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| LONG_ARTICLE = """"for about 20 years the problem of properties of | |
| short - term changes of solar activity has been | |
| considered extensively . many investigators | |
| studied the short - term periodicities of the | |
| various indices of solar activity . several | |
| periodicities were detected , but the | |
| periodicities about 155 days and from the interval | |
| of @xmath3 $ ] days ( @xmath4 $ ] years ) are | |
| mentioned most often . first of them was | |
| discovered by @xcite in the occurence rate of | |
| gamma - ray flares detected by the gamma - ray | |
| spectrometer aboard the _ solar maximum mission ( | |
| smm ) . this periodicity was confirmed for other | |
| solar flares data and for the same time period | |
| @xcite . it was also found in proton flares during | |
| solar cycles 19 and 20 @xcite , but it was not | |
| found in the solar flares data during solar cycles | |
| 22 @xcite . _ several autors confirmed above | |
| results for the daily sunspot area data . @xcite | |
| studied the sunspot data from 18741984 . she found | |
| the 155-day periodicity in data records from 31 | |
| years . this periodicity is always characteristic | |
| for one of the solar hemispheres ( the southern | |
| hemisphere for cycles 1215 and the northern | |
| hemisphere for cycles 1621 ) . moreover , it is | |
| only present during epochs of maximum activity ( | |
| in episodes of 13 years ) . | |
| similarinvestigationswerecarriedoutby + @xcite . | |
| they applied the same power spectrum method as | |
| lean , but the daily sunspot area data ( cycles | |
| 1221 ) were divided into 10 shorter time series . | |
| the periodicities were searched for the frequency | |
| interval 57115 nhz ( 100200 days ) and for each of | |
| 10 time series . the authors showed that the | |
| periodicity between 150160 days is statistically | |
| significant during all cycles from 16 to 21 . the | |
| considered peaks were remained unaltered after | |
| removing the 11-year cycle and applying the power | |
| spectrum analysis . @xcite used the wavelet | |
| technique for the daily sunspot areas between 1874 | |
| and 1993 . they determined the epochs of | |
| appearance of this periodicity and concluded that | |
| it presents around the maximum activity period in | |
| cycles 16 to 21 . moreover , the power of this | |
| periodicity started growing at cycle 19 , | |
| decreased in cycles 20 and 21 and disappered after | |
| cycle 21 . similaranalyseswerepresentedby + @xcite | |
| , but for sunspot number , solar wind plasma , | |
| interplanetary magnetic field and geomagnetic | |
| activity index @xmath5 . during 1964 - 2000 the | |
| sunspot number wavelet power of periods less than | |
| one year shows a cyclic evolution with the phase | |
| of the solar cycle.the 154-day period is prominent | |
| and its strenth is stronger around the 1982 - 1984 | |
| interval in almost all solar wind parameters . the | |
| existence of the 156-day periodicity in sunspot | |
| data were confirmed by @xcite . they considered | |
| the possible relation between the 475-day ( | |
| 1.3-year ) and 156-day periodicities . the 475-day | |
| ( 1.3-year ) periodicity was also detected in | |
| variations of the interplanetary magnetic field , | |
| geomagnetic activity helioseismic data and in the | |
| solar wind speed @xcite . @xcite concluded that | |
| the region of larger wavelet power shifts from | |
| 475-day ( 1.3-year ) period to 620-day ( 1.7-year | |
| ) period and then back to 475-day ( 1.3-year ) . | |
| the periodicities from the interval @xmath6 $ ] | |
| days ( @xmath4 $ ] years ) have been considered | |
| from 1968 . @xcite mentioned a 16.3-month ( | |
| 490-day ) periodicity in the sunspot numbers and | |
| in the geomagnetic data . @xcite analysed the | |
| occurrence rate of major flares during solar | |
| cycles 19 . they found a 18-month ( 540-day ) | |
| periodicity in flare rate of the norhern | |
| hemisphere . @xcite confirmed this result for the | |
| @xmath7 flare data for solar cycles 20 and 21 and | |
| found a peak in the power spectra near 510540 days | |
| . @xcite found a 17-month ( 510-day ) periodicity | |
| of sunspot groups and their areas from 1969 to | |
| 1986 . these authors concluded that the length of | |
| this period is variable and the reason of this | |
| periodicity is still not understood . @xcite and + | |
| @xcite obtained statistically significant peaks of | |
| power at around 158 days for daily sunspot data | |
| from 1923 - 1933 ( cycle 16 ) . in this paper the | |
| problem of the existence of this periodicity for | |
