - November 26) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Napoleon' (2023) grosses more than $32,500,000 on its 5-day opening. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the sum of the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Daily for November 22-26, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by December 7, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.


id: 253196
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?
start_date: 2023-11-22
end_date: 2023-11-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced Sam Altman will rejoin the OpenAI board by Nov 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that an announcement before the end date that he will be rejoining the board will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when his rejoining goes into effect.

Confirmation should come from an official announcement made by OpenAI or Sam Altman himself, however a definitive consensus of credible media sources may be used.


id: 253199
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Blast airdrop by May?
start_date: 2023-11-24
end_date: 2024-05-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Blast launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Blast team (e.g. https://twitter.com/Blast_L2), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253201
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days?
start_date: 2023-11-22
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal after the creation of this market lasts at least 4 full days (96 consecutive hours). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such ceasefire starts by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM IST (Israeli Standard Time), this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible information and reporting.


id: 253202
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February?
start_date: 2023-11-24
end_date: 2024-02-28
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This is a market on whether the Blast bridge suffers an exploit between November 24, 2023 and February 28, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. 

The resolution source for this market will be the Rekt News leaderboard, currently available at https://rekt.news/leaderboard/.

If the Blast bridge is listed on the resolution source as a protocol having suffered an exploit before the resolution date, regardless of the size or ranking, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only exploits which have a date listed on the Rekt News Leaderboard between November 24, 2023 and February 28, 2024, (inclusive) will count.

In the case there is ambiguity over the validity or availability of Rekt's Leaderboard, the project's primary communication channels (e.g. Twitter), and other credible crypto publications will be referenced.

This market will resolve as soon as the protocol is listed on the resolution source.


id: 253203
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Josh Giddey's contract be terminated?
start_date: 2023-11-24
end_date: 2023-12-07
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Josh Giddey's contract with the Oklahoma City Thunder is officially terminated, as reported by reputable sports news sources, before 11:59 PM ET on Dec 7, 2023. Termination must be due to any reason and must be officially confirmed by the Oklahoma City Thunder or the NBA. A contract termination will include any scenario where Giddey is released from his contract by the Thunder, even if he is subsequently signed by another team. If Giddey's contract is not terminated before the aforementioned date, the market will resolve to "No". The market will resolve immediately if the contract termination is confirmed before the resolution date.


id: 253205
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days?
start_date: 2023-11-26
end_date: 2023-12-02
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal, which began on November 24, 2023, 7 AM IST (Israeli Standard Time), lasts at least 8 full days (192 consecutive hours). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible information and reporting.


id: 253206
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital?
start_date: 2023-11-26
end_date: 2024-06-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve according to the identical market created on Manifold by Richard Hanania, currently available here: https://manifold.markets/RichardHanania/hamas-command-center-under-alshifa. 

If the aforementioned market is deemed permanently unavailable, or if the resolution is otherwise inaccessible, this market will resolve according to the existing rules: "Israel claims that Hamas has a command center under al-Shifa Hospital in Gaza City. Hamas denies this. This market will settle as YES if credible reporting confirms the existence of a command center underneath the hospital or in its immediate vicinity, in addition to the claims Israel has provided as of November 10, 2023. The market will expire on June 30, 2024. If no evidence emerges by that time, or it is shown that there is no such command center, this market will settle as NO. 

Update, November 19, 8:46 AM PST: The term "no evidence" in the original question was meant to be relative, not absolute. This market will resolve YES if there is enough evidence to conclude there was a command center, but not otherwise. If I estimate there was at least a 90% chance that Hamas had a command center under al-Shifa this market will resolve as YES based on a totality of the evidence. The evidence will be judged based on a consensus of credible reporting, mainly taken from The New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, The Economist, and The Washington Post. If before the end date it becomes 90% likely there was no command center in my judgment, this market will resolve as NO. If we get to the end of the market and it's not 90% certain in either direction, the market will resolve as NO. 

As for definitions, a "command center" is a place where Hamas either plans or gives orders for military operations. It does not have to be the main command center of its entire war effort, or necessarily a "headquarters." The command center must have been in use as a command center at some point during the current war or during the events immediately preceding it."


id: 253207
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: American aid to Israel by Dec 31?
start_date: 2023-11-27
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill granting a new aid package to Israel is signed into law in the United States by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253216
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8?
start_date: 2023-11-28
end_date: 2023-12-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by Dec 8, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, Israel initiates a major ground offensive within Gaza, south of Wadi Gaza. A qualifying "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves Israeli ground forces, and does not include smaller raids or special operations. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event occurs before this market's expiry date, this market will resolve immediately.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.


id: 253217
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Houthis seize another ship by December 8?
start_date: 2023-11-28
end_date: 2023-12-08
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthis forcefully board and take control of another ship registered by any country besides Yemen between November 27 and December 8, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved governments and/or from the Houthis, however a consensus of credible sources may also be used.


id: 253219
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31?
start_date: 2023-11-28
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
On Nov 11, 2023 Iceland declared a state of emergency after an intense string of earthquakes linked to a possible future volcanic eruption.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland has a volcanic eruption by December 31, 11:59 PM Iceland Time (UTC + 0). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source will be a consensus of media reporting as to whether an eruption occurred.


id: 253220
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win?
start_date: 2023-11-28
end_date: 2024-01-13
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2024 Taiwanese presidential election is scheduled to take place on January 13, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 253221
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?
start_date: 2023-11-28
end_date: 2024-01-13
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
The 2024 Taiwanese presidential election is scheduled to take place on January 13, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.


id: 253222
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days?
start_date: 2023-11-28
end_date: 2023-12-04
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal, which began on November 24, 2023, 7 AM IST (Israeli Standard Time), lasts at least 10 full days (240 consecutive hours). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible information and reporting.


id: 253235
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023?
start_date: 2023-11-29
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual listed in 'Forbes 30 Under 30' in any year is arrested between November 29 and December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.


id: 253236
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023?
start_date: 2023-11-29
end_date: 2023-12-31
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Venezuela commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Guyana by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Venezuela, Guyana, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


id: 253239
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: Will Josh Dobbs start for the Vikings in Week 14?
start_date: 2023-11-30
end_date: 2023-12-11
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Josh Dobbs is the starting quarterback for the Minnesota Vikings in the Week 14 game of the current NFL regular season, which is scheduled to be on December 10, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Week 14's game is postponed or cancelled, this market will resolve to 'No'.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL or the Minnesota Vikings. 


id: 253247
asset_class: PolyMarket
question: zkSync airdrop by April?
start_date: 2023-11-30
end_date: 2024-04-30
asset_metadata: {}
status: Active
resolution_criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if zkSync launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the zkSync team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