| sunspot data from cycle 16 is considered . the | |
| daily sunspot areas , the mean sunspot areas per | |
| carrington rotation , the monthly sunspot numbers | |
| and their fluctuations , which are obtained after | |
| removing the 11-year cycle are analysed . in | |
| section 2 the properties of the power spectrum | |
| methods are described . in section 3 a new | |
| approach to the problem of aliases in the power | |
| spectrum analysis is presented . in section 4 | |
| numerical results of the new method of the | |
| diagnosis of an echo - effect for sunspot area | |
| data are discussed . in section 5 the problem of | |
| the existence of the periodicity of about 155 days | |
| during the maximum activity period for sunspot | |
| data from the whole solar disk and from each solar | |
| hemisphere separately is considered . to find | |
| periodicities in a given time series the power | |
| spectrum analysis is applied . in this paper two | |
| methods are used : the fast fourier transformation | |
| algorithm with the hamming window function ( fft ) | |
| and the blackman - tukey ( bt ) power spectrum | |
| method @xcite . the bt method is used for the | |
| diagnosis of the reasons of the existence of peaks | |
| , which are obtained by the fft method . the bt | |
| method consists in the smoothing of a cosine | |
| transform of an autocorrelation function using a | |
| 3-point weighting average . such an estimator is | |
| consistent and unbiased . moreover , the peaks are | |
| uncorrelated and their sum is a variance of a | |
| considered time series . the main disadvantage of | |
| this method is a weak resolution of the | |
| periodogram points , particularly for low | |
| frequences . for example , if the autocorrelation | |
| function is evaluated for @xmath8 , then the | |
| distribution points in the time domain are : | |
| @xmath9 thus , it is obvious that this method | |
| should not be used for detecting low frequency | |
| periodicities with a fairly good resolution . | |
| however , because of an application of the | |
| autocorrelation function , the bt method can be | |
| used to verify a reality of peaks which are | |
| computed using a method giving the better | |
| resolution ( for example the fft method ) . it is | |
| valuable to remember that the power spectrum | |
| methods should be applied very carefully . the | |
| difficulties in the interpretation of significant | |
| peaks could be caused by at least four effects : a | |
| sampling of a continuos function , an echo - | |
| effect , a contribution of long - term | |
| periodicities and a random noise . first effect | |
| exists because periodicities , which are shorter | |
| than the sampling interval , may mix with longer | |
| periodicities . in result , this effect can be | |
| reduced by an decrease of the sampling interval | |
| between observations . the echo - effect occurs | |
| when there is a latent harmonic of frequency | |
| @xmath10 in the time series , giving a spectral | |
| peak at @xmath10 , and also periodic terms of | |
| frequency @xmath11 etc . this may be detected by | |
| the autocorrelation function for time series with | |
| a large variance . time series often contain long | |
| - term periodicities , that influence short - term | |
| peaks . they could rise periodogram s peaks at | |
| lower frequencies . however , it is also easy to | |
| notice the influence of the long - term | |
| periodicities on short - term peaks in the graphs | |
| of the autocorrelation functions . this effect is | |
| observed for the time series of solar activity | |
| indexes which are limited by the 11-year cycle . | |
| to find statistically significant periodicities it | |
| is reasonable to use the autocorrelation function | |
| and the power spectrum method with a high | |
| resolution . in the case of a stationary time | |
| series they give similar results . moreover , for | |
| a stationary time series with the mean zero the | |
| fourier transform is equivalent to the cosine | |
| transform of an autocorrelation function @xcite . | |
| thus , after a comparison of a periodogram with an | |
| appropriate autocorrelation function one can | |
| detect peaks which are in the graph of the first | |
| function and do not exist in the graph of the | |
| second function . the reasons of their existence | |
| could be explained by the long - term | |
| periodicities and the echo - effect . below method | |
| enables one to detect these effects . ( solid line | |
| ) and the 95% confidence level basing on thered | |
| noise ( dotted line ) . the periodogram values are | |
| presented on the left axis . the lower curve | |
| illustrates the autocorrelation function of the | |
| same time series ( solid line ) . the dotted lines | |
| represent two standard errors of the | |
| autocorrelation function . the dashed horizontal | |
| line shows the zero level . the autocorrelation | |
| values are shown in the right axis . ] because | |
| the statistical tests indicate that the time | |
| series is a white noise the confidence level is | |
| not marked . ] . ] the method of the diagnosis | |
| of an echo - effect in the power spectrum ( de ) | |
| consists in an analysis of a periodogram of a | |
| given time series computed using the bt method . | |
| the bt method bases on the cosine transform of the | |
| autocorrelation function which creates peaks which | |
| are in the periodogram , but not in the | |
| autocorrelation function . the de method is used | |
| for peaks which are computed by the fft method ( | |
| with high resolution ) and are statistically | |
| significant . the time series of sunspot activity | |
| indexes with the spacing interval one rotation or | |
| one month contain a markov - type persistence , | |
| which means a tendency for the successive values | |
| of the time series to remember their antecendent | |
| values . thus , i use a confidence level basing on | |
| the red noise of markov @xcite for the choice of | |
| the significant peaks of the periodogram computed | |
| by the fft method . when a time series does not | |
| contain the markov - type persistence i apply the | |
| fisher test and the kolmogorov - smirnov test at | |
| the significance level @xmath12 @xcite to verify a | |
| statistically significance of periodograms peaks . | |
| the fisher test checks the null hypothesis that | |
| the time series is white noise agains the | |
| alternative hypothesis that the time series | |
| contains an added deterministic periodic component | |
| of unspecified frequency . because the fisher test | |
| tends to be severe in rejecting peaks as | |
| insignificant the kolmogorov - smirnov test is | |
| also used . the de method analyses raw estimators | |
| of the power spectrum . they are given as follows | |
| @xmath13 for @xmath14 + where @xmath15 for | |
| @xmath16 + @xmath17 is the length of the time | |
| series @xmath18 and @xmath19 is the mean value . | |
| the first term of the estimator @xmath20 is | |
| constant . the second term takes two values ( | |
| depending on odd or even @xmath21 ) which are not | |
| significant because @xmath22 for large m. thus , | |
| the third term of ( 1 ) should be analysed . | |
| looking for intervals of @xmath23 for which | |
| @xmath24 has the same sign and different signs one | |
| can find such parts of the function @xmath25 which | |
| create the value @xmath20 . let the set of values | |
| of the independent variable of the autocorrelation | |
| function be called @xmath26 and it can be divided | |
| into the sums of disjoint sets : @xmath27 where + | |
| @xmath28 + @xmath29 @xmath30 @xmath31 + @xmath32 + | |
| @xmath33 @xmath34 @xmath35 @xmath36 @xmath37 | |
| @xmath38 @xmath39 @xmath40 well , the set | |
| @xmath41 contains all integer values of @xmath23 | |
| from the interval of @xmath42 for which the | |
| autocorrelation function and the cosinus function | |
| with the period @xmath43 $ ] are positive . the | |
| index @xmath44 indicates successive parts of the | |
| cosinus function for which the cosinuses of | |
| successive values of @xmath23 have the same sign . | |
| however , sometimes the set @xmath41 can be empty | |
| . for example , for @xmath45 and @xmath46 the set | |
| @xmath47 should contain all @xmath48 $ ] for which | |
| @xmath49 and @xmath50 , but for such values of | |
| @xmath23 the values of @xmath51 are negative . | |
| thus , the set @xmath47 is empty . . the | |
| periodogram values are presented on the left axis | |
| . the lower curve illustrates the autocorrelation | |
| function of the same time series . the | |
| autocorrelation values are shown in the right axis | |
| . ] let us take into consideration all sets | |
| \{@xmath52 } , \{@xmath53 } and \{@xmath41 } which | |
| are not empty . because numberings and power of | |
| these sets depend on the form of the | |
| autocorrelation function of the given time series | |
| , it is impossible to establish them arbitrary . | |
| thus , the sets of appropriate indexes of the sets | |
| \{@xmath52 } , \{@xmath53 } and \{@xmath41 } are | |
| called @xmath54 , @xmath55 and @xmath56 | |
| respectively . for example the set @xmath56 | |
| contains all @xmath44 from the set @xmath57 for | |
| which the sets @xmath41 are not empty . to | |
| separate quantitatively in the estimator @xmath20 | |
| the positive contributions which are originated by | |
| the cases described by the formula ( 5 ) from the | |
| cases which are described by the formula ( 3 ) the | |
| following indexes are introduced : @xmath58 | |
| @xmath59 @xmath60 @xmath61 where @xmath62 @xmath63 | |
| @xmath64 taking for the empty sets \{@xmath53 } | |
| and \{@xmath41 } the indices @xmath65 and @xmath66 | |
| equal zero . the index @xmath65 describes a | |
| percentage of the contribution of the case when | |
| @xmath25 and @xmath51 are positive to the positive | |
| part of the third term of the sum ( 1 ) . the | |
| index @xmath66 describes a similar contribution , | |
| but for the case when the both @xmath25 and | |
| @xmath51 are simultaneously negative . thanks to | |
| these one can decide which the positive or the | |
| negative values of the autocorrelation function | |
| have a larger contribution to the positive values | |
| of the estimator @xmath20 . when the difference | |
| @xmath67 is positive , the statement the | |
| @xmath21-th peak really exists can not be rejected | |
| . thus , the following formula should be satisfied | |
| : @xmath68 because the @xmath21-th peak could | |
| exist as a result of the echo - effect , it is | |
| necessary to verify the second condition : | |
| @xmath69\in c_m.\ ] ] . the periodogram values | |
| are presented on the left axis . the lower curve | |
| illustrates the autocorrelation function of the | |
| same time series ( solid line ) . the dotted lines | |
| represent two standard errors of the | |
| autocorrelation function . the dashed horizontal | |
| line shows the zero level . the autocorrelation | |
| values are shown in the right axis . ] to | |
| verify the implication ( 8) firstly it is | |
| necessary to evaluate the sets @xmath41 for | |
| @xmath70 of the values of @xmath23 for which the | |
| autocorrelation function and the cosine function | |
| with the period @xmath71 $ ] are positive and the | |
| sets @xmath72 of values of @xmath23 for which the | |
| autocorrelation function and the cosine function | |
| with the period @xmath43 $ ] are negative . | |
| secondly , a percentage of the contribution of the | |
| sum of products of positive values of @xmath25 and | |
| @xmath51 to the sum of positive products of the | |
| values of @xmath25 and @xmath51 should be | |
| evaluated . as a result the indexes @xmath65 for | |
| each set @xmath41 where @xmath44 is the index from | |
| the set @xmath56 are obtained . thirdly , from all | |
| sets @xmath41 such that @xmath70 the set @xmath73 | |
| for which the index @xmath65 is the greatest | |
| should be chosen . the implication ( 8) is true | |
| when the set @xmath73 includes the considered | |
| period @xmath43 $ ] . this means that the greatest | |
| contribution of positive values of the | |
| autocorrelation function and positive cosines with | |
| the period @xmath43 $ ] to the periodogram value | |
| @xmath20 is caused by the sum of positive products | |
| of @xmath74 for each @xmath75-\frac{m}{2k},[\frac{ | |
| 2m}{k}]+\frac{m}{2k})$ ] . when the implication | |
| ( 8) is false , the peak @xmath20 is mainly | |
| created by the sum of positive products of | |
| @xmath74 for each @xmath76-\frac{m}{2k},\big [ | |
| \frac{2m}{n}\big ] + \frac{m}{2k } \big ) $ ] , | |
| where @xmath77 is a multiple or a divisor of | |
| @xmath21 . it is necessary to add , that the de | |
| method should be applied to the periodograms peaks | |
| , which probably exist because of the echo - | |
| effect . it enables one to find such parts of the | |
| autocorrelation function , which have the | |
| significant contribution to the considered peak . | |
| the fact , that the conditions ( 7 ) and ( 8) are | |
| satisfied , can unambiguously decide about the | |
| existence of the considered periodicity in the | |
| given time series , but if at least one of them is | |
| not satisfied , one can doubt about the existence | |
| of the considered periodicity . thus , in such | |
| cases the sentence the peak can not be treated as | |
| true should be used . using the de method it is | |
| necessary to remember about the power of the set | |
| @xmath78 . if @xmath79 is too large , errors of an | |
| autocorrelation function estimation appear . they | |
| are caused by the finite length of the given time | |
| series and as a result additional peaks of the | |
| periodogram occur . if @xmath79 is too small , | |
| there are less peaks because of a low resolution | |
| of the periodogram . in applications @xmath80 is | |
| used . in order to evaluate the value @xmath79 the | |
| fft method is used . the periodograms computed by | |
| the bt and the fft method are compared . the | |
| conformity of them enables one to obtain the value | |
| @xmath79 . . the fft periodogram values are | |
| presented on the left axis . the lower curve | |
| illustrates the bt periodogram of the same time | |
| series ( solid line and large black circles ) . | |
| the bt periodogram values are shown in the right | |
| axis . ] in this paper the sunspot activity data ( | |
| august 1923 - october 1933 ) provided by the | |
| greenwich photoheliographic results ( gpr ) are | |
| analysed . firstly , i consider the monthly | |
| sunspot number data . to eliminate the 11-year | |
| trend from these data , the consecutively smoothed | |
| monthly sunspot number @xmath81 is subtracted from | |
| the monthly sunspot number @xmath82 where the | |
| consecutive mean @xmath83 is given by @xmath84 the | |
| values @xmath83 for @xmath85 and @xmath86 are | |
| calculated using additional data from last six | |
| months of cycle 15 and first six months of cycle | |
| 17 . because of the north - south asymmetry of | |
| various solar indices @xcite , the sunspot | |
| activity is considered for each solar hemisphere | |
| separately . analogously to the monthly sunspot | |
| numbers , the time series of sunspot areas in the | |
| northern and southern hemispheres with the spacing | |
| interval @xmath87 rotation are denoted . in order | |
| to find periodicities , the following time series | |
| are used : + @xmath88 + @xmath89 + @xmath90 | |
| + in the lower part of figure [ f1 ] the | |
| autocorrelation function of the time series for | |
| the northern hemisphere @xmath88 is shown . it is | |
| easy to notice that the prominent peak falls at 17 | |
| rotations interval ( 459 days ) and @xmath25 for | |
| @xmath91 $ ] rotations ( [ 81 , 162 ] days ) are | |
| significantly negative . the periodogram of the | |
| time series @xmath88 ( see the upper curve in | |
| figures [ f1 ] ) does not show the significant | |
| peaks at @xmath92 rotations ( 135 , 162 days ) , | |
| but there is the significant peak at @xmath93 ( | |
| 243 days ) . the peaks at @xmath94 are close to | |
| the peaks of the autocorrelation function . thus , | |
| the result obtained for the periodicity at about | |
| @xmath0 days are contradict to the results | |
| obtained for the time series of daily sunspot | |
| areas @xcite . for the southern hemisphere ( | |
| the lower curve in figure [ f2 ] ) @xmath25 for | |
| @xmath95 $ ] rotations ( [ 54 , 189 ] days ) is | |
| not positive except @xmath96 ( 135 days ) for | |
| which @xmath97 is not statistically significant . | |
| the upper curve in figures [ f2 ] presents the | |
| periodogram of the time series @xmath89 . this | |
| time series does not contain a markov - type | |
| persistence . moreover , the kolmogorov - smirnov | |
| test and the fisher test do not reject a null | |
| hypothesis that the time series is a white noise | |
| only . this means that the time series do not | |
| contain an added deterministic periodic component | |
| of unspecified frequency . the autocorrelation | |
| function of the time series @xmath90 ( the lower | |
| curve in figure [ f3 ] ) has only one | |
| statistically significant peak for @xmath98 months | |
| ( 480 days ) and negative values for @xmath99 $ ] | |
| months ( [ 90 , 390 ] days ) . however , the | |
| periodogram of this time series ( the upper curve | |
| in figure [ f3 ] ) has two significant peaks the | |
| first at 15.2 and the second at 5.3 months ( 456 , | |
| 159 days ) . thus , the periodogram contains the | |
| significant peak , although the autocorrelation | |
| function has the negative value at @xmath100 | |
| months . to explain these problems two | |
| following time series of daily sunspot areas are | |
| considered : + @xmath101 + @xmath102 + where | |
| @xmath103 the values @xmath104 for @xmath105 | |
| and @xmath106 are calculated using additional | |
| daily data from the solar cycles 15 and 17 . | |
| and the cosine function for @xmath45 ( the period | |
| at about 154 days ) . the horizontal line ( dotted | |
| line ) shows the zero level . the vertical dotted | |
| lines evaluate the intervals where the sets | |
| @xmath107 ( for @xmath108 ) are searched . the | |
| percentage values show the index @xmath65 for each | |
| @xmath41 for the time series @xmath102 ( in | |
| parentheses for the time series @xmath101 ) . in | |
| the right bottom corner the values of @xmath65 for | |
| the time series @xmath102 , for @xmath109 are | |
| written . ] ( the 500-day period ) ] the | |
| comparison of the functions @xmath25 of the time | |
| series @xmath101 ( the lower curve in figure [ f4 | |
| ] ) and @xmath102 ( the lower curve in figure [ f5 | |
| ] ) suggests that the positive values of the | |
| function @xmath110 of the time series @xmath101 in | |
| the interval of @xmath111 $ ] days could be caused | |
| by the 11-year cycle . this effect is not visible | |
| in the case of periodograms of the both time | |
| series computed using the fft method ( see the | |
| upper curves in figures [ f4 ] and [ f5 ] ) or the | |
| bt method ( see the lower curve in figure [ f6 ] ) | |
| . moreover , the periodogram of the time series | |
| @xmath102 has the significant values at @xmath112 | |
| days , but the autocorrelation function is | |
| negative at these points . @xcite showed that the | |
| lomb - scargle periodograms for the both time | |
| series ( see @xcite , figures 7 a - c ) have a | |
| peak at 158.8 days which stands over the fap level | |
| by a significant amount . using the de method the | |
| above discrepancies are obvious . to establish the | |
| @xmath79 value the periodograms computed by the | |
| fft and the bt methods are shown in figure [ f6 ] | |
| ( the upper and the lower curve respectively ) . | |
| for @xmath46 and for periods less than 166 days | |
| there is a good comformity of the both | |
| periodograms ( but for periods greater than 166 | |
| days the points of the bt periodogram are not | |
| linked because the bt periodogram has much worse | |
| resolution than the fft periodogram ( no one know | |
| how to do it ) ) . for @xmath46 and @xmath113 the | |
| value of @xmath21 is 13 ( @xmath71=153 $ ] ) . the | |
| inequality ( 7 ) is satisfied because @xmath114 . | |
| this means that the value of @xmath115 is mainly | |
| created by positive values of the autocorrelation | |
| function . the implication ( 8) needs an | |
| evaluation of the greatest value of the index | |
| @xmath65 where @xmath70 , but the solar data | |
| contain the most prominent period for @xmath116 | |
| days because of the solar rotation . thus , | |
| although @xmath117 for each @xmath118 , all sets | |
| @xmath41 ( see ( 5 ) and ( 6 ) ) without the set | |
| @xmath119 ( see ( 4 ) ) , which contains @xmath120 | |
| $ ] , are considered . this situation is presented | |
| in figure [ f7 ] . in this figure two curves | |
| @xmath121 and @xmath122 are plotted . the vertical | |
| dotted lines evaluate the intervals where the sets | |
| @xmath107 ( for @xmath123 ) are searched . for | |
| such @xmath41 two numbers are written : in | |
| parentheses the value of @xmath65 for the time | |
| series @xmath101 and above it the value of | |
| @xmath65 for the time series @xmath102 . to make | |
| this figure clear the curves are plotted for the | |
| set @xmath124 only . ( in the right bottom corner | |
| information about the values of @xmath65 for the | |
| time series @xmath102 , for @xmath109 are written | |
| . ) the implication ( 8) is not true , because | |
| @xmath125 for @xmath126 . therefore , | |
| @xmath43=153\notin c_6=[423,500]$ ] . moreover , | |
| the autocorrelation function for @xmath127 $ ] is | |
| negative and the set @xmath128 is empty . thus , | |
| @xmath129 . on the basis of these information one | |
| can state , that the periodogram peak at @xmath130 | |
| days of the time series @xmath102 exists because | |
| of positive @xmath25 , but for @xmath23 from the | |
| intervals which do not contain this period . | |
| looking at the values of @xmath65 of the time | |
| series @xmath101 , one can notice that they | |
| decrease when @xmath23 increases until @xmath131 . | |
| this indicates , that when @xmath23 increases , | |
| the contribution of the 11-year cycle to the peaks | |
| of the periodogram decreases . an increase of the | |
| value of @xmath65 is for @xmath132 for the both | |
| time series , although the contribution of the | |
| 11-year cycle for the time series @xmath101 is | |
| insignificant . thus , this part of the | |
| autocorrelation function ( @xmath133 for the time | |
| series @xmath102 ) influences the @xmath21-th peak | |
| of the periodogram . this suggests that the | |
| periodicity at about 155 days is a harmonic of the | |
| periodicity from the interval of @xmath1 $ ] days | |
| . ( solid line ) and consecutively smoothed | |
| sunspot areas of the one rotation time interval | |
| @xmath134 ( dotted line ) . both indexes are | |
| presented on the left axis . the lower curve | |
| illustrates fluctuations of the sunspot areas | |
| @xmath135 . the dotted and dashed horizontal lines | |
| represent levels zero and @xmath136 respectively . | |
| the fluctuations are shown on the right axis . ] | |
| the described reasoning can be carried out for | |
| other values of the periodogram . for example , | |
| the condition ( 8) is not satisfied for @xmath137 | |
| ( 250 , 222 , 200 days ) . moreover , the | |
| autocorrelation function at these points is | |
| negative . these suggest that there are not a true | |
| periodicity in the interval of [ 200 , 250 ] days | |
| . it is difficult to decide about the existence of | |
| the periodicities for @xmath138 ( 333 days ) and | |
| @xmath139 ( 286 days ) on the basis of above | |
| analysis . the implication ( 8) is not satisfied | |
| for @xmath139 and the condition ( 7 ) is not | |
| satisfied for @xmath138 , although the function | |
| @xmath25 of the time series @xmath102 is | |
| significantly positive for @xmath140 . the | |
| conditions ( 7 ) and ( 8) are satisfied for | |
| @xmath141 ( figure [ f8 ] ) and @xmath142 . | |
| therefore , it is possible to exist the | |
| periodicity from the interval of @xmath1 $ ] days | |
| . similar results were also obtained by @xcite for | |
| daily sunspot numbers and daily sunspot areas . | |
| she considered the means of three periodograms of | |
| these indexes for data from @xmath143 years and | |
| found statistically significant peaks from the | |
| interval of @xmath1 $ ] ( see @xcite , figure 2 ) | |
| . @xcite studied sunspot areas from 1876 - 1999 | |
| and sunspot numbers from 1749 - 2001 with the help | |
| of the wavelet transform . they pointed out that | |
| the 154 - 158-day period could be the third | |
| harmonic of the 1.3-year ( 475-day ) period . | |
| moreover , the both periods fluctuate considerably | |
| with time , being stronger during stronger sunspot | |
| cycles . therefore , the wavelet analysis suggests | |
| a common origin of the both periodicities . this | |
| conclusion confirms the de method result which | |
| indicates that the periodogram peak at @xmath144 | |
| days is an alias of the periodicity from the | |
| interval of @xmath1 $ ] in order to verify the | |
| existence of the periodicity at about 155 days i | |
| consider the following time series : + @xmath145 | |
| + @xmath146 + @xmath147 + the value @xmath134 | |
| is calculated analogously to @xmath83 ( see sect . | |
| the values @xmath148 and @xmath149 are evaluated | |
| from the formula ( 9 ) . in the upper part of | |
| figure [ f9 ] the time series of sunspot areas | |
| @xmath150 of the one rotation time interval from | |
| the whole solar disk and the time series of | |
| consecutively smoothed sunspot areas @xmath151 are | |
| showed . in the lower part of figure [ f9 ] the | |
| time series of sunspot area fluctuations @xmath145 | |
| is presented . on the basis of these data the | |
| maximum activity period of cycle 16 is evaluated . | |
| it is an interval between two strongest | |
| fluctuations e.a . @xmath152 $ ] rotations . the | |
| length of the time interval @xmath153 is 54 | |
| rotations . if the about @xmath0-day ( 6 solar | |
| rotations ) periodicity existed in this time | |
| interval and it was characteristic for strong | |
| fluctuations from this time interval , 10 local | |
| maxima in the set of @xmath154 would be seen . | |
| then it should be necessary to find such a value | |
| of p for which @xmath155 for @xmath156 and the | |
| number of the local maxima of these values is 10 . | |
| as it can be seen in the lower part of figure [ f9 | |
| ] this is for the case of @xmath157 ( in this | |
| figure the dashed horizontal line is the level of | |
| @xmath158 ) . figure [ f10 ] presents nine time | |
| distances among the successive fluctuation local | |
| maxima and the horizontal line represents the | |
| 6-rotation periodicity . it is immediately | |
| apparent that the dispersion of these points is 10 | |
| and it is difficult to find even few points which | |
| oscillate around the value of 6 . such an analysis | |
| was carried out for smaller and larger @xmath136 | |
| and the results were similar . therefore , the | |
| fact , that the about @xmath0-day periodicity | |
| exists in the time series of sunspot area | |
| fluctuations during the maximum activity period is | |
| questionable . . the horizontal line represents | |
| the 6-rotation ( 162-day ) period . ] ] ] | |
| to verify again the existence of the about | |
| @xmath0-day periodicity during the maximum | |
| activity period in each solar hemisphere | |
| separately , the time series @xmath88 and @xmath89 | |
| were also cut down to the maximum activity period | |
| ( january 1925december 1930 ) . the comparison of | |
| the autocorrelation functions of these time series | |
| with the appriopriate autocorrelation functions of | |
| the time series @xmath88 and @xmath89 , which are | |
| computed for the whole 11-year cycle ( the lower | |
| curves of figures [ f1 ] and [ f2 ] ) , indicates | |
| that there are not significant differences between | |
| them especially for @xmath23=5 and 6 rotations ( | |
| 135 and 162 days ) ) . this conclusion is | |
| confirmed by the analysis of the time series | |
| @xmath146 for the maximum activity period . the | |
| autocorrelation function ( the lower curve of | |
| figure [ f11 ] ) is negative for the interval of [ | |
| 57 , 173 ] days , but the resolution of the | |
| periodogram is too low to find the significant | |
| peak at @xmath159 days . the autocorrelation | |
| function gives the same result as for daily | |
| sunspot area fluctuations from the whole solar | |
| disk ( @xmath160 ) ( see also the lower curve of | |
| figures [ f5 ] ) . in the case of the time series | |
| @xmath89 @xmath161 is zero for the fluctuations | |
| from the whole solar cycle and it is almost zero ( | |
| @xmath162 ) for the fluctuations from the maximum | |
| activity period . the value @xmath163 is negative | |
| . similarly to the case of the northern hemisphere | |
| the autocorrelation function and the periodogram | |
| of southern hemisphere daily sunspot area | |
| fluctuations from the maximum activity period | |
| @xmath147 are computed ( see figure [ f12 ] ) . | |
| the autocorrelation function has the statistically | |
| significant positive peak in the interval of [ 155 | |
| , 165 ] days , but the periodogram has too low | |
| resolution to decide about the possible | |
| periodicities . the correlative analysis indicates | |
| that there are positive fluctuations with time | |
| distances about @xmath0 days in the maximum | |
| activity period . the results of the analyses of | |
| the time series of sunspot area fluctuations from | |
| the maximum activity period are contradict with | |
| the conclusions of @xcite . she uses the power | |
| spectrum analysis only . the periodogram of daily | |
| sunspot fluctuations contains peaks , which could | |
| be harmonics or subharmonics of the true | |
| periodicities . they could be treated as real | |
| periodicities . this effect is not visible for | |
| sunspot data of the one rotation time interval , | |
| but averaging could lose true periodicities . this | |
| is observed for data from the southern hemisphere | |
| . there is the about @xmath0-day peak in the | |
| autocorrelation function of daily fluctuations , | |
| but the correlation for data of the one rotation | |
| interval is almost zero or negative at the points | |
| @xmath164 and 6 rotations . thus , it is | |
| reasonable to research both time series together | |
| using the correlative and the power spectrum | |
| analyses . the following results are obtained : | |
| 1 . a new method of the detection of statistically | |
| significant peaks of the periodograms enables one | |
| to identify aliases in the periodogram . 2 . two | |
| effects cause the existence of the peak of the | |
| periodogram of the time series of sunspot area | |
| fluctuations at about @xmath0 days : the first is | |
| caused by the 27-day periodicity , which probably | |
| creates the 162-day periodicity ( it is a | |
| subharmonic frequency of the 27-day periodicity ) | |
| and the second is caused by statistically | |
| significant positive values of the autocorrelation | |
| function from the intervals of @xmath165 $ ] and | |
| @xmath166 $ ] days . the existence of the | |
| periodicity of about @xmath0 days of the time | |
| series of sunspot area fluctuations and sunspot | |
| area fluctuations from the northern hemisphere | |
| during the maximum activity period is questionable | |
| . the autocorrelation analysis of the time series | |
| of sunspot area fluctuations from the southern | |
| hemisphere indicates that the periodicity of about | |
| 155 days exists during the maximum activity period | |
| . i appreciate valuable comments from professor j. | |
| jakimiec .""" | |
| from transformers import LEDForConditionalGeneration, LEDTokenizer | |
| import torch | |
| tokenizer = LEDTokenizer.from_pretrained("allenai/led-large-16384-arxiv") | |
| input_ids = tokenizer(LONG_ARTICLE, return_tensors="pt").input_ids.to("cuda") | |
| global_attention_mask = torch.zeros_like(input_ids) | |
| # set global_attention_mask on first token | |
| global_attention_mask[:, 0] = 1 | |
| model = LEDForConditionalGeneration.from_pretrained("allenai/led-large-16384-arxiv", return_dict_in_generate=True).to("cuda") | |
| sequences = model.generate(input_ids, global_attention_mask=global_attention_mask).sequences | |
| summary = tokenizer.batch_decode(sequences) | |